scholarly journals Long-term Non-Invasive ECG-based Risk Stratification of Sudden Cardiac Death: Extended 5-year Results

Author(s):  
Elena Okisheva ◽  
Dmitry Tsaregorodtsev ◽  
Vitaly Sulimov

<p>Objectives: To evaluate predictive value of heart rate turbulence (HRT), deceleration capacity (DC) and microvolt T-wave alternans (mTWA) for risk stratification for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients after myocardial infarction (MI) during 60 months of follow-up.</p><p>Methods: We studied 111 patients after MI occurred &gt; 60 days (27 [9; 84] months) before enrollment (84 men; mean age 64.1±10.5 years). All subjects had 24-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring with HRT, DC and mTWA evaluation. Follow-up period was 60 months; primary endpoint was SCD, secondary endpoint included all non-sudden cardiovascular deaths.</p><p>Results: During follow-up, we registered 19 cases of SCD and 11 cases of non-sudden cardiovascular deaths (including 7 fatal MI and 3 fatal strokes). DC had high negative predictive value (97.4% for all-cause mortality and 93.7% for SCD). DC values below 4.15 for all-cause mortality and 2.0 for SCD significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (OR 8.5, 95% CI 2.9 to 24.6, р&lt;0.001) и SCD (OR 9.6, 95% CI 3.2 to 28.5, р&lt;0.001). Combined risk assessment at 12 months revealed that the most significant combination was HRT2 and mTWA100 &gt; 53 mcV, which increased risk both of all-cause mortality (30.7-fold) and SCD (63.3-fold); however, at 60 months this predictive value for SCD decreased (OR = 20.8 (95% CI 2.8 to 114.0), p &lt;0.001).</p>Conclusion: Evaluation of HRT, DC and mTWA during 24-hour ECG monitoring may define the high risk of cardiovascular mortality and SCD in post-MI patients especially during the first 12 months after the baseline examination.

EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
OE Turan ◽  
RY Yilancioglu ◽  
C Alak ◽  
AA Baskurt ◽  
B Hunuk ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Drugs with the potential to prolong QT are used in the treatment of coronavirus 19 (COVID-19) pneumonia. We have developed a telemedicine-based corrected QT (QTc) follow-up algorithm that allows early rule out for follow up. Aims In this study, we investigated the availability and safety of the algorithm. Study design Retrospective cohort Methods Consecutive patients; administered hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) for COVID-19 pneumonia were enrolled into digital ECG recording program which includes QTc follow-up algorithm. Results Patients were classified into three groups as those, excluded promptly from the QTc follow-up based on two consecutive ECG findings (early rule out, n = 92) and those, for whom the follow-up was continued (n = 12) and usual care group (n = 68). Of note, 237 ECG tracings were performed in our algorithm population contrary to standard practice of daily recommended ECG monitoring which could have yielded 975 ECG tracings along with accompanied risks of exposure. This way; we ended in 738 (75.7%) fewer ECG tracings. Sustained ventricular arrhythmia or sudden cardiac death was not observed in the entire patient population. Conclusions It is safe to rely on telemedicine-based early rule out algorithm in COVID-19 patients, receiving hydroxychloroquine treatment. This algorithm abolished the need for further ECG in majority of patients without increased risk during follow up. These algorithms can significantly reduce the healthcare worker exposures by eliminating the need for ECG follow-up promptly. Abstract Figure. Covid-19 Follow up Algorithm


