scholarly journals Residual Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 147-153
Author(s):  
Wern Yew Ding

AF contributes to increased stroke risk via various mechanisms, including deranged blood constituents, vessel wall abnormalities and abnormal blood flow. This excess risk is frequently managed with anticoagulation therapy, aimed at preventing thromboembolic complications. Yet, a significant proportion of patients with AF remain at high residual stroke risk despite receiving appropriate dose-adjusted anticoagulation. This article explores the residual stroke risk in AF and potential therapeutic options for these patients.

Author(s):  
Michael W Cullen ◽  
Sunghee Kim ◽  
Jonathan P Piccini ◽  
Alan S Go ◽  
Gregg C Fonarow ◽  
...  

Background Oral anticoagulation (OAC) can reduce stroke risk at the cost of increased bleeding risk in those with atrial fibrillation (AF). Observational data have shown that higher-risk patients with AF most likely to benefit from OAC are less likely to receive OAC at hospital discharge. Methods We used data from ORBIT-AF Registry, a cohort of 9,589 AF patients enrolled among 173 participating outpatient practices. OAC was defined as warfarin or dabigatran use at study enrollment. Stroke and bleeding risk were calculated using the CHADS2 and ATRIA scores, respectively. Results The study population had a mean age of 73.5 years; 57.8% were men. Overall, 76.4% of patients received OAC. Use of OAC rose with increasing CHADS2 stroke risk, from 67% for CHADS2 <1 to 80% for CHADS2 ≥2 (p<0.0001). OAC use fell slightly with increasing ATRIA bleeding risk, from 77% for ATRIA score ≤3 to 74% with ≥5 (p=0.002 for trend). Among patients with low bleeding risk, rates of OAC increased commensurate with stroke risk (p<0.0001 for interaction; see figure). Higher bleeding risk tended to decrease rates of OAC among patients with a CHADS2 score ≥2 (p=0.13 for interaction). Conclusions In community-based outpatients with AF, use of OAC rose with increasing thromboembolic risk and declined with higher bleeding risk. These findings suggest that the risk-treatment paradox may be less that previously reported. Provision of OAC in community practice appears to appropriately consider patients' stroke and bleeding risks. Further research is required to understand how quality improvement initiatives can further improve stroke prevention.


CJEM ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (S1) ◽  
pp. S109-S110
Author(s):  
T. Nikel ◽  
S.W. Kirkland ◽  
S. Campbell ◽  
B.H. Rowe

Introduction: Acute atrial fibrillation or flutter (AFF) is the most common dysrhythmia managed in the emergency department (ED). A key component of managing AFF in the ED is the prevention of stroke. Predictive indices (e.g., CHADS2 , HAS-BLED) should be used to assess each patient’s risk of stroke and bleeding to determine the appropriate anticoagulation therapy. The frequency of use of these predictive indices in the emergency department to determine appropriate anticoagulation therapy remains unclear. This systematic review is designed to examine the use of risk scores in the ED to determine the management of patients presenting to the ED for atrial fibrillation and flutter. Methods: An extensive search of eight electronic databases and grey literature was conducted. Quasi-experimental studies were eligible for inclusion. Studies had to report on the ED management of adult patients presenting with AFF to be included. Two independent reviewers judged the relevance, inclusion, and risk of bias of the studies. Individual and pooled statistics were calculated as odds ratios (OR) with 95% CI using a random effects model and heterogeneity (I2) was reported. Results: From 1,648 citations, 37 studies were included in this review. Heterogeneity was very high, precluding pooling. Only one of the included studies documented the use of CHADS2 scores by attending physicians; while no studies documented the use of HAS-BLED. There was variability in the ED management strategies of AFF. The utilization of rhythm control in the treatment of AFF ranged considerable (OR: 0.04-9.84) in comparison to rate control. Of the 17 studies reporting cardioversion approaches, chemical (9 {53%}) cardioversion was the most common management strategy of AFF. Conclusion: Our results suggests that either few physicians are documenting stroke risk scores in adult patients with AFF, or that research studies assessing ED management of AFF are not reporting scores documented by the attending physicians. Future research needs to examine the use of stroke risk scores to determine the optimal and appropriate care for patients.


Author(s):  
Natalia S. Mescherina ◽  
Elena M. Khardikova ◽  
Igor A. Saraev

The review presents the key provisions of the recommendations of the Russian society of cardiology and the guidelines of the European society of cardiology for the diagnosis and treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF), updated in 2020. The recommendations clearly state the requirements for atrial fibrillation diagnosis verification, and propose an approach to the formation of a complex characteristic of the disease in four positions, which is designated as 4S-AF (Stroke risk, Symptom severity, Severity of AF burden, Substrate severity). The authors analyzed the strategy "CC To ABC" (Confirm AF, Characterize AF, Treat AF: the ABC pathway) proposed by European experts, the issues of modern terminology and requirements for verifying the diagnosis of AF, complex characteristics of the disease and stratification of the risk of stroke and bleeding, a new ABC approach in the treatment of AF, where A is anticoagulant prevention of thromboembolic complications, B is the control of symptoms of the disease and C is the detection and treatment of comorbid pathology. The General principles that have changed in comparison with the previous versions of guidelines of 2016 on the initiation and tactics of anticoagulant therapy, pharmacological and non-drug cardioversion, catheter ablation in patients with AF, affecting the prognosis and outcomes in patients with AF, are outlined. It is emphasized that the pattern of atrial fibrillation (first diagnosed, paroxysmal, persistent, long-term persistent, permanent) should not determine the indications for anticoagulant prevention. The solution to this issue is determined by the level of risk according to the CHA2DS2-VASc scale. The introduction of the considered methods of diagnosis and treatment of AF into clinical practice will optimize the burden on the health care system and reduce the costs associated with the burden of AF.


