Metabolic syndrome in castration-resistant prostate cancer patients treated with abiraterone.

213 Background: The presence and the impact of metabolic syndrome (MS) in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) men treated with novel hormonal therapies, as abiraterone, has not still been studied. The study aims to assess the impact of MS on progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) from time starting abiraterone. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated a consecutive series of metastatic CRPC patients treated with abiraterone after docetaxel failure. MS, as defined by modified Adult Treatment Panel (ATP) III criteria, was assessed at the time of initiation of abiraterone, during treatment and follow-up. Cox regression model was used to evaluate the role of MS on the two end-points. Results: One hundred seventy eight patients had sufficient data to assess the presence of MS. Mean age (± SD) at start of abiraterone was 74.0 ± 7.7 years. Seventy out of 178 patients (39.5%) met MS criteria at baseline, before abiraterone initiation, whereas for eleven patients this occurred during treatment. Median PFS was equal to 5 months for patients with MS versus 9 months for those without MS. Patients with MS had a 2-fold increased risk of progression or death for all causes than patients without MS (HR=1.9, 95% CI [1.3-2.7], P<0.001). Median OS was 16 months and 22 months in patients with and without MS, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, MS resulted not significantly associated to OS (HR=1.2, 95% CI [0.8-1.9], P=0.340). Conclusions: MS may represent a complication of patients treated with abiraterone. The presence of MS appears to be a risk factor for shorter PFS in patients with CRPC treated with abiraterone, even if it does not show any impact on OS, so it needs a further prospective evaluation.

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YB-1 variant and androgen receptor axis-targeted agents in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients

Pharmacogenomics ◽

10.2217/pgs-2020-0008 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 21 (13) ◽

pp. 919-928

Author(s):

Ana Afonso ◽

Jani Silva ◽

Ana Rita Lopes ◽

Sara Coelho ◽

Ana Sofia Patrão ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Androgen Receptor ◽

Cancer Patients ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Allelic Discrimination ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Increased Risk

Aim: To evaluate the influence of YB-1 rs10493112 variant as a genetic marker for response to second-generation androgen receptor axis-target agents. Methods: A hospital-based cohort study of 78 patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer was conducted. Genotyping was performed by TaqMan® allelic discrimination technology. Main results: In abiraterone-treated and high-risk patients, YB-1 rs10493112 AA genotype carriers showed lower progression-free survival than C allele genotype patients (4 vs 17 months; p = 0.009). For carriers of AA genotype, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed a fivefold increased risk of progression (p = 0.035). Conclusion: The study findings suggest that, for metastatic and castration-resistant prostate cancer patients, this polymorphism might be a putative marker for the clinical outcome.

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Bone metabolism biomarkers (BMB) and progression-free survival (PFS) in men with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC): SWOG S1216, a phase III trial of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) with or without orteronel.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2020.38.15_suppl.5523 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽

pp. 5523-5523

Author(s):

Primo Lara ◽

Edward Mayerson ◽

Erik Gertz ◽

Catherine Tangen ◽

Amir Goldkorn ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Bone Alkaline Phosphatase ◽

Phase Iii ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Disease Extent ◽

Phase Iii Trial ◽

Correlative Analysis ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Increased Risk

5523 Background: We previously reported that baseline BMB are independently prognostic for overall survival (OS) in men with castration resistant prostate cancer. We correlated BMB with outcomes in mHSPC as part of S1216, a phase III trial of ADT +/- the novel CYP17 inhibitor orteronel. Methods: Blood was obtained at study entry for bone resorption [C-telopeptide(CTx) & Pyridinoline(PYD)] & formation markers [C-terminal collagen propeptide(CICP) & bone alkaline phosphatase(BAP)]. With prior DSMC approval, patients were sampled to mask potential treatment effect. Logistic regression was used to assess if BMB elevation above median was prognostic for a PFS event w/in 2 years across pooled study treatment arms, adjusting for baseline variables (including disease extent, PSA, age, pre-randomization ADT, & presence of bone mets). An additional interaction term between BMB elevation & presence of bone mets was included; if significant, separate models were developed for men +/- bone mets. Results: Of 1,313 men, 656 were included in this analysis. All 4 BMB levels were higher in men with a PFS event w/in 2 years vs. those with no PFS event. The odds ratio (OR) for a PFS event was significantly higher in men w/ elevated baseline BMB (see table). For BAP, a significant interaction between marker elevation and bone mets was seen (p = 0.003); men w/ bone mets and BAP elevation had an OR of 1.83 for a PFS event in 2 years. Conclusions: In men with newly diagnosed HSPC, elevated baseline levels of BMB were significantly associated with PFS, with about a two-fold increased risk of a progression event w/in 2 years. For CICP, CTx, & PYD, this association was independent of the presence of bone metastases. Baseline BMB levels have strong prognostic value in the mHSPC context. Correlative analysis of BMB & OS is planned. Clinical trial information: NCT01809691 . [Table: see text]

