scholarly journals Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Data-Based Evidence

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 001-012
Author(s):  
Andy Titus Okwu ◽  
◽  
Timothy Chidi Obiwuru ◽  
Rowland Tochukwu Obiakor ◽  
Olusola Babatunde Oluwalaiye
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Domestic Debt

How Does Public Debt Affect the Indian Macroeconomy? A Structural VAR Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 253-284
Author(s):  
Ranjan Kumar Mohanty ◽  
Sidheswar Panda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Adverse Impact ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Impact

The study investigates the macroeconomic effects of public debt in India during 1980–2017 using a structural vector autoregression framework. The objective is to examine the impact of public debt on the interest rate, investment, inflation and economic growth in India. The results of the impulse response functions show that public debt has an adverse impact on economic growth but a positive impact on the long-term interest rate in the short run and a mixed effect (both negative and positive) on investment and inflation. We also find that domestic debt has a more adverse impact on the economy than external debt. The estimated variance decomposition analysis finds that much of the variation in selected macro variables are explained by public debt and growth in India. This study suggests that public debt especially domestic debt should be controlled and channelled productively to have a favourable impact on the economy. JEL Classification: H63, O40, C40

scholarly journals Impact of Domestic Public Debt on Economic Growth - An Empirical Study in the Indian Context

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 101-116
Author(s):  
Srinivasa Rao Gangadharan ◽  
Lakshmi Padmakumari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Ordinary Least Square Regression ◽  
The Impact

This study is an empirical investigation to assess the impact of domestic debt on India’s Economic growth during the period 1980 – 2014. We use data on Domestic Debt, Net Fiscal Deficit, Exports, Savings, Real Gross Domestic Product, Population and Terms of Trade. This study adopts the ARDL Co-Integration and Granger Causality techniques to investigate the relation between the key variables. The study also employs various post estimation tests to validate the fitness and stability of the models based on Gauss Markov assumptions, after employing the ordinary least square regression on various models. We find that debt negatively impacts economic growth while savings has a positive impact. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique used to test the robustness suggests existence of co-integration among the variables. However, none of the long run co-efficient is significant. The granger causality and co-integration test results support the traditional view that debt negatively impacts economic growth.

scholarly journals Impact of Public Debt on the Economic Growth of Pakistan.

2011 ◽  
Vol 50 (4II) ◽  
pp. 599-615 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naeem Akram
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Crowding Out ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Per Capita

Over the years Pakistan has failed to collect enough revenues for financing of its budget. Consequently, the problem of twin deficits emerged and to finance the developmental activities government has to rely on public external and domestic debt. The positive effects of public debt relate to the fact that in resource-starved economies debt financing if done properly leads to higher growth and adds to their capacity to service and repay public debt. The negative effects work through two main channels—i.e., ―Debt Overhang‖ and ―Crowding Out‖ effects. The present study examines the consequences of public debt for economic growth and investment in Pakistan for the period 1972-2009. It develops a hybrid model that explicitly incorporates the role of public debt in growth equations. As the some variables are I (1) and other are I (0) so Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) technique has been applied to estimate the model. Study finds that public external debt has negative relationship with per capita GDP and investment confirming the existence of ―Debt Overhang effect‖. However, due to insignificant relationships of debt servicing with investment and per capita GDP, the existence of the crowding out hypothesis could not be confirmed. Similarly, domestic debt has a negative relationship with investment and per capita GDP. In other words, it seems to have crowded out private investment. JEL classification: H63, O43, E22, C22 Keywords: Public Debt, Economic Growth, Investment, ARDL

Is public debt hindering economic growth of the Philippines?

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 202-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naeem Akram
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
External Debt ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Crowding Out ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Domestic Debt

