scholarly journals The Analysis of Fundamental Variables and Macro Economic Variables in Predicting Financial Distress

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-90
Author(s):  
Siti Nur Kholisoh ◽  
Rina Dwiarti

Financial distress is a condition where the company is experiencing financial difficulties prior to bankruptcy. This study aims to identify and explain the influence of the fundamental variables and macroeconomic variables in predicting the probability of financial distress. Based on the eight variables used, current ratio, debt to assets ratio, return on equity and total asset turnover ratio is a fundamental variable. While the sensitivity of inflation, exchange rate sensitivity and interest rate sensitivity included in macroeconomic variables. The population in this study are all porperti and real estate company listed on the Stock Exchange in 2014-2018. The sample selection using purposive sampling technique, acquired 23 companies in the sample with the five companies in the category of financial distress and 18 companies in the category of non financial distress. The analytical method used is logistic regression and sensitivity analysis. The results showed that the variable current ratio, debt to assets ratio, total asset turnover ratio, inflation sesnitivity, exchange rate sensitivity and interest rate sensitivity did not significantly affect the probability of financial distress. While return on equity significantly negative influence on the company’s financial distress.

Author(s):  
Arif Wibowo ◽  
Aris Susetyo

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh profitabilitas, likuiditas, operating capacity dan sales growth terhadap financial distress. Penelitian ini difokuskan pada perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) periode 2015-2018. Jumlah pengamatan sebanyak 172 sampel penelitian yang diperoleh dengan metode nonprobability sampling yaitu teknik purposive sampling. Teknik analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis regresi logistik. Berdasarkan hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa: (1) Profitabilitas berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap financial distress. Hal ini berarti bahwa semakin tinggi profitabilitas maka dapat menekan terjadinya kondisi financial distress. (2) Likuiditas berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap financial distress. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa semakin besar adanya ketersediaan atau kecukupan dana untuk memenuhi kewajibannya, maka semakin kecil kemungkinan perusahaan mengalami kondisi financial distress yang mengakibatkan pada kebangkrutan. (3) Operating Capacity berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap financial distress. Hal ini menunjukan bahwa semakin rendah penjualan perusahaan yang diakibatkan dengan penggunaan aset yang tidak efektif untuk kegiatan operasional, maka perusahaan akan rentan terhadap kondisi financial distress. (4) Sales growth tidak berpengaruh terhadap kondisi financial distress. Koefisien determinasi Nagelkerke R Square sebesar 0,734 yang berarti kemampuan variabel penelitian yang diproksikan dengan return on asset, current ratio, total asset turnover ratio dan sales growth menjelaskan variabel prediksi financial distress sebesar 73.4%. Sisanya sebesar 26.6% merupakan faktor lain di luar model penelitian.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
Siti Atikah ◽  
RR Sapto Hendri BS ◽  
Intan Rakhmawati ◽  
Wirawan Suhaedi ◽  
Baiq Rosyida

Salah satu faktor yang menjadi bahan pertimbangan seorang investor atau calon investor saham dalam menentukan harga tawaran beli  maupun tawaran jual adalah kinerja keuangan. Berbagai literatur menyatakan bahwa mahal atau murahnya harga saham ditunjukkan oleh kinerja keuangan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji secara empiris arah atau hubungan kinerja keuangan dengan harga saham  pada  perusahaan  sektor  pertanian dan sektor pertambangan pada periode 2013 hingga 2015. Penelitian ini juga mengelompokkan kinerja keuangan berdasarkan harga saham yang kurang dari Rp 500 dan harga saham diatas Rp 500  Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa current ratio, debt to equity ratio, net profit margin, return on equity, earning per share, dan price earning rasio perusahaan  sektor  pertanian  memiliki  arah  yang  negatif  terhadap  harga saham, sedangkan arah positif ditunjukkan oleh asset turnover ratio, debt to total asset, financial leverage dan gross profit margin. Hasil yang berbeda terjadi   pada   harga saham   perusahaan   di   sektor   pertambangan.   Aset turnover ratio, debt to total asset, financial leverage, gross profit margin dan price earning ratio perusahaan sektor pertambangan memiliki arah yang negatif terhadap harga saham.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 285-305
Author(s):  
Sumani Sumani

