scholarly journals Agent-Based Evacuation in Passenger Ships Using a Goal-Driven Decision-Making Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 56-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baocheng Ni ◽  
Zhen Li ◽  
Xiang Li
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Path Planning ◽  
Social Force ◽  
Movement Model ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Passenger Ships ◽  
Safety Committee ◽  
Decision Making Model ◽  
Ship Safety

Abstract A new agent-based model is proposed to support designers in assessing the evacuation capabilities of passenger ships and in improving ship safety. It comprises models for goal-driven decision-making, path planning, and movement. The goal-driven decision-making model determines an agent’s target by decomposing abstract goals into subgoals. The path-planning model plans the shortest path from the agent’s current position to its target. The movement model is a combination of social-force and steering models to control the agent in moving along its path. The utility of the proposed model is verified using 11 tests for passenger ships proposed by the Maritime Safety Committee of the International Maritime Organization.

scholarly journals An Evacuation Model for Passenger Ships That Includes the Influence of Obstacles in Cabins

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baocheng Ni ◽  
Zhen Li ◽  
Pei Zhang ◽  
Xiang Li
Keyword(s):  
Force Model ◽  
Social Force ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Social Force Model ◽  
Interaction Forces ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Passenger Ships ◽  
Passenger Behavior

Passenger behavior and ship environment are the key factors affecting evacuation efficiency. However, current studies ignore the interior layout of passenger ship cabins and treat the cabins as empty rooms. To investigate the influence of obstacles (e.g., tables and stools) on cabin evacuation, we propose an agent-based social force model for advanced evacuation analysis of passenger ships; this model uses a goal-driven submodel to determine a plan and an extended social force submodel to govern the movement of passengers. The extended social force submodel considers the interaction forces between the passengers, crew, and obstacles and minimises the range of these forces to improve computational efficiency. We drew the following conclusions based on a series of evacuation simulations conducted in this study: (1) the proposed model endows the passenger with the behaviors of bypassing and crossing obstacles, (2) funnel-shaped exits from cabins can improve evacuation efficiency, and (3) as the exit angle increases, the evacuation time also increases. These findings offer ship designers some insight towards increasing the safety of large passenger ships.

Constructing a Hierarchy and Simulation Model to Assess Digital Recorder Sensor System

2012 ◽  
Vol 263-266 ◽  
pp. 857-860
Author(s):  
Kuang Jung Tseng
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Group Decision Making ◽  
Group Decision ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Sensor System ◽  
Model Following ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Digital Recorder ◽  
Decision Making Model

This work presents group decision making model, following a university safety evaluation to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. Importantly, the proposed model can assist university decision makers to buy the feasibility of digital recorder sensor system, making it highly applicable for academic and commercial purposes.

Simulation of consumers decision-making process using agent-based model approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (06) ◽  
pp. 1950037
Author(s):  
Daniel Soto Forero ◽  
Yony F. Ceballos ◽  
German Sànchez Torres
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Real Data ◽  
World Market ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Dynamic Social Network ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The World ◽  
Model Approach

This paper describes a model to simulate the decision-making process of consumers that adopts technology within a dynamic social network. The proposed model use theories and tools from the psychology of consumer behavior, social networks and complex dynamical systems like the Consumat framework and fuzzy logic. The model has been adjusted using real data, tested with the automobile market and it can recreate trends like those described in the world market.

scholarly journals A Fuzzy-Based Decision-Making Model for Improving the Carrying Capacity of Ship Locks: A Three Gorges Dam Case

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. 244
Author(s):  
Shaoyue Shi ◽  
Danhong Zhang ◽  
Yixin Su ◽  
Chengpeng Wan ◽  
Mingyang Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Carrying Capacity ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Three Gorges Dam ◽  
Three Gorges ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Order Preference ◽  
Real Life Situation ◽  
Decision Making Model

This paper develops a decision-making model to assist the improvement of the carrying capacity of ship locks by combing fuzzy logic, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method, and the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS). A three-level hierarchical structure is constructed to identify the key factors influencing the carrying capacity of ship locks from the aspects of ship locks, vessels, environment, and administration. On this basis, a series of targeted strategies have been put forward to improve the carrying capacity of ship locks, and the TOPSIS method is applied to rank these strategies in terms of their performance. A case study of the five-stage dual-track ship lock of the Three Gorges Dam in China has been conducted to demonstrate the feasibility and rationality of the proposed model, and correlation analysis is conducted to verify the identified influencing factors in order to eliminate potential bias which may be generated from using AHP. The results obtained from the proposed methods are consistent with the real-life situation to a certain extent, indicating that the proposed method can provide a useful reference for improving the carrying capacity of ship locks.

scholarly journals A Repeated Game Freeway Lane Changing Model

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1554 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyungwon Kang ◽  
Hesham A. Rakha
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Repeated Game ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Game Model ◽  
Lane Changing ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Lane Changes ◽  
Payoff Functions ◽  
Decision Making Model

