scholarly journals Painful Points of Russian Strategic Development

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 006-025
Author(s):  
Alexander B. Gusev ◽  
◽  
Alexey A. Shiryaev ◽  

The paper examines the external dependence of the Russian economy in the context of foreign sanctions, the withdrawal of capital from the Russian Federation abroad, the implemented management models of the largest domestic companies (mining sector, banks, retail, communications) and the attraction of cheap labor resources in the interests of domestic business. The thesis that a significant segment of the national economy does not de facto belong to the country is substantiated. It is determined that foreign citizens are allowed to make important corporate decisions at the system level, including attracting foreign labor and withdrawing capital abroad. The example of PJSC "Magnit" shows the replacement of Russian management with a foreign one in the context of the sanctions imposed against the Russian Federation. It is estimated that as of the end of 2020, about 50% of the country's GDP has been accumulated and placed abroad in the form of direct and portfolio investments from the Russian Federation. The response measures taken in the Russian Federation to foreign sanctions pressure could not reverse this negative situation. The replacement of the indigenous population of the Russian Federation by labor migrants with their gradual consolidation on the territory of the country in the future may lead to social and political risks that can manifest themselves most extensively during the internal crisis. The implementation of a nationally oriented scenario of socio-economic development remains difficult. This course of development can be implemented if the current model of the functioning of the national economy changes.

2007 ◽  
pp. 63-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Navoi

The article analyzes the situation with attraction of foreign direct investments (FDI) into the Russian Federation. Sharply increased inflow of international financial resources into national economy has highlighted the problem of definitions, the reasons of this phenomenon and its economic contents. The article considers methodological aspects and economic essence of modern FDI. Special accent is made on the estimation of the situation with their attraction into Russia, FDI structure and effectiveness. The conclusions about basic directions of the increase of their effectiveness in the Russian economy are formulated.


2021 ◽  
Vol 284 ◽  
pp. 07015
Author(s):  
Lyudmila Kopteva ◽  
Irina Romanova ◽  
Angela Mottaeva

Macroeconomic dynamics is in the focus of attention of the scientific community due to the fact that it characterizes the key trends in the development of the national economy. The basic indicator in the system of national accounts is the gross domestic product (GDP), which in general form is the aggregate value of all goods and services produced within the national economy. GDP is widely used in the analysis of economic growth trends. Economic growth, creating conditions for it – the most important goal of economic development, both within the framework of ensuring the economic security of the entire national economy and at the level of an individual enterprise. Nowadays, economic development is characterized by an accelerated rate of scientific and technological progress: new technologies and approaches are being created that have higher efficiency. From a microeconomic point of view, the main factors of production are labor, capital and information. Fixed capital investments (buildings, structures, machinery and equipment) are a key instrument for renewing fixed assets. Investment activity is the process of renewing the capital of an enterprise as a result of modernizing its technical and technological base, which ensures its economic security. Investments, along with government spending, are key drivers of economic growth. As a result, we can confidently assert the high importance of investment activities, both throughout the country and at the level of individual economic entities, as well as their economic independence. The paper shows the ways to intensify economic growth and intensify investment activities in order to ensure the economic security of the Russian Federation.


Author(s):  
N. P. Tikhomirov ◽  
A. V. Novikov

The article studies specific features of relatively new risks of declining the level of social and economic stability of states due to acts of terrorism and approaches to their estimation and prevention. Specificity of these risks are shown, which are connected with unlimited spheres of activity and methods of terrorists, vagueness of their reasoning and so on, which determines the high level of uncertainty in probability estimation, damages and other consequences of their activity. The structure of damages was systemized, within the frames of which direct and indirect damages in different fields of national economy and population of global community were identified. Estimation of such damaged which took place in different countries was provided. Unique characteristics of risks of terroristic attacks were given, which differ from other types of economic risks and predetermine the necessity to develop specific steps and strategies of their prevention. Key lines in the activity aimed at reducing risks of terroristic threats were discussed that stipulate disclosing basic factors promoting their appearance, estimation of conditions and trends in their development and elaboration of methods counteracting such threats. Legal basis of counteracting terrorism in the Russian Federation was considered that imply strengthening the role of state in the struggle against this phenomenon, for example by allocation of necessary finance resources directed to the development of accessible network of information, to the improvement of objects’ safeguarding, insurance protection of the population and other lines in anti-terrorist activity. The author discusses possible approaches to estimation of probability of terroristic attacks by using binary and multiple choice with regard to indicators showing conditions of their conducting.


Author(s):  
Alexander Vladimirovich Prokopyev

The paper analyzes and systematizes the basic catego-ries related with threats to the economic security of the Russian Federation, and establishes the relationship of their components in accordance with Federal regulatory legal documents. It provides an overview of the ap-proaches contained in the works of different authors in relation to the formation of the composition of threats to the economic security of the state and the assess-ment of their relevance. As a result, it is concluded that it is necessary to improve existing methods for as-sessing economic security threats for the national economy. The author’s method of calculating an inte-gral indicator for assessing threats to the economic security of the Russian Federation, based on a system of indicators grouped into clusters, is proposed. The initial approbation of the methodology was carried out on the basis of the author’s estimates of threshold val-ues and significance levels of indicators of economic security threats.


2021 ◽  
pp. 33-48
Author(s):  
R.R. Gumerov ◽  
I.A. Kirichenko

The article is devoted to the substantiation of methodological approaches to the identification and assessment of long-term socially significant effects of state programs of the Russian Federation. In this regard, the domestic methodology and practice of developing and evaluating the effectiveness of state programs of the Russian Federation are subjected to critical analysis. It is stated that in the adopted model of assessing efficiency («as is»), socially significant effects of government programs are assessed indirectly through the program outcomes and indicators, and such an approach significantly reduces the completeness and reliability of the estimates obtained. The proposed model for assessing «how it should be», based on the implementation of the principles, procedures and tools used in the best foreign practice for assessing the effects of state programs, will increase the level of substantiation of the contribution of state programs of the Russian Federation to the socio-economic development of the country, individual industries and spheres of the national economy, human capital. Among the innovations are: differentiation of the concepts of «efficiency» and «effectiveness» of the state program; identification of the entire spectrum of effects (including external and negative) generated by program activities; assessment of the social and economic effects of government programs as additional benefits of the national economy, its individual sectors and spheres, the population in comparison with the so-called «status quo» scenario. During the transition period, it is proposed to use a number of analytical procedures to assess the effects of government programs of the Russian Federation based on the available information and currently adopted methods for their development and effectiveness assessment (on the example of several government programs).


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 724-739
Author(s):  
Aleksei V. LEBEDEV ◽  
Elena A. RAZUMOVSKAYA

Subject. We consider financial parameters of the Russian Federation economy. Objectives. The purpose is to assess the condition of the financial system of the Russian Federation based on the analysis of financial parameters of the national economy. Methods. The study employs analytical and expert methods on the basis of the analysis of data of the Bank of Russia and the Federal State Statistics Service. Results. The paper analyzes certain financial parameters of the Russian national economy, i.e. investments in fixed assets by fixed asset type, the country's external debt, the national currency rate of exchange, in comparison with indicators, characterizing the condition of the financial system, i.e. capitalization of commercial banks, monetary aggregates, the volume of reserves of the Bank of Russia. The analysis shows a better dynamics against that predicted at the beginning of the crisis period. Conclusions. To justify the assessment of the condition of the financial system, it is necessary to rely on a deeper analysis of a wider range of indicators, both economic and financial.


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