2020 ◽  
pp. 19-25
Author(s):  
M. G. Nazarkina ◽  
V. V. Stolyarova ◽  
D. A. Karpova

Introduction. Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, with heart rhythm disorders accounting for a significant proportion of them. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an arrhythmia that poses a risk of thromboembolic complications and is difficult to treat with ongoing preventive anticoagulant therapy. Aim of the study. To analyze the prescription of anticoagulant therapy to patients with AF on the regional level. Methods and results. The study included 72 patients with the nonvalvular form of AF (from 41 to 82 years old) of the Department of Rhythm and Conductivity Abnormalities of the State Budgetary Institution of the Republic of Mordovia RCH № 4 for 2019. Three groups were singled out depending on the AF form: the first one – patients with the constant form (n = 22), the second one (n = 24) – with the persistent form, the third one (n = 24) – with the paroxysmal form. The risk of thromboembolic complications was assessed using the CHA2DS2-VASc scale and hemorrhagic complications using the HAS-BLED scale. All patients had a high risk of thromboembolism (index above 2 points), which reflects multiple risk factors and indicates the need for oral anticoagulants (OAC). According to HAS-BLED scale calculations, the risk of haemorrhagic complications was low in most patients (2 or less points) – there was no significant increase in the risk of bleeding, but careful monitoring is required. Analysis of the results revealed that only 54% of patients took OAC, despite the fact that all patients were shown anticoagulant therapy. When analyzing the cases of patients who did not take anticoagulants, it was found that 23% of patients, despite the doctor’s recommendations, refused to take the drugs, 47% of patients justified the inability to control IHR and 30% were unable to purchase expensive new OAC. Conclusion. Despite the recommendations for the management of patients with atrial fibrillation, only 54% were prescribed oral anticoagulants.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gautam R Shroff ◽  
Craig A Solid ◽  
Charles A Herzog

Background: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) and non valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risk of ischemic stroke; but evidence regarding ischemic stroke and warfarin use in the literature is limited. We evaluated temporal trends in ischemic stroke and warfarin use among the US Medicare population with and without DM. Methods: One-year cohorts of patients with Medicare as primary payer, 1992-2010, were created using the Medicare 5% sample. ICD-9-CM codes were used to identify AF, ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and comorbidities; ≤3 consecutive prothrombin-time claims were used to identify warfarin use. Results: Demographic characteristics between 1992 (n=40255) and 2010 (n=80314) respectively were (proportions): age 65-74 years (37%, 32%); age ≤ 85 years (20%, 25%); white (94%, 93%); hypertension (46%, 80%); DM (20%, 32%), chronic kidney disease (5%, 18%). Ischemic stroke rates among Medicare AF patients with DM decreased by 71% (1992, 2010) from 65 to 19 /1000 patient-years; warfarin utilization increased from 28% to 62% respectively (Figure 1A). Among Medicare AF patients without DM, ischemic stroke rates decreased by 68% from 44 to 14/ 1000 patient-years; warfarin use increased 26% to 59% respectively (Figure 1B). About 38% Medicare AF pts with DM did not receive anticoagulation in 2010. Conclusion: Medicare patients with and without DM had a similar reduction in ischemic stroke rates; and similar increase in warfarin utilization over the study period. A significant proportion of Medicare pts with DM did not receive anticoagulation with warfarin for AF in 2010; this population deserves future attention.


2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hisako Miyazaki ◽  
Hao Liu ◽  
Takami Yamaguchi

Abstract Platelets play an important role in blood coagulation, particularly in the formation of primary thrombi. It is thought that the aggregation of platelets, which initiates primary thrombi formation, is mediated by a macromolecule called von Willebrand Factor (vWF). vWF is a long chain macromolecule that exists in the blood flow as a soluble form and in the vessel wall as an insoluble form. Figure 1 schematically shows normal (a) and pathological (b) thrombus formation processes as illustrated by Ikeda (1998) In both cases, platelets adhere to the injured vessel wall and then form a thrombus in cooperation with the fibrin network, red cells, and other blood constituents. vWF is thought to play a more important role in pathological thrombosis formation than in the normal hemostatic process, particularly due to its ability to react to hemodynamic stress.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Aspberg ◽  
Yuchiao Chang ◽  
Daniel Singer