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
N Soroush ◽  
A Aarnoudse ◽  
F Shokri ◽  
M Van Den Berg ◽  
F Ahmadizar ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Digoxin is one of the oldest cardiovascular medications still used to treat heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Due to its narrow therapeutic window, it is associated with life threatening intoxication and arrhythmias, and with QTc-shortening. Common genetic variation in the nitric oxide synthase-1 adaptor protein (NOS1AP) has been associated with QTc interval prolongation. Purpose We investigated whether the rs10494366 variant of the NOS1AP gene modified the risk of SCD in patients using digoxin. Methods In a prospective population-based cohort study, we included data of the three cohorts, started as of January 1st, 1991 until January 1st 2014. Digoxin current use on the date of cardiac death in cases and the same day of follow-up in the remainder of the cohort was a time-dependent exposure. The main outcome was SCD defined as sudden and unexpected death as a result of cardiac causes, according to international criteria. Identification and adjudication of SCD was performed independently, before the start of this study. We used Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to investigate the associations between NOS1AP rs10494366 variant and incident SCD among digoxin users compared to non-users. Associations were adjusted for age, sex (model 1) in addition to BMI, prevalent diabetes, myocardial infarction, baseline hypertension and smoking status (past, current, never) (model 2). Results We included 14,594 individuals, with a mean age of 65.3 (SD 10.3) years. Almost 59% were female. The cumulative incidence of SCD was 9.5% (609 cases) by the end of follow up. Among them, 98 (16%) individuals were exposed to digoxin at the time of death. In model 1, NOS1AP rs10494366 variant was not associated with SCD in the total study population. However, an interaction term of the gene with the daily dose of digoxin was significantly associated with increased risk of SCD (p-value 0.0001). In model 2, the risk of SCD in current users of digoxin was 4.2 [95% CI 1.3–13.8] for the GG genotype; 2.1 [95% CI 1.1–4.2] for the GT genotype, and 1.5 [95% CI 0.7–3.2] for the TT genotype. Conclusion NOS1AP rs10494366 variant modified the risk of sudden cardiac death in users of digoxin. Our study suggests that individuals with the homozygous minor GG allele have a fourfold increased risk of sudden cardiac death. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyun Yu ◽  
Juanhui Pei ◽  
Xiaoyan Liu ◽  
Jingzhou Chen ◽  
Xian Li ◽  
...  

The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether CC-AAbs levels could predict prognosis in CHF patients. A total of 2096 patients with CHF (841 DCM patients and 1255 ICM patients) and 834 control subjects were recruited. CC-AAbs were detected and the relationship between CC-AAbs and patient prognosis was analyzed. During a median follow-up time of 52 months, there were 578 deaths. Of these, sudden cardiac death (SCD) occurred in 102 cases of DCM and 121 cases of ICM. The presence of CC-AAbs in patients was significantly higher than that of controls (bothP<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that positive CC-AAbs could predict SCD (HR 3.191, 95% CI 1.598–6.369 for DCM; HR 2.805, 95% CI 1.488–5.288 for ICM) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.733, 95% CI 1.042–2.883 for DCM; HR 2.219, 95% CI 1.461–3.371 for ICM) in CHF patients. A significant association between CC-AAbs and non-SCD (NSCD) was found in ICM patients (HR = 1.887, 95% CI 1.081–3.293). Our results demonstrated that the presence of CC-AAbs was higher in CHF patients versus controls and corresponds to a higher incidence of all-cause death and SCD. Positive CC-AAbs may serve as an independent predictor for SCD and all-cause death in these patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 633-644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Alessio Farcomeni ◽  
Giulio Francesco Romiti ◽  
Arianna Di Rocco ◽  
Filippo Placentino ◽  
...  

