scholarly journals Some Errors in Precipitation Measurements

1978 ◽  
Vol 9 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 145-160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keld Rømer Rasmussen ◽  
Christian Halgreen

The effect of gauge height, exposure and screening on systematic errors in rainfall estimation is investigated. Adhesion losses are found to be more than 2% of the annual precipitation, but for summer periods alone it can amount to over 5%. A statistical model using the square root of observations (corrected for adhesion) is found to be adequate to describe differences due to the aerodynamic effects. A correction formula is proposed.

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (9) ◽  
pp. 3501-3512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jong-Seong Kug ◽  
June-Yi Lee ◽  
In-Sik Kang

Abstract Every dynamical climate prediction model has significant errors in its mean state and anomaly field, thus degrading its performance in climate prediction. In addition to correcting the model’s systematic errors in the mean state, it is also possible to correct systematic errors in the predicted anomalies by means of dynamical or statistical postprocessing. In this study, a new statistical model has been developed based on the pattern projection method in order to empirically correct the dynamical seasonal climate prediction. The strength of the present model lies in the objective and automatic selection of optimal predictor grid points. The statistical model was applied to systematic error correction of SST anomalies predicted by Seoul National University’s (SNU) coupled GCM and evaluated in terms of temporal correlation skill and standardized root-mean-square error. It turns out that the statistical error correction improves the SST prediction over most regions of the global ocean with most forecast lead times up to 6 months. In particular, the SST predictions over the western Pacific and Indian Ocean are improved significantly, where the SNU coupled GCM shows a large error.


2021 ◽  
pp. 23-28
Author(s):  
Olena POSHYVALOVA

The work examines the statistical model for evaluation of the impact of climatic conditions on the crops production in Ukraine. The conducted content analysis of academic literary sources enables to arrive at conclusion that the majority of Ukrainian scholars consider changes in climatic zones of Ukraine a positive trend for crops production. It must be emphasized, nonetheless, that the increase in natural heat provision for crops production against the backdrop of a significant reduction in average annual precipitation considerably diminishes the sizes of cultivated and harvested areas, gross yield and overall crop yield of basic crops and perennial plantings. To perform calculations on key statistical indicators of crops production the following tools have been employed: methods of analysis of absolute, relative and average values; methods of elaboration and study of groupings; methods of analysis of the structure of statistical populations; methods of cross-impact analysis of indicators; methods of trend studies. The analysis concerned the dynamics of change in statistical indicators of crops production in Kherson oblast over the period of 1990–2019: gross yield of cereal and leguminous crops; total harvesting area of cereal and leguminous crops; wheat yields; cereal and leguminous crops production per capita. Periods of diverse degrees of occurrence of atmospheric precipitation in Kherson oblast according to the level of liquid saturation have been grouped: dry, medium, humid. It has been proved that winter wheat yields are affected by the following factors: size of the cultivation area and average annual precipitation. It is established that the digitalization of the agriculture contributes to the decrease in pressure on land and water resources, provision of conditions for “clean”, sustainable and eco-friendly agricultural products, increase in gross yield of crops, provision of conditions for efficient use of resources, capability of Big Data processing. Prospects for further research lie in elaboration of a multi-factor non-linear modeling of winter wheat yield with account for the factors of humus and soil pH; average annual atmospheric temperature, etc.


1970 ◽  
Vol 28 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 155-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. T. Bődy ◽  
K. M. Dede

1978 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 7-29
Author(s):  
T. E. Lutz

This review paper deals with the use of statistical methods to evaluate systematic and random errors associated with trigonometric parallaxes. First, systematic errors which arise when using trigonometric parallaxes to calibrate luminosity systems are discussed. Next, determination of the external errors of parallax measurement are reviewed. Observatory corrections are discussed. Schilt’s point, that as the causes of these systematic differences between observatories are not known the computed corrections can not be applied appropriately, is emphasized. However, modern parallax work is sufficiently accurate that it is necessary to determine observatory corrections if full use is to be made of the potential precision of the data. To this end, it is suggested that a prior experimental design is required. Past experience has shown that accidental overlap of observing programs will not suffice to determine observatory corrections which are meaningful.


1988 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 215
Author(s):  
R.M. More ◽  
G.B. Zimmerman ◽  
Z. Zinamon

Autoionization and dielectronic attachment are usually omitted from rate equations for the non–LTE average–atom model, causing systematic errors in predicted ionization states and electronic populations for atoms in hot dense plasmas produced by laser irradiation of solid targets. We formulate a method by which dielectronic recombination can be included in average–atom calculations without conflict with the principle of detailed balance. The essential new feature in this extended average atom model is a treatment of strong correlations of electron populations induced by the dielectronic attachment process.


Author(s):  
W.J. de Ruijter ◽  
Sharma Renu

Established methods for measurement of lattice spacings and angles of crystalline materials include x-ray diffraction, microdiffraction and HREM imaging. Structural information from HREM images is normally obtained off-line with the traveling table microscope or by the optical diffractogram technique. We present a new method for precise measurement of lattice vectors from HREM images using an on-line computer connected to the electron microscope. It has already been established that an image of crystalline material can be represented by a finite number of sinusoids. The amplitude and the phase of these sinusoids are affected by the microscope transfer characteristics, which are strongly influenced by the settings of defocus, astigmatism and beam alignment. However, the frequency of each sinusoid is solely a function of overall magnification and periodicities present in the specimen. After proper calibration of the overall magnification, lattice vectors can be measured unambiguously from HREM images.Measurement of lattice vectors is a statistical parameter estimation problem which is similar to amplitude, phase and frequency estimation of sinusoids in 1-dimensional signals as encountered, for example, in radar, sonar and telecommunications. It is important to properly model the observations, the systematic errors and the non-systematic errors. The observations are modelled as a sum of (2-dimensional) sinusoids. In the present study the components of the frequency vector of the sinusoids are the only parameters of interest. Non-systematic errors in recorded electron images are described as white Gaussian noise. The most important systematic error is geometric distortion. Lattice vectors are measured using a two step procedure. First a coarse search is obtained using a Fast Fourier Transform on an image section of interest. Prior to Fourier transformation the image section is multiplied with a window, which gradually falls off to zero at the edges. The user indicates interactively the periodicities of interest by selecting spots in the digital diffractogram. A fine search for each selected frequency is implemented using a bilinear interpolation, which is dependent on the window function. It is possible to refine the estimation even further using a non-linear least squares estimation. The first two steps provide the proper starting values for the numerical minimization (e.g. Gauss-Newton). This third step increases the precision with 30% to the highest theoretically attainable (Cramer and Rao Lower Bound). In the present studies we use a Gatan 622 TV camera attached to the JEM 4000EX electron microscope. Image analysis is implemented on a Micro VAX II computer equipped with a powerful array processor and real time image processing hardware. The typical precision, as defined by the standard deviation of the distribution of measurement errors, is found to be <0.003Å measured on single crystal silicon and <0.02Å measured on small (10-30Å) specimen areas. These values are ×10 times larger than predicted by theory. Furthermore, the measured precision is observed to be independent on signal-to-noise ratio (determined by the number of averaged TV frames). Obviously, the precision is restricted by geometric distortion mainly caused by the TV camera. For this reason, we are replacing the Gatan 622 TV camera with a modern high-grade CCD-based camera system. Such a system not only has negligible geometric distortion, but also high dynamic range (>10,000) and high resolution (1024x1024 pixels). The geometric distortion of the projector lenses can be measured, and corrected through re-sampling of the digitized image.


1978 ◽  
Vol 23 (11) ◽  
pp. 937-938
Author(s):  
JAMES R. KLUEGEL

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