scholarly journals A Predictive Model for the US Non-profit Market; A Macro to a Micro Perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Francisco J Quevedo ◽  
Andrea Katherine Quevedo-Prince

The Non-Profit Sector contributes almost $1 trillion to the US economy, representing 5.4% of GDP, and generating over 12 million jobs in 2017. Researchers suggest that a better understanding of the factors that affect fundraising would be of great interest to policymakers and fundraisers. However, the workings of the sector are subject of much debate. Some relate its size to the Theory of Government Failure, while others propose that government funding does have a positive effect on revenues. Some have suggested they swing with Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but others contradict this view and contend that macroeconomic variables do not affect short-run dynamics. Some research found that non-profit revenues react more to economic upswings than downturns, but nationwide organizations relate the ups-and-downs to certain events, as they influence public awareness. Predictive modeling overall has focused on big-donor analytics, aimed at identifying potential sponsors. Our research set out instead to define a working model for the US Non-Profit Sector. After an exhausting search, we located complete time series for an emblematic segment, the environmental cause, Factor Analysis allowed us to pinpoint the independent variables. We found that Non-Profit Revenues (NPR) depend largely on Public Awareness, as measured by TV coverage, and on Disposable Personal Income (DPI), specifically: NPR = -4401.542 + 528.327(DPI) +23.121(TVCoverage) + Ɛ We replicated prior research, which sought out relationships between macro-economic variables and NPR. That study had discarded the correlation between GDP and NPR as obvious, but did not explore DPI as the determining factor, and stuck to single variable searches, finding a correlation between the Standard & Poors index and lagged NPR figures, with a correlation coefficient of 0.636. Our model’s Pearson's R came up to 0.935, with perfect significance levels. Confirmatory Factor Analysis reaffirmed the fit of our equation, with an R² of 0.87.

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Nicholas Bitar

Will the US sustain its economy after the tariff war with China, or will the economy regress? This paper offers a conceptual framework, based on the tenets of New-Keynesian theory, to answer this question. I anticipate that the tariff will have a positive effect on the GDP of the US economy in the short run while prices will rise. When adding the most recent reforms of interest cut by the Fed to 1.75% in September (2019) the model concludes a better outcome. Followed by an expansionary monetary policy by reducing the interest rate, the aftermath of the tariff war on China seems to have a positive impact on the US income and productivity. Obviously, some critics to the Trump Administration indeed shed light on the curtailed global and US social welfare that is caused by the inflationary effect of the tariff war, in addition to the deteriorating conditions for some trading sectors in the US which would certainly lead to unemployment. But the benefits to the US economy that are translated by the New-Keynesian theoretical framework show a positive impact on US production, employment, and GDP.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 427-431
Author(s):  
Aurelie M. C. Lange ◽  
Marc J. M. H. Delsing ◽  
Ron H. J. Scholte ◽  
Rachel E. A. van der Rijken

Abstract. The Therapist Adherence Measure (TAM-R) is a central assessment within the quality-assurance system of Multisystemic Therapy (MST). Studies into the validity and reliability of the TAM in the US have found varying numbers of latent factors. The current study aimed to reexamine its factor structure using two independent samples of families participating in MST in the Netherlands. The factor structure was explored using an Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) in Sample 1 ( N = 580). This resulted in a two-factor solution. The factors were labeled “therapist adherence” and “client–therapist alliance.” Four cross-loading items were dropped. Reliability of the resulting factors was good. This two-factor model showed good model fit in a subsequent Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) in Sample 2 ( N = 723). The current finding of an alliance component corroborates previous studies and fits with the focus of the MST treatment model on creating engagement.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Gallardo-Pujol ◽  
Eva Penelo ◽  
Cindy Sit ◽  
Montsant Jornet-Gibert ◽  
Carlos Suso ◽  
...  

Cultural differences in aggression are still poorly understood. The purpose of this article is to assess whether a tool for measuring aggression has the same meaning across cultures. Analyzing samples from Spain (n=262), US (n=344) and Hong-Kong (n=645), we used confirmatory factor analysis to investigate measurement invariance of the refined version of the Aggression-Questionnaire (Bryant & Smith, 2001). The measurement of aggression was more equivalent between the Chinese and Spanish versions than between these two and the American version. Aggression does not show invariance at the culture level. Cultural variables such as affective autonomy or individualism may influence the meaning of aggression. Aggressive behavior models can be improved by incorporating cultural variables.


