scholarly journals Pneumonia Severity Index and CURB-65 score as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of COPD

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 247-253
Author(s):  
Pankaj Kumar Singh ◽  
Mohit Bhatnagar ◽  
Sandeep Nimba Deore ◽  
Mandeep Joshi ◽  
Tausif Ahmed ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 955-966
Author(s):  
Pankaj Kumar Singh ◽  
◽  
Mohit Bhatnagar ◽  
Sandeep Nimba Deore ◽  
Mandeep Joshi ◽  
...  

Aim and Objective: To investigate the role of Pneumonia Severity Index and CURB-65 score in patients with acute exacerbation of COPD with reference to Duration of hospital stay. Methods:In our study a total of 100 patients of COPD with acute exacerbation were included in the study from the tertiary care Centre, Kolkata for a period of 12 months from December 2015 to November 2016. Results: The relationship between Respiratory rate, Arterial pH, Urea and BUN levels, Blood glucose, Hematocrit level, pO2 as well as PSI and CURB-65 score in reference with duration of hospital was found to be significant. Our study revealed that PSI and CURB-65 score have good predictive capacity for in hospital deaths as well as duration of hospital stay. Conclusion: PSI and CURB -65 can predict the duration of hospital stay, with a good prognostic capacity. The role of PSI and CURB-65 in defining duration of hospital stay needs to be assessed by further studies on larger samples using Indian data for reference value. The present study is a stimulus to future research on role of PSI, CURB-65 as well as comorbidities in defining the outcome of acute exacerbations in COPD, one of the most dreaded respiratory diseases.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Yang ◽  
Chun Wan ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Jiangyue Qin ◽  
Lei Chen ◽  
...  

Community-acquired pneumonia is a common disease associated with high mortality. This retrospective study examined whether the neutrophil–lymphocyte count ratio (NLR), already widely used as an index of inflammation, can be used to predict in-hospital mortality of adults with community-acquired pneumonia. Clinical characteristics, CURB-65 and pneumonia severity index score of pneumonia severity, NLR, serum levels of C-reactive protein and procalcitonin, and in-hospital mortality were analyzed for 318 consecutive adults with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to West China Hospital between July 2012 and December 2013. The ability of NLR and other parameters to predict in-hospital mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results showed that NLR increased with increasing CURB-65 ( P < 0.05) and pneumonia severity index ( P < 0.05), and NLR correlated positively with serum levels of C-reactive protein (r = 0.239, P < 0.05) and procalcitonin (r = 0.211, P < 0.05). The median value of NLR was significantly higher among patients who died in hospital (11.96) than among those who were alive at the end of hospitalization (4.19, P < 0.05). Based on a cut-off NLR of 7.12, this index predicted in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 82.61% and specificity of 72.20% (area under ROC curve, 0.799). Predictive power was greater for the combination of NLR and serum levels of C-reactive protein and procalcitonin. These results suggest that NLR may be useful for predicting prognosis in Chinese adults with community-acquired pneumonia, and it may work better in combination with traditional markers.


Author(s):  
Dr. Sumit Prakash ◽  
Dr. Shruti Jain ◽  
Dr. Lalit Singh ◽  
Dr. Rajeev Tandon

Background:  COPD is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide and results in an economic and social burden that is both substantial and increasing .The modified DECAF score was derived for accurate prediction of mortality and risk stratification to inform patient care. Methods: Hospital based descriptive type of observational study was. After applying inclusion and exclusion criterias, study population for acute exacerbation of COPD was selected. Admission clinical data, including modified DECAF indices, and mortality were recorded. Results: In our study there was a statistically significant value (p <0.05) between grade of dyspnea, respiratory acidosis (pH < 7.30) and frequency of admission in the Modified DECAF score and in-hospital mortality of Acute Exacerbation of COPD. There was insignificant relationship between Eosinopenia & consolidation and in hospital mortality  Conclusion-We concluded that the Modified DECAF score is a powerful score to predict in hospital mortality from AECOPD. Keywords: COPD, DECAF, Exacerbations, Modified DECAF.


Author(s):  
Dr. Rajendra Kumar Saini ◽  
Dr. Jai Prakash Singh

INTRODUCTION: COPD is a chronic disease which involves the airways, lung parenchyma, and pulmonary vasculature and also has considerable systemic manifestations. This disease is progressive and there is gene–environment interaction and hence can be prevented by avoiding exposure to the noxious particles. Commonest attributing risk factor is cigarette smoking in any form or air pollution.The in-hospital mortality rate for acute exacerbation of COPD may range from 2.5% - 25%; readmission rates from 25% to 55% for those who survived, and 25% -50% of these patients may die within one year. Most important single most crucial parameter to determine the risk of mortality in patients experiencing acute exacerbation of COPD is the forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1). This DACF score can be useful in severely ill patients to predict mortality. This study was carried out to evaluate the DACF score as a clinical prediction of mortality for patients with acute exacerbation of COPD. MATERIAL AND METHODS: All patients admitted for an acute exacerbation of COPD during study period were included in the study. All included patients were cases of COPD confirmed with pulmonary function test i.e. forced expiratory volume in one second/forced vital capacity <0.7 and irreversible airway obstruction and were treated with a combination of various bronchodilators. The study included patients aged 40 years or older and who were admitted in the hospital and had a primary clinical diagnosis of AECOPD. Sociodemographic data was recorded which includes age, gender, comorbidities, and number of previous AECOPD. Plain chest x-ray, spirometry, electrocardiogram was carried out. Relevant tests such as ABG analysis, complete blood count, kidney function test, liver function test, and serum electrolytes were done. DACF score was calculated. RESULTS: A total of 124 patients were included in the study, out of which 104 (83.88%) survived and were placed in group 2 and 20 (16.12%) patients died during the hospital stay were placed in group 1. Hence, the overall in hospital mortality rate for AECOPD was 16.12%.FEV1 in non-survivors group was 38 ± 12.98 while in survivor group it was 45 ± 11.55. Long-term oxygen therapy was given to 11 (55%) in non-survival group while it was given to 20 (19.23%) in survivors group.DACF score was calculated, most common score was 3 (48, 39%). On DACF score 1 there were 2(10%) non survivors and 34 (33%) survivors.35% mortality was seen in score 4, while no survivor was found on same score, this was statistically significant (P<0.0001). on DACF score three, 25% patients died while 41% survived. Purulent sputum was observed in 90% of non survivors and 49% of survivors. Respiratory rate/min in Non-survivors (n=20) was 29.2±5.4 and in Survivors (n=104) was 25.4±3.8. Arterial blood gases analysis pH in Non-survivors (n=20) was 7.29±0.04 and in Survivors (n=104) was 7.45±0.08. paCO2 (mm Hg) in Non-survivors was 50.78±13.44 and in Survivors was 43.11±11.49. Body mass index (kg/m2) in Non-survivors was 21.65±7.4 and in Survivors was 26.97±8.9.63. CONCLUSION: DACF score can predicts mortality and effectively stratifies COPD patients admitted with acute exacerbations into survivors and non-survivor’s category and clinical tests such as PaCO2, arterial pH, purulent sputum can be used to predict the mortality in AECOPD.


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