scholarly journals Reasonable Limiting 7-day Incidence per Hundred Thousand Value in Germany

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Kröger ◽  
Reinhard Schlickeiser
Keyword(s):  
Past Experience ◽  
Dramatic Reduction ◽  
German Hospital ◽  
Hospital System ◽  
The Past ◽  
Limiting Value ◽  
Triage Decisions ◽  
Hospital Capacities

Based on the hospital capacities, facts from the past experience with the Covid-19 virus and the dark number of infections D=10D_{10} a reasonable limiting value of 170/D_{10} for the monitored 7-day incidence per 100000 persons value (MSDIHT) in Germany is calculated. If the MSDIHT is held below this limiting value the German hospital system can cope with the number of new seriously infected persons without any triage decisions. A significant improvement to an almost complete testing of the population would lead to dramatic reduction of the current dark numer value to D_{10}=0.1 so that ten times higher MSDIHT values of 1700 are acceptable. Such a high limiting value would spare Germany from its currently imposed strict lockdown. The costs for such extensive and complete testing campaigns are highly justified as they are orders of magnitudes below the estimated economical costs of more than 3.6 billion Euros for each lockdown day.

scholarly journals Reasonable Limiting of 7-Day Incidence per Hundred Thousand and Herd Immunization in Germany and Other Countries

COVID ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-136
Author(s):  
Reinhard Schlickeiser ◽  
Martin Kröger
Keyword(s):  
Past Experience ◽  
German Hospital ◽  
Threshold Values ◽  
Hospital System ◽  
Second Wave ◽  
Limiting Value ◽  
Triage Decisions ◽  
Hospital Capacities

Based on hospital capacities, facts from past experience with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) virus and the number of dark infections during the second wave (DII=2D2), a reasonable limiting value of 140/D2 for the 7-day incidence per 100,000 persons (MSDIHT) and a second wave herd immunization threshold fraction value of 0.26 in Germany were calculated. If the MSDIHT is held below this limiting value, the German hospital system can cope with the number of new seriously infected persons without any triage decisions. On the basis of the SIRV epidemics model, the classical threshold values for herd immunization were calculated for 18 countries. For these countries, the dates regarding when herd immunization against the second COVID-19 wave will be reached were estimated.

Physical Interpretations of Mathematical Expressions, as a Potent Tool of Engineering

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shmariahu Sam Yedidiah
Keyword(s):  
Common Sense ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
Case Histories ◽  
Actual Case ◽  
The Past ◽  
Mathematical Expressions

The presented study demonstrates the enormous potentials of translating mathematical expressions into their relevant physical meanings. In the past, such translations have proven capable of explaining the cause(s) of phenomena, which seemed to defy all principles of common sense. In other cases, they were able to rectify deeply rooted misconceptions, which haunted the engineers for many decades. Among others, they have revealed the need for revising everything what has been done in the last eight decades in relation to the head developed by an impeller. All the above conclusions are here supported by actual case histories from past experience. The discussions presented in this study relate directly to the design of centrifugal and other rotodynamic pumps. However, there exist strong indications, that such translations may prove equally useful also in other fields of engineering.

Life histories and the perspective of the present

2004 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margaretha Järvinen
Keyword(s):  
Life History ◽  
Theoretical Approach ◽  
Life Histories ◽  
Theoretical Framework ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
The Self ◽  
George Herbert ◽  
True Self ◽  
George Herbert Mead ◽  
The Past

The purpose of the article is to suggest a development of the narrative life history tradition along the lines represented by George Herbert Mead and Paul Ricoeur. This theoretical approach is presented as an alternative to both subjectivist approaches, that continue the search for the solitary, true self behind the life histories, and to structuralist approaches, in which the self and its past experience disappears. In the article a theoretical framework is sketched that a) focuses on “the perspective of the present” but does not lose sight of the past, and b) emphasizes the interactionist dimensions of life histories but also pays attention to the self and its ongoing projects. The reasonings of Mead and Ricoeur are applied to a series of empirical examples, drawn from different areas of life history research. (Time, Narrative, Emplotment, Life Histories, Self, Mead, Ricoeur)

Theorising the EU in crisis: de-Europeanisation as disintegration

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben Rosamond
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
European Integration ◽  
Real World ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
The Past ◽  
Perfect Storm ◽  
Eu Studies ◽  
The Eu

The current 'perfect storm' of European crises seems to provide evidence that the EU is suffering from severe tensions that could reverse many of the key integration gains of the past seven decades. The presence of apparently existential threats to the EU has provoked calls to theorise 'disintegration'. This presumes, first and foremost, that scholarship is lagging behind urgent real world developments. It could also be argued that any attempt to theorise integration should by definition be capable of theorising disintegration. EU studies scholarship has tended, in recent years, to shy away from the analysis of integration, developing instead a range of subliteratures that together presume institutional and systemic resilience. The paper makes three broad arguments. First, it notes that any return to the analysis of integration/disintegration presents a risk for scholarship, namely the fallacy of sampling from past experience to project future probabilities. Second, it demonstrates that earlier neofunctionalist scholarship had, in fact, developed quite sophisticated accounts of disintegration, which, in turn illustrated the importance of understanding the key role played by political economy and sociological dynamics in European integration. Finally, the paper explores the ways in which extant scholarly knowledge about the EU may inhibit the development of robust policy understanding of potentially disintegrative dynamics.