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Integration of circulating tumor cell and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio to identify high-risk metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients

BMC Cancer ◽

10.1186/s12885-021-08405-3 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Weelic Chong ◽

Zhenchao Zhang ◽

Rui Luo ◽

Jian Gu ◽

Jianqing Lin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Cellsearch System ◽

Cox Models ◽

Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio ◽

Lymphocyte Ratio ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Increased Risk

Abstract Background The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) have been associated with survival in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). However, no study has examined the prognostic value of NLR and PLR in the context of CTCs. Methods Baseline CTCs from mCRPC patients were enumerated using the CellSearch System. Baseline NLR and PLR values were calculated using the data from routine complete blood counts. The associations of CTC, NLR, and PLR values, individually and jointly, with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis, as well as univariate and multivariate Cox models. Results CTCs were detected in 37 (58.7%) of 63 mCRPC patients, and among them, 16 (25.4%) had ≥5 CTCs. The presence of CTCs was significantly associated with a 4.02-fold increased risk for progression and a 3.72-fold increased risk of death during a median follow-up of 17.6 months. OS was shorter among patients with high levels of NLR or PLR than those with low levels (log-rank P = 0.023 and 0.077). Neither NLR nor PLR was individually associated with PFS. Among the 37 patients with detectable CTCs, those with a high NLR had significantly shorter OS (log-rank P = 0.024); however, among the 26 patients without CTCs, the OS difference between high- and low-NLR groups was not statistically significant. Compared to the patients with CTCs and low NLR, those with CTCs and high levels of NLR had a 3.79-fold risk of death (P = 0.036). This association remained significant after adjusting for covariates (P = 0.031). Combination analyses of CTC and PLR did not yield significant results. Conclusion Among patients with detectable CTCs, the use of NLR could further classify patients into different risk groups, suggesting a complementary role for NLR in CTC-based prognostic stratification in mCRPC.

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Differential effect of body mass index (BMI) on outcomes of patients treated with docetaxel in prostate cancer: An exploratory analysis.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2021.39.6_suppl.129 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 39 (6_suppl) ◽

pp. 129-129

Author(s):

Saurav Verma ◽

Ranjit Kumar Sahoo ◽

Prabhjot Singh ◽

Brusabhanu Nayak ◽

KP Haresh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Differential Effect ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Exploratory Analysis ◽

Phase Iii ◽

Obese Patients ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Breast Cancer Patients ◽

The Impact

129 Background: Docetaxel is a lipophilic drugs with a high affinity for adipose tissue resulting in a higher volume of distribution.There are contradictory data with regards to the differential effect of docetaxel based on BMI in breast cancer patients. However, there are no such data in patients with prostate cancer. A We performed an exploratory analysis to determine if the benefit of docetaxel in patients with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) is modified by BMI. Methods: This is a post hoc analysis of data retrieved from the phase III ENTHUSE M1C study that assessed the efficacy and safety of additional zibotentan in combination with docetaxel in patients with mCRPC (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00617669). BMI (kg/m2) was categorized as: 18.5 to < 25, lean; 25 to < 30, overweight; and ≥ 30, obese. Cox regression models were constructed to determine the impact of BMI on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) after adjusting for baseline characteristics. Results: A total of 466 patients were eligible for current analysis, of whom 34%, 46% and 20% were < 65 years, 65-74 years and > 75 years, respectively. The median total and free baseline PSA were 99.5 (interquartile range [IQR], 33.6 to 237.0) ng/mL and 13.9 (IQR, 5.4 to 37.4) ng/mL, respectively. There were 31% (n = 145), 46% (n = 213) and 23% (n = 108) lean, overweight and obese patients. Visceral metastasis was present in 52% patients, while the number of bone metastases were 1-3 in 15%, 4 in 5%, 5-20 in 58% and ≥ 21 in 23%. The median number of cycles of docetaxel administered were 10 (IQR, 6-10). The median PFS was 7.3, 7.7 and 8.4 months (hazard ratio [HR], 0.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81 to 1.06; P = .26) for lean, overweight and obese patients, respectively. The median OS was 10.3, 10.7 and 12.4 months (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.63 to 0.89; P = .01) for lean, overweight and obese patients, respectively. After adjusting for baseline and tumor related characteristics, there was no association of BMI with PFS (overweight, HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.73 to 1.17; P = .50; obese, HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.18; P = .42) while overweight (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.91; P = .01) and obese (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.88; P = .01) patients had significantly better OS as compared with lean patients. Conclusions: The differential effect of docetaxel based on BMI was not observed in patients with mCRPC. Interestingly, obese patients had a significantly longer OS, which warrants further investigation.

