The Long-Run Effects of Recessions on Education and Income
Keyword(s):
Long Run
◽
This paper examines the long-run effects of the 1980–1982 recession on education and income. Using confidential census data, I estimate difference-in-difference regressions that exploit variation across counties in recession severity and across cohorts in age at the time of the recession. For individuals age 0–10 in 1979, a 10 percent decrease in earnings per capita in their county of birth reduces four-year college degree attainment by 15 percent and earnings in adulthood by 5 percent. Simple calculations suggest that in aggregate, the 1980–1982 recession led to 1.3–2.8 million fewer college graduates and $66–$139 billion less earned income per year. (JEL E32, I21, I26, J24, J31)
2017 ◽
Vol 58
(3)
◽
pp. 291-306
◽
2005 ◽
pp. 127-138
◽
2021 ◽
Vol 18
(13)
◽
pp. 7014
Keyword(s):
2016 ◽
Vol 38
(3)
◽
pp. 303-331
◽
Keyword(s):
2013 ◽
Vol 35
(1)
◽
pp. 57-75
◽