Inflation targeting policy as a framework for managing monetary policy in Sudaneconometrics study during the period (1980-2018) With reference to the experiences of some leading countries: سياسة استهداف التضخم كإطار لإدارة السياسة النقدية في السودان – دراسة قياسية خلال الفترة (1980 – 2018)- مع الإشارة إلى تجارب بعض الدول الرائدة

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (20) ◽  
pp. 156-135
Author(s):  
Sammar Hussain sery, Mansour Ahmed Elfaki Sammar Hussain sery, Mansour Ahmed Elfaki
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stability Studies ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Policy Tool ◽  
Effective System ◽  
Economic Imbalances

Targeting inflation is ultimate goal of monetary policy as this policy is expected to control inflation and maintain economic growth. The experiences of developing countries have shown that the inflation targeting mechanism is an effective system for managing monetary policy in its endeavor to achieve general price stability Studies on Sudan have shown that structural economic imbalances, underdevelopment of the financial and banking sector, and poor coordination between monetary and fisical policies remain an obstacle to developing a framework for targeting inflation. maintaining a low and stable rate of inflation in the long term. The study assumed that government spending is not an independent policy tool to control inflation, and there is an inverse relationship between GDP and inflation. The study findings show the existence of two cointegration vectors for inflation and its determinants, and the insignificance of the money supply and government spending. The study recommended not adopting expansionary monetary policies reducing government spending, especially current spending, and improving the exchange rate in the country by subsidizing and diversifying its production to increase GDP and encourage exports.

scholarly journals Indonesia Macro Economy Stability Pattern Prediction

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andysah Putera Utama Siahaan
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Economic Fundamentals ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy

This study examines whether economic stability in Indonesia capable predicted by the model Mundell-Fleming. Prediction proxy stability of the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy. During Indonesia's economic stability is largely determined by the strength of economic fundamentals, while economic fundamentals are strongly influenced by fiscal and monetary policies. Therefore flemming Mundell predicts how strong the economic stability in Indonesia ?, the statement in the analysis by using a long-term predictions are Vector Autoregression. Research findings indicate patterns of interaction predictions variety of fiscal and monetary policy, both short term, medium term and long term. It turned out that fiscal policies are derived from taxes are more effective than government spending to control economic growth, investment and inflation, but government spending is more effective to control the exchange rate. The monetary policy of interest rates more effectively control the exchange rate and inflation, while the money supply is more effective in controlling the growth of economy and investment.

scholarly journals PROBLEMS OF MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION IN GEORGIA IN THE CONDITIONS OF AN OPEN ECONOMY

2017 ◽  
pp. 9-14
Author(s):  
George Abuselidze ◽  
Davit Qatamadze
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Main Concern ◽  
Macroeconomic Stabilization ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Effective System

In the open economy control conditions, the government’s main concern should be ensurance of macroeconomic stabilization. One of real tools for achieving this goal is monetary and budgetary levers’ combination, in which strong fiscal stimuls should be merged with monetary policy, although herewith it requires tough coordination between government-led public and the National Bank’s monetary policies. In addition, we have to note noted that monetary levers should be used to influence tax balance, while fiscal policy should be oriented only on regulation of aggregate demand. Cutting taxes and decreasing government spending is essential to stimulate production in Georgia, as well as increasing research funds and developing effective system for qualification growth.

Is inflation targeting useful for economic growth?

2017 ◽  
pp. 62-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Kartaev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Test Performance ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Growth Regime ◽  
Potential Channels

The paper presents an overview of studies of the effects of inflation targeting on long-term economic growth. We analyze the potential channels of influence, as well as modern empirical studies that test performance of these channels. We compare the effects of different variants of inflation targeting (strict and mixed). Based on the analysis recommendations on the choice of optimal (in terms of stimulating long-term growth) regime of monetary policy in developed and developing economies are formulated.

The influence of inflation targeting on the pass-through effect of the exchange rate

2018 ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
Ph. S. Kartaev ◽  
Yu. I. Yakimova
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

The paper studies the impact of the transition to the inflation targeting regime on the magnitude of the pass-through effect of the exchange rate to prices. We analyze cross-country panel data on developed and developing countries. It is shown that the transition to this regime of monetary policy contributes to a significant reduction in both the short- and long-term pass-through effects. This decline is stronger in developing countries. We identify the main channels that ensure the influence of the monetary policy regime on the pass-through effect, and examine their performance. In addition, we analyze the data of time series for Russia. It was concluded that even there the transition to inflation targeting led to a decrease in the dependence of the level of inflation on fluctuations in the ruble exchange rate.

scholarly journals Comparison of effects of expansionary monetary policy in the Czech Republic and Slovakia

2020 ◽  
Vol 74 ◽  
pp. 04006
Author(s):  
Boris Fisera ◽  
Jana Kotlebova
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Open Economies ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Economic Developments

The ongoing process of globalization has affected the way the monetary policy is conducted – and this is especially the case of small open economies, where the economic developments are heavily affected by the developments abroad. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of unconventional monetary policy in two very open economies – Slovakia and the Czech Republic in the post-crisis era – the two rather similar very open economies. We assess the effects of their monetary policies by estimating their impact on the banking sector in both countries. We employ two cointegrating estimators – DOLS and FMOLS, so that we can assess the dynamics of the relationship between the developments of main balance sheet items of the respective central banks and the aggregate bank lending to various sectors of the economy. We do find evidence that unconventional policies of both central banks did lift bank lending – with the effect being stronger in Slovakia and for the QE policies. In both countries, the effect was more pronounced for the bank lending to household sector – specifically on housing related loans. Finally, we do not find evidence that the increasing openness of these two already very open economies affected the transmission of monetary policies into the banking sector.

