scholarly journals Passing on negative interest rates

2020 ◽  
Vol 56 (4) ◽  
pp. 283-290
Author(s):  
Georg Stadtmann ◽  
Karl-Heinz Moritz ◽  
Kristin Berthold ◽  
Tobias Stadtmann

AbstractSince the ECB has lowered the interest rate on deposits into negative territory, more and more commercial banks are also passing on this negative interest rate to their customers. The main aim of this paper is to answer the question under which conditions the commercial banking sector will be more or less reluctant to pass the negative deposit rate on to its private customers. We first clarify the circumstances under which demand deposits and excess liquidity arise, and what role quantitative easing plays in this context. Within a game-theoretical framework, it is derived that the pressure to pass on the negative interest rate is particularly high if there are no switching costs, and the banking market follows a Bertrand competition.

2017 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jozef Kisel’ák ◽  
Philipp Hermann ◽  
Milan Stehlík

AbstractInterest rates (or nominal yields) can be negative, this is an unavoidable fact which has already been visible during the Great Depression (1929–39). Nowadays we can find negative rates easily by e.g. auditing. Several theoretical and practical ideas how to model and eventually overcome empirical negative rates can be suggested, however, they are far beyond a simple practical realization. In this paper we discuss the dynamical reasons why negative interest rates can happen in the second order differential dynamics and how they can influence the variance and expectation of the interest rate process. Such issues are highly practical, involving e.g. the banking sector and pension securities.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
Leah Njoroge ◽  
Mercy Warui ◽  
Catherine Mbogo ◽  
Margaret Chiera ◽  
Dr. Chogii

Purpose: To establish the determinants of interest rate spread among commercial banks in Kenya. Methodology: The study utilized a descriptive survey research design. Findings: The results indicated that the commercial banking sector has witnessed a gradual rise in the Interest rate spread. Results also showed that the mean of market structure has been fluctuating with year (2010) being the lowest with mean of 4 and year (2012) being the highest with mean 12. Results also showed that there was no regulation from the year (2005) to the year (2009) but it was later adopted whereas regulations shoot steadily to mean of 1.0 in the year (2009) and remained in the same level the rest of the years. The regression results indicate that there is a positive and significant relationship between market structure, credit risk and interest spread. The regression results also indicated that there is a positive but insignificant relationship between access to information and interest spread. Further, the results indicated that there is a negative and significant relationship between regulation and interest spread. Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: The study is important to the management of Commercial banks as it will provide an insight on the factors influencing interest rate spread among commercial banks in Kenya. The results of this study will provide information to policy makers and other stakeholders in the financial sector (especially the banks) to come up with strategies that help in dealing with the high interest rate spread experience in the banking sector and thus improve on the financial performance of the organisations. It may be used as a tool for persuading commercial banks to reduce their interest rates spread and hence increase their volume of business, which of course would compensate the loss in the interest rate spread. The study will also be invaluable to the government and CBK. This is because the monetary policy framework of Central Bank of Kenya and its implementation will be guided by a need to ensure, among others: realistic interest rate spreads that encourage financial deepening and a safe, sound, efficient and competitive banking system through discreet risk management. These findings therefore might influence the effectiveness of economic policies. The research results will also be important to scholars and researchers as it will add to the existing pool of knowledge.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 1731-1746
Author(s):  
D.A. Artemenko ◽  
I.I. Bychkova

Subject. We consider the application of negative interest rates by central banks of various countries, as a monetary policy tool. Objectives. We focus on reviewing the historical retrospect, potential risks, as well as positive and negative aspects of using negative interest rate instruments by developed countries. Methods. The study rests on the logical, systems, functional, and situational analysis, methods of grouping, and the monographic survey. Results. The use of negative interest rates as a monetary policy tool by financial regulators in various countries is a least-evil solution, which is aimed at improving the economy after the global economic crisis of 2008–2010. At present, positive and negative factors of the tools' impact on the financial sphere have been identified. In particular, the advantage is a balance between inflation and deflation, as the latter leads to a reduction in aggregate demand, an increase in unemployment, a fall in asset prices, and a slowdown in economic growth. The banking sector bears the risks of negative margin from operations involving fund-raising. The use of negative interest rates is possible, if other measures aimed at boosting economic growth are applied simultaneously. Conclusions. The findings can be used to investigate the negative interest rate instrument and evaluate its effectiveness. They can be helpful for financial market specialists.


