Does Political Risk affect Foreign Direct Investment Inflows? Empirical Evidence From Selected MENA Economies

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdelkader Nassour ◽  
Saliha Meftah ◽  
Sajid Hussain Mirani
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Mena Countries ◽  
Comprehensive Picture ◽  
The Military ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The current political uncertainty, economic problems, permanent religious conflicts, and crisis continue to frustrate investors and hold back potential stabilization. This paper investigates the impact of Political risk on Foreign Direct Investment inflows in three selected MENA countries (Algeria Turkey and Arabia-Saudi) during the period (1984-2017) using the Panel Data model. The Hausman Test confirms that the random effects model is a more appropriate technique for this model to explain the effect of Political Risk on FDI inflows. The results of our study show that: Democratic Accountability and Investment Profile, Law Order have a significant positive impact on FDI inflow. Besides that, another interesting finding of the research is the significant negative relationship between the Military in Politics and FDI. These results are important for policymakers to implement a strategy that would ensure the reduction of the level of political instability related by the indicators of the Corruption and the Military in Politics, in the aim to increase the inflows of FDI in these three selected countries of MENA. Furthermore, the results give a more comprehensive picture for the foreign investors that these selected countries of MENA can be the best host for their investments.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENT, ENERGY AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ON EXPORTS OF SELECTIVE SAARC COUNTRIES

2020 ◽  
pp. 106-113
Author(s):  
Wajiha Manzoor ◽  
Nabeel Safdar
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Domestic Credit ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

This study focused on the relationship of environment, energy used and foreign direct investment inflows on exports of selective SAARC countries including Pakistan , Bangladesh , India , Sri Lanka and Nepal from 1980-2018. The results revealed that environment has significant positive impact on exports. Energy has also positive impact on exports except Pakistan and Nepal where results showed negative relationship. The FDI inflow in India and Sri Lanka has not significant impact on exports while other three countries has significant impact on exports of those countries. Overall environment, energy used and foreign direct investment inflows have positive impact on export while controlling the impact of inflation, GDP growth, reserves and domestic credit to private sector in SAARC countries.

scholarly journals THE ROLE OF POLITICAL STABILITY IN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ATTRACTION: CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 76-83
Author(s):  
Rogneda Groznykh ◽  
Oleg Mariev ◽  
Sergey Plotnikov ◽  
Maria Fominykh
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Primary Objective ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

This study is devoted to the evaluation and scrutiny of political stability as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to different countries. The primary objective of the research is to estimate the impact and influence of various indicators of political stability on foreign direct investment inflows. The analysis is delivered based on a database on cross-country FDI inflows of 66 FDI-importer countries and 98 FDI-exporter countries, in the period between 2001-2018. This article uses the assumption that the impact of political stability might be different for both the groups of developed and developing countries. As the developed economies have higher political stability, they tend to attract larger amounts of foreign direct investment compared to developing economies, where the political situation can be less stable. Furthermore, the estimation applies the gravity approach, while the main method used for the econometric calculations is the Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) regression. The outcome revealed that in most cases the indicators of political stability had a positive impact on the foreign direct investment inflows. However, the results are not constant for all groups of countries. Therefore, if a developed country is an importer of investment, then most of the indicators of political stability become significant and have a positive influence on the foreign direct investment. At the same time, if the importer is a developing country, then for the investor-developed economy, political stability becomes a significant factor. Similarly, if the FDI-exporter is a developing economy, then determinants of political stability are insignificant. Based on these results, possible recommendations for refined government policies can be suggested.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF INSTITUTIONAL EFFICIENCY ON THE FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INFLOWS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 141-145
Author(s):  
Alena D. Galenkova ◽  
Igor M. Drapkin ◽  
Oleg S. Mariev
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Main Tool ◽  
Institutional Factors ◽  
Econometric Modeling ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The aim of this paper is assessing the impact of the effectiveness of the country's institutions on the foreign direct investment inflows in developing countries with the use of econometric modeling. We put forward a hypothesis about the positive impact of institutional factors on the foreign direct investment inflow. The overall influence of institutions is evaluated using the multiplication of the index of economic freedom and the state fragility index, as two indices, most fully characterizing the disjoint groups of the institutions. To achieve the main goal of the study, we accomplish the econometric modeling based on data from the World Bank, the Heritage Foundation and the Fund for Peace from 1995 to 2015. As the main tool of econometric analysis, a panel regression with fixed effects is used and the technique of a two-step least-squares regression analysis method with instrumental variables is used to solve a possible endogeneity problem in the model. As a result of the study, an assessment of the overall impact of institutional factors through the composition of indices was carried out and a hypothesis about the positive impact of institutional factors on the inflow of foreign direct investment in developing countries was confirmed.