Aims Many clinical scores for risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation have been proposed, and some have been useful in predicting all-cause mortality. We aim to analyse the relationship between clinical risk score and all-cause death occurrence in atrial fibrillation patients. Methods We performed a systematic search in PubMed and Scopus from inception to 22 July 2017. We considered the following scores: ATRIA-Stroke, ATRIA-Bleeding, CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED, HATCH and ORBIT. Papers reporting data about scores and all-cause death rates were considered. Results Fifty studies and 71 scores groups were included in the analysis, with 669,217 patients. Data on ATRIA-Bleeding, CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED were available. All the scores were significantly associated with an increased risk for all-cause death. All the scores showed modest predictive ability at five years (c-indexes (95% confidence interval) CHADS2: 0.64 (0.63–0.65), CHA2DS2-VASc: 0.62 (0.61–0.64), HAS-BLED: 0.62 (0.58–0.66)). Network meta-regression found no significant differences in predictive ability. CHA2DS2-VASc score had consistently high negative predictive value (≥94%) at one, three and five years of follow-up; conversely it showed the highest probability of being the best performing score (63% at one year, 60% at three years, 68% at five years). Conclusion In atrial fibrillation patients, contemporary clinical risk scores are associated with an increased risk of all-cause death. Use of these scores for death prediction in atrial fibrillation patients could be considered as part of holistic clinical assessment. The CHA2DS2-VASc score had consistently high negative predictive value during follow-up and the highest probability of being the best performing clinical score.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreea Andronesi ◽  
Luminita Iliuta ◽  
Bogdan Obrisca ◽  
Bogdan Sorohan ◽  
Gabriela Lupusoru ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
R. W. Roudijk ◽  
K. Taha ◽  
M. Bourfiss ◽  
P. Loh ◽  
L. van den Heuvel ◽  
...  

AbstractIn relatives of index patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, early detection of disease onset is essential to prevent sudden cardiac death and facilitate early treatment of heart failure. However, the optimal screening interval and combination of diagnostic techniques are unknown. The clinical course of disease in index patients and their relatives is variable due to incomplete and age-dependent penetrance. Several biomarkers, electrocardiographic and imaging (echocardiographic deformation imaging and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging) techniques are promising non-invasive methods for detection of subclinical cardiomyopathy. However, these techniques need optimisation and integration into clinical practice. Furthermore, determining the optimal interval and intensity of cascade screening may require a personalised approach. To address this, the CVON-eDETECT (early detection of disease in cardiomyopathy mutation carriers) consortium aims to integrate electronic health record data from long-term follow-up, diagnostic data sets, tissue and plasma samples in a multidisciplinary biobank environment to provide personalised risk stratification for heart failure and sudden cardiac death. Adequate risk stratification may lead to personalised screening, treatment and optimal timing of implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation. In this article, we describe non-invasive diagnostic techniques used for detection of subclinical disease in relatives of index patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-89
Author(s):  
Moises Rodriguez-Gonzalez ◽  
Ana Castellano-Martinez ◽  
Alvaro A. Perez-Reviriego

