scholarly journals Prediksi Harga Saham Dalam Berinvestasi Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-114
Author(s):  
Fauziyah Fauziyah

Abstract Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) is a term that is well known in the world of stocks in Indonesia. One of the company sectors listed on the IDX is manufacturing. The contribution of the manufacturing sector to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was recorded to be the largest compared to other sectors. In this research, the manufacturing companies that will be used as the object of research to predict their stock prices are manufacturing companies listed in LQ45. In stock trading, prices fluctuate up or down. Stock conditions that fluctuate every day make investors who are going to invest in the Manufacturing industry must observe and study the past company data before investing. This data is important for investors to find out what might happen to a company's stock price. Thus, predicting stock prices in the manufacturing industry for the future is needed as a stage in deciding which manufacturing companies are good to investing in. The prediction method in this research uses ARIMA. The results obtained are the stock prices of companies GGRM, HMSP, ICBP, INDF, INTP and UNVR following a downward trend, so that the actions taken by investor in these companies are selling stocks, while for the stock prices of companies ASII, CPIN, INKP, JPFA, SMGR, TKIM, following an upward trend, so that the actions taken by investors in these companies are buying stocks.Keywords: Prediction, ARIMA, Investment  BEI merupakan istilah yang terkenal pada dunia saham di Indonesia. Sektor perusahaan yang terdapat di BEI salah satunya adalah manufaktur. Kontribusi sektor manufaktur dalam Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) tercatat yang paling besar dibandingkan sektor lainnya. Di dalam penelitian ini, perusahaan manufaktur yang akan dijadikan objek penelitian untuk diramalkan harga sahamnya yaitu perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar di LQ45.  Pada perdagangan saham, harga mengalami fluktuasi naik maupun turun.  Keadaan saham yang fluktuasi setiap hari menjadikan investor yang akan berinvestasi di industri Manufaktur harus mengamati dan mempelajari data perusahaan dimasa lalu sebelum melakukan investasi. Data tersebut penting bagi investor untuk mengetahui kemungkinan yang terjadi pada harga saham suatu perusahaan. sehingga, meramal harga saham pada industri manufaktur untuk masa yang akan datang sangat dibutuhkan sebagai tahapan dalam memutuskan perusahaan Manufaktur yang baik dalam melakukan investasi. Metode Prediksi dalam penelitian ini menggunakan ARIMA. Hasil yang didapat yaitu harga saham perusahaan GGRM, HMSP, ICBP, INDF, INTP dan UNVR mengikuti tren turun, sehingga langkah yang diambil untuk investor pada perusahaan tersebut adalah menjualnya sedangkan untuk harga saham perusahaan ASII, CPIN, INKP, JPFA, SMGR, TKIM, mengikuti tren naik, sehingga langkah yang diambil untuk investor pada perusahaan tersebut adalah membeli saham.Kata Kunci: Prediksi, ARIMA, Investasi

2017 ◽  
pp. 62-74
Author(s):  
Ruminsar Nainggolan ◽  
Donalson Silalahi

ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of stock trading volume and stock prices on bid-ask spreads on manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The population in research is 155 companies and by using purposive sampling as sampling technique, then the sample in this research is 46 company. The data used are secondary data and use multiple regression equation as an analytical tool. Based on the results of the research it can be argued that, trading volume and stock prices have a negative and significant effect on the bid-ask spread both before and after the data grouping. The results also show that stock trading in Indonesia Stock Exchange is liquid. Investors or potential investors who want to invest in the capital market should make trading volume and stock price as a reference in making investment decisions, because simultaneously these two variables have a significant effect on bid-ask spreads.


Author(s):  
Rieke Pernamasari ◽  
Sri Purwaningsih ◽  
Juita Tanjung ◽  
Dewi Puji Rahayu

The long-term goal to be achieved in this research is to analyze stock prices by using firms performance and earnings management in the consumption sector manufacturing companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Firm performance uses profitability proxies measured through Return On Assets (ROA) and leverage measured through Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), while the proxy for earnings management used is the actual specific model, namely working capital accruals. The stock price used in this study is the stock price one week after the publication date of the 2016-2018 financial statements. The results of the study indicate that the performance of companies proxied through ROA and DER is able to have a significant positive effect on stock prices in registered manufacturing sector manufacturing companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The results of this study prove that investors are very concerned about the information contained in the financial statements published by the company, especially information about profits or profits obtained by the company and the debt used by the company for its operations, while earnings management is able to give an influence but not significant on stock prices. This means that investors do not respond to information, including accruals in the financial statements. KEYWORDS: Return on Asset, Debt on Equtity Ratio, Earning Management, Stock Price.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 90-95
Author(s):  
Rafida Khairani ◽  
Muhammad Fikri Haikal ◽  
Siti Ramadhani ◽  
Nana Gustia ◽  
Febry Rizky Al Fadilla Sitompul