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Anticoagulation therapy (OAC) effectively prevents AIS, but increases bleeding risk. There is a need for better AIS risk prediction to optimize the anticoagulation decision in AF. The ATRIA stroke risk score (ATRIA) (table) was superior to CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc in two large California community AF cohorts. We now report the performance of the 3 scores in a very large Swedish AF cohort. Methods: The cohort consisted of all Swedish patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of AF from July 1, 2005 to December 31, 2008. Predictor variables and the outcome, AIS, were obtained from inpatient ICD-10 codes. Warfarin use was determined from National Pharmacy Database. Risk scores were assessed via c-index (C) and net reclassification index (NRI). Results: The cohort included 158,370 AF patients off warfarin who contributed 340,332 person-years of follow-up, and 11,823 incident AIS, for an overall AIS rate of 3.47%/yr, higher than the 2%/yr seen in the California cohorts. Using the entire point score, ATRIA had a good C of 0.712 (0.708-0.716), significantly better than CHADS2, 0.694 (0.689-0.698), or CHA2DS2-VASc, 0.697 (0.693-0.702). Using published cut-points for Low/Moderate/High AIS risk, C deteriorated for all scores but ATRIA and CHADS2 were superior to CHA2DS2-VASc. NRI favored ATRIA; 0.16 (0.15-0.18) versus CHADS2; 0.22 (0.21-0.24) versus CHA2DS2-VASc. However, NRI decreased to near-zero when cut-points were altered to better fit the cohort’s stroke rates. Conclusion: Findings in this large Swedish AF cohort validate those in the California AF cohorts, with the ATRIA score predicting stroke risk better than CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc. However, relative performance of the categorical scores varied by population stroke risk. Knowledge about this population risk may be needed to optimize cut-points on the multipoint scores to achieve better net clinical benefit from OAC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
W Sun ◽  
B Freedman ◽  
C Martinez ◽  
C Wallenhorst ◽  
B.P.Y Yan

Abstract Aims To determine risk of ischemic stroke in patients with single timepoint screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods Cohort of 11,972 consecutive patients aged ≥65 years attending medical outpatient clinics in Hong Kong underwent AF screening using a handheld single-lead ECG (AliveCor) from Dec 2014 to Dec 2017 (NCT02409654). Repeated screening was performed in patients who had &gt;1 clinic visit during the study period. Cohort was divided into 4 exposure groups: (i) new AF detected by initial screening (S1-AF); (ii) new AF detected by subsequent screening or clinically diagnosed during follow up (FU-AF); (iii) known AF and (iv) no initial or subsequent FU-AF (no AF). Exposure in the FU-AF group was handled as a time-dependent variable. All AF exposure groups were further stratified by oral anticoagulant (OAC) use at the end of FU. Cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke was compared between groups during a median FU period of 2.3 (IQR=1.7–3.3) years, using Fine and Gray regression accounting for death as competing risk and using no AF as reference. Results Of 11,972 subjects enrolled, 2,236 (18.7%) had known AF and 9,736 (81.3%) underwent 13,571 screening events during the study period. The yield of newly diagnosed AF on initial screening was 2.3% (n=223/9,736), with 71 new AF detected by subsequent screening. During FU, 2.3% (221/9,442) screen-negative patients were diagnosed with AF clinically. Compared to no AF, S1-AF without OAC had the highest ischemic stroke risk (subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR)=2.79; 1.47–5.27), then FU-AF without OAC (SHR=2.66; 1.21–5.82) and known AF without OAC (SHR=1.97; 1.50–2.57). All AF groups taking OAC had similar risk of ischemic stroke as no AF. Conclusion This is the first study to report the prognosis of AF detected by single timepoint screening. The prognosis is not benign. Both risks of stroke and benefits from anticoagulation therapy were similar between screen-detected and known AF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Unverdorben ◽  
C. von Heymann ◽  
A. Santamaria ◽  
M. Saxena ◽  
T. Vanassche ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Annually > 10% of patients with atrial fibrillation on oral anticoagulation undergo invasive procedures. Optimal peri-procedural management of anticoagulation, as judged by major bleeding and thromboembolic events, especially in the elderly, is still debated. Methods Procedures from 1442 patients were evaluated. Peri-procedural edoxaban management was guided only by the experience of the attending physician. The primary safety outcome was the rate of major bleeding. Secondary outcomes included the peri-procedural administration of edoxaban, other bleeding events, and the main efficacy outcome, a composite of acute coronary syndrome, non-hemorrhagic stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic embolic events, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and mortality. Results Of the 1442 patients, 280 (19%) were < 65, 550 (38%) were 65–74, 514 (36%) 75–84, and 98 (7%) were 85 years old or older. With increasing age, comorbidities and risk scores were higher. Any bleeding complications were uncommon across all ages, ranging from 3.9% in patients < 65 to 4.1% in those 85 years or older; major bleeding rates in any age group were ≤ 0.6%. Interruption rates and duration increased with advancing age. Thromboembolic events were more common in the elderly, with all nine events occurring in those > 65, and seven in patients aged > 75 years. Conclusion Despite increased bleeding risk factors in the elderly, bleeding rates were small and similar across all age groups. However, there was a trend toward more thromboembolic complications with advancing age. Further efforts to identify the optimal management to reduce ischemic complications are needed. Trial registration: NCT# 02950168, October 31, 2016


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