scholarly journals International Trade and Foreign Direct Investment as Innovation Factors of the U.S. Economy

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-75
Author(s):  
Tomasz M. Napiórkowski
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The United States ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Main Portion ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Total Impact ◽  
The U.S

Abstract The aim of this research is to asses the hypothesis that foreign direct investment (FDI) and international trade have had a positive impact on innovation in one of the most significant economies in the world, the United States (U.S.). To do so, the author used annual data from 1995 to 2010 to build a set of econometric models. In each model, 11 in total) the number of patent applications by U.S. residents is regressed on inward FDI stock, exports and imports of the economy as a collective, and in each of the 10 SITC groups separately. Although the topic of FDI is widely covered in the literature, there are still disagreements when it comes to the impact of foreign direct investment on the host economy [McGrattan, 2011]. To partially address this gap, this research approaches the host economy not only as an aggregate, but also as a sum of its components (i.e., SITC groups), which to the knowledge of this author has not yet been done on the innovation-FDI-trade plane, especially for the U.S. Unfortunately, the study suffers from the lack of available data. For example, the number of patents and other used variables is reported in the aggregate and not for each SITC groups (e.g., trade). As a result, our conclusions regarding exports and imports in a specific SITC category (and the total) impact innovation in the U.S. is reported in the aggregate. General notions found in the literature are first shown and discussed. Second, the dynamics of innovation, trade and inward FDI stock in the U.S. are presented. Third, the main portion of the work, i.e. the econometric study, takes place, leading to several policy applications and conclusions.

The nexus between financial development and energy consumption: Estimating the role of foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization

2021 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2110453
Author(s):  
Jaleel Ahmed ◽  
Shuja ur Rehman ◽  
Zaid Zuhaira ◽  
Shoaib Nisar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of financial development on energy consumption for a wide array of countries. The estimators used for financial development are foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization. The study employed a panel data regression on 136 countries with time frame of years 1990 to 2019. The model in this study deploys system GMM technique to estimate the model. The results show that financial development has a significant negative impact on energy consumption overall. Foreign direct investment and urbanization has significant impact on energy consumption. Also, economic growth positive impact on energy consumption its mean that economic growth promotes energy consumption. When dividing further the sample into different groups of regions such as Asian, European, African, North/Latin American and Caribbean countries then mixed results related to the nexus between financial development and energy consumption with respect to economic growth, urbanization and foreign direct investment. The policymakers in these different groups of countries must balance the relationship between energy supply and demand to achieving the sustainable economic development.

Trade Liberalization, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows, Environmental Quality and Economic Growth Nexus: A Comparative Analysis of Pakistan and China

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-26
Author(s):  
Sumaira Alvi ◽  
Imran Sharif Chaudhry ◽  
Fatima Farooq ◽  
Noreen Safdar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Environmental Quality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The present research endeavors to evaluate whether trade liberalization, foreign direct investment inflows and environmental quality affect the economic growth in Pakistan and China. These have crucial role in the economies and pragmatic for formulating economic growth policies. The secondary data is used for all the variables. The ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration is applied to evaluate the determinants included in the model for both countries. The results of the research conclude that trade liberalization and foreign direct investment both have positive impact on economic growth while environmental pollution has negative impact on economic growth in long-run.

scholarly journals European intellectual property institutions and Chinese foreign direct investment

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Constantinos Alexiou ◽  
Sofoklis Vogiazas
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Intellectual Property ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Preliminary Evidence ◽  
Institutional Distance ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Chinese Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
The Impact

PurposeWe investigate the impact of the strength of intellectual property (IP) institutions on Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI).Design/methodology/approachWe use two different measures of IP on a sample of 21 European countries in the period 2003–2015. Panel quantile methodology is applied to assess the relationship at several points of the conditional distribution of OFDI.FindingsWe provide novel and robust evidence revealing a highly negative relationship between OFDI and the strength of IP institutions in Europe. This relationship which is more pronounced in the median and upper-quantiles, bolsters the conventional theoretical expectation that high institutional distance between home and host countries is inversely related to OFDI. Equally important is the preliminary evidence of the non-linear impact of IP at the median and upper-quantiles as well as the impact of other controlling variables such as GDP, population, trade openness and unit labour costs on Chinese OFDI.Originality/valueThe ensuing theoretical implications are of great significance for future studies on the institutional distance and drivers of OFDI by emerging economies as well as for European policymakers in so far as the strengthening of IP institutions constitutes a gravitational point for inward investment flows from China.

