Efficacy of a population-based colorectal cancer screening program and analysis of outcomes in screen-detected and non-screen-detected tumors.
394 Background: Population based faecal occult blood test (FOBt) screening for colorectal cancer reduces cancer specific mortality through the detection of early stage disease. However, programmes are limited by uptake and the characteristics of the test itself. The aim of the present study was to compare features of screen detected (SD) and non-screen detected tumours (NSD) and assess the effect on cancer specific mortality. Methods: Prospectively maintained databases of both the prevalence round of a biennial population based FOBt screening programme and a regional cancer audit database were analysed. Mortality data was obtained from the national registry. Results: Of the 395,097 males and females aged 50 to 74yrs invited to screening, 203,886 (52%) responded, 6,085 (3%) tested positive and 4,632 (76%) attended for colonoscopy. A total of 951 patients were diagnosed with cancer within two years of screening invite: 378 (40%) SD and 573 (60%) NSD. Of the NSD patients, 376 (66%) were non-responders, 134 (23%) were FOBt negative and 63 (11%) did not attend or did not have cancer diagnosed at colonoscopy. Therefore, estimated FOBt sensitivity was 77%, and specificity was 99%. Comparing SD and NSD patients, SD patients were more likely to be male, less socioeconomically deprived, have a tumour with a lower Dukes stage, and more likely to have a left-sided tumour (all p<0.05). In addition, SD patients were more likely to undergo an operation with a curative intent, less likely to undergo an emergency procedure, and less likely to die within 30 days of their procedure (all p<0.001). With a median follow-up of 2 years, SD patients had improved cancer specific survival versus NSD patients (p<0.001). This remained significant on multivariate survival analysis (Cox proportional hazards) including age, sex, deprivation, emergency presentation, tumour site and stage, and curative surgery (p<0.001). Conclusions: Independent of established prognostic factors, SD patients have more favourable outcomes than those with NSD tumours. Therefore, further studies to improve the response rate to a screening invitation and the sensitivity of the current screening test are warranted.