Development and validation of a novel ten-gene prognostic signature for hepatocellular carcinoma.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16665-e16665
Author(s):  
Taicheng Zhou ◽  
Zhihua Cai ◽  
Ning Ma ◽  
Wenzhuan Xie ◽  
Chan Gao ◽  
...  

e16665 Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a major challenge for public health worldwide and long-term outcomes remained dismal despite availability of curative treatment. We aimed to construct a multi-gene model for prognosis prediction to inform clinical management of HCC. Methods: RNA-seq data of paired tumor and normal tissue samples of HCC patients from the TCGA and GEO database were used to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). DEGs shared by both cohorts along with patients’ survival data of the TCGA cohort were further analyzed using univariate Cox regression and LASSO Cox regression to build a prognostic 10-gene signature, followed by validation of the signature via ICGC cohort and identification of independent prognostic predictors. A nomogram for prognosis prediction was built and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was performed to further understand the underlying molecular mechanisms. Results: Of 571 patients (70.93% men and 29.07% women; median age [IQR], 65 [56-72] years), a signature of 10 genes was constructed using the training cohort. In the testing and validation cohorts, the signature significantly stratified patients into low- vs high-risk groups in terms of overall survival across and within subpopulations with stage I/II and III/IV disease and remained as an independent prognostic factor in multivariate analyses (hazard ratio range, 0.13 [95% CI, 0.07-0.24; P < 0 .001] to 0.38 [95% CI, 0.2-0.71; P < 0.001]) after adjusting for clinicopathological factors. Prognosis was significantly worse in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group across cohorts (P < 0.001 for all). The 10-gene signature achieved a higher accuracy (C-index, 0.84; AUCs for 1-, 3- and 5-year OS, 0.84, 0.81 and 0.85, respectively) than 8 previously reported multigene signatures (C-index range, 0.67 to 0.73; AUCs range, 0.68 to 0.79, 0.68 to 0.80 and 0.67 to 0.78, respectively) for estimation of survival in comparable cohorts. A nomogram incorporating tumor stage and signature-based risk group showed better predictive performance for 1- and 3- year survival than for 5 year survival. Moreover, GSEA revealed that the pathways related to cell cycle regulation were more prominently enriched in the high-risk group while the low-risk group had higher enrichment of metabolic process. Conclusions: Taken together, we established a robust 10-gene signature and a nomogram to predict overall survival of HCC patients, which may help recognize high-risk patients potentially benefiting from more aggressive treatment.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susu Zheng ◽  
Xiaoying Xie ◽  
Xinkun Guo ◽  
Yanfang Wu ◽  
Guobin Chen ◽  
...  

Pyroptosis is a novel kind of cellular necrosis and shown to be involved in cancer progression. However, the diverse expression, prognosis and associations with immune status of pyroptosis-related genes in Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have yet to be analyzed. Herein, the expression profiles and corresponding clinical characteristics of HCC samples were collected from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. Then a pyroptosis-related gene signature was built by applying the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model from the TCGA cohort, while the GEO datasets were applied for verification. Twenty-four pyroptosis-related genes were found to be differentially expressed between HCC and normal samples. A five pyroptosis-related gene signature (GSDME, CASP8, SCAF11, NOD2, CASP6) was constructed according to LASSO Cox regression model. Patients in the low-risk group had better survival rates than those in the high-risk group. The risk score was proved to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS). The risk score correlated with immune infiltrations and immunotherapy responses. GSEA indicated that endocytosis, ubiquitin mediated proteolysis and regulation of autophagy were enriched in the high-risk group, while drug metabolism cytochrome P450 and tryptophan metabolism were enriched in the low-risk group. In conclusion, our pyroptosis-related gene signature can be used for survival prediction and may also predict the response of immunotherapy.


Author(s):  
Dongyan Zhao ◽  
Xizhen Sun ◽  
Sidan Long ◽  
Shukun Yao

AbstractAimLong non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been identified to regulate cancers by controlling the process of autophagy and by mediating the post-transcriptional and transcriptional regulation of autophagy-related genes. This study aimed to investigate the potential prognostic role of autophagy-associated lncRNAs in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.MethodsLncRNA expression profiles and the corresponding clinical information of CRC patients were collected from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Based on the TCGA dataset, autophagy-related lncRNAs were identified by Pearson correlation test. Univariate Cox regression analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis (LASSO) Cox regression model were performed to construct the prognostic gene signature. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to further clarify the underlying molecular mechanisms.ResultsWe obtained 210 autophagy-related genes from the whole dataset and found 1187 lncRNAs that were correlated with the autophagy-related genes. Using Univariate and LASSO Cox regression analyses, eight lncRNAs were screened to establish an eight-lncRNA signature, based on which patients were divided into the low-risk and high-risk group. Patients’ overall survival was found to be significantly worse in the high-risk group compared to that in the low-risk group (log-rank p = 2.731E-06). ROC analysis showed that this signature had better prognostic accuracy than TNM stage, as indicated by the area under the curve. Furthermore, GSEA demonstrated that this signature was involved in many cancer-related pathways, including TGF-β, p53, mTOR and WNT signaling pathway.ConclusionsOur study constructed a novel signature from eight autophagy-related lncRNAs to predict the overall survival of CRC, which could assistant clinicians in making individualized treatment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiongxuan Fang ◽  
Hongsong Chen

BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the seventh most common malignancy and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths. Autophagy plays a crucial role in the development and progression of HCC.MethodsUnivariate and Lasso Cox regression analyses were performed to determine a gene model that was optimal for overall survival (OS) prediction. Patients in the GSE14520 and GSE54236 datasets of the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were divided into the high-risk and low-risk groups according to established ATG models. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify risk factors for OS for the purpose of constructing nomograms. Calibration and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate model performance. Real-time PCR was used to validate the effects of the presence or absence of an autophagy inhibitor on gene expression in HepG2 and Huh7 cell lines.ResultsOS in the high-risk group was significantly shorter than that in the low-risk group. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) indicated that the association between the low-risk group and autophagy- as well as immune-related pathways was significant. ULK2, PPP3CC, and NAFTC1 may play vital roles in preventing HCC progression. Furthermore, tumor environment analysis via ESTIMATION indicated that the low-risk group was associated with high immune and stromal scores. Based on EPIC prediction, CD8+ T and B cell fractions in the TCGA and GSE54236 datasets were significantly higher in the low-risk group than those in the high-risk group. Finally, based on the results of univariate and multivariate analyses three variables were selected for nomogram development. The calibration plots showed good agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observations. Inhibition of autophagy resulted in the overexpression of genes constituting the gene model in HepG2 and Huh7 cells.ConclusionsThe current study determined the role played by autophagy-related genes (ATGs) in the progression of HCC and constructed a novel nomogram that predicts OS in HCC patients, through a combined analysis of TCGA and gene expression omnibus (GEO) databases.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junli Wang ◽  
Qi Zhang ◽  
Fukang Shi ◽  
Dipesh Kumar Yadav ◽  
Zhengtao Hong ◽  
...  

Purpose: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent malignant diseases worldwide and has a poor prognosis. Gene-based prognostic models have been reported to predict the overall survival of patients with HCC. Unfortunately, most of the genes used in earlier prognostic models lack prospective validation and, thus, cannot be used in clinical practice.Methods: Candidate genes were selected from GEPIA (Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis), and their associations with patients’ survival were confirmed by RT-PCR using cDNA tissue microarrays established from patients with HCC after radical resection. A multivariate Cox proportion model was used to calculate the coefficient of corresponding gene. The expression of seven genes of interest (MKI67, AR, PLG, DNASE1L3, PTTG1, PPP1R1A, and TTR) with two reference genes was defined to calculate a risk score which determined groups of different risks.Results: Our risk scoring efficiently classified patients (n = 129) with HCC into a low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group. The three groups showed meaningful distinction of 3-year overall survival rate, i.e., 88.9, 74.5, and 20.6% for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group, respectively. The prognostic prediction model of risk scores was subsequently verified using an independent prospective cohort (n = 77) and showed high accuracy.Conclusion: Our seven-gene signature model performed excellent long-term prediction power and provided crucially guiding therapy for patients who are not a candidate for surgery.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Liu ◽  
She Tian ◽  
Zhu Li ◽  
Yongjun Gong ◽  
Hao Zhang

Abstract Background : Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common clinical malignant tumors, resulting in high mortality and poor prognosis. Studies have found that LncRNA plays an important role in the onset, metastasis and recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. The immune system plays a vital role in the development, progression, metastasis and recurrence of cancer. Therefore, immune-related lncRNA can be used as a novel biomarker to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods : The transcriptome data and clinical data of HCC patients were obtained by using The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA‑LIHC), and immune-related genes were extracted from the Molecular Signatures Database (IMMUNE RESPONSE M19817 and IMMUNE SYSTEM PROCESS M13664). By constructing the co-expression network and Cox regression analysis, 13 immune-lncRNAs was identified to predict the prognosis of HCC patients. Patients were divided into high risk group and low risk group by using the risk score formula, and the difference in overall survival (OS) between the two groups was reflected by Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The time - dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to evaluate 13 immune -lncRNAs signature. Results : Through TCGA - LIHC extracted from 343 cases of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma RNA - Seq data and clinical data, 331 immune-related genes were extracted from the Molecular Signatures Database , co-expression networks and Cox regression analysis were constructed, 13 immune-lncRNAs signature was identified as biomarkers to predict the prognosis of patients. At the same time using the risk score median divided the patients into high risk and low risk groups, and through the Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis found that high-risk group of patients' overall survival (OS) less low risk group of patients. The AUC value of the ROC curve is 0.828, and principal component analysis (PCA) results showed that patients could be clearly divided into two parts by immune-lncRNAs, which provided evidence for the use of 13 immune-lncRNAs signature as prognostic markers. Conclusion : Our study identified 13 immune-lncRNAs signature that can effectively predict the prognosis of HCC patients, which may be a new prognostic indicator for predicting clinical outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Deng ◽  
Qinghua Bi ◽  
Shihan Chen ◽  
Xianhua Chen ◽  
Shuhui Li ◽  
...  