Managing talent in human resource : a Knowledge Discovery in Database (KDD) approach

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Hamidah Jantan ◽  
Abdul Razak Hamdan ◽  
Zulaiha Ali Othman
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Knowledge Discovery ◽  
Human Resource ◽  
Talent Management ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
Analysis Approach ◽  
Development Finance ◽  
The Past ◽  
Knowledge Discovery In Database ◽  
The Right

In any organization, managing human talent is very important and need more attentions from Human Resource (HR) professionals. Nowadays, among the challenges of HR professionals is to manage an organization’s talent, especially to ensure the right person is assigned to the right job at the right time. Knowledge Discovery in Database (KDD) is a data analysis approach that is commonly used for classification and prediction; and this approach has been widely used in many fields such as manufacturing, development, finance and etc. However, this approach has not attracted people in human resource especially for talent management. For this reason, this paper presents an overview of some talent management problems that can be solved by using KDD approach. In this study, we attempt to implement one of the talent management tasks i.e. identifying potential talent by predicting their performance. The employee’s performance can be predicted based on the past experience knowledge which is discovered from existing databases. Finally, this paper proposes the suggested framework for talent management using KDD approach.

Temporal self-appraisal in a Chinese context: Distancing autobiographical memory following self-uncertainty salience

2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Qing Yang ◽  
Oscar Ybarra ◽  
Kees van den Bos ◽  
Yufang Zhao ◽  
Lili Guan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Autobiographical Memory ◽  
Cultural Context ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
Asian Culture ◽  
Chinese Sample ◽  
Chinese Context ◽  
The Past ◽  
East Asian Culture ◽  
Past Experiences

On the premise that individuals are inclined to self-enhance, in temporal self-appraisal (TSA) theory it is suggested that people can motivationally reconstruct subjective distances from their past self to serve that goal. However, given the mixed evidence found in an East Asian cultural context (i.e., Japan), it is important to test the cultural applicability of TSA in a different East Asian culture. Thus we tested the TSA of a Chinese sample, focusing on past-self distance reconstruction. The results supported the prediction suggested in TSA theory, in that participants tended to feel farther away from negative (vs. positive) past experiences. Further, this effect was greater when people were primed with a self-threat (i.e., self-uncertainty salience). These patterns were found independently of whether the past experience was recent (3 months ago) or in the distant past (3 years ago). Implications for crosscultural applicability of TSA theory are discussed.

Springs Eternal

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason O'Donoughue
Keyword(s):  
Media Coverage ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
Past Experience ◽  
Historical Significance ◽  
The Past ◽  
Present Practice ◽  
Political Forces

This chapter begins with discussion of the contemporary tensions and debates surrounding springs, including barriers to their conservation and the framing of the past in media coverage and springs conservation narratives. It then draws on entanglement theory to summarize the preceding chapters and examine the ways that springs are caught up with geological, hydrological, social, economic, and political forces. It argues that conservation can be fruitfully enhanced by an archaeological sensibility that draws attention to springs’ historical significance and to the remnants of the past still visible in the present. Indeed, the archaeological and historical significance of springs should be intrinsic to their value today. It further argues that there is continuity between past and present practice, with springs functioning as gathering places that draw people for ritual purposes. This continuity provides a bridge spanning the chasm of time and demonstrating the relevance of past experience to modern conundrums.

‘Nothing Ever Ends’:Angelopoulos and the Image of Duration

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asbjørn Grønstad
Keyword(s):  
Past Experience ◽  
Moving Image ◽  
Temporal Duration ◽  
The Past ◽  
Experiential Mode

This chapter examines Theo Angelopoulos' last film The Dust of Time (2008), describing it as an apotheosis to the director's visual investment in duration. In The Dust of Time, a voice-over declares that ‘nothing ever ends’. The dust of time is the obliviousness of history. It would seem that the temporality of history is couched in opacity, whereas the work of memory struggles to bring a sense of lucidity to the past, to past experience and, finally, to the experience of the past in the present. The chapter considers The Dust of Time's consistent foregrounding of duration as both aesthetic effect and experiential mode, and how Angelopoulos' films in general encapsulate both these senses of temporal duration: that is, as a phenomenon intimately connected with the nature of the moving image and, secondly, as the more thematic and philosophical notion that ‘nothing ever ends’.

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