scholarly journals Predicting the price of a stock using regression analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleg Rudzeyt ◽  
Artem Zainetdinov ◽  
Anton Nedyak ◽  
Petr Ragulin
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Practical Importance ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
High Tendency ◽  
Technical And Fundamental Analysis

At the moment, there is a high tendency towards investing financial resources for additional earnings on stock exchanges, their speculations, etc. A large number of people work on trading platforms, buy or sell stocks, which causes their price to change in different periods. On the basis of their prices, charts are formed, according to which technical and fundamental analysis is performed to build a strategy for earning and forecast not even the price of a stock, but the direction of movement of its value in the direction of growth or decrease. To obtain an answer to this question, they resort to various methods of studying the historical data of stocks, studying their qualitative indicators, as well as mathematical forecasting methods. This article examines an example of how the algorithm for predicting the stock price at the close of the trading day on the market. The method, which will provide information about the stock price, is based on the use of linear regression analysis. This method is best suited for research, because stock price charts are linear. The method of regression analysis allows you to take into account such factors as the cyclical recurrence of trends and tendencies of increase or decrease in the value of a stock, the length of the trading period, during which historical data is obtained and studied, etc. The authors also studied the work of the forecasting algorithm based on regression analysis and studied factors affecting accuracy – the size of the training sample, the amount of historical data, the number of days for which the price will be predicted in the future. In the course of the study, information was obtained on the accuracy of forecasting stock prices, which is 96 % depending on the currency in which the stock is traded and the company that issued it. It should be noted that the accuracy of the forecast is also affected by the volume of historical data and the financial position of the corporation in the market. The materials are of practical importance for the development of decision support systems in economic sectors. The developed model can be used as a basis for helping to make decisions for trading on the stock exchange.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Return On Assets (ROA Terhadap Harga Saham dengan Earning PerShare (EPS) sebagai Intervening (Studi Kasus pada Perusahaan Sub SektorTekstil dan Garmen yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2013-2016)

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Fiona Mutiara Efendi ◽  
Ngatno Ngatno
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The Relationship

The rapid development of capital markets are now attracting the attention of people andcapital owners to invest in capital markets. During the year 2013-2016 the average stock price of the textile and garment enterprises sub-sector experienced a fluctuating condition. The financial ratios that are suspected to affect the ups and downs of stock prices are ROA and EPS. The population of this research are 15 Textile and Garment Sub-Sector Companies listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013-2016. The analysis technique used is linear regression analysis with SPSS program. This study aims to determine the effect of ROA on stock prices through EPS as a mediator. The results showed that ROA has no significant effect on stock prices, but ROA has a significant influence on the mediation variable that is EPS. EPS variable has positive and significant effect to stock price. ROA and EPS have a significant effect on stock prices. EPS is fully mediated variable and can significantly mediate the relationship between ROA and stock prices. Based on the analysis results, can be concluded that the variables that affect the stock price is EPS, while the ROA variable does not affect the stock price. As well as EPS variables can mediated the relationship between ROA and stock prices. The results of this research, it is expected the company further increase the profitability of the company in order to increase the stock price so that it can give benefit the company and investors.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Kurs, Suku Bunga, dan Dividen Pershare Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Sektor Perbankan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2013– 2017

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-33
Author(s):  
Atika Riziqyani ◽  
Gunistiyo ◽  
Niken Wahyu C
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Share Price

The effect of exchange rate, interest rate and dividend of share price on banking sector which is listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange year 2013-2017. Essay. Tegal: Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Pancasakti Tegal,2018. The purpose of this study is to determine the ability of investors in considering stock prices in the banking sector in 2013-2017. Hypothesis in this research is 1) exchange rate effect on stock price. 2) interest rates affect the stock price. 3) dividend pershare effect on stock price. 4) exchange rate, interest rate and dividend pershare simultaneously affect the stock price. The population used in this study is a banking company that publishes stock prices listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013-2017. The sample in this research are 21 banking companies. With technique of sampling using purposive sampling. The data in this research is quantitative data. Sources of data in this study are secondary sources obtained from the share price of an annual banking company published in Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2013-2017. Data collection techniques using documentation techniques. Data analysis method using descriptive statistic, classical assumption test, simple linear regression analysis, multiple linear regression analysis and coefficient of determination, then obtained the result of research that the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on stock prices, the interest rate does not significantly influence the stock price, against stock price, exchange rate, interest rate and dividend pershare have significant effect to stock price.

scholarly journals Dampak tax avoidence terhadap harga saham dengan corporate governance dan ukuran perusahaan sebagai variabel moderating

JURNAL PUNDI ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunita Valentina Kusufiyah ◽  
Dina Anggraini
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Tax Avoidance ◽  
Tax Planning ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Tax Expense