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Prediction of favorable outcome in a docetaxel rechallenge setting in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2012.30.5_suppl.68 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 30 (5_suppl) ◽

pp. 68-68

Author(s):

Matthias Michael Heck ◽

Mark K. Thalgott ◽

Margitta Retz ◽

Petra Wolf ◽

Tobias Maurer ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Oncological Outcome ◽

Rank Test ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

First Line ◽

Treatment Variable ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Line Chemotherapy

68 Background: To identify predictors of favourable oncological outcome in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients who are treated with docetaxel rechallenge following first-line chemotherapy with docetaxel. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated the oncological outcome of mCRPC patients who were treated with 3-weekly docetaxel (75mg/m2) at first-line chemotherapy and rechallenge plus prednisone/ prednisolone. The endpoints of oncological outcome were PSA-progression-free survival (PSA-PFS) and overall survival (OS) after initiation of docetaxel rechallenge. The effect of clinical variables on PSA-PFS and OS was statistically analysed by a log-rank test or Cox regression with hazard ratios. All analyses were performed using a 0.05 level of significance. Results: 47 patients were included on analysis. At a median follow-up of 25.8 months (range 9.8-89.8 months) after the first administration of docetaxel, 27 (57.4%) patients had died. Median PSA-PFS was 5.9 months (95% CI 3.5-6.8 months) and median OS was 21.4 months (95% CI 18.9-23.9 months) after initiation of docetaxel rechallenge. PSA-reduction ≥ 30% was the only pre-treatment variable that correlated significantly with prolonged PSA-PFS (p=0.03) and OS (p=0.002). Patients with PSA-reduction ≥ 30% at first-line chemotherapy showed a median OS of 21.8 months since initiation of docetaxel rechallenge in comparison to 4.5 months in patients with < 30% PSA-reduction. Conclusions: Docetaxel rechallenge represents an active treatment option in selected docetaxel-pretreated patients with mCRPC. In this retrospective study, PSA-reduction ≥ 30% at first-line chemotherapy with docetaxel predicted superior PSA-PFS and OS in the rechallenge setting and might, therefore, present a rational indication for docetaxel rechallenge.

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Association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in CYP17A1 and SLCO2B1 genes and clinical outcome in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients treated with abiraterone acetate: results of the ABIGENE prospective study.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2018.36.6_suppl.358 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 36 (6_suppl) ◽

pp. 358-358

Author(s):

Delphine Borchiellini ◽

Hakim Mahammedi ◽

Julien Viotti ◽

Gwenaelle Gravis ◽

Guilhem Roubaud ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Clinical Outcome ◽

Response Rate ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Abiraterone Acetate ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Pharmacogenetic Study ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Psa Response ◽

The Impact

358 Background: Abiraterone acetate (AA), a CYP17A1 inhibitor, has been approved in the treatment of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Germline polymorphisms in genes involved in androgen biosynthesis or transport may influence response and survival in this setting. Methods: ABIGENE is a multicentric prospective non-randomized pharmacogenetic study (NCT01858441). The primary objective was to investigate the association between 13 SNPs in genes related to AA pharmacology (CYP17A1, SLCO2B1 and SLCO2B3) and radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS), according to PCWG2 criteria, in pts with mCRPC treated with first-line AA + prednisone. The main secondary objectives were to evaluate the impact of these SNPs on radiographic and PSA response, overall survival (OS) and toxicity. SNPs were detected in blood samples before starting AA and analyzed by pyrosequencing or PCR-RFLP methods. Kaplan-Meyer’s curves with log-rank tests and cox regression models were used to identify relationships between SNPs and survival. Chi2 tests and student t-tests were used to identify association with response rate and toxicity. Results: 147 pts in 17 french centers were included between 2013 and 2017. Here are presented the results for the first 109 pts. The median follow-up was 28.7 months. Overall response rate (ORR) was 17%, and 74% pts had stable disease as the best response. Median rPFS was 10.9 months (95% CI 9.2-15.3). One SNP (rs10883782) in CYP17A1 was associated with rPFS on AA therapy (Table). Two other SNPs in CYP17A1 (rs4919683) and SLCO2B1 (rs1077858) were significantly associated with radiographic response. Data on PSA response, OS and toxicity will be presented at the meeting. Conclusions: This is the first prospective dedicated study to show an association between SNPs related to androgen metabolism and clinical outcome in mCRPC treated with AA. Clinical trial information: NCT01858441. [Table: see text]