Author(s):  
Waseem Ahmad Khan ◽  
Abdul Sattar

The core objective of this project is to analyze the impact of interest rates changes on the profitability of commercial banks being operated in Pakistan by examining the financial statements of four major banks during 2008 to 2012. Like the efficiency of banking sector is considered most important for economic growth, monetary policy implementation and macro-economic stability. From the past few years, interest spread of banking sector of Pakistan is rising. As a result variations in the interest rate depress the savings and investment and on the other hand it increases the efficiency of banks’ lending. In this paper interest rate is an independent variable and bank profitability is a dependent variable. To examine the impact of interest rate changes on the profitability of commercial banks in Pakistan, Pearson correlation method is used in this study. As a result it is found that there is strong and positive correlation between interest rate and commercial banks’ profitability. It means if the value of interest rate is increases/decreases then as result value of banks’ profitability will also increases/decreases.


2014 ◽  
Vol 65 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sven Offick ◽  
Hans-Werner Wohltmann

AbstractThis paper integrates a money and credit market into a static approximation of the baseline New Keynesian model based on a money-and-credit-in-the-utility approach, in which real balances and borrowing contribute to the household’s utility. In this framework, the central bank has no direct control over the interest rate on bonds. Instead, the central bank’s instrument variables are the monetary base and the refinancing rate, i. e. the rate at which the central bank provides loans to the banking sector. Our approach gives rise to a credit channel, in which current and expected future interest rates on the bond and loan market directly affect current goods demand. The credit channel amplifies the output effects of isolated monetary disturbances. Taking changes in private (inflation and interest rate) expectations into account, we find that - contrarily to BERNANKE and BLINDER (1988) - the credit channel may also dampen the output effects of monetary disturbances. The expansionary effects of a monetary expansion may be substantially diminished if the monetary disturbance is accompanied by a contractionary credit shock. In a dynamic version of our model, in which expectations are formed endogenously, we find that the credit channel amplifies output responses.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 247-262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yannis Panagopoulos ◽  
Ekaterini Tsouma

This paper examines the impact of the June 2014 switch to negative interest rates (NIRs) by the European Central Bank (ECB) on the operation of the eurozone interest-rate pass-through (IRPT) mechanism. We focus on the relationship between major central-bank policy rates and selected money-market rates. That link is identified as the first stage of the IRPT mechanism and its dynamics are analysed using Granger causality and cointegration techniques for the time period January 2000–June 2017. Our empirical findings indicate a feedback relationship between the ECB policy and the money-market rates in the period prior to June 2014, but that relationship is non-operative when considering only the period of NIRs.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (Extra-E) ◽  
pp. 531-536
Author(s):  
Aleksandr N. Sukharev ◽  
Sergey N. Smirnov

The article reveals the goals and mechanisms of the interest rate policy of the central bank. The role of the discount rate in ensuring financial and macroeconomic stability is shown. The Taylor rule is presented and justified in a modified form, by including the money supply parameter in it. The phenomenon of negative interest rates is revealed.


Author(s):  
Edy Rahmanryo Tarsilohadi

The deep depreciation of the Rupiah from August 1997 through 1998 poses a big problem for domestic economic. Because the Indonesia economic faced with the international trade deficit and the balance of capital surplus, has given rise to the depreciation of Rupiah. At the same time, the banking sector has been higher interest rates. Examination of the data indicates causal linkage between the exchange rate of rupiah and the interest rate, vice versa. This result reflects the weakness of the real and monetary sectors in Indonesia. To avoid the failure economic, will need the contribution monetary and others policies make to that environment are critical.