The main purpose of a company that has go public is to generate profits in order to increase the prosperity of shareholders through increasing the value of the company. One of the management efforts to increase the value of the company is to reduce tax expense. Tax expense can be optimized through tax planning action. One of tax planning that does not violate the law one of them is by tax avoidance. Tax planning can be applied if Good Corporate Governance is done by management. This research aims to examine the effect of tax avoidence on the stock price of manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The research  aims to prove whether Corporate Governance and company size can moderate the effect of Tax Avoidance on the stock price of manufacturing companies listed on IDX. The research methodology used in this research is regression analysis that is linear regression analysis. The findings of this study that tax avoidence has an influence on stock prices. The management of the tax expense gets the attention of shareholders so as to raise the stock price.

scholarly journals PENGARUH EARNING PER SHARE (EPS) DAN PERTUMBUHAN PENJUALAN TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN FARMASI YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA (BEI)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Desi Nurul Hikmati Ilahiyah
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Sales Growth ◽  
Earnings Per Share

On investing in the capital market one thing that must be considered is the stock price. The price of shares offered on a stock exchange is related to the achievements of the company. The share price can be purchased by earnings per share (EPS) and sales growth. The purpose of this study was to study the effect of earnings per share (EPS) and sales growth on the stock prices of pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange (IDX). The population in this study were 11 pharmaceutical companies that were accepted on the Stock Exchange and sampled through purposive sampling techniques as many as 9 companies in the 2015-2019 period. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis. EPS partial research results positive and significant EPS on EPS stock prices EPS has tcount (54,435)> ttable (2,02439), on the other hand, partial sales growth, positive and significant effect on stock prices, economic growth, thitung sales value ( -3,525) table (-2.02439). Simultaneous EPS and positive and significant growth in stock prices due to the results obtained Fcount (1560,773)> Ftable (3.25).

scholarly journals Profitabilitas Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Sektor Industri Dasar Dan Kimia

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Ajeng Septianti ◽  
Diah Yudhawati ◽  
Supramono Supramono
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Profit Margin ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Net Profit

The purpose of this research is to analyze the influence of Return On Equity (ROE), Net Profit Margin (NPM) to stock price in 2011-2017. This study uses secondary data, the sample in this study as many as 28 data derived from livestock feed companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2011 to 2017 and include complete financial report data. Sampling technique using purposive sampling technique or sampling based on certain considerations and criteria. The analytical method used is simple linear regression analysis and multiple linear regression analysis with first classical asusmsi test which includes normality test, heteroscedasticity test, autocorrelation test. The results of this study show that partially Return On Equity (ROE) has a positive and insignificant effect on price, Net Profit Margin (NPM) has a positive and insignificant effect on stock prices. Simultaneously Return On Equity (ROE) and Net Profit Margin (NPM) have positive and insignificant effect to stock price at company of basic industry and kumia subs of poultry feed listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) year 2011- 2017.

scholarly journals Pengaruh NPM, ROA, ROE terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan LQ45

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 1258
Author(s):  
Kannia Aulia Sahari ◽  
I Wayan Suartana
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Fundamental Analysis ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Research Population ◽  
Profitability Ratios

The purpose of this study is to determine the movement of stock prices, namely fundamental analysis where profitability ratios are often used in fundamental analysis, namely NPM, ROA and ROE This research was conducted on companies incorporated in the 2014-2018 LQ45 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The research population is 68 companies. Samples were selected using a purposive sampling technique so that the number of samples obtained was 26 companies and the number of observations over 5 years was 130 observations. Data analysis techniques using multiple linear regression analysis. Based on the results of this analysis show that NPM and ROA have no effect on stock prices so that they are unable to increase share prices in companies incorporated in the LQ45 index, while ROE affects stock prices so the higher the ROE level the higher the stock prices at companies incorporated in the LQ45 index. Keywords: NPM; ROA; ROE; Stock Price.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN PERUSAHAAN, KEBIJAKAN UTANG, COLLATERALIZABLE ASSETS, DAN UKURAN PERUSAHAAN TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DIVIDEN PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2012-2014

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-82
Author(s):  
Loh Wenny Setiawati ◽  
Lusiana Yesisca
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Firm Growth ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Corporate Value ◽  
Debt Policy

Companies that issued shares to raise funds, must set aside some of the profits to be distributed as dividends. Dividend policy is a policy of how large distributions to the company's shareholders in proportion to the number of shares owned. Companies should establish a policy of dividend because the distribution of dividend will have an impact on corporate value as reflected in stock prices. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis which were processed using SPSS version 22. This study aimed to examine the effect on firm growth, debt policy, collateralizable assets, and firm size to dividend policy of the company. The sample used in this study were 105 companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange from the period 2012-2014. Empirically, it was found that the firm growth and firm size were affected to the dividend policy of the company, while the debt policy and collateralizable assets were not affected to the dividend policy of the company.

