Validity of 1% hormonal positivity cutoff by American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists (ASCO/CAP) guidelines at Georgia Cancer Center.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1094-1094
Author(s):  
Houssein Talal Abdul Sater ◽  
Ramses F. Sadek ◽  
Li fang Zhang ◽  
Aaron Gopal ◽  
Jean-Pierre Blaize ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Receptor Expression ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Survival Difference ◽  
Significant Difference

1094 Background: Hormone Receptor Status (HS) in breast cancer (BC) is a universally accepted biomarker. ASCO/CAP 2010 guidelines set the threshold of Estrogen and Progesterone Receptor positivity to 1 %. BC with 1-9% HS expression remains controversial with recent data disputing these guidelines. The objective of this retrospective study was to validate these guidelines at Georgia Cancer Center (GCC) with high percentage of black race. Methods: All female patients with invasive BC diagnosed between 2005-2010 at GCC (11y follow-up) were chart reviewed. We used Cox proportional hazards model to explore survival among three HS groups ( < 1%, 1-9%, ≥10%) adjusting for standard prognostic factors. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were also reported. 1-9 %, and ≥10% groups were further explored using same method to test survival difference with or without hormone therapy (HT). Fischer’s Exact test was used to evaluate response to HT in these groups. Results: 400 patients (all stages) with mean age of 59, were 24.75% HS < 1%, 17.5% HS1-9%, and 57.75% HS≥10%. Race was 43.75% Black, and 54% White. Disease stages were 84.4% early (I-IIIA) and 15.56% late (IIIB-IV). Grades were 51.42% low (1-2) and 48.58% high (3). The 2 groups (1-9%, ≥10%) received chemotherapy (42.86%, 39.83%), and HT (58.57%, 80.52%) respectively while 70.71% of < 1% HS group had chemotherapy. Mortality in HS < 1% was significantly higher than HS ≥10% (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.07-3.02), while mortality between HS 1-9% and HS ≥10% was not different (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.48-2.30). Treated (HT) subjects had lower mortality than untreated subjects in the 1-9% group (HR 0.10, 95% CI 0.01-0.85). 100% of HT group had no evidence of tumor at last follow up compared to 87.5% in non-treatment group (p = 0.048). There was no significant difference in mortality between treated (HT) 1-9% and ≥10% groups. Conclusions: Hormone receptor expression as low as 1-9% was found to be equi-prognostic to ≥10% expression. It also predicted response to hormonal therapy. Whether other factors as lympho-vascular invasion, grade, and other parameters change the behavior of the 1-9% HS group remain to be explored.

Abstract 15567: Residual Cholesterol and Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease Under Different Glucose Metabolism Status

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian-jun Li ◽  
Yexuan Cao ◽  
Hui-Wen Zhang ◽  
Jing-Lu Jin ◽  
Yan Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Glucose Metabolism ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Artery Disease

Introduction: The atherogenicity of residual cholesterol (RC) has been underlined by recent guidelines, which was linked to coronary artery disease (CAD), especially for patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). Hypothesis: This study aimed to examine the prognostic value of plasma RC, clinically presented as triglyceride-rich lipoprotein-cholesterol (TRL-C) or remnant-like lipoprotein particles-cholesterol (RLP-C), in CAD patients with different glucose metabolism status. Methods: Fasting plasma TRL-C and RLP-C levels were directly calculated or measured in 4331 patients with CAD. Patients were followed for incident MACEs for up to 8.6 years and categorized according to both glucose metabolism status [DM, pre-DM, normal glycaemia regulation (NGR)] and RC levels. Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: During a mean follow-up of 5.1 years, 541 (12.5%) MACEs occurred. The risk for MACEs was significantly higher in patients with elevated RC levels after adjustment for potential confounders. No significant difference in MACEs was observed between pre-DM and NGR groups (p>0.05). When stratified by status of glucose metabolism and RC levels, highest levels of RLP-C, calculated and measured TRL-C were significant and independent predictors of developing MACEs in pre-DM (HR: 2.10, 1.98, 1.92, respectively; all p<0.05) and DM (HR: 2.25, 2.00, 2.16, respectively; all p<0.05). Conclusions: In this large cohort study with long-term follow-up, data firstly demonstrated that higher RC levels were significantly associated with the worse prognosis in DM and pre-DM patients with CAD, suggesting RC might be a target for patients with impaired glucose metabolism.

