scholarly journals Reforms of pension system and problem of aging population

Stanovnistvo ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-102
Author(s):  
Danilo Sukovic

This paper analyzes the far-reaching changes on social plane caused by aging population which endanger social security for old people, especially in times of global economic crisis and major changes in the labor market. A special emphasis is given to the economic unsustainability of the pension system in Serbia, where the ratio of the aging population and the working population is very unfavorable, and where high unemployment and weak economic growth threaten an aging population and increase the poverty. The analysis shows that pensions in Serbia in recent years have a real decline, and their relation to average earnings is still unfavorable despite large subsidies from the state budget which last years covers about 50 % of the expenditure for pensions. The second part of the paper discusses the advantages and disadvantages of PAYG (pay as you go) pension system and private pension insurance. The advantage of PAYG pension system is that it protects the retired persons' savings which would not be lost due to extraordinary market circumstances, such as wars, high inflation, etc. This system avoids the risk of a failed investment opportunities, which is the biggest weakness of private pension funds. In addition, the population trust this system believing that the government will not allow them to live in poverty when they get old. The key advantage of the private pension system is that this system realizes the economic function of pensions, because contributions paid are saving for their old age. Also, the placement of pension contributions to the capital market increase the return on investment and total government savings, which contribute to higher economic growth. Advantages of one pension system are actually weaknesses of another. Since the system "pay as you go" has proved ineffective to provide pension funding for the elderly population, which is increasing due to longer life expectancy, and its relationship to the working population is more unfavorable, it is necessary to introduce the pension reform, which has already more or less successfully implemented in many countries of the world. Globalization and especially the global economic crisis have made this issue particularly urgent. Finally, it is noted that the pension reform in Serbia should not just include leaving the system "pay as you go" and a gradual transition to a private pension plan. Also, it is necessary to implement the long overdue economic reforms to achieve significant long-term economic growth, because only higher economic growth can create the material conditions for desired changes in the pension system.

Author(s):  
T. Kravchenko ◽  
◽  
O. Moroz ◽  

The state, stages of formation and problems of the pension system of Ukraine are considered. The main directions of pension reform are identified, taking into account the experience of Poland. The attitude of citizens to the current state and readiness for changes in the pension system of Ukraine is analyzed. The survey showed that the respondents are ready and support the reform of the Ukrainian pension system and the introduction of the accumulative component, but there is a big problem in the form of distrust of private pension funds and private insurance companies. It is determined that the pension system is no longer able to withstand the load and requires changes in the near future. Analysis of the pension system has shown that it has always been formed taking into account only short-term objectives, which makes it ineffective in strategic terms. It is substantiated that without the growth of the welfare of the population, the de-shadowing of the labor market and the introduction of accumulative pension insurance, the financial condition of the Ukrainian solidarity pension system will deteriorate every year. However, along with the expected positive effect of the introduction of the accumulative component in Ukraine, there are also risks, as fluctuations and instability of the domestic economy may lead to deterioration of the banking sector and insurance companies, which will reduce investment returns in the system or even partial loss of pension savings. Two development scenarios (pessimistic and optimistic) for the pension system of Poland and Ukraine are analyzed. It is determined that for the successful reform of the old solidarity system of Ukraine into a cumulative one it is necessary to: ensure sustainable GDP growth; create a centralized information system for collecting contributions; to personify and register all insured persons in the Pension Fund; identify the needs for qualified personnel, equipment and funds needed to meet the requirements of the new system; provide absolutely all conditions for the effective implementation of the private pension system.


2005 ◽  
Vol 55 (3) ◽  
pp. 287-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ichiro Iwasaki ◽  
Kazuko Sato

The new pension system launched in Hungary in 1998 is epoch-making for having introduced a mandatory private pension scheme (MPPS). However, the political decision-making on pension reform and the scheme operations have been greatly influenced by conflicts of interests among ministries, political conflicts between parties, and the presence of special interest groups, including trade unions and financial institutions. This situation may have had a certain negative influence on the legal framework of the MPPS and on the management performance of private pension funds. In order for the MPPS to be sustainable in the future and to make insurance beneficiary profits a top priority, the corporate governance reform of pension funds and reinforcement of the monitoring system over them, and political neutralisation of the public pension system are necessary.


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 170-191
Author(s):  
M.A. Bundin

Subject. The paper examines the Russian pension system. Individual pension capital is an alternative direction to the current system of non-State pension funding. Objectives. The author is to consider the embedding of the individual pension capital concept. He also aims at analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of the concept. Methods. The study uses the correlation-regression analysis and the analysis of the research information base on the surveyed topic. Results The article allows acknowledging the dependence between the expansion of the incapacitated group of citizens and the consumer price index growth. Besides, it allows to determine the main risks of the proposed concept. Conclusions and Relevance. The main internal risks of the proposed pension reform include: a massive refusal to participate in the new system; the decreasing of participants' contributions tariffs to funds up to 0.1 percent; high-level costs (for funds).