scholarly journals The The Effect of Profitability (Return on Investment) and Financial Risk Against Stock Price Before Covide-19

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-99
Author(s):  
Deni Sunaryo
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Return On Investment ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Spare Parts ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Simultaneous Test

The discussion leads to the effect of profitability of return on investment (ROI) and financial risk on stock prices which shows the inequality of the results of previous studies. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine whether the difference has a relationship between return on investment (ROI) profitability and financial risk to the stock price under study. This research uses automotive industry and spare parts companies in the Southeast Asia Stock Exchange for the 2012-2018 period. The method used was purposive sampling to obtain 10 companies that present complete financial statements, so as many as 70 samples were obtained. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis, partial test and simultaneous test. The results of the partial study concluded that the profitability of return on investment (ROI) and financial risk have a significant effect on stock prices. The results of the study simultaneously return on investment (ROI) profitability and financial risk has a significance level of 0.001 <0.05 then simultaneously states that profitability return on investment (ROI) and financial risk have a significant effect on stock prices. Future studies are expected to add or replace variables and methodologies of other sub-sectors

scholarly journals Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Harga Saham PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk.

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ha Sudoni ◽  
Eti Suminartika ◽  
Ernah Ernah
Keyword(s):  
Palm Oil ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Crude Palm Oil ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Market Leader

Perkebunan kelapa sawit dengan komoditas utama minyak sawit atau Crude Palm Oil (CPO) merupakan sektor strategis dalam perekonomian Indonesia dengan memberikan kontribusi di tahun 2017 senilai USD 18,28 milyar atau 9,6 % terhadap ekspor nasional. Meski demikian sepanjang tahun 2010 sampai dengan tahun 2018 harga CPO dalam trend menurun. Penurunan harga CPO ini sejalan dengan penurunan harga saham perkebunan kelapa sawit di Bursa Efek Indonesia. PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk merupakan salah satu perusahaan perkebunan kelapa sawit yang harga sahamnya mengalami penurunan. Oleh karena itu investor yang akan berinvestasi di sektor perkebunan melalui bursa efek perlu melakukan penilaian dalam pengambilan keputusan investasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi harga saham PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk. Hasil penelitian dengan menggunakan alat analisis regresi linier berganda didapat faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi harga saham PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk adalah harga CPO, harga saham market leader, kurs rupiah, Return On Equity dan Earning Per Share.Kata Kunci: Harga saham, Harga CPO, Saham market leader, Return On Equity, Earning Per ShareABSTRACTOil palm plantations with the main commodity palm oil or Crude Palm Oil (CPO) are a strategic sector in the Indonesian economy by contributing in 2017 valued at USD 18.28 billion or 9.6% of national exports. However, throughout 2010 up to 2018 CPO prices were in a downward trend. The decline in CPO prices is in line with the decline in the prices of oil palm plantations on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk is a palm oil plantation company whose share price has decreased. Therefore investors who will invest in the plantation sector through the stock exchange need to make an assessment in making investment decisions. This study aims to identify the factors that influence the stock prices of PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk. The results of the study using multiple linear regression analysis tools obtained factors that influence the price of PT London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk stock prices are CPO prices, market leader stock prices, rupiah exchange rates, Return On Equity and Earning Per Share.Keywords: Stock price, CPO price, Market leader stock, Return On Equity, Earning Per Share

scholarly journals PENGARUH UKURAN PERUSAHAAN DAN PENERIMAAN OPINI GOING CONCERN TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hesekiel Siregar ◽  
Putri Nurmala
Keyword(s):  
Consumer Goods ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Going Concern ◽  
Size Acceptance ◽  
Going Concern Opinion

This study aims to determine the effect of firm size and acceptance of a going concern opinion on stock prices. In this study, the object of which is manufacturing firms listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) in the consumer goods sector to the period from 2011 until 2015. In this study, the data used is data based on annual financial reports obtained through the site www .idx.co.id and sahamm price report data obtained through www.sahamok.com site. The sampling method this study using purposive sampling counted 17 manufacturing companies in the consumer goods sector for 5 years for a total observation in this study to 85 data. Statistical calculations used to test the hypothesis in this study is the associative analysis and verification analysis. Analysis consisted of deskriktif statistical verification, classic assumption test, multiple linear regression analysis, analysis of determination, f test, t test. The results of this research shows that the size of the companies have a significant effect on stock prices and the acceptance of a going concern opinion does not affect the stock price.�Key Words: Company Size, Acceptance of Going concern Opinion, Stock Price

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