2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christiane Baumeister ◽  
Gert Peersman

Using time-varying BVARs, we find a substantial decline in the short-run price elasticity of oil demand since the mid-1980s. This finding helps explain why an oil production shortfall of the same magnitude is associated with a stronger response of oil prices and more severe macroeconomic consequences over time, while a similar oil price increase is associated with smaller output effects. Oil supply shocks also account for a smaller fraction of real oil price variability in more recent periods, in contrast to oil demand shocks. The overall effects of oil supply disruptions on the US economy have, however, been modest. (JEL E31, E32, Q41, Q43)


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 850-868
Author(s):  
Shakeel Ahmad Sofi

The main aim of this research was to examine the effect of intrinsic attributes on impulsive buying behaviour among young consumers with special reference to Indian context. After employing exploratory factor analysis and confirmatory factor analysis on select consumers under the study, results showed that personality significantly shapes impulsive buying predispositions. Furthermore, select personality dimensions vis-à-vis expressive propensity, pleasure-seeking propensity, sociableness, emotional stability, conscientiousness and conserving propensity have significant bearing on the outcome of impulsive buying behaviour. In the current study, some of the select personality attributes comprising of expressive propensity, pleasure-seeking propensity and sociableness have been found to have positive effect on impulsiveness while other factors, namely, emotional stability, conscientiousness and conserving propensity have negative effect on the impulsiveness. These findings are paramount both from the perspective of consumer welfare advocates and corporates and could largely support them in their respective endeavours.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 281
Author(s):  
Anik Herminingsih

<p>This study aims to analyze the effect of transformational leadership on Organizational commitment through job satisfaction and employee engagement as mediating variables. Furthermore, as many as 112 nurses are involved as respondents, and the data are gathered with self-rating questionnaire. The Data are analyzed by using structural equation model. The confirmatory factor analysis shows that all questions in the instruments are valid and reliable. The research indicates that transformational leadershippositively and significantly affects on job satisfaction and employees’ engagement, but it does not have a direct effect on organizational commitment. Therefore, it is concluded that transformational leadership has a positive effect on organizational commitment mediated by job satisfaction and employee engagement. </p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Efrat Tirta Wijaya ◽  
Candra Vionela Merdiana

This study aimed to find out: (1) the influence of leadership style toward the work performance of employees in PT. TWC Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero), (2) the influence of motivation toward the work performance of employees in PT. TWC Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero), (3) the  influence of work  discipline toward the work performance of employees in PT. TWC Borobudur, Pramban an & Ratu Boko  (Persero), (4) the influence of leadership styles, motivation and work discipline simultaneously toward the work performance of employees in PT. TWC Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero). The  sample of  this  study was  the  employees  of  PT.  Taman Wisata Candi Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero), there were 130 employees  in total, by using the technique of simple insidental sampling. The multiple linear regression model was  used  for  collecting  the  data  in  this  study.  The  test  validity  used in the study was confirmatory factor analysis. From the test result, there were 20 questions fallen, those were the items in questioning: the variable of leadership style with 4 questions in total; 7 questions on the variable of motivation; 6 questions on the variable of work discipline; and  also 3 questions  on  work  performance,  from  22  questions  in  total  and all of the reliable questions. The result from this study showed that the variable on leadership style (X1) had an positive effect toward the work performance of PT. TWC Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero)’s employees. The variable of motivation (X2) influenced positively toward the work performance of the employees at PT. TWC Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero). The variable of work discipline (x3) had positive effect on the work performance  of  the  employees  at  PT.  TWC  Borobudur,  Prambanan  &  Ratu  Boko (Persero). The variable of leadership style, motivation and work discipline altogether or simultaneously had a significant effect toward the work performance of employee at PT. TWC Borobudur, Prambanan & Ratu Boko (Persero).


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 736
Author(s):  
Seunggyun Choi ◽  
Timothy J. Lee ◽  
Wansoo Hong

The Vietnamese home meal replacement (HMR) market is expected to face intensified competition due to economic development and urbanization. This study analyzes how the food consumption values of Vietnamese consumers affect the perceived reliability and intention to purchase Korean food in the form of HMRs and provides basic data to establish strategies for Korean HMRs to secure an advantage in an intensely competitive market. A survey was conducted with Vietnamese consumers who had used Korean HMRs before and are constantly using HMRs on a regular basis. To analyze the relationships between food consumption values, the reliability of Korean HMR, and the intention to purchase Korean HMRs, exploratory factor analysis, reliability analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, and covariance structural models were used. Among the factors of food consumption value, health, safety, time saving, and convenience have a positive effect on the reliability of Korean HMRs, while family and cost-effectiveness do not. Moreover, this reliability has a positive effect on the purchase intention of Korean HMRs. This study is significant in that while investigating Korean HMRs, it is pioneering research on Vietnamese consumers regarding HMRs. Therefore, the results of this study can be used to secure the competitiveness of Korean HMRs in the Vietnamese market.


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