EAU and NCCN surveillance guidelines for bladder cancer: Do they effectively capture recurrences following cystectomy?
310 Background: The European Association of Urology (EAU) and the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) provide general guidelines for bladder cancer (BC) surveillance following radical cystectomy (RC). However, it is unclear how well these guidelines capture recurrences after surgery. Herein, we assess the ability of current guidelines to effectively capture BC recurrence following RC and propose a risk stratified and recurrence site-specific surveillance strategy. Methods: We reviewed our institutional database of 1,800 patients who underwent primary RC between 1980-2007. Guideline effectiveness was assessed by calculating the percentage of recurrences detected within the prescribed follow-up periods: EAU—5yrs; NCCN—2yrs. Patients were then stratified according to stage: < = pT1Nx-0, > = pT2Nx-0, pN+, and recurrence site: urothelium, abdomen, chest, other. Recurrence free survival estimates for stage groups and recurrence site were assessed with Kaplan Meier models. Results: Of the 1,800 patients, 634 (35.2%) were classified as > pT2Nx-0 and 234 (13%) as pN+ and overall 228 (12.7%) received perioperative chemotherapy. Median postoperative follow-up was 10.6yrs (IQR 6.8-15.2), during which 716 (39.8%) patients developed recurrence. Of these recurrences, 492 (68.7%) would have been detected using the NCCN guidelines and 644 (89.8%) by EAU recommendations. However, ending oncologic surveillance at 5 years would only capture 81.7% of all recurrences for < = pT1Nx-0 patients and 83% of urothelial specific recurrences across all stage groups. Capture of 90% of recurrences, by stage group, in the urothelium, abdomen and chest would require surveillance for 8yrs, 8yrs and 4yrs, respectively in < = pT1Nx-0, 6yrs, 4yrs and 3yrs in > = pT2Nx-0 and 3yrs, 3yrs and 2yrs for pN+ patients. Conclusions: Duration of surveillance recommended for BC following RC by the EAU and NCCN do not comprehensively capture recurrences seen, specifically, in low risk patients and in cases of urothelial recurrence. Guidelines using risk stratification and site-specific recurrence patterns to assign length of surveillance may allow providers to better individualize surveillance regimens.