ABSTRACTThe objective of this research is to analyze the ability of macroeconomic proxied by the sensitivity of exchange rate and interest rate, and the ability of financial ratios proxied by current ratio (CR); return on assets (ROA); total asset turnover (TATO); debt to asset ratio (DAR); and sales growth (GROWTH), in predicting financial distress in primary sector companies in Indonesia. The population was 42 primary sector companies in Indonesia from the agricultural sector and mining sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. By employing a purposive sampling technique, the sample consisted of 39 companies, i.e., 9 agricultural companies and 30 mining companies in the 10 years range of the study from 2008 to 2018. Data were analyzed using logistic regression analysis. Results showed that ROA and DAR variables can be used to predict a company's financial distress. However, the exchange rate variable proxied by exchange rate sensitivity, interest rate variable proxied by interest rate sensitivity, CR, TATO, and GROWTH cannot be used to predict financial distress.Keywords: financial distress, financial ratio, and sensitivity of macroeconomc 


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Nuri Maulana Ikhsan ◽  
Yohanes Rully Dermawan

This study aims to determine the effect of financial ratios on stock prices. Financial ratios used in this study is the Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Equity, Total Asset Turnover, Earning Per Share, and Price to Book Value. The type of research used is quantitative to observe the effect of financial ratios on stock prices. This study used a purposive sampling method with a total sample of 20 companies registered in the LQ45 index for the period 2013-2017 and fulfilling the research criteria. The statistical method used is multiple linear regression analysis The results of this study indicate that partially, the variable debt to equity ratio, return on equity, total asset turnover, earnings per share, and price to book value have a significant partial effect on stock prices, while the current ratio variable does not have a partial significant effect on stock prices. Simultaneously the current ratio variable, debt to equity ratio, return on equity, total asset turnover, earnings per share, and price to book value have a significant simultaneous effect on stock prices. And the most dominant influential variable is earnings per share. Keywords:  Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Equity, Total Asset Turnover, Earning Per Share, Price to Book Value, and Stock Price.  


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 21-29
Author(s):  
Adria Wuri Lastari

Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan judul “Pengaruh Current Ratio, Total Asset Turnover, Return On Equity dan Debt To Total Asset Ratio Terhadap Harga Saham  Pada Industri Telekomunikasi di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2008-2012”. Adapun tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk :  1) Untuk menganalisis gambaran perubahan  Current Ratio, Total Asset Turnovel, Return On Equity dan Debt to Total Asset Ratio    dan Harga Saham pada Industri telekomunikasi   di Bursa Efek Indonesia  periode  2008-2012. 2) Untuk mengetahui besarnya pengaruh secara simultan  dan parsial dari variabel Current Ratio, Total Asset Turnover, Return On Equity dan Debt to Total Asset Ratio   terhadap Harga Saham pada Industri telekomunikasi   di Bursa Efek Indonesia  periode  2008-2012. 3) Untuk mengetahui variabel mana yang paling berpengaruh  apakah Current Ratio, Total Asset Turnover, Return On Equity dan Debt to Total Asset Ratio   terhadap Harga Saham pada Industri telekomunikasi   di Bursa Efek Indonesia  periode  2008-2012  . Dengan menggunakan metode purpose sampling, pada penelitian ini terdapat 5 sampel perusahaan yang berasal dari 9 perusahaan Industri Telekomunikasi  di BEI sebagai populasi. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder, data diolah dengan menggunakan bantuan program komputer yaitu Microsoft Excel 2007 dan SPSS versi 18.0. CR, TATO, ROE dan DAR secara bersama-sama berpengaruh signifikan terhadap harga saham pada perusahaan industri Telekomunikasi  di BEI. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa hubungan antara variabel Current Ratio, Total Asset Turnover, Return On Equity dan Debt to Total Asset Ratio dengan harga saham industri  Telekomunikasi   pada BEI periode 2008-2012 adalah sangat kuat, yaitu sebesar 0,625. Nilai koefisien korelasi mendekati angka 1. Variabel yang dominan dalam mempengaruhi harga saham industri Telekomunikasi yang tercatat di BEI adalah Variabel Current Ratio


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nor Hanisah ◽  
Kartika Hendra Titisari ◽  
Siti Nurlaela

