scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF AIR OVER THE ATLANTIC-EUROPEAN SECTOR

Author(s):  
Leonid M. Akimov ◽  
◽  

On the basis of the calculated Laplacians of the geopotential 1000hPa, the features of the spatial and temporal distribution of vertical current fields at the surface of the earth in the northern hemisphere over the Atlantic-European sector, limited by longitudes of 90o w.l. – 90o e.l., in different seasons of the year and revealed their temporal dynamics. Greater temporal stability of the spatial position of the elements of vertical air movement is noted. Their directionality remains unchanged in different seasons of the year, with a slight change in flow intensity over time. It was revealed that the intensity of vertical streams in high latitudes is 1,5–2 times higher than in low latitudes.

2014 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
pp. 58-67
Author(s):  
Ruta Puziene ◽  
Asta Anikeniene ◽  
Gitana Karsokiene

In the research of vertical movements of the earth’s crust, examination of statistical correlations between the measured vertical movements of the earth’s crust and territorial geo-indexes is accomplished with the help of mathematical statistical analysis. Availability of the precise repeated levelling measuring data coupled with the preferred research methodology offer a chance to determine and predict recent vertical movements of the earth’s crust. For the inquiry into recent vertical movements of the earth’s crust, a Lithuanian class I vertical network levelling polygon was used. Drawing on measurements made in the polygon, vertical velocities of earth’s crust movements were calculated along the following levelling lines. For determining the relations shared by vertical movements of the earth’s crust and territorial geo-parameters, the following territory-defining parameters are accepted. Examination of the special qualities of relations shared by vertical movements of the earth’s crust and geo-parameters in the territory under research contributed to the computation of correlation matrices. Regression models are worked out taking into consideration only particular territory-defining geo-parameters, i.e. only those parameters which exhibit the following correlation coefficient value of the vertical earth’s crust movement velocity: r ≥ 0.50. A forecast of the velocities pertaining to vertical movements of the earth’s crust in the territory under examination was made with the application of regression models. Further in the process of this research, a map was compiled specifying the velocities of vertical movements of the earth’s crust in the territory. In the eastern part of this territory, the earth’s crust rises at a rate of up to 3 mm/year; while in the western part of it, the earth crust lowers at a rate of up to –1.5 mm/year. In order to pinpoint territories characterised by temperate and regular rising/lowering or intensive rising/lowering, a map of horizontal gradients of recent vertical earth crust movements in the territory enclosed by levelling polygon was compiled.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1695
Author(s):  
Weixiao Han ◽  
Chunlin Huang ◽  
Juan Gu ◽  
Jinliang Hou ◽  
Ying Zhang

The lake ice phenology variations are vital for the land–surface–water cycle. Qinghai Lake is experiencing amplified warming under climate change. Based on the MODIS imagery, the spatio-temporal dynamics of the ice phenology of Qinghai Lake were analyzed using machine learning during the 2000/2001 to 2019/2020 ice season, and cloud gap-filling procedures were applied to reconstruct the result. The results showed that the overall accuracy of the water–ice classification by random forest and cloud gap-filling procedures was 98.36% and 92.56%, respectively. The annual spatial distribution of the freeze-up and break-up dates ranged primarily from DOY 330 to 397 and from DOY 70 to 116. Meanwhile, the decrease rates of freeze-up duration (DFU), full ice cover duration (DFI), and ice cover duration (DI) were 0.37, 0.34, and 0.13 days/yr., respectively, and the duration was shortened by 7.4, 6.8, and 2.6 days over the past 20 years. The increased rate of break-up duration (DBU) was 0.58 days/yr. and the duration was lengthened by 11.6 days. Furthermore, the increase in temperature resulted in an increase in precipitation after two years; the increase in precipitation resulted in the increase in DBU and decrease in DFU in corresponding years, and decreased DI and DFI after one year.