Impact of foreign direct investment inflows on environmental pollution in Turkey

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilmaz Bayar
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

The globalization accelerated especially as of 1980s and the countries began to integrate global economy and remove the constraints on the flows of goods, services and capital. In this context, the developed countries partly shifted their environmentally hazardous production activities to the developing countries especially by means of foreign direct investments. This study investigates the impact of foreign direct investment inflows on the environmental pollution in Turkey during the period 1974-2010 by using Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality test. We found that there was a bidirectional causality between foreign direct investment inflows and  emissions.Keywords: Foreign direct investment inflows,  emissions, causality analysis

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF INNOVATION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE SPILLOVER EFFECT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 708-714
Author(s):  
Nguyen Tran Thai Ha ◽  
Sobar M. Johari ◽  
Trinh Thi Huyen Thuong ◽  
Nguyen Thi Minh Phuong ◽  
Le Thi Hong Anh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Research And Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Empirical Method ◽  
Convincing Evidence ◽  
Positive Contribution ◽  
The Impact

Purpose of the study: Innovation is seen as the key to improving quality and productivity, thereby promoting competition and economic growth. This study analyzes the impact of innovation on economic growth through various measures, such as research and development spending, the number of researchers, number of patents as well as trademark registrations. Research results are evidence to recommend policies for intellectual-based economic growth. Methodology: Literature review and empirical analysis conducted in the study. The empirical method is a two-step System Generalize Methods of Moments (GMM), aiming at reliable results. Accessing the World Bank Database, research data from 64 developed and developing countries are collected from 2006 to 2014. Main Findings: The empirical findings show that innovation plays a crucial contribution in promoting economic growth, similar to national openness and government spending on education. This study also finds a positive impact on foreign investment flows and their spillover role in enhancing the correlation between innovation and economic growth. Applications of this study: The findings of this study focus on the contributions of innovation, foreign direct investment inflows, and other macro factors that can be enforced to improve economic growth by policymakers. Novelty/Originality of this study: The study uses different measures of innovation, including inputs such as the number of researchers, research and development expenditure, and outputs as the number of patents and number of trademark registrations. Empirical findings are found consistently, thus confirming that innovation is very important for economic growth. The study also shows convincing evidence confirming the positive contribution of foreign direct investment as well as its spillover effect on innovation and economic growth.

scholarly journals Investigating the Relationship between Unemployment and Inflation in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (03) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charity I. Anoke I. Anoke ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Status ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study considered the impact of inflation on unemployment in Nigeria viz avis selected macroeconomic variables. The researcher adopted co integration, vector error correction model and VEC Granger causality test econometric procedure in the analysis of the data employed. The specific objectives of the study are; (i) to determine the extent to which inflation impact on unemployment in Nigeria within the period of study, (ii) to examine if government expenditure have any significant impact on unemployment in Nigeria within the period of study, (iii) to estimate the significant impact of foreign direct investment on unemployment in Nigeria within the period of study; (iv) to investigate the extent of direction of causality between unemployment and inflation in Nigeria within the period of study. The results of the research revealed long run relationship among estimated variables, VECM result showed a positive significant relationship between inflation and unemployment in the short run and long run, government expenditure and foreign direct investment maintained negative relationship with unemployment both in the short and long run. The VEC Granger causality test indicated causality among UNEM, INF and TGEX. The research recommended that (i) government should focus on policy and strategy that can attract foreign direct investment into the country, (ii) government should try to maintain low inflation rate through suitable monetary policy; (iii) government should encourage investment platforms and enabling environment for effective and efficient national output; and (iv) Government should consciously increase fiscal space for capital activities and projects that are capable of generating income, increase domestic and public spending, improve economic status and reduce unemployment. This paper concluded that the Philip’s curve hypothesis does not apply in Nigeria within the period of study as the result failed to establish an inverse relationship as postulated by A.W. Philips.

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