Manufacturing companies are considered to have promising developments because they can provide innovations that are well accepted by the market share. This research aims to find out the effect of DER, .EPS,. And NPM on share prices according to partial and simultaneous. The object of research is the food and beverage manufacturing industry listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2014-2018. The method of analysis used is the classical assumption test, such as 1. Normality test, heteroscedasticity test, autocorrelation test, multicollinearity test. 2. Multiple linear regression test and 3. Hypothesis testing using t-test, F-test, and the coefficient of determination (R2). The results of the research are partial DER..and..EPS does not have an impact on stock prices, while NPM has an impact on stock prices. According to DER, EPS and NPM simultaneously have an impact on stock prices. The coefficient of determination shows that 53.4% ​​of the stock price is influenced by the three independent variables. Keywords: Debt to Equity Ratio, Earning Per Share, Net Profit Margin, and Share Price


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 195
Author(s):  
Muhammad Haekal Yunus ◽  
Abdullah Abdullah

AbstrakPenelitian ini bermaksud untuk mengetahui pengaruh informasi laba dan arus kas terhadap harga saham perusahaan manufaktur. Metode analisis data yang dipakai untuk menguji hipotesis pada penelitian ini adalah Regresi Linear Berganda serta Teknik Sampel Datanya adalah purposife sampling. Hasil penelitian membuktikan bahwa informasi laba serta arus kas berpengaruh positif kepada harga saham. dengan cara parsial informasi laba berpengaruh secara signifikan kepada harga saham pada tingkat of significance kurang dari 5% , sebaliknya arus kas tidak mempengaruhi  harga saham pada tingkat of significance lebih dari 5%, secara simultan terbukti berpengaruh secara signifikan kepada harga saham industri manufaktur di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada tingkat kurang dari 5%. Informasi laba dipakai oleh penanam modal buat memperkirakan harga saham industri pada industri manufatur yang listing di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada rentang waktu 2015–2019. Adapun arus kas menunjukkan pengaruh yang lemah. Kemampuan prediksi dari variabel laba dan arus kas kepada harga saham sebesar  21,8%.Kata kunci: Laba, Arus Kas, Harga Saham AbstractThis study aims to determine the effect of earnings and cash flow information on stock prices of manufacturing companies. The data analysis method used to test the hypothesis in this study was Multiple Linear Regression and the data sample technique was purposive sampling. The research results prove that earnings information and cash flow have a positive effect on stock prices. by means of partial earnings information has a significant effect on stock prices at a level of significance of less than 5%, on the other hand cash flows do not affect stock prices at a level of significance of more than 5%, simultaneously it is proven to have a significant effect on stock prices of the manufacturing industry on the Stock Exchange. Indonesia at a rate of less than 5%. Investors use earnings information to estimate industrial stock prices in manufacturing industries listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2015–2019 timeframe. Meanwhile, cash flow shows a weak influence. The predictive ability of the earnings and cash flow variables to the stock price is 21.8%.Keywords: Profit, Cash Flow, Stock Price


Author(s):  
Aprih . Santoso

Abstract : Companies need funds in order to carry out operations such as the financing of production activities, pay employees, pay other expenses related to the operation of the company. One way to obtain these funds is to attract investors to invest in companies in the form of stock, but in making this investment is certainly not easy for investors, because investors need consideration beforehand to find out how the company's performance. The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the effect of operating cash flow to stock return through stock price at companies listed on the Stock Exchange Year 2012-2015. The data used in this study dala are secondary data from the financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 - 2015. The data are in the form of financial statements can be obtained from the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (ICMD), the IDX website www.idx.co. id as well as from various other sources to support this research. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange the period 2012 - 2015. The samples taken by the sampling technique used purposive sampling.From the test results and analysis of the data it can be concluded that operating cash flow directly and indirectly has no effect on stock returns through stock prices showed no significant results. Keywords :  Operating Cash Flow, Stock Price, Stocks Return


Author(s):  
Yeni Ariesa ◽  
Tommy Tommy ◽  
Jane Utami ◽  
Intan Maharidha ◽  
Nanda Ciptara Siahaan ◽  
...  