P6355The behavior of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure hospitalization

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Fukunaga ◽  
K Hirose ◽  
A Isotani ◽  
T Morinaga ◽  
K Ando
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) is often compared with proverbial question of which came first, the chicken or the egg. Some patients showing AF at the HF admission result in restoration of sinus rhythm (SR) at discharge. It is not well elucidated that the restoration into SR during hospitalization can render the preventive effect for rehospitalization. Purpose To investigate the impact of restoration into SR during hospitalization for readmission rate of the HF patients showing AF. Methods We enrolled consecutive 640 HF patients hospitalized from January 2015 to December 2015. Patients data were retrospectively investigated from medical record. Patients showing atrial fibrillation on admission but unrecognized ever were defined as “incident AF”; patients with AF diagnosed before admission were defined as “prevalent AF”. Primary endpoint was a composite of death from cardiovascular disease or hospitalization for worsening heart failure. Secondary endpoints were death from cardiovascular disease, unplanned hospitalization related to heart failure, and any hospitalization. Results During mean follow up of 19 months, 139 patients (22%) were categorized as incident AF and 145 patients (23%) were categorized as prevalent AF. Among 239 patients showing AF on admission, 44 patients were discharged in SR (39 patients in incident AF and 5 patients in prevalent AF). Among incident AF patients, the primary composite end point occurred in significantly fewer in those who discharged in SR (19% vs. 42% at 1-year; 23% vs. 53% at 2-year follow-up, p=0.005). To compare the risk factors related to readmission due to HF with the cox proportional-hazards model, AF only during hospitalization [Hazard Ratio (HR)=0.37, p<0.01] and prevalent AF (HR=1.67, p=0.04) was significantly associated. There was no significant difference depending on LVEF. Conclusion Newly diagnosed AF with restoration to SR during hospitalization was a good marker to forecast future prognosis.

Hormone receptor expression and risk of recurrence in patients with high-risk endometrial carcinoma treated with chemotherapy.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15502-e15502
Author(s):  
Olivia Claire Barrett ◽  
Omer L. Burnett ◽  
Michael G. Conner ◽  
Yufeng Li ◽  
Jacob Michael Estes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Hormone Receptors ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Receptor Expression ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Hormone Receptor Expression

e15502 Background: Poor long-term survival in high-risk endometrial cancer patients attests to a need for new therapeutic strategies. The prevalence of estrogen (ER) and progesterone receptors (PR) among high-risk endometrial carcinomas has not been systematically studied and is a target to which individualized therapies may be tailored. Methods: 41 women with high grade, stage III/IV and/or aggressive histology endometrial cancer who received post-hysterectomy chemotherapy were identified. Patient, tumor and treatment characteristics were recorded. Immunohistochemical staining of ER and PR was scored on a 0-4 scale incorporating intensity and extent of expression. Receptor-positivity was defined as a score of >= 2. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysesand the Cox proportional hazards model were performed to examine hormone receptor expression and recurrence risk. Results: Median age at surgery was 59 years (range 34-79). Median follow up time was 39 months (range 1-82). Recurrence occurred in 21 women (51%) with median time to first recurrence of 19 months (range 1-71). 22 cancers (54%) were ER+ and 21 (51%) PR+. Median ER and PR expression was 2 and 2, respectively (range 0-4). While ER and PR were not independent factors for recurrence, on multivariate logistic regression analysis ER and PR as continuous values showed recurrence associated with greater ER expression (p = 0.0836) and lesser PR expression (p = 0.0986). Cox proportional hazards model supported the association between increasing ER and decreasing PR with shorter recurrence free survival (p=0.0034, p = 0.0021). An increase in ER score of 1 corresponded to a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.647 (95% CI 1.38-5.08); an increase in PR score of 1 corresponded to a HR of 0.362 (0.19-0.693). Conclusions: More than 50% of high-risk endometrial cancers in this small retrospective cohort receiving cytotoxic chemotherapy expressed positive hormone receptors. Multivariate analyses of hormone receptors suggest increased recurrence with discordant expression of ER and PR. Further investigation is warranted to verify whether differential hormone receptor expression predicts poorer response to cytotoxic systemic therapy.

scholarly journals Risk factors associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events following percutaneous coronary intervention: a 10-year follow-up comparing random survival forest and Cox proportional-hazards model

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Farhadian ◽  
Sahar Dehdar Karsidani ◽  
Azadeh Mozayanimonfared ◽  
Hossein Mahjub
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Cerebrovascular Events ◽  
Long Term Follow Up ◽  
Stent Length