2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-23
Author(s):  
Elias da Costa ARAUJO ◽  
Lucas Pereira MARTINS ◽  
Marcelo DUARTE ◽  
Gisele Garcia AZEVEDO

ABSTRACT Rainfall is one of the most influential factors driving insect seasonality in the Amazon region. However, few studies have analyzed the temporal dynamics of fruit-feeding butterflies in the Brazilian Amazon, specially in its eastern portion. Here, we evaluated the diversity patterns and temporal distribution of fruit-feeding butterflies in a remnant of eastern Amazon forest in the Baixada Maranhense, northeastern Brazil. Specifically, we tested whether fruit-feeding butterflies are temporally structured and whether rainfall influences species richness and abundance. Butterflies were collected with baited traps in both the rainy and dry seasons for two consecutive years. In total, we captured 493 butterflies belonging to 28 species, 15 genera and eight tribes. Three species comprised about half of the overall abundance, and Satyrinae was the most representative subfamily. The fruit-feeding butterfly assemblage showed a strong temporal structure during the second year of sampling, but not during the first year. Species composition and richness did not differ between rainy and dry seasons, and neither abundance nor richness was influenced by rainfall. Our results indicate that seasonality is not a strong environmental filter in this region, and that other biotic and abiotic factors are probably driving the community structure. The predominance of palms in the Baixada Maranhense, which are used as host plants by larvae of several lepidopteran species (specially satyrines) and are available year-round, might have contributed to the observed patterns of temporal diversity.


Author(s):  
Alexander O. Faddeev ◽  
Svetlana A. Pavlova ◽  
Tatiana M. Nevdakh

Introduction. For the purposes of this article, geodeformation processes mean processes associated with deformations arising from the movement of species and blocks of the lithosphere at various depths, including surfaces. The objective is to reconstruct geodynamic stress fields, which cause modern shifts and deformations in the Lithosphere. A mathematical model and software for estimating the stress-strain state of the Earth Lithosphere are considered. Materials and Methods.For mathematical modeling of stresses, isostatically reduced data on abnormal gravitation field were used. The methods of continuum mechanics and methods of the theory of differential equations were used to design a model for estimating the stressstrain state of the Earth Lithosphere. For processing input, intermediate and outcoming data, the Fourier transform method of spectral analysis for constructing grid functions and spectral-temporal method were used. To model for the stress-strain state of the Lithosphere globally, stress calculation was corrected on the basis of sputnik-derived velocity data at the surface of the earth crust. The data on the rates of horizontal and vertical movements at the surface of the Earth crust were processed to obtain a distribution of velocities in the uniform grid embracing longitudes and latitudes. The processing procedure was carried out on the basis of the Kraiging method. The software was developed in Borland Delphi 7.0 programming environment. Results. Based on the data on the abnormal gravitation field in isostatic reduction and information on the distribution of velocities of horizontal motions on the surface of the Earth crust, a mathematical model of the stress-strain state of the Lithosphere was constructed. With the help of the obtained mathematical model and software complex, the stress-strain state of the Lithosphere was calculated at various depth using elastic and elastic-viscous models, and maps of equipotential distribution of shear elastic-viscous deformations in the lithosphere at the depth of 10 km were constructed. Discussion and Conclusion. The presented mathematical model and software allow restoring fields of both elastic and elastic-viscous deformations that is fundamental for quantification of elastic-viscous shear stresses deep in the Earth Lithosphere.


2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (04) ◽  
pp. 5956-5963
Author(s):  
Xianfeng Tang ◽  
Huaxiu Yao ◽  
Yiwei Sun ◽  
Charu Aggarwal ◽  
Prasenjit Mitra ◽  
...  

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is widely used in various domains, such as meteorology and traffic. Due to limitations on data collection, transmission, and storage, real-world MTS data usually contains missing values, making it infeasible to apply existing MTS forecasting models such as linear regression and recurrent neural networks. Though many efforts have been devoted to this problem, most of them solely rely on local dependencies for imputing missing values, which ignores global temporal dynamics. Local dependencies/patterns would become less useful when the missing ratio is high, or the data have consecutive missing values; while exploring global patterns can alleviate such problem. Thus, jointly modeling local and global temporal dynamics is very promising for MTS forecasting with missing values. However, work in this direction is rather limited. Therefore, we study a novel problem of MTS forecasting with missing values by jointly exploring local and global temporal dynamics. We propose a new framework øurs, which leverages memory network to explore global patterns given estimations from local perspectives. We further introduce adversarial training to enhance the modeling of global temporal distribution. Experimental results on real-world datasets show the effectiveness of øurs for MTS forecasting with missing values and its robustness under various missing ratios.