Although great progresses have been made in the diagnosis and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), its prognostic marker remains controversial. In this current study, weighted correlation network analysis and Cox regression analysis showed significant prognostic value of five autophagy-related long non-coding RNAs (AR-lncRNAs) (including TMCC1-AS1, PLBD1-AS1, MKLN1-AS, LINC01063, and CYTOR) for HCC patients from data in The Cancer Genome Atlas. By using them, we constructed a five-AR-lncRNA prognostic signature, which accurately distinguished the high- and low-risk groups of HCC patients. All of the five AR lncRNAs were highly expressed in the high-risk group of HCC patients. This five-AR-lncRNA prognostic signature showed good area under the curve (AUC) value (AUC = 0.751) for the overall survival (OS) prediction in either all HCC patients or HCC patients stratified according to several clinical traits. A prognostic nomogram with this five-AR-lncRNA signature predicted the 3- and 5-year OS outcomes of HCC patients intuitively and accurately (concordance index = 0.745). By parallel comparison, this five-AR-lncRNA signature has better prognosis accuracy than the other three recently published signatures. Furthermore, we discovered the prediction ability of the signature on therapeutic outcomes of HCC patients, including chemotherapy and immunotherapeutic responses. Gene set enrichment analysis and gene mutation analysis revealed that dysregulated cell cycle pathway, purine metabolism, and TP53 mutation may play an important role in determining the OS outcomes of HCC patients in the high-risk group. Collectively, our study suggests a new five-AR-lncRNA prognostic signature for HCC patients.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shenglan Huang ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Dan Li ◽  
Xiaolan Lai ◽  
Lingling Zhuang ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors with poor prognosis. Tumor microenvironment (TME) plays a vital role in the tumor progression of HCC. Thus, we aimed to analyze the association of TME with HCC prognosis, and construct an TME-related lncRNAs signature for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients.Methods: We firstly assessed the stromal/immune /Estimate scores within the HCC microenvironment using the ESTIMATE algorithm based on TCGA database, and its associations with survival and clinicopathological parameters were also analyzed. Then, different expression lncRNAs were filtered out according to immune/stromal scores. Cox regression was performed to built an TME-related lncRNAs risk signature. Kaplan–Meier analysis was carried out to explored the prognostic values of the risk signature. Furthermore, we explored the biological functions and immune microenvironment feathers in high- and low risk groups. Lastly, we probed the association of the risk signature with the treatment responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in HCC by comparing the immunophenoscore (IPS).Results: Stromal/immune /Estimate scores of HCC patients were obtained based on the ESTIMATE algorithm. The Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed the high stromal/immune/ Estimate scores were significantly associated with better prognosis of the HCC patients. Then, six TME-related lncRNAs were screened for constructing the prognosis model. Kaplan-Meier survival curves suggested that HCC patients in high-risk group had worse prognosis than those with low-risk. ROC curve and Cox regression analyses demonstrated the signature could predict HCC survival exactly and independently. Function enrichment analysis revealed that some tumor- and immune-related pathways associated with HCC tumorigenesis and progression might be activated in high-risk group. We also discovered that some immune cells, which were beneficial to enhance immune responses towards cancer, were remarkably upregulated in low-risk group. Besides, there was closely correlation of immune checkmate inhibitors (ICIs) with the risk signature and the signature can be used to predict treatment response of ICIs.Conclusions: We analyzed the impact of the tumor microenvironment scores on the prognosis of patients with HCC. A novel TME-related prognostic risk signature was established, which may improve prognostic predictive accuracy and guide individualized immunotherapy for HCC patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
YuPing Bai ◽  
Wenbo Qi ◽  
Le Liu ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
Lan Pang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma is ranked fifth among the most common cancer worldwide. Hypoxia can induce tumor growth, but the relationship with HCC prognosis remains unclear. Our study aims to construct a hypoxia-related multigene model to predict the prognosis of HCC. Methods: RNA-seq expression data and related clinical information were download from TCGA database and ICGC database, respectively. Univariate/multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct prognostic models. KM curve analysis, and ROC curve were used to evaluate the prognostic models, which were further verified in the clinical traits and ICGC database. GSEA analyzed pathway enrichment in high-risk groups. Nomogram was constructed to predict the personalized treatment of patients. Finally, real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR) was used to detect the expressions of KDELR3 and SCARB1 in normal hepatocytes and 4 hepatocellular carcinoma cells. Results: Through a series of analyses, 7 prognostic markers related to HCC survival were constructed. HCC patients were divided into the high and low risk group, and the results of KM curve showed that there was a significant difference between the two groups. Stratified analysis,found that there were significant differences in risk values of different ages, genders, stages and grades, which could be used as independent predictors. In addition, we assessed the risk value in the clinical traits analysis and found that it could accelerate the progression of cancer, while the results of GSEA enrichment analysis showed that the high-risk group patients were mainly distributed in the cell cycle and other pathways. Then, Nomogram was constructed to predict the overall survival of patients. Finally, RT-qPCR showed that KDELR3 and SCARB1 were highly expressed in HepG2 and L02, respectively. Conclusion: This study provides a potential diagnostic indicator for HCC patients, and help clinicians to deepen the comprehension in HCC pathogenesis so as to make personalized medical decisions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Lv ◽  
ShuGuang Jin ◽  
Bo Xiang