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah ada pengaruh variabel independen (CR, DER, DAR, NPM, ROE, ROA, TAT) terhadap variabel dependen (pertumbuhan laba). Jenis penelitian ini adalah penelitian kuantitatif. Penelitian dilakukan pada perusahaan property dan real estate yang terdaftar di BEI dengan jumlah sampel 23 perusahaan dan jangka waktu 5 tahun yaitu pada tahun 2012-2016. Metode pengambilan sampel yaitu menggunakan metode purposive sampling. Metode analisis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian yaitu meliputi statistik deskriptif, uji asumsi klasik (uji normalitas, uji autokorelasi, uji multikolinearitas, dan uji heteroskedasitas), uji hipotesis (analisis regresi linier berganda, uji t, dan analisis koefisien determinasi (R2)). Berdasarkan hasil pengujian secara parsial debt to asset ratio (DAR), net profit margin (NPM), return on equity (ROE), dan total asset turnover (TAT) berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan laba perusahaan sedangkan current ratio (CR), debt to equity ratio (DER), dan return on asset (ROA) tidak berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan laba perusahaan. Kata Kunci : Likuiditas, Leverage, Profitabilitas, Aktivitas, dan Pertumbuhan Laba.


Author(s):  
Talisa Qamara ◽  
Ani Wulandari ◽  
Agus Sukoco ◽  
Joko Suyono

This study aims to analyze whether there are simultaneous effects of Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, and Total Asset Turnover to Pofitability (Return On Asset) on Transportation Company Listed at Indonesia Stock Exchanged. This research use quantitative method. The population on this research is transportation companies listed at Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and continuously published financial reports in 2014-2018. Based on the purposive sampling method, from 71 transportation companies globally converged into 10 transportation companies, so that the data obtained were 50 observation. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression analysis. The results of the study are Current Ratio and Debt to Equity Ratio does not partially affect ROA, while Total Asset Turnover has a partial effect on ROA. And the three independent variables (CR, DER and TATO) simultaneously influence the dependent variable, namely profitability (ROA)


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Neneng Khoiriah

ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio dan Total Asset Turnover terhadap Retun on Equty implikasinya pada nilai perusahaan (PBV). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa Current ratio (X1) tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Return on Equity (Y). Debt to Equity Ratio (X2) berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Return on Equity (Y). Total Asset Turnover (X3) berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Return on Equity (Y). Current Ratio (X1), Debt to Equty Ratio (X2) dan Total Asset Turnover (X3) secara simultan memiliki pengaruh yang positif dan signifikan terhadap variable Return on Equity (Y). Return on Equty (Y) berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Nilai Perusahaan (PBV). Kata Kunci : current ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Total Asset Turnover            (TATO), Return on Equty (ROE), dan Price Book Value (PBV)


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 297
Author(s):  
Mahmudin Mahmudin ◽  
Elfreda Aplonia Lau ◽  
Beatrix Tandirerung

This research was conducted to know and analysis the effect of Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Total Asset Turnover (TAT) and Firm Size (FS) on Return on Equity (ROE) in mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013 -2018. The study was conducted using multiple linear regression methods.The results of research say that simultaneously Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Total Asset Turnover (TAT) and Firm Size (FS) have a significant effect on Return on Equity (ROE. The test results show that Partially Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) and Firm Size (FS) have a positive and significant effect on Return on Equity (ROE). While Total Asset Turnover (TAT) has a positive and significant effect on Return on Equity (ROE). On the other hypothesis testing, Current Ratio (CR) has no significant effect on Return on Equity (ROE).


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 92-102
Author(s):  
NOVIA WIJAYA

The purpose of this research is to analyze the factors affecting on dividend policy of non financial company that listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange for period 2011 until 2013. This research use return on equity (ROE), current ratio (CR), debt to equity ratio (DER), sales growth (SG), investment opportunity set (IOS), size of firm (SIZE), and total asset turnover (TATO). The data are collected from 99 non financial company listed at Indonesian Stock Exchange (BEI) and the observation period are three years. Sampling method used is purposive sampling and data analysis with multiple linear regression. Empirical evidence shows that, sales growth has influence to dividend policy and return on equity, current ratio, debt to equity ratio, investment, size firm, and total asset turnover have not influence to dividend policy.  


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