Abstract Background Due to the limited number of studies with long term follow-up of patients undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI), we investigated the occurrence of Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) during 10 years of follow-up after coronary angioplasty using Random Survival Forest (RSF) and Cox proportional hazards models. Methods The current retrospective cohort study was performed on 220 patients (69 women and 151 men) undergoing coronary angioplasty from March 2009 to March 2012 in Farchshian Medical Center in Hamadan city, Iran. Survival time (month) as the response variable was considered from the date of angioplasty to the main endpoint or the end of the follow-up period (September 2019). To identify the factors influencing the occurrence of MACCE, the performance of Cox and RSF models were investigated in terms of C index, Integrated Brier Score (IBS) and prediction error criteria. Results Ninety-six patients (43.7%) experienced MACCE by the end of the follow-up period, and the median survival time was estimated to be 98 months. Survival decreased from 99% during the first year to 39% at 10 years' follow-up. By applying the Cox model, the predictors were identified as follows: age (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.05), diabetes (HR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.29–3.66), smoking (HR = 2.41, 95% CI 1.46–3.98), and stent length (HR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.11–2.75). The predictive performance was slightly better by the RSF model (IBS of 0.124 vs. 0.135, C index of 0.648 vs. 0.626 and out-of-bag error rate of 0.352 vs. 0.374 for RSF). In addition to age, diabetes, smoking, and stent length, RSF also included coronary artery disease (acute or chronic) and hyperlipidemia as the most important variables. Conclusion Machine-learning prediction models such as RSF showed better performance than the Cox proportional hazards model for the prediction of MACCE during long-term follow-up after PCI.

scholarly journals Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Differentiation Factor ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

Effect of chest-compression-only bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation on the likelihood of initial shockable rhythm after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a propensity matching analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Funada ◽  
Y Goto ◽  
T Maeda ◽  
H Okada ◽  
M Takamura
Keyword(s):  
Cardiac Arrest ◽  
Chest Compression ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Shockable Rhythm ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Bystander Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation ◽  
Bystander Cpr

Abstract Background/Introduction Shockable rhythm after cardiac arrest is highly expected after early initiation of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) owing to increased coronary perfusion. However, the relationship between bystander CPR and initial shockable rhythm in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains unclear. We hypothesized that chest-compression-only CPR (CC-CPR) before emergency medical service (EMS) arrival has an equivalent effect on the likelihood of initial shockable rhythm to the standard CPR (chest compression plus rescue breathing [S-CPR]). Purpose We aimed to examine the rate of initial shockable rhythm and 1-month outcomes in patients who received bystander CPR after OHCA. Methods The study included 59,688 patients (age, ≥18 years) who received bystander CPR after an OHCA with a presumed cardiac origin witnessed by a layperson in a prospectively recorded Japanese nationwide Utstein-style database from 2013 to 2017. Patients who received public-access defibrillation before arrival of the EMS personnel were excluded. The patients were divided into CC-CPR (n=51,520) and S-CPR (n=8168) groups according to the type of bystander CPR received. The primary end point was initial shockable rhythm recorded by the EMS personnel just after arrival at the site. The secondary end point was the 1-month outcomes (survival and neurologically intact survival) after OHCA. In the statistical analyses, a Cox proportional hazards model was applied to reflect the different bystander CPR durations before/after propensity score (PS) matching. Results The crude rate of the initial shockable rhythm in the CC-CPR group (21.3%, 10,946/51,520) was significantly higher than that in the S-CPR group (17.6%, 1441/8168, p&lt;0.0001) before PS matching. However, no significant difference in the rate of initial shockable rhythm was found between the 2 groups after PS matching (18.3% [1493/8168] vs 17.6% [1441/8168], p=0.30). In the Cox proportional hazards model, CC-CPR was more negatively associated with the initial shockable rhythm before PS matching (unadjusted hazards ratio [HR], 0.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.94–0.99; p=0.012; adjusted HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.89–0.94; p&lt;0.0001) than S-CPR. After PS matching, however, no significant difference was found between the 2 groups (adjusted HR of CC-CPR compared with S-CPR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.94–1.00; p=0.09). No significant differences were found between C-CPR and S-CPR in the 1-month outcomes after PS matching as follows, respectively: survival, 8.5% and 10.1%; adjusted odds ratio, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.79–1.00; p=0.07; cerebral performance category 1 or 2, 5.5% and 6.9%; adjusted odds, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.74–1.00; p=0.052. Conclusions Compared with S-CPR, the CC-CPR before EMS arrival had an equivalent multivariable-adjusted association with the likelihood of initial shockable rhythm in the patients with OHCA due to presumed cardiac causes that was witnessed by a layperson. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

scholarly journals Clinical impact of regression from sustained to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Fujino ◽  
H Ogawa ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
K Doi ◽  
Y Hamatani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiac Death ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Clinical Impact ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Adverse Cardiac Events

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown. Purpose We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes. Methods Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model. Results Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p&lt;0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p&lt;0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p&lt;0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01). Conclusion Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