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The effect of medical and urologic disorders on the survival of patients with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer treated with abiraterone or enzalutamide

Therapeutic Advances in Urology ◽

10.1177/17562872211043341 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 ◽

pp. 175628722110433

Author(s):

Juan José Serrano Domingo ◽

Teresa Alonso Gordoa ◽

Javier Lorca Álvaro ◽

Javier Molina-Cerrillo ◽

Arantzazu Barquín García ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Neurological Disorders ◽

De Novo ◽

Previous History ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Consecutive Series ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Urological Complications ◽

History Of

Introduction: Androgenic deprivation therapies have been linked to the development of metabolic syndrome (MS) and cardiovascular diseases, which may lead to a poorer survival in patients with metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer (mCRPC). We aimed to analyze whether some cardiovascular or neurological disorders, together with other medical and urological complications, may have an effect on survival outcomes, at baseline and during treatment from patients treated with androgen pathway inhibitors (API). Material and Methods: A retrospective study of a consecutive series of patients diagnosed with mCRPC between 2010 and 2018 treated with API in the first line setting in a single center. Results: Seventy-three patients met the inclusion criteria. Baseline prognostic factors associated with worse survival were diabetes mellitus (DM) with insulin needs compared to patients without DM [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.19, p = 0.025], hypertension (HTN) (HR = 0.46, p = 0.035), and a history of stroke (HR = 0.16, p < 0.001). However, previous history of hypercholesterolemia, arrythmias, and cognitive disorders did not result in a significant worsening on survival. During treatment, patients who developed de novo HTN had the best progression free survival (PFS) (HR = 0.38, p = 0.048) and overall survival (OS) (HR 0.08, p = 0.012) compared with patients with previous HTN. Other factors related to worse outcomes included the presence of heart failure (HR = 0.31, p = 0.001), the requirement for major opioids for pain relief (HR = 0.33, p = 0.023), and the presence of bilateral ureterohydronephrosis (HR = 0.12, p = 0.008). Conclusions: Some comorbidities may be strongly involved in patient outcomes when receiving API for mCRPC. In this sense, collaborative networking between specialists and caregivers treating prostate cancer (PC) patients should be recommended, focusing on MS features, cardiovascular and neurological disorders in order to anticipate medical and surgical complications.

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Will second-line nonsteroidal antiandrogen drugs (NSAA) after the failure of bicalutamide affect the therapeutic efficacy of the sequential abiraterone treatment?

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2018.36.6_suppl.337 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 36 (6_suppl) ◽

pp. 337-337

Author(s):

Jinge Zhao ◽

Guangxi Sun ◽

Xingming Zhang ◽

Pengfei Shen ◽

Junru Chen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Therapeutic Efficacy ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Observation Point ◽

Rank Test ◽

Second Line ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Free Survival ◽

The Impact

337 Background: Even in the era of novel targeted agents, second-line antiandrogens still have its effect on treating metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), especially for patients from undeveloped areas. Yet, it’s still uncertain if the prior use of second-line Non-steroidal antiandrogen Drugs (NSAA) would impact the efficacy of the sequential abiraterone (Abi) therapy. Methods: Eighty-seven patients from 2015 to 2017 were studied. All men were diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer, and administrated with maximal androgen blockade (surgical or medical castration plus bicalutamide). After the median 32.0-Mo follow up, mCRPC was confirmed in the whole cohort. Abi was then administrated in these patients. Among them, 21 men previously received flutamide (FLU) as second-line NSAA hoping to postpone the initiation of the more expensive treatment. Therapeutic efficacy of Abi was analyzed and compared between those with and without prior second-line NSAA by Kaplan-Meier curves, Log-rank test and Cox regression models. Results: For patients with mCRPC, the prior exposure to FLU had no effect on the sequential treatment of Abi, in terms of either PSA progression-free survival (PSA-PFS, p = 0.967), radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS, P = 0.272), overall survival (OS, p = 0.606), or PSA response ( p = 0.370). However, when bringing ahead the observation point to the time of CRPC, those with second-line FLU showed better survival than those without, in either PSA-PFS (15.1 vs. 12.2-Mo, p = 0.120), rPFS (23.3 vs. 18.2-Mo, p = 0.029) or OS (not reach vs. 30.7-Mo, p = 0.306), though the difference of PSA-PFS and OS were not statistically significant. Conclusions: We firstly address the impact of the secondary NSAA on the efficacy of the sequential Abi treatment in mCRPC patients. Our study supported that, whether the patients received second-line NSAA prior to Abi should not be considered as an impact factor interfering physicians’ decision making of Abi treatment. Also, the switching treatment before Abi seemed to have a potential to extend the survival time of mCRPC patients by prolonging their PFS.