Asymptomatic VPE refers to the presence of this abnormal ECG pattern in the absence of any symptoms. The natural history in these patients is usually benign, and most children (60%) with VPE are usually asymptomatic. However, Sudden Cardiac Death (SCD) has been reported to be the initial symptom in many patients too. The increased risk of SCD is thought to be due to the rapid conduction of atrial arrhythmias to the ventricle, via the AP, which degenerates into Ventricular Fibrillation (VF). The best method to identify high-risk patients with asymptomatic VPE for SCD is the characterization of the electrophysiological properties of the AP through an Electrophysiological Study (EPS). Also, catheter ablation of the AP with radiofrequency as definitive treatment to avoid SCD can be performed by the same procedure with high rates of success. However, the uncertainty over the absolute risk of SCD, the poor positive predictive value of an invasive EPS, and complications associated with catheter ablation have made the management of asymptomatic VPE challenging, even more in those children younger than 8-year-old, where there are no clear recommendations. This review provides an overview of the different methods to make the risk stratification for SCD in asymptomatic children with, as well as our viewpoint on the adequate approach to those young children not included in current guidelines.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas S Papazoglou ◽  
Anastasios Kartas ◽  
Athanasios Samaras ◽  
Evangelos Akrivos ◽  
Ioannis Vouloagkas ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: There are limited data on the association of diabetes mellitus (DM) and levels of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients who were recently hospitalized with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF from December 2015 through June 2018. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox-regression adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were calculated for the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and for the secondary outcomes of cardiovascular (CV) mortality and the composite outcome of CV death or hospitalization. Competing-risk regression analyses were performed to calculate the cumulative risk of stroke, major bleeding, AF- or HF-hospitalizations adjusted for the competing risk of all-cause death. Spline curve models were fitted to investigate associations of HbA1c values and mortality among patients with AF and DM.Results: In total 1140 AF patients were included, of whom 373 (32.7%) had DM. During a median follow-up of 2.6 years, 414 (37.3%) patients died. The presence of DM was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (aHR=1.40 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.11-1.75), CV mortality (aHR=1.39, 95% CI: 1.07-1.81), sudden cardiac death (aHR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.19-2.52), stroke (aHR=1.87, 95% CI: 1.01-3.45) and the composite outcome of hospitalization or CV death (aHR=1.27, 95% CI: 1.06-1.53). In AF patients with comorbid DM, the spline curves showed a positive linear association between HbA1c levels and outcomes, with values 7.6-8.2% being independent predictors of increased all-cause mortality, and values <6.2% predicting significantly decreased all-cause and CV mortality.Conclusions: The presence of DM on top of AF was associated with substantially increased risk for all-cause or CV mortality, sudden cardiac death and excess morbidity. HbA1c levels lower than 6.2% were independently related to better survival rates suggesting that optimal DM control could be associated with better clinical outcomes in AF patients with DM.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Waldmann ◽  
A Bouzeman ◽  
R Koutbi ◽  
F Bessiere ◽  
A Hermida ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The electrocardiogram (ECG) is widely available and may contribute to a better risk stratification for sudden cardiac death in patients with tetralogy of Fallot. QRS duration has been consistently associated with outcomes, with a lack of specificity for sudden mortality and a relatively low predictive value. New markers such as QRS fragmentation and vectocardiographic parameters have been recently suggested. Purpose To identify ECG predictors of appropriate therapies in patients with tetralogy of Fallot and implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD). Methods The DAI-T4F study is a large ongoing national French registry including all patients with tetralogy of Fallot and ICD (NCT03837574). Information have been collected prospectively since 2010 with annual update. Baseline patient characteristics and clinical events during the follow-up were analyzed with central adjudication. Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify factors associated with appropriate ICD therapies. Results A total of 134 patients (median age 41.7 years, 70.7% males) were enrolled. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 6.1 (2.7–10.2) years, 59 (44.0%) patients received at least one appropriate ICD therapy, giving annual incidence of 5.5% and 7.1% in primary and secondary prevention, respectively (p=0.058). Overall, QRSd ≥180ms (p=0.073), QRS fragmentation (p=0.052), and QRS vector magnitude (vm, p=0.327) were not significantly associated with appropriate ICD therapies, whereas QRS fragmentation in right leads (HR=1.7, 95% CI: 1.1–2.9, p=0.039) and the association of QRSd ≥180ms and overall QRS fragmentation (HR=1.9, 95% CI: 1.1–3.4, p=0.036) were associated with an increased risk of appropriates ICD therapies. In patients with ICD for primary prevention (47 patients, 35.1%), 53.8% had QRS fragmentation, 48.6% had decreased QRS vm, and 41.0% had QRSd ≥180ms. In this group, while non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) considered isolated was not associated with ventricular events during follow-up (p=0.069), respective combinations with QRSd ≥180 ms (HR=7.2, 95% CI: 1.6–32.7, p=0.011), QRS fragmentation (HR=3.8, 95% CI: 1.2–12.4, p=0.025), or decreased QRS vm (HR=3.6, 95% CI: 1.1–12.1, p=0.042) were all associated with a higher incidence of appropriate ICD therapies. Positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 0.33 and 0.85, 0.58 and 0.74, and 0.36 and 0.84 in patients with NSVT and QRS ≥180ms, NSVT and QRS fragmentation, and NSVT and decreased QRS vm, respectively. Conclusions Our findings highlight that cumulative risk score derived from ECG may contribute to improve risk stratification in patients with tetralogy of Fallot, in particular QRS fragmentation and QRS vm in association with QRS duration and other traditional risk factors.


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