CTIM-10. REPRODUCIBILITY OF CLINICAL TRIALS USING CMV-TARGETED DENDRITIC CELL VACCINES IN PATIENTS WITH GLIOBLASTOMA

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi51-vi51
Author(s):  
Kristen Batich ◽  
Duane Mitchell ◽  
Patrick Healy ◽  
James Herndon ◽  
Gloria Broadwater ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Recurrent Glioblastoma ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Total N ◽  
Dc Vaccine ◽  
Dc Vaccines

Abstract INTRODUCTION Vaccination with dendritic cells (DCs) fares poorly in primary and recurrent glioblastoma (GBM). Moreover, GBM vaccine trials are often underpowered due to limited sample size. METHODS To address these limitations, we conducted three sequential clinical trials utilizing Cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific DC vaccines in patients with primary GBM. Autologous DCs were generated and electroporated with mRNA encoding for the CMV protein pp65. Serial vaccination was given throughout adjuvant temozolomide cycles, and 111Indium radiolabeling was implemented to assess migration efficiency of DC vaccines. Patients were followed for median overall survival (mOS) and OS. RESULTS Our initial study was the phase II ATTAC study (NCT00639639; total n=12) with 6 patients randomized to vaccine site preconditioning with tetanus-diphtheria (Td) toxoid. This led to an expanded cohort trial (ATTAC-GM; NCT00639639) of 11 patients receiving CMV DC vaccines containing granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF). Follow-up data from ATTAC and ATTAC-GM revealed 5-year OS rates of 33.3% (mOS 38.3 months; CI95 17.5-undefined) and 36.4% (mOS 37.7 months; CI95 18.2-109.1), respectively. ATTAC additionally revealed a significant increase in DC migration to draining lymph nodes following Td preconditioning (P=0.049). Increased DC migration was associated with OS (Cox proportional hazards model, HR=0.820, P=0.023). Td-mediated increased migration has been recapitulated in our larger confirmatory trial ELEVATE (NCT02366728) of 43 patients randomized to preconditioning (Wilcoxon rank sum, Td n=24, unpulsed DC n=19; 24h, P=0.031 and 48h, P=0.0195). In ELEVATE, median follow-up of 42.2 months revealed significantly longer OS in patients randomized to Td (P=0.026). The 3-year OS for Td-treated patients in ELEVATE was 34% (CI95 19-63%) compared to 6% given unpulsed DCs (CI95 1-42%). CONCLUSION We report reproducibility of our findings across three sequential clinical trials using CMV pp65 DCs. Despite their small numbers, these successive trials demonstrate consistent survival outcomes, thus supporting the efficacy of CMV DC vaccine therapy in GBM.

scholarly journals Para-Aortic Nodal Radiation in the Definitive Management of Node-Positive Cervical Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason C. Sanders ◽  
Donald A. Muller ◽  
Sunil W. Dutta ◽  
Taylor J. Corriher ◽  
Kari L. Ring ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Node Positive ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
Severe Grade

ObjectivesTo investigate the safety and outcomes of elective para-aortic (PA) nodal irradiation utilizing modern treatment techniques for patients with node positive cervical cancer.MethodsPatients with pelvic lymph node positive cervical cancer who received radiation were included. All patients received radiation therapy (RT) to either a traditional pelvic field or an extended field to electively cover the PA nodes. Factors associated with survival were identified using a Cox proportional hazards model, and toxicities between groups were compared with a chi-square test.Results96 patients were identified with a mean follow up of 40 months. The incidence of acute grade ≥ 2 toxicity was 31% in the elective PA nodal RT group and 15% in the pelvic field group (Chi-square p = 0.067. There was no significant difference in rates of grade ≥ 3 acute or late toxicities between the two groups (p&gt;0.05). The KM estimated 5-year OS was not statistically different for those receiving elective PA nodal irradiation compared to a pelvic only field, 54% vs. 73% respectively (log-rank p = 0.11).ConclusionsElective PA nodal RT can safely be delivered utilizing modern planning techniques without a significant increase in severe (grade ≥ 3) acute or late toxicities, at the cost of a possible small increase in non-severe (grade 2) acute toxicities. In this series there was no survival benefit observed with the receipt of elective PA nodal RT, however, this benefit may have been obscured by the higher risk features of this population. While prospective randomized trials utilizing a risk adapted approach to elective PA nodal coverage are the only way to fully evaluate the benefit of elective PA nodal coverage, these trials are unlikely to be performed and instead we must rely on interpretation of results of risk adapted approaches like those used in ongoing clinical trials and retrospective data.

scholarly journals A novel nomogram to predict the overall survival in esthesinoeroblastoma

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijie Jiang ◽  
Tengjiao Lin ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wenxiang Gao ◽  
Jie Deng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Validation Cohort ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
P Value ◽  
Training Cohort

Abstract Background Increasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established. Methods This study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2016 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were identified. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p- value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram. Results The c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups. Conclusions The nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.

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