(Identifying the Main Determinants of Consumer Price Growth in the Russian Economy Under the Inflation Targeting Policy)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
K Korishchenko ◽  
Nikolay Pilnik ◽  
Maria Ivanova
Keyword(s):  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Price Growth ◽  
Main Determinants

On the limits of the possibility of inflation targeting

2017 ◽  
pp. 71-87
Author(s):  
K. Korishchenko ◽  
N. Pilnik
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Econometric Model ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Exchange Rate Management ◽  
Price Growth ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Main Determinants

The purpose of this article is to identify the main determinants of consumer price growth in the Russian economy. To achieve this goal, the degree of influence on inflation of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia, tariff regulation and ruble exchange rate has been determined in the course of the work. The econometric model of inflation formation is used as a research tool depending on the dynamics of the main factors. The article explores the reasons for the significant growth in the volatility of the dollar and, as a consequence, its impact on consumer inflation. According to the presented model, the main volatility generators are the volatility of oil prices and the policy regime of exchange rate management.

Business-groups in Russian industries

2004 ◽  
pp. 121-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Avdasheva
Keyword(s):  
Industrial Organization ◽  
Economic System ◽  
Institutional Economics ◽  
Business Groups ◽  
Control Rights ◽  
Organization And Management ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Main Determinants ◽  
Soviet Economic System

The chapter of “Institutional Economics” textbook is devoted to the development of business-groups as a specific feature of industrial organization in the Russian economy. The main determinants of forming and functioning of business-groups such as allocation of property rights in Soviet enterprises, networks of directors and executive authorities in the Soviet economic system as well as import of new institutes and inefficient state enforcement are in the center of analysis. Origins, structure, organization and management within the groups and the role of shareholding and informal control rights are considered.

Regional effects of inflation targeting in Russia: Factors of heterogeneity and structural inflation rates

2019 ◽  
pp. 70-89
Author(s):  
Michael I. Zhemkov
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Structural Factors ◽  
Regional Effects ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Price Growth ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Communication Policies ◽  
Structural Levels

Inflation targeting in Russia implies maintaining stable low inflation at a level of 4% throughout the country. The presence of structural factors in some regions can determine deviations from the all-Russian inflation, which can lead to different effects of monetary policy in Russian regions. In this paper, we analyze regional heterogeneity of inflation and factors of inflation deviations from the national average, estimate structural levels of inflation in the regions of Russian Federation. These estimates confirm the presence of some regional factors of inflation deviations from the all-Russian indicator, such as the difference in productivity growth of the tradable and non-tradable sectors (Balassa—Samuelson effect), effective exchange rates, real incomes and product stocks. In addition, our results confirm the presence of regions with price growth rate above and below monetary policy target. The results of this research can be used for the development of monetary and communication policies.

Estimation of welfare costs of inflation: The case of Russia

2019 ◽  
pp. 55-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey M. Drobyshevskiy ◽  
Natalia V. Makeeva ◽  
Elena V. Sinelnikova-Muryleva ◽  
Pavel V. Trunin
Keyword(s):  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Welfare Costs ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Academic Literature ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Theoretical Approaches ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Quantitative Estimates ◽  
Positive Effect

This paper is devoted to the estimation of welfare costs of inflation, taking into account the peculiarities of the Russian economy. Theoretical approaches that are used in the literature to analyze the costs of inflation are discussed in the paper. It also provides an overview of the empirical studies of this topic. Research found in academic literature shows that the results of quantitative estimates are extremely sensitive to the choice of the functional form of the money demand equation, as well as to assumptions that are made to simplify the analysis, some of which do not fit Russian data. As a result, we have modified the standard approaches to estimating welfare costs of inflation, taking into account the monetization growth in Russia, and provide quantitative estimates of the magnitude of welfare costs of inflation. The results indicate a significant gain for economic agents in terms of real GDP with a decrease in inflation, which is regarded as a positive effect from the inflation targeting policy.

