scholarly journals ANTIMICROBIAL RESISTANCE (AMR)-FORECAST FOR 30 COUNTRIES IN EUROPE

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 44-48
Author(s):  
M. Z. A. M. Jaffar ◽  
A. N. Zailan

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has emerged among the most serious public health issues, prompting the creation of worldwide implementation strategies. In this study, the application of seasonal or time-series approaches was suggested for forecasting the unknown percentages of resistance towards other microbial groups for seven microorganisms. Annual data between 2012 and 2019 were acquired from European Centre for Disease Prevention, and Control (ECDC) reports. Microsoft Excel’s function, ‘FORECAST.ETS’, was used for prediction purposes. Then, a brief analysis was done on the forecasted results. Forecasting AMR’s percentage makes it possible to develop a strategy for dealing with any situation that may emerge.

2007 ◽  
Vol 12 (50) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Strauss ◽  
R Muchl ◽  
S Metz-Gercek ◽  
M Sagl ◽  
F Allerberger ◽  
...  

The first epidemiological report on communicable diseases in Europe published by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) identified antibiotic resistance and nosocomial infections as one of the major threats in public health in the future.


mSystems ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biao He ◽  
Wenjie Gong ◽  
Xiaomin Yan ◽  
Zihan Zhao ◽  
Ling’en Yang ◽  
...  

Pigs are deeply involved in human lives; hence, their viruses are associated with public health. Here, we established the most comprehensive virome of healthy piglets to date, which provides a viromic baseline of weaned pigs for disease prevention and control, highlighting that longitudinal viromic monitoring is needed to better understand the dynamics of the virome in pig development and disease occurrence.


2007 ◽  
Vol 12 (51) ◽  
Author(s):  

The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) is inviting applications for the position of: Senior Expert for Respiratory Diseases in the Surveillance Unit Expert in Surveillance Unit – Antimicrobial Resistance and Healthcare-associated Infections


2007 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Balkanyi

The shared use of a consistent terminology is crucial to ensure interoperability of information systems and comparability of data of different sources, however, it is only rarely implemented in practice. Introducing terminology services at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) is an example of how to meet this challenge in the area of public health.


2004 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 1-2 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Danzon

With the opening of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) in Stockholm in May, 2005 will be an important year for public health in Europe. The idea of a European CDC has been in the air for many years, following the successful and interesting results obtained by the United States CDC in Atlanta.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanling Zheng ◽  
Liping Zhang ◽  
Chunxia Wang ◽  
Kai Wang ◽  
Gang Guo ◽  
...  

AbstractBrucellosis is one of the major public health problems in China, and human brucellosis represents a serious public health concern in Xinjiang and requires a prediction analysis to help making early planning and putting forward science preventive and control countermeasures. According to the characteristics of the time series of monthly reported cases of human brucellosis in Xinjiang from January 2008 to June 2020, we used seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) method and nonlinear autoregressive regression neural network (NARNN) method, which are widely prevalent and have high prediction accuracy, to construct prediction models and make prediction analysis. Finally, we established the SARIMA((1,4,5,7),0,0)(0,1,2)12 model and the NARNN model with a time lag of 5 and a hidden layer neuron of 10. Both models have high fitting performance. After comparing the accuracies of two established models, we found that the SARIMA((1,4,5,7),0,0)(0,1,2)12 model was better than the NARNN model. We used the SARIMA((1,4,5,7),0,0)(0,1,2)12 model to predict the number of monthly reported cases of human brucellosis in Xinjiang from July 2020 to December 2021, and the results showed that the fluctuation of the time series from July 2020 to December 2021 was similar to that of the last year and a half while maintaining the current prevention and control ability. The methodology applied here and its prediction values of this study could be useful to give a scientific reference for prevention and control human brucellosis.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 375-382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Yun-dou Wang ◽  
Xiao-feng Zhang ◽  
Shu-tian Gao ◽  
Li-jun Guo ◽  
...  

AbstractFor the prevention and control of newly emergent or sudden infectious diseases, we built an on-site, modularized prevention and control system and tested the equipment by using the clustering analysis method. On the basis of this system, we propose a modular equipment allocation method and 4 applications of this method for different types of infectious disease prevention and control. This will help to improve the efficiency and productivity of anti-epidemic emergency forces and will provide strong technical support for implementing more universal and serialized equipment in China. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2017;11:375–382)


2007 ◽  
Vol 12 (38) ◽  
Author(s):  
Collective Influenza team (ECDC)

Two reports gathering scientific information and public health opinion regarding human H5N1 vaccines have been published today by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control


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