Abstract BackgroundTreatment of neuroblastoma is evolving toward precision medicine. LncRNAs can be used as prognostic biomarkers in many types of cancer.MethodsBased on the RNA-seq data from GSE49710, we built a lncRNAs-based risk score using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation (LASSO) regression. Cox regression, receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the association of the LASSO risk score with overall survival. Nomograms were created and then validated in an external cohort from TARGET database. Gene set enrichment analysis was performed to identify the significantly changed biological pathways. ResultsThe 16-lncRNAs-based LASSO risk score was used to separate patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. In GSE49710 cohort, the high-risk group exhibited a poorer OS than those in the low-risk group (P<0.001). Moreover, multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that LASSO risk score was an independent risk factor (HR=6.201;95%CI:2.536-15.16). The similar prognostic powers of the 16-lncRNAs were also achieved in the external cohort and in stratified analysis. In addition, a nomogram was established and worked well both in the internal validation cohort (C-index=0.831) and external validation cohort (C-index=0.773). The calibration plot indicated the good clinical utility of the nomogram. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) indicated that high-risk group was related with cancer recurrence, metastasis and inflammatory associated pathways.ConclusionThe lncRNA-based LASSO risk score is a promising and potential prognostic tool in predicting the survival of patients with neuroblastoma. The nomogram combined the lncRNAs and clinical parameters allows for accurate risk assessment in guiding clinical management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Chaocai Zhang ◽  
Minjie Wang ◽  
Fenghu Ji ◽  
Yizhong Peng ◽  
Bo Wang ◽  
...  

Introduction. Glioblastoma (GBM) is one of the most frequent primary intracranial malignancies, with limited treatment options and poor overall survival rates. Alternated glucose metabolism is a key metabolic feature of tumour cells, including GBM cells. However, due to high cellular heterogeneity, accurately predicting the prognosis of GBM patients using a single biomarker is difficult. Therefore, identifying a novel glucose metabolism-related biomarker signature is important and may contribute to accurate prognosis prediction for GBM patients. Methods. In this research, we performed gene set enrichment analysis and profiled four glucose metabolism-related gene sets containing 327 genes related to biological processes. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were specifically completed to identify genes to build a specific risk signature, and we identified ten mRNAs (B4GALT7, CHST12, G6PC2, GALE, IL13RA1, LDHB, SPAG4, STC1, TGFBI, and TPBG) within the Cox proportional hazards regression model for GBM. Results. Depending on this glucose metabolism-related gene signature, we divided patients into high-risk (with poor outcomes) and low-risk (with satisfactory outcomes) subgroups. The results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the prognostic potential of this ten-gene signature is independent of clinical variables. Furthermore, we used two other GBM databases (Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) and REMBRANDT) to validate this model. In the functional analysis results, the risk signature was associated with almost every step of cancer progression, such as adhesion, proliferation, angiogenesis, drug resistance, and even an immune-suppressed microenvironment. Moreover, we found that IL31RA expression was significantly different between the high-risk and low-risk subgroups. Conclusion. The 10 glucose metabolism-related gene risk signatures could serve as an independent prognostic factor for GBM patients and might be valuable for the clinical management of GBM patients. The differential gene IL31RA may be a potential treatment target in GBM.


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