Purpose – Over the years most of the developing countries have failed to collect enough revenues to finance their budgets. As a result, they have to face the problem of twin deficits and to rely on external and domestic debt to finance their developmental activities. The positive effects of public debt relate to the fact that in resource-starved economies debt financing (if done properly) leads to higher growth and adds to their capacity to service and repay external and internal debt. The negative effects work through two main channels – i.e., “Debt Overhang” and “Crowding Out” effects. The purpose of this paper is to examine the consequences of public debt for economic growth and investment for the Philippines. Design/methodology/approach – The present study examines the consequences of public debt for economic growth and investment for the Philippines during the period 1975-2010, by using autoregressive distributed lag technique. Findings – The results reveal that in the Philippines, public external debt has negative and significant relationship with economic growth and investment confirming the existence of “Debt Overhang effect”. But due to insignificant relationships of debt servicing with investment and economic growth, the existence of the crowding out hypothesis could not be confirmed. The domestic debt has a negative relationship with investment and positive relationship with economic growth. Research limitations/implications – First and foremost implication of the study is that heavy reliance on external debt must be discouraged. Therefore, in order to accelerate economic growth, developing countries must adopt those policies that are likely to result in reducing their debt burden, and it must not be allowed to reach unsustainable level. In the case of domestic debt, the present study finds that investment is negatively affected by domestic debt due to the crowding out effect; yet real GDP has a positive relationship with domestic debt. Thus, if policy makers want to use domestic debt as a tool to stimulate real GDP then it must keep an eye on the consequences of domestic debt on the investment. Practical implications – First and foremost implication of the study is that heavy reliance on external debt must be discouraged. Therefore, in order to accelerate economic growth, the Philippines must adopt those policies that are likely to result in reducing their debt burden, and external debt it must not be allowed to reach unsustainable level. In the case of domestic debt, the present study finds that investment is negatively affected by domestic debt due to the crowding out effect; yet real GDP has a positive relationship with domestic debt. Thus, if policy makers want to use domestic debt as a tool to stimulate real GDP then it must keep an eye on the consequences of domestic debt for on the investment. Social implications – It also follows from the estimation results that population growth rate is harmful for the economic growth. So in order to stimulate the growth performance, it must adopt effective population control policies. Similarly, since openness and investment are growth enhancing so there is need for the trade and investment supportive policies. Originality/value – From the review of literature on the issue, it can be broadly summarized that most of the studies are on the relationship of external debt and economic growth, neglecting domestic debt entirely or mentioning it in the passing. Second, most of these studies have been conducted by using panel data. However, as the different countries vary in socio-economic conditions so it is better to conduct the country specific study. The present study is an attempt to fill these gaps in the existing literature.

On the Factors of Demand for Economic Growth

2018 ◽  
pp. 4-14
Author(s):  
Ольга Николайчук ◽  
Olga Nikolaychuk ◽  
А. Волкова ◽  
A. Volkova ◽  
В. Шарова ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Durable Goods ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Business Activity ◽  
Consumer Spending ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Investment Goods

To analyze the problems of economic growth in Russia, the factors of demand that affect economic growth are chosen: the volumes and dynamics of consumer spending, tax instruments and debt indicators in Russia and in recent years. Changes in the population’s expenses for the purchase of goods and services, the purchase of investment goods-real estate, as well as the use of credit sources to replenish the current and investment costs of citizens are analyzed. The main indicators are given in current prices and are recounted by the authors, for greater reliability of the findings, in prices at the beginning of 2015. The reasons for the formation of external and internal debt are revealed. It is noted thatthe external debt in recent years has grown through borrowing in external financial markets through the placement of government securities, as well as an increase in the volume of state guarantees. The thesis was confirmed that in macroeconomics only in the long run the influence of the change in the state debt on consumption is traced. It is especiallyemphasized that the state external debt burdens the national economy of the country, reduces aggregate demand, slows economic growth and, ultimately, leads to a decline in GDP. The state, having placed its stake on domestic debt, has increased the share of state guarantees by 4 times over the past 8 years and brought domestic debt to the limit, which has affected not only the fiscal and fiscal policies of the state, but it can negatively affect Russia’s economic security. In general, amid the downturn in business activity in Russia in recent years, the increase in public debt has led to a reduction in the consumption of durable goods and investment goods. Thus, based on the analysis of the dynamics of consumer spending of Russians, debt and tax policy, it was concluded that the pace of business activity and the need for government intervention in regulating the processes covered in the article, especially in the context of the crisis, were reduced.

scholarly journals Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Tanzania

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. p207
Author(s):  
Josephat Lotto ◽  
Catherine T. Mmari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