Author(s):  
Mirosław Wójtowicz

The aim of the study is to analyze the process of economic growth and changes of Brazilian and Mexican automobile industry in years 2000–2010. Special attention was paid to the situation of those industries in the years of global economic crisis and to strategies of dealing with the production and sales slump at the turn of years 2008–2009.The analysis confirmed disparities between Brazilian and Mexican automobile industries’ response to global economic crisis. The Mexican automobile sector was strongly affected by the slump in demand for new cars on the USA market whereas the Brazilian automobile sector experienced only a small production slowdown as the national demand for new cars soared.


2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (225) ◽  
pp. 33-71
Author(s):  
Milica Uvalic ◽  
Bozidar Cerovic ◽  
Jasna Atanasijevic

The global financial crisis hit the Serbian economy severely in late 2008. The subsequent decade has been characterized by negative or very modest economic growth and Serbia is now just slightly above the development level of ten years ago. This paper analyses the most important economic milestones during this decade and investigates why only modest progress has been made, despite various measures implemented by the Serbian government. It examines the background to Serbia?s delayed transition and analyses the effects of the global economic crisis on the Serbian economy. It outlines the policy responses and their results, focusing on public finance, foreign trade, reindustrialisation, FDI, the labour market, and sources of growth. The paper sets out the key challenges to accelerating Serbia?s economic growth and identifies the main elements of a new long-term development strategy.


2010 ◽  
Vol 55 (9) ◽  
pp. 598-605 ◽  
Author(s):  
JianLi Wang ◽  
Elizabeth Smailes ◽  
Jitender Sareen ◽  
Gordon H Fick ◽  
Norbert Schmitz ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-30
Author(s):  
Gülay Selvi Hanişoğlu ◽  
Özlem Arzu Azer

Turkish economy has a growing trend after the 2000-2001 economic crises, although ups and downs were experienced in some periods. Some of the important components of Turkish economy are the construction industry and the related housing industry. The construction industry in Turkey has a multiplier effect in the economy since it uses domestic inputs and creates jobs for the labor. Also, the construction sector actors operate overseas and enable inflow of foreign currency to Turkey, thus fostering economic growth. In the recent years, foreign funds and overseas firms have an increasing interest in Turkish construction industry. The Turkish housing industry as one of the leading components of construction industry has also experienced eye-catching developments in the recent years. Definitely, the Turkish housing industry is now much more competitive compared to former years. The global economic crisis of 2008 originated from the housing industry and had devastating effects all over the world. However, the 2008 global economic crisis had relatively lighter effects in Turkey. Parallel to the improvements in construction and housing industries, several financial alternatives exist today. Banks have diversified their credit products considering the needs of consumers. Moreover, the mortgage law going in effect and the mortgage practices becoming popular have contributed to the progress of housing industry. This study analyzed the effect of housing loans and their diversification on economic growth. The research concentrated on the 2010-2015 period, where the impact of 2008 global crisis has diminished.


2011 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter H. Fisher ◽  
Ben J. Heijdra

We incorporate keeping-up-with-the-Joneses (KUJ) preferences into the Blanchard–Yaari framework and develop a model of balanced growth. In this context we investigate status preference, demographic shocks, and pension policy. We find that a higher degree of KUJ lowers economic growth, whereas, in contrast, a decrease in the fertility and mortality rates increase it. In the second part of the paper we extend the model by incorporating a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension system with a statutory retirement date. The latter implies that the growth rate is higher under PAYG. We also consider the implications of pension reform under both defined benefit and defined contribution schemes.


Author(s):  
A. Pudovkin

The article under the title "Analysis and prospects of private pension funds in Russia" deals with the pension system of the Russian Federation and the problems that the private pension funds will be facing with the introduction of the new pension reform. In addition, the article also deeply studies the private pension funds market in Russia. The study presented in the article also aims to thoroughly analyze the key drivers of the recent boom of the private pension funds sector. In addition, the study also reflects on the prospects of development of private pension funds and the major growth factors for the future taking into considerations the latest pension reform. It is exactly the pension capital that constitutes the major role to the growth of the the private pension funds market. In addition, taking into account the latest developments in the pension legislature, which imply no pension capital available to the private pension funds for the period 2014-2015 years, it is easy to foresee that the only growth factor left is pension reserves. Overall it obviously means that private pension funds should develop private pension schemes. Moreover, private pension insurance may become the major driver of the whole pension industry in the near future.


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