This study aims to determine the effect of Current Ratio on stock prices, the effect of Firm Size on stock prices, the effect of Return On Equity on Stock Prices, the effect of Earning Per Share on Stock Prices, and the influence of Current Ratio, Firm Size, Return On Equity, and Earning Per Share simultaneously on stock prices in the 5 year period, 2014-2018. This study uses a quantitative approach with a descriptive statistical analysis type. The population in this study amounted to 150 companies. This study uses financial statement data with time series for the last 5 years published from www.idx.co.id. In this study, the sample selection used purposive sampling technique. The sample of this study contained 49 companies in the last 5 years with a total sample quantity of 245 manufacturing companies. The results of this study indicate that partially Current Ratio and Return On Equity have no and insignificant effect on stock prices of manufacturing companies. Partially Firm Size and Earning Per Share have a positive and significant effect on stock prices of manufacturing companies. Meanwhile, the independent variable Current Ratio, Firm Size, Return On Equity, and Earning Per Share simultaneously have a significant effect on the variable stock price of manufacturing companies.


Author(s):  
Javindri Yoseph Renaldi ◽  
Dahlia Br. Pinem ◽  
Yul Tito Permadhy

The purpose of this research is conducted to analyze factors the extent of influence (Liquidity - CR), (Leverage - DER), and (Dividend Policy - DPR) that can occur with (Firm Value - PBV). Manufacturing Industry Company was chosen because of fluctuations in stock prices that surged from the Composite Stock Price Index. The theory used is the signaling theory, trade-off theory, and dividend policy theory. The data used are secondary data with a sample collection method using purposive sampling. Where the research population is used is manufacturing industry companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) 2016-2018 observation period a number of 157 companies, with the final sample of this research obtained 34 selected companies that became the sample criteria. Data analysis techniques were performed using descriptive statistics and panel data regression analysis, with the help of the application E-views version 9.0 and Microsoft Excel 2013. The results of the research partially revealed that the variable (Leverage - DER) had an influence on (Firm Value - PBV) while the variable (Liquidity - CR) and (Dividend Policy - DPR) have no influence on Firm Value. And the independent variables affect the dependent variable by 16.64%. 


BISMA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Marzuki Marzuki

The objective of this study is to examine the effect of ROE, DER, and firm size on stock prices of the manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The data used in this study were panel data sourced from the combination of cross section data and time series data. This research used purposive sampling method with the sample consisted of 86 manufacturing companies listed on IDX in 2017. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results showed that ROE and firm size had a positive and significant influence on stock price. However, DER did not have a significant influence on stock price. Keywords : ROE, DER, company size, stock price


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hesekiel Siregar ◽  
Putri Nurmala

This study aims to determine the effect of firm size and acceptance of a going concern opinion on stock prices. In this study, the object of which is manufacturing firms listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) in the consumer goods sector to the period from 2011 until 2015. In this study, the data used is data based on annual financial reports obtained through the site www .idx.co.id and sahamm price report data obtained through www.sahamok.com site. The sampling method this study using purposive sampling counted 17 manufacturing companies in the consumer goods sector for 5 years for a total observation in this study to 85 data. Statistical calculations used to test the hypothesis in this study is the associative analysis and verification analysis. Analysis consisted of deskriktif statistical verification, classic assumption test, multiple linear regression analysis, analysis of determination, f test, t test. The results of this research shows that the size of the companies have a significant effect on stock prices and the acceptance of a going concern opinion does not affect the stock price.�Key Words: Company Size, Acceptance of Going concern Opinion, Stock Price


2015 ◽  
pp. 12-30
Author(s):  
Anastasia F. Karo-Karo ◽  
Donalson Silalahi

This study aimed to analyze the influence Earning Per Share, Return on Equity, Book Value, Growth Company and market factors, namely Capitalization Rate on stock price on manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The object of this research is manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange 2010-2012 period who actively publish the financial statements in the period of observation. In this study, the data collected is of secondary data is data obtained indirectly from the object of research. Therefore, in this study the data capture technique using the documentation techniques. The procedure of sample selection is purposive sampling and analysis model used is the Multiple regression to test the hypothesis that the t test and F test and also performed classical assumption. The results showed that the Earning Per Share, Return on Equity, Book Value positive and significant effect on stock prices and capitalization rates and a significant negative effect on stock prices. Based on the test results indicate that simultaneous Earning Per Share, Return on Equity, Book Value, Growth companies and capitalization rates affect stock prices. Variations independent variable Earning Per Share, Return on Equity, Book Value, Growth companies and capitalization rate is able to explain the variation in stock prices by 95.64%.


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