The main objective of this paper was to examine the impact of domestic debt on economic growth in Tanzania for the period 1990 to 2015 using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method to estimate the effects. The study finds that there is an inverse but insignificant relationship between domestic debt and the economic growth of Tanzania as measured by GDP annual growth. The inverse relationship between domestic debt and GDP may be caused by different factors such as; increased trend in domestic borrowing, government lenders’ profile dominated by commercial banks and non-bank financial institutions which promotes the “crowding out” effect; the nature of the instruments used by the government ; the improper use of the domestic borrowed funds which may include funding budgetary deficits, paying up principal and matured obligations on debt, developing financial markets as well as fund other government operations. Other control variables relate with the GDP as predicted. For example, Inflation (INF) has a negative effect on the GDP growth rate, but the relationship is not statistically significant, while gross capital formation (GCF) has a positive statistically significant effect on GDP growth rate. Furthermore, foreign direct investment (FDI) showed a positive effect on the GDP growth rate and export (X) has a positive effect on GDP growth rate, and the relationship is statistically significant explaining that if a country applied an export-led growth economic strategy it enjoys the gains of participating in the world market. This means that an increase in export stimulates demand for goods which leads to increase in output, and as a country’s output increases, the economic performance also takes a similar trend. Finally, government expenditure (GE) had a negative effect on the GDP growth rate which may be explained by the increased government expenditures which are funded by either tax or borrowing. Therefore, what is required for countries like Tanzania is to have better debt management strategies as well as prudential financial management while maintaining to remain within the internationally acceptable debt level of 45% of GDP and maintain a GDP growth rate of not less than 5%. It is important for the country to realize from where to borrow from, the tenure, the risks involved and limitations to borrowing and thus set the right balance of combination of both kinds of debt. Another requirement is to properly utilize the borrowed funds. The central government’s objective should be to use the funds in more development-oriented projects that bring positive returns to the economic development.  The government should not only create a right environment and policies for investment to attract investment from domestic and foreign sources but also be cautious about the kind of investments that the foreign investors make.

Assessing Growth Impact of Public Debt in Sri Lanka

2020 ◽  
pp. 097674792091747
Author(s):  
Suvra Prokash Mondal ◽  
Biswajit Maitra
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Asian Country ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation ◽  
The Impact

Whether public debt spurs economic growth is an unsettled issue in both theoretical and empirical grounds. The issue has attracted lots of attention to economists and policymakers in recent times. This article addresses the debt–growth issue in the case of a small emerging south Asian country—Sri Lanka. The impact of external, domestic debt, in association with a set of financial variables on income, is assessed for an extended period of 1965–2017, and also for the post-reform period of 1978–2017. The article finds some robust evidence that external debt is not beneficial; rather it depresses income. The impact of domestic debt and foreign aid on income is trivial. On the other hand, gross fixed capital formation and money supply spur income growth, whereas the impact of openness to trade is dismaying, and all these findings are invariant across the extended period and the post-reform periods. The results have policy implications for the long-term sustained economic growth of Sri Lanka. JEL: H63, F35, O40, C22

scholarly journals Reflection of public debt in financing deficit, capital investments and economic growth in Kosovo and level comparison with other countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 2083-2090
Author(s):  
Refik Kryeziu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Capital Investments ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The Public ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Finance Development ◽  
History Of ◽  
High Level ◽  
Constant Growth

In this paper, we present the processes of public debt development in Kosovo for the period of its functioning, respectively from 2009 until 2018. There is no long history of it, but there is a dynamic constant growth. The methodology used in this paper is based on empirical study analysis, and the scientific literature we have elaborated has found that many thinkers who support public debt with arguments justify this non-fiscal instrument to finance the budget deficit as well as some others who object it. In addition to the international debt with 42% share, in 2012, the domestic debt began to function, with securities issuing at 58%. Along with the country's economic growth, we have also increased budget, and GDP growth. While every year we have an average economic growth of 3.2% to 3.5%. In 2013, compared to 2012, the budget increase is 1.96%, in 2016 compared to 2015 is 7%. In 2017 compared to 2016 we have a growth of 8.31%. In 2009, the debt-to-GDP ratio had a share of 6.12%, in 2014 it reached 10.65%, in 2017 the share of debt to GDP (GDP) was 16.63% and in Q3 of 2018 it was 16.92 %. In the countries of the region and the European Union we have different levels. Most states have a high level of debt to GDP.The study of the literature review was carried out using selected four databases containing publications. Research has been done to find out how much the public debt level is based on the specifics of the economy and fiscal policy in Kosovo. In addition to the dynamics of public finance development, public debt has also been realized.

The Impact of Domestic Debt on Economic Growth of Nigeria

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Donatus Onogbosele ◽  
Mordecai Ben
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Impact
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