Macroeconomic Policy in Japan

2002 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Warwick J. McKibbin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
Japanese Economy ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Fiscal Adjustments ◽  
Inflation Targets

This paper explores the composition of the macroeconomic policy packages that would be effective in stimulating the Japanese economy. An empirical econometric model is used to predict the consequences of a monetary stimulus consisting of an open-market purchase of government bonds by the Bank of Japan combined with the announcement and implementation of inflation targeting in Japan. The paper also compares the impacts of permanent, temporary, and phased fiscal adjustments. The model predicts that monetary policy would be effective in stimulating the Japanese economy through causing a depreciation of the yen. Similarly, a substantial fiscal consolidation in Japan would be only mildly contractionary for the first two years but then would yield substantial long-term benefits to the Japanese economy. Combining a credible fiscal contraction that is phased in over three years with an inflation target would be likely to provide a powerful macroeconomic stimulus to the Japanese economy, through a weaker exchange rate and lower long-term real interest rates, and would sustain higher growth in Japan for a decade. Thus, a switch in the macroeconomic policy mix toward a loose monetary policy (e.g., setting inflation targets between 2 and 3 percent) and a tight fiscal policy is likely to be an important part of a successful package of reforms to raise Japanese productivity growth over the coming years.

scholarly journals Uang Dan Moneter Dalam Sistem Keuangan Islam

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-100
Author(s):  
Joko Hadi Purnomo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
State Income ◽  
The Stability ◽  
And Control

Money is a tool that can be used in conducting exchanges or transactions both goods and services in a certain area. Money is the standard of use found in goods and labor. Therefore, money is defined as a tool to measure the value of each item and service. There are two main policies in the economy called fiscal and monetary policies. Monetary policy is a policy that is carried out to control the supply and demand of money (money circulating in the community), the available money supply, the stability of the currency's value and the direction in which money will be allocated using appropriate monetary tools or instruments in order to achieve the objectives from monetary policy itself. The fiscal policy is a policy that is used to move the steps to obtain state income including tax revenue and control the direction of fiscal policy and control the amount of government spending and expenditure using fiscal tools, so that the objectives of the policy can be achieved fiscal itself in the economy. In this study, the author only focuses on discussing monetary policy and its implications for economic development in an Islamic perspective. Keywords: money, monetary, Islamic finance system

scholarly journals MONETARY POLICY RULES IN MALAYSIA, SINGAPORE AND THAILAND

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 565-596
Author(s):  
Chai-Thing Tan ◽  
Azali Mohamed
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Taylor Rule ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Policy Rules ◽  
Monetary Policy Rules ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Monetary Policy Reaction Function

This paper investigates whether monetary policies in Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore are best represented by either the Taylor rule or the augmented Taylor rule. It finds that the augmented Taylor rule, which incorporates the exchange rate and government spending, best represents monetary policies in these countries. The results show that past inflation and the output gap play a role in the monetary policy reaction function in Malaysia and Thailand. The results further show a strong preference towards interest rate smoothing, government spending, and the exchange rate by the central banks.

Negative interest rates as a monetary policy tool

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 1731-1746
Author(s):  
D.A. Artemenko ◽  
I.I. Bychkova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Fund Raising ◽  
Situational Analysis ◽  
Policy Tool ◽  
Negative Interest Rates

Subject. We consider the application of negative interest rates by central banks of various countries, as a monetary policy tool. Objectives. We focus on reviewing the historical retrospect, potential risks, as well as positive and negative aspects of using negative interest rate instruments by developed countries. Methods. The study rests on the logical, systems, functional, and situational analysis, methods of grouping, and the monographic survey. Results. The use of negative interest rates as a monetary policy tool by financial regulators in various countries is a least-evil solution, which is aimed at improving the economy after the global economic crisis of 2008–2010. At present, positive and negative factors of the tools' impact on the financial sphere have been identified. In particular, the advantage is a balance between inflation and deflation, as the latter leads to a reduction in aggregate demand, an increase in unemployment, a fall in asset prices, and a slowdown in economic growth. The banking sector bears the risks of negative margin from operations involving fund-raising. The use of negative interest rates is possible, if other measures aimed at boosting economic growth are applied simultaneously. Conclusions. The findings can be used to investigate the negative interest rate instrument and evaluate its effectiveness. They can be helpful for financial market specialists.

Macroeconomic Preconditions of Realizationof a New Growth Model

2012 ◽  
pp. 4-24
Author(s):  
S. Drobyshevsky ◽  
S. Sinelnikov-Murylev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Average Price ◽  
Growth Path ◽  
Direct Control ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Budget Policy ◽  
Stable Growth

The model of the Russian economy that was formed in 2000s does not match a new stable growth path, though it helped to calmly overcome the crisis of 2008 and 2009. The state needs to provide stability in the fields being under its direct control: in the budget and monetary policy. In the budget policy we consider advantages and drawbacks of a New Budget Rule, which is based on long-term average price of oil. In the monetary sphere we vote for the policy of transition to inflation targeting and priority of low inflation against other goals of monetary authorities.

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