The Impossible Trinity» rule in the context of international experience

2019 ◽  
pp. 90-96
Author(s):  
M.P. Tskhovrebov ◽  
A.S. Tanasova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Theoretical Development ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Relevant Today ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Increased Sensitivity

The article is devoted to the «Trilemma» of the policy of the monetary authorities, or the «rule of impossible trinity». This policy compatibility rule, formulated more than 50 years ago, remains relevant today. Its reliability is generally confirmed by a number of empirical studies, although there are also suggestions on the need to adjust this economic and theoretical development. The corresponding discussion also affects the policy of the Bank of Russia (mega-regulator), which carries out inflation targeting in conditions of the free movement of cross-border capital and the use of a floating ruble exchange rate. Regarding the effectiveness of this policy, carried out in the presence of increased sensitivity of the Russian economy to external shocks, the authors express certain doubts.

scholarly journals Five Years of Inflation Targeting Without Economic Growth: What Should Be Changed? The Case of Russia

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Oscar Gasanov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Price Growth ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Stability ◽  
High Level

The article provides a review of approaches to assessing and analyzing the effectiveness of the interest rate and exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia in the period 2015-2019. Despite the decrease in the rate of price growth, inflationary expectations of economic agents remain at a high level. Monetary policy continues to be tight. The stability of the exchange rate to external shocks, expected from the introduction of inflation targeting and a free floating rate, did not happen. The complex of conditions that have developed due to geopolitical factors, low growth rates and the global economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic require the search for new targets, such as economic growth and exchange rate stability. To maintain the stability of the ruble exchange rate, it is recommended to sell foreign exchange reserves accumulated according to the "Budget rule" in an equivalent amount; to support the liquidity of banks during periods of an attack on the ruble, it should through foreign exchange REPO, and develop a derivatives market.

scholarly journals Russian economic policy: Challenges of growth

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Mau
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Regulation ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Social Dynamics ◽  
Growth Stimulation ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Global Problems ◽  
Economic Trends ◽  
Key Topics

The paper discusses the main challenges of Russian economy at the turning period from contraction to growth. The analysis is based on comparison of global economic trends and special features of Russian performance. Among global problems, it concentrates on prospects of “non-inflation growth”, perspectives of global currencies and the role of cryptocurrencies, central banks independence and their role in economic growth stimulation, new tasks and patterns of government regulation, inequality and growth. In the Russian case, the key topics are prospects of macroeconomic stimulation of growth, inflation targeting, new fiscal rule, social dynamics and new challenges to welfare state. The paper concludes that the main obstacles for economic growth in Russia are concentrated in the non-economic area.

Macroeconomic Preconditions of Realizationof a New Growth Model

2012 ◽  
pp. 4-24
Author(s):  
S. Drobyshevsky ◽  
S. Sinelnikov-Murylev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Average Price ◽  
Growth Path ◽  
Direct Control ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Budget Policy ◽  
Stable Growth

The model of the Russian economy that was formed in 2000s does not match a new stable growth path, though it helped to calmly overcome the crisis of 2008 and 2009. The state needs to provide stability in the fields being under its direct control: in the budget and monetary policy. In the budget policy we consider advantages and drawbacks of a New Budget Rule, which is based on long-term average price of oil. In the monetary sphere we vote for the policy of transition to inflation targeting and priority of low inflation against other goals of monetary authorities.

Inflation targeting in the world economy and in Russia

2019 ◽  
pp. 5-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boris A. Zamaraev ◽  
Anna M. Kiyutsevskaya
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Currency Crisis ◽  
Policy Regimes ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Consumer Prices ◽  
The World

The authors, analyzing features of realization of monetary policy under inflation targeting, show that its application and evolution are based on the objective reasons related to a decrease of consumer prices growth rates all over the world and an increase of the integration of the world economy. It led to the ineffectiveness of other monetary policy regimes in open economies. It is true also for the Russian economy that has passed the way from financial mechanisms of centralized economy to inflation targeting. Its approaches and instruments have been adjusted in accordance with Russian realities. The authors show that application of inflation targeting regime in Russia along with other measures of macroeconomic policy have become one of the elements of the system of maintaining financial stability after the 2014 currency crisis.

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