scholarly journals Monetary Policy: Short-Term Stabilization versus Long-Term Risks

2014 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Zamrazilová
Keyword(s):  
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 194
Author(s):  
Rami Obeid ◽  
Bassam Awad

The global financial crisis emphasized the important role of the prudent monetary policy in supporting economic growth through maintaining price stability. The monetary policy operational framework that was designed in 2008 was updated to include more instruments for managing monetary policy learning from the crisis lessons. Several studies analyzed various dimensions related to economic growth in Jordan such as Abdul-Khaliq, Soufan, and Abu Shihab (2013) and Assaf (2014), there were no studies that investigated the effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Jordan, at least recently, however. The study aims at measuring the effect of monetary policy instruments on the performance of Jordanian economy. Using quarterly data covering the period (2005-2015), an econometric model was examined using Vector Error Correction Model to assess the impact of monetary policy instruments on economic growth. The foremost advantage of VECM is that it has a nice interpretation of long-term and short-term equations. The results showed the existence of positive long-term and short-term effects of monetary policy instruments on the growth of real GDP. The model included three monetary policy instruments besides money supply. They are required reserve ratio, rediscount rate and overnight interbank loan rates as independent variables, and the real GDP growth as a dependent variable. The stationarity of the model time series was addressed. In addition, the stability of the model was tested using stability diagnostics tools. The results showed also an existence of inverse relationship between rediscount rate and economic growth in Jordan over both long and short terms.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 757
Author(s):  
Nur Laili ◽  
Hendri Tanjung

The development of the fisheries sector in Indonesia should get more attention, especially in efforts to increase fishing businesses, limited financial access is still a problem that must be faced by the fisheries sector. Thus, Islamic banking can play a significant role in providing financing for the development of national fisheries. This study analyzes the factors that influence fisheries financing in Islamic banking in Indonesia and how efforts to increase fisheries sector financing. The processed data source is the monthly statistics of the Islamic banking industry from October 2014 to May 2019, and the method of analysis of this study uses VAR / VECM. The results showed that the NPF and PUAS affect fishery financing in the short term negatively and significantly. Whereas in the long term INF, NPF, PUAS, and ISBIS negatively affect fishery financing, as for CAR, and FDR affects fishery financing positively. Furthermore, SBK, and MRP do not affect fishery financing, both short-term and long-term. This study recommends an increase in the proportion of fishery financing along with an increase in Islamic banking capital, increased monitoring of fishery financing, and strengthening of national monetary policy instruments.Keywords: fisheries financing, Islamic banking, VAR/VECM


Author(s):  
Djimoudjiel Djekonbé ◽  
Ningaye Paul ◽  
Nafé Daba

The objective of this article is to analyze the effects of procyclical variations of the capital requirements for risk coverage on financial stability in the CEMAC[1]. In order to achieve this objective, we have specified and estimated a panel VAR model using the structural factorization method on quarterly Central Bank data over the period 2006-2017. Firstly, the results show that procyclical capital adjustments in the CEMAC region lead to short-term financial instability through the contraction of credit to the private sector. Secondly, despite the low level of financial development, the effects maintained by the adjustment of monetary policy instruments in the short term remain significant on price stability. Finally, in the long term, the procyclicality of regulatory capital makes it possible to revive economic activity and guarantee financial stability. These results lead us to recommend the adoption of a more discretionary monetary policy so as to make more procyclical the capital requirement.     [1] Economic Community of Central African States comprising Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo, Gabon and Equatorial Guinea.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 194-214
Author(s):  
Uzah K. C. ◽  
Clinton A.M. ◽  
Kpagih L.

This study examined the interest rates channel of the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the earnings of commercial banks in Nigeria. The objective was to investigate the extent to which the interest rates channel of the monetary policy transmission mechanism affects the earnings capacity of the quoted commercial banks. Time series data were sourced from annual financial reports of the commercial banks and the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin’s various issues. Earnings measures such as earnings per share and earnings before interest and tax were modeled as the function of Monetary Policy Rate, Prime Lending Rate, Short-term Savings Rate, Long-term Saving Rate and Maximum Lending Rate. The Ordinary Least Square method of Regression Analysis was used to estimate the relationship between the dependent and the independent variables. Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Johansen Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test and Vector Error Correction Test were used to determine the dynamic relationship among the variables. Findings showed that short-term and long-term savings rates have negative effects while monetary policy rate, maximum lending rate and prime lending rate have positive effects on the earnings capacity of Nigerian commercial banks. Therefore, we recommend that interest rate policies should be integrated with the earning objectives of the commercial banks.


2016 ◽  
Vol 68 ◽  
pp. 358-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matteo Cacciatore ◽  
Romain Duval ◽  
Giuseppe Fiori ◽  
Fabio Ghironi

Author(s):  
Le Phan Thi Dieu Thao ◽  
Nguyen Thi Thu Trang

This paper examines the degree of pass-through and adjustment speed of retail interest rates in response to changes in monetary policy rates in commercial banks of Viet Nam during the period 07/2004 to 06/2014. The results show that the degree of pass-through of retail interest rates is incomplete but high (0.7-0.93). The adjustment speed of money market rates & retail interest rates is relatively slow. It takes from 3 to 6 months for money market rates & retail interest rates to be adjusted to long-term equilibrium, except 1 month VNIBOR. 1 month VNIBOR is sensitive to changes of discount rate & refinancing rate in short-term, contrary to 3 month VNIBOR . The degree of pass-through from market rates to retail interest rates is fairly high in the long-term but low in the short-term. The degree of pass-through is different between various retail interest rates. Specifically, the degree of pass-through of deposit rates is higher than that of lending rates both in the short-term & long-term.


2022 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faridsky Faridsky ◽  
Syarwani Canon ◽  
Boby Rantow Payu

This study aims to determine the impact of monetary policy and FDI on economic growth and discuss it. The monetary indicator variables used are inflation, interest rates and exchange rates. The data used in this study are secondary data in 1990-2019 sourced from data from the Central Bureau of National Statistics and the World Bank. The analysis model in this study uses Multiple Linear Regression with the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis model. The results of the analysis show that in the long term monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) have a significant effect on economic growth. And in the short term FDI has a significant effect on economic growth. It is concluded that monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) are the main variables that affect economic growth in the long and short term.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 568-583
Author(s):  
Nur Laili ◽  
Hendri Tanjung

The development of the fisheries sector in Indonesia should get more attention, especially in efforts to increase fishing businesses, limited financial access is still a problem that must be faced by the fisheries sector. Thus, Islamic banking can play a significant role in providing financing for the development of national fisheries. This study analyzes the factors that influence fisheries financing in Islamic banking in Indonesia and how efforts to increase fisheries sector financing. The processed data source is the monthly statistics of the Islamic banking industry from October 2014 to May 2019, and the method of analysis of this study uses VAR / VECM. The results showed that the NPF and PUAS affect fishery financing in the short term negatively and significantly. Whereas in the long term INF, NPF, PUAS, and ISBIS negatively affect fishery financing, as for CAR, and FDR affects fishery financing positively. Furthermore, SBK, and MRP do not affect fishery financing, both short-term and long-term. This study recommends an increase in the proportion of fishery financing along with an increase in Islamic banking capital, increased monitoring of fishery financing, and strengthening of national monetary policy instruments.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.


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