1972 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. I. Walcott

Vertical movements of the earth's surface related to postglacial rebound, the eustatic rise in sea level and the elastic deformation of the globe due to melting of late glacial ice sheets are calculated for simplified models of the earth. The movements of the ground are large and require a reevaluation of what is meant by eustatic sea level change. This is defined here as an ocean-wide average change in mean sea level and its measurement requires widely distributed observations weighted according to the areas of oceans they represent. Evidence of a postglacial (6000-0 years BP) relative rise in sea level comes largely from regions affected by ground subsidence related to adjacent upward postglacial rebound movements in deglaciated areas: evidence for a relative fall of sea level comes from coastlines well removed from areas of rebound and which have been affected by a rise of the continental areas through compensation for the eustatic load. It is concluded: (1) no substantial eustatic change of sea level in the past 6,000 years is required to explain postglacial sea levels: (2) in late glacial time the eustatic curve is probably more like the sea level curve of Texas and Mexico than that of the Atlantic seaboard of the United States: (3) that the information of past sea levels, when sufficiently widespread, can provide an important method of studying the deep mechanical structure of the earth.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 451-468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Gignac ◽  
Monique Bernier ◽  
Karem Chokmani

Abstract. A reliable knowledge and assessment of the sea ice conditions and their evolution in time is a priority for numerous decision makers in the domains of coastal and offshore management and engineering as well as in commercial navigation. As of today, countless research projects aimed at both modelling and mapping past, actual and future sea ice conditions were completed using sea ice numerical models, statistical models, educated guesses or remote sensing imagery. From this research, reliable information helping to understand sea ice evolution in space and in time is available to stakeholders. However, no research has, until present, assessed the evolution of sea ice cover with a frequency modelling approach, by identifying the underlying theoretical distribution describing the sea ice behaviour at a given point in space and time. This project suggests the development of a probabilistic tool, named IcePAC, based on frequency modelling of historical 1978–2015 passive microwave sea ice concentrations maps from the EUMETSAT OSI-409 product, to study the sea ice spatio-temporal behaviour in the waters of the Hudson Bay system in northeast Canada. Grid-cell-scale models are based on the generalized beta distribution and generated at a weekly temporal resolution. Results showed coherence with the Canadian Ice Service 1981–2010 Sea Ice Climatic Atlas average freeze-up and melt-out dates for numerous coastal communities in the study area and showed that it is possible to evaluate a range of plausible events, such as the shortest and longest probable ice-free season duration, for any given location in the simulation domain. Results obtained in this project pave the way towards various analyses on sea ice concentration spatio-temporal distribution patterns that would gain in terms of information content and value by relying on the kind of probabilistic information and simulation data available from the IcePAC tool.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 6560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junliang Qiu ◽  
Xiankun Yang ◽  
Bowen Cao ◽  
Zhilong Chen ◽  
Yuxuan Li

Urbanization in China has been expanding dramatically since 1978, significantly affecting the extreme temperature changes in cities, which is a vital indicator of urban climate change. To assess urban-related effect on regional extreme-temperature changes in China, this study employed high-resolution land use data to divide meteorological stations into rural stations, suburban stations, and urban stations, and evaluated the annual and seasonal changes in extreme minimum temperature (TNN), mean temperature (Tavg) and extreme maximum temperature (TXX) at each meteorological station. The result revealed that extreme temperature indices (TNN, TXX) and Tavg increased significantly from 1960 to 2016 with varied degrees in different seasons and different regions. Extreme temperature indices in high latitudes increased more rapidly than in low latitudes; while the trends in summer are slower than in other seasons. Urbanization effects on the trends of TNN, Tavg and TXX were all statistically significant, but urbanization effects on TNN and Tavg were more significant than TXX. The urbanization effects were more significant in low altitudes, especially in North, South, Northwest and Northeast China. In North, Northwest and Northeast China, the urban-related effects on temperature increase were mainly observed in spring and winter, but in South China, the urban-related effects were more evident in summer. This study is valuable for sustainable urban planning in China.


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