Author(s):  
Serkan Yuksel

Purpose This paper aims to shed light on the risk structure in the presence of Islamic banking. The author concentrates on the relationship between Islamic banking and conventional banking in Turkey. Islamic banking and conventional banking are considered to be different kinds of sources for funding. Returns in the conventional banking are expected to be heavily influenced by the interest rate in the money market. However, Islamic banking returns are interest-free so that interest rate changes are not expected to affect the deposit returns in Islamic banks. Interest rates in the economy are a proxy to highlight the general risk level of the economy. By looking at the causal relationship between the deposit returns of both Islamic banks and conventional banks, it is possible to address the different types of banking in the general risk structure of the economy. This is one of the first studies to address the mentioned difference in banking sector in Turkish economy. Design/methodology/approach This paper tries to identify the direction of causality between Islamic and conventional banking term deposit rates by means of Granger Causality. Also, Granger Causality test results will guide to explore the Islamic and conventional banking deposit return linkages. The author has extended the study with vector autoregressive analysis to understand the correlation structure between conventional deposit rates and the profit–loss sharing ratio of Islamic Banks. The author has also extended this study with impulse response functions to see whether the shocks hitting into the conventional banking affect Islamic banking and vice versa. Findings The results suggest that there is no significant clear relationship between both banking sectors. This result can be interpreted, as Islamic banks do not adjust their profit–loss sharing (PLS) ratios pegged to the interest rate offered by conventional banks. Also, conventional banks determine their interest rate without any connection to the Islamic banking PLS ratios. Overall results of this study contradict the findings of studies which conclude that Islamic banking might not be different from the conventional banking. It is reported that inferences from pair-wise Granger causality alone might be spurious, as the analysis based on non-stationary series can be a consequence of time functional characteristics of the time series. Social implications The results can be taken as counter evidence to the hypothesis “Islamic banks determine their PLS ratios based on the interest rates offered by conventional banks”. This address that the Islamic banks may offer alternative financing methodology which has different procedure. Hence, Islamic finance can be taken as an alternative method with its asset-based healthier structure. Originality/value This is one of the first studies to address the Islamic versus interest-based banking difference in banking sector in Turkish economy. This paper tries to identify the direction of causality between Islamic and conventional banking term deposit rates by means of Granger causality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 90 (2) ◽  
pp. 81-95
Author(s):  
Matthias Kowallik

Der Deka-S-Finanzklima wurde in der Coronapandemie entwickelt und ermöglicht durch die breite Erhebung auf Top-Managementebene eine Reflektion bzgl. der Einschätzung zur Wirtschaftslage in Deutschland. Insgesamt zeigt sich, dass die Folgen der Coronapandemie zwar belasten, die weiteren Umfeldbedingungen (insbesondere die Negativzins-Beeinträchtigungen) hinterließen und hinterlassen jedoch deutlichere Spuren. Der Sparkassensektor ist einer der wesentlichen Finanzierer des – insbesondere in Deutschland bestehenden – Mittelstandes. Die Einlagenkonditionen der Sparkassen, mit einer Zinsbelastung oberhalb des Markzinsniveaus, sind die mittelbaren Einstandskosten für die Finanzierung des Mittelstandes. Die Herausforderung in der Steuerung des Zinsgeschäfts besteht u. a. darin, dass negative Konditionsbeiträge im Einlagengeschäft realisiert werden und sich die Kapitalbindung der Passiva erheblich reduziert hat. Die Kreditnehmer hingegen haben Bedarf an längeren Zins- und Kapitalbindungen. Dem folgend entstehen potentielle Liquiditäts- und Ertragsrisiken für die Sparkassen bei der Durchführung ihres öffentlichen Auftrags die Wirtschaft mit Krediten zu unterstützen. The Deka financial climate was developed during the corona pandemic and, thanks to its broad-based survey at top management level, enables a reflection on the assessment of the economic situation in Germany. Overall, it can be seen that while the consequences of the corona pandemic are having a negative impact, other economic conditions, in particular the burdens caused by negative interest rates, have left and continue to leave clearer traces. The savings bank sector is one of the main financiers of Small- and Midsized Enterprises (SMEs) especially those in Germany. The deposit conditions of the savings banks, with interest charges above the market interest rate level are the indirect initial costs for financing SMEs. One of the challenges in managing the interest rate business is that negative condition contributions are being realized in the deposit business and that the capital commitment of liabilities has been significantly reduced. Borrowers, on the other hand, have a need for longer interest rate and capital commitments. This gives rise to potential liquidity and earnings risks for the savings banks in carrying out their public mandate to support the economy with loans.


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