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The value of AKR1C3 in predicting the therapeutic efficacy of abiraterone for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2019.37.7_suppl.313 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 37 (7_suppl) ◽

pp. 313-313

Author(s):

Jinge Zhao

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Prognostic Significance ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Free Survival ◽

Androgen Synthesis ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Psa Progression ◽

The Difference

313 Background: AKR1C3 is a multifunctional enzyme playing a significant role in androgen synthesis and metabolism. Previous studies have proved that the activation of AKR1C3 was associated with resistance to abiraterone through increasing the intracrine androgen synthesis. However, clinical validation is still lacking as to the prognostic value of AKR1C3 in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients treated with abiraterone. Methods: Data of 117 patients with mCRPC between 2016-2018 in our center were retrospectively analyzed. AKR1C3 was detected by the immunohistochemical staining from the 12-core prostate biopsy. Kaplan-Meier curves and COX regression were used to analyze the association between AKR1C3 and the treatment outcomes of abiraterone. The endpoints of this study were PSA progression-free survival (PSA-PFS) and radiograph progression-free survival (rPFS). Results: In total, AKR1V3 was detected in 40/117 (34.2%) cases. The positive AKR1C3 was significantly associated with shorter PSA-PFS for mCRPC patients treated with abiraterone (median PSA-PFS: 6.2 Mo vs. 11.1 Mo, p < 0.001). Those with positive AKR1C3 were also accompanied with obviously poorer rPFS compared to those with negative AKR1C3 staining, despite that the difference was not statistically significant (median rPFS: 11.1 Mo vs. 21.8 Mo, p = 0.250). Multivariate COX regression indicated that, AKR1C3 was an independent prognosticator of rapid PSA progression for the abiraterone treatment (HR,95%CI: 2.612, 1.54-4.44, p < 0.001). Conclusions: This is the first study verifying the adverse prognostic significance of AKR1C3 for mCRPC patients receiving abiraterone treatment. Our results suggested that, AKR1C3 was closely related to early treatment failure of abiraterone, and thus, was worthwhile to be routinely described in pathological report.

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Impact of upstream use of novel hormonal therapy on progression of patients (pts) to metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) in the United States (US).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2020.38.6_suppl.92 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽

pp. 92-92

Author(s):

Howard I. Scher ◽

Fred Saad ◽

Maneesha Mehra ◽

Sandhya Nair ◽

Lindsay Dearden ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

High Risk ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Drug Regimen ◽

The United States ◽

Low Risk ◽

Disease Stage ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Hormonal Therapies ◽

The Impact

92 Background: Novel hormonal therapies (nHTs) provide significant delay in disease progression in metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) and non-metastatic (nm)CRPC. The impact of earlier use of these agents on the epidemiological burden of PC in the US was assessed. Methods: A disease stage transition model capturing pt flow through eight clinical states and tracking pt treatment history was used, with each nHT being used once. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) data for each drug/regimen were derived from published sources where available. We analyzed scenarios 1) no nHTs and 2) with nHTs: (abiraterone acetate + prednisone [AAP], apalutamide [APA] and enzalutamide [ENZA] in high-risk mCSPC, and APA and ENZA in low-risk mCSPC and in high-risk nmCRPC). Resultant state progression parameters were compared, evaluating the impact of nHTs. The assumed nHT utilization was 17.2% in high-risk mCSPC, 7.1% in low-risk mCSPC, and 60.0% in high-risk nmCRPC. Results: For 2018, the model resulted in PC incidence of 240,150 and prevalence of 2,445,173; 49,450 pts progressed to mCRPC, 42% from PSA biochemical recurrence, 31% from mCSPC, and 27% from nmCRPC states. Longer PFS and OS afforded by novel treatments extended the mean time spent from 4.4 to 4.7 yrs in mCSPC and from 2.4 to 3.0 yrs in nmCRPC. This further resulted in reduction in inflow to mCRPC over 2019 – 2025 (table). Conclusions: Novel hormonal therapies are currently used earlier in PC, a trend anticipated to intensify. The disease model shows this change in the treatment paradigm to result in delaying progression to mCRPC and increasing OS in PC.[Table: see text]

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