Lane changes are complex safety- and throughput-critical driver actions. Most lane-changing models deal with lane-changing maneuvers solely from the merging driver’s standpoint and thus ignore driver interaction. To overcome this shortcoming, we develop a game-theoretical decision-making model and validate the model using empirical merging maneuver data at a freeway on-ramp. Specifically, this paper advances our repeated game model by using updated payoff functions. Validation results using the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) empirical data show that the developed game-theoretical model provides better prediction accuracy compared to previous work, giving correct predictions approximately 86% of the time. In addition, a sensitivity analysis demonstrates the rationality of the model and its sensitivity to variations in various factors. To provide evidence of the benefits of the repeated game approach, which takes into account previous decision-making results, a case study is conducted using an agent-based simulation model. The proposed repeated game model produces superior performance to a one-shot game model when simulating actual freeway merging behaviors. Finally, this lane change model, which captures the collective decision-making between human drivers, can be used to develop automated vehicle driving strategies.

Grey target decision-making model of interval grey number based on cone volume

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 247-258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lizhen Wang ◽  
Wuyong Qian
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Entropy Method ◽  
Maximal Entropy ◽  
Information Distortion ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Grey Number ◽  
Decision Making Model ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to propose a grey target decision model based on cobweb area in order to overcome the effect and influence from the extreme value of the index on the decision result. However, it does not take into account the impact of the correlation between indicators on the angle of the index, and produce a certain degree decision information distortion as a result of the equal angle between the indicators. In order to solve the above problems, a novel grey decision-making model based on cone volume is proposed. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, the model uses the whitening weight function to whiten the interval grey number, and the Delphi method and the maximal entropy method are exploited to integrate the weight of the index. On the basis of this, the center of the bull’s eye, the weight and the index value are constructed as the center circle, the radius, and the high cone, respectively. The scheme is selected by the volume of the cone, the decision is made according to the order relation, and the example is utilized to prove and analyze the validity of the proposed model. Findings The results show that the proposed model can well improve the traditional grey target decision-making model from the modeling object and modeling method. Practical implications The method exposed in the paper can be used to deal with the grey target decision-making problems which characteristics are multi-indexes, and the attribute values are interval grey numbers. Originality/value The paper succeeds in overcoming the disadvantages of grey target decision making based on the target center distance and the cobweb area.

scholarly journals Simulation of Pedestrian Crossing Behaviors at Unmarked Roadways Based on Social Force Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cao Ningbo ◽  
Wei Wei ◽  
Qu Zhaowei ◽  
Zhao Liying ◽  
Bai Qiaowen
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Models ◽  
Force Model ◽  
Extended Model ◽  
Social Force ◽  
Social Force Model ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Comparison Results ◽  
Pedestrian Crossing ◽  
Decision Making Model ◽  
Gap Acceptance Theory

Limited pedestrian microcosmic simulation models focus on the interactions between pedestrians and vehicles at unmarked roadways. Pedestrians tend to head to the destinations directly through the shortest path. So, pedestrians have inclined trajectories pointing destinations. Few simulation models have been established to describe the mechanisms underlying the inclined trajectories when pedestrians cross unmarked roadways. To overcome these shortcomings, achieve solutions for optimal design features before implementation, and help to make the design more rational, the paper establishes a modified social force model for interactions between pedestrians and vehicles at unmarked roadways. To achieve this goal, stop/go decision-making model based on gap acceptance theory and conflict avoidance models were developed to make social force model more appropriate in simulating pedestrian crossing behaviors at unmarked roadways. The extended model enables the understanding and judgment ability of pedestrians about the traffic environment and guides pedestrians to take the best behavior to avoid conflict and keep themselves safe. The comparison results of observed pedestrians’ trajectories and simulated pedestrians’ trajectories at one unmarked roadway indicate that the proposed model can be used to simulate pedestrian crossing behaviors at unmarked roadways effectively. The proposed model can be used to explore pedestrians’ trajectories variation at unmarked roadways and improve pedestrian safety facilities.

scholarly journals A fuzzy-TOPSIS model for maintenance outsourcing considering the quality of submitted tender documents

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 443-453
Author(s):  
Maysa Alshraideh ◽  
Shereen Ababneh ◽  
Elif Elcin Gunay ◽  
Omar Al-Araidah
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Selection Criteria ◽  
Fuzzy Topsis ◽  
Final Decision ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Maintenance Outsourcing ◽  
Multiple Experts ◽  
Decision Making Model

The paper provides a multiple-experts Fuzzy-TOPSIS decision-making model for the selection among maintenance contractors based on the quality of tendering documents. The study introduces a set of selection criteria utilizing benefit and cost criteria from literature. The proposed model aggregates subjective linguistic assessments of multiple experts that express their opinions on the degree of importance of criteria and allows multiple decisionmakers to evaluate the compliance of contractors’ documents. For a case study, the model is applied to select among contractors tendering to maintain the heavy-duty cranes of an international steel company from literature. Several decision-making scenarios are investigated, and major changes in the final decision are observed. The changes in obtained results illustrate the need to better address uncertainties in rating and tendering an overqualified contractor at a higher cost.

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