Financial Statement Ratio Analysis to Predict Bankruptcy nn Company Registered in BEI - Jakarta (Altman Z-Score Method and Zmijewski)

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Andi Silvan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Good Condition ◽  
Financial Statement ◽  
Depth Information ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Industrial Manufacturing ◽  
Financial Difficulties ◽  
A Value ◽  
Score Method

AbstractThis study takes the topic of predicting corporate bankruptcies. This research dqlam use traditional methods Altman Z-Score and Zmijewski. The purpose of this study was to obtain in-depth information about predicting bankruptcy of companies that are not necessarily directly to bankruptcy, but there is financial distress.Based on the results of research conducted on the four (4) non industrial manufacturing company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI). Obtaining the value z-score represents the average company are in good condition, which means no financial distress. Acquisition value of x-score has a value of less than 0 (zero) which means that the company is in good condition and is predicted not experiencing financial difficulties. This study led to the conclusion that the Altman Z-Score and Zmijewski method can be used to predict corporate bankruptcy. Keywords: Financial Ratios, Bankruptcy, Company.

scholarly journals ANALISIS FINANCIAL DISTRESS PADA PT TUNAS BARU LAMPUNG TBK DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-141
Author(s):  
Umi Ambarwati ◽  
Sudarwati Sudarwati ◽  
Rochmi Widayanti
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Effective Strategies ◽  
Operational Costs ◽  
Score Method

This article aims to analyze the health of the company in PT Tunas Baru Lampung TBK in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data comes from PT Tunas Baru Lampung TBK in 2013-2015. The methods used are Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski and Fulmer methods. The results of the study show that there are differences in predicted bankruptcy results between the Altman Z-score method, Springate, Zmijewski and Fulmer. This is due to differences in the use of financial ratios and criteria bankruptcy between Altman Z-score, Springate, Zmijewski and Fulmer. For that company is expected to increase sales, perform effective strategies, reduce operational costs to be more efesian so that companies can meet the company's health criteria.   Artikel ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kesehatan perusahaan pada PT Tunas Baru Lampung TBK di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Data berasal dari PT Tunas Baru Lampung TBK pada tahun 2013-2015. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski dan Fulmer. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan adanya perbedaan hasil prediksi kebangkrutan antara metode Altman Z-score, Springate, Zmijewski dan Fulmer. Hal ini karena adanya perbedaan penggunaan rasio keuangan dan kriteria kebangkrutan antara Altman Z-score, Springate, Zmijewski dan Fulmer. Untuk itu perusahaan diharapkan meningkatkan penjualan, melakukan strategi yang efektif, menekan biaya operasional agar lebih efesian sehingga perusahaan dapat memenuhi kriteria kesehatan perusahaan.

scholarly journals Analysis of Method Used to Predict Financial Distress Potential in Pulp and Paper Companies of Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-69
Author(s):  
Fadrul Fadrul ◽  
Ridawati Ridawati
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Pulp And Paper ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Error Type ◽  
Paper Company ◽  
Score Method

This study aims to predict financial distress in pulp and paper companies in Indonesia. The data used are the financial statements of each pul and paper company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2012-2017. Data analysis techniques used descriptive analysis with three methods of financial distress prediction, namely the Altman Z-Score, Springate, and Zmijewski methods. The results showed that the Zmijewski method is a prediction method with the highest accuracy rate of 100%, with an error type of 0%. The Altman Z-Score method has an accuracy rate of 28.6%, with an error type of 71.4%. While the Springate method has an accuracy rate of 14.3%, with an error type of 85.7%. Therefore an accurate prediction method to predict the potential for financial distress is the Zmijewski method.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN BERDASARKAN METODE ALTMAN Z-SCORE (STUDI KASUS PADA BANK BUMN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BEI)

2019 ◽  
pp. 191
Author(s):  
I Komang Try Satriawan Korry ◽  
Made Pratiwi Dewi ◽  
Ni Luh Anik Puspa Ningsih
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Deposit Insurance ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Gray Area ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Score Method

Abstract: Bankruptcy Prediction Analysis Based on the Altman Z-Score Method (Case Study ofState-Owned Banks Registered on the IDX). Bankruptcy phenomena can occur in every company.Based on data from the Deposit Insurance Agency (LPS), there were 90 banks liquidated since 2005 until mid-2018. Based on the phenomenon of bankruptcy that occurred, it was important for banks to be no exception for state-owned banks to recognize the symptoms of financial distress thatled to bankruptcy. The purpose of this study was to determine the prediction of bankruptcy basedon the Altman Z-Score method on state-owned banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX).The data analysis technique used in this study is descriptive analysis techniques. The sample inthis study used four state-owned banks, namely Bank Negara Indonesia, Bank Rakyat Indonesia,Bank Tabungan Nasional, and Bank Mandiri with the technique of determining saturated samplingsamples and the data used were financial statements for the 2014-2017 period obtained throughofficial IDX sites (www.idx.co.id). The results of the study show that all state-owned banks are inthe gray area for the period of 2014-2017 because the value of the Z-score obtained is between 1.1and 2.6.

scholarly journals PENGARUH KINERJA KEUANGAN DAN MEKANISME CORPORATE GOVERNANCE TERHADAP FINANCIAL DISTRESS (Studi Empiris pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2011-2014)

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-53
Author(s):  
Anis Mafiroh ◽  
Triyono Triyono
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Audit Committee ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Financial Statement ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Leverage Ratio ◽  
Financial Difficulties ◽  
Profitability Ratios ◽  
A Company

Financial distress is the financial difficulties experienced by a company before the company become bankruptcy. The prediction of financial distress is necessary to anticipate a company into bankruptcy. While the company showed the signal will be bankruptcy, show the parties concerned such as managers, investors, and business owners will soon take a decision anticipated for bankcruptcy. Financial ratios in this study using indicators such as leverage ratio, liquidity ratios, activity ratios, profitability ratios, independent board and audit committee competence on a predicted occurrence of Financial distress.The population in this study was all manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia stock exchange and continuosly published financial statement in the periode 2011-2014. The sample is determined by purposive sampling technique and used of 79 companies as samples. This analysis used logistic regression analysis. The result of this research showed that the leverage ratio and the ratio of activity affect the prediction of the occurrence of financial distress, while liquidity ratios, profitability ratios, independent board, and the competence of the audit committee do not affect the prediction of financial distress.

scholarly journals Kinerja Keuangan Dan Potensi Kebangkrutan Dari Perusahaan Transportasi Pelayaran Pada Tahun 2013-2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aditya Budi Kurniawan Dan Carunia Mulya Firdausy
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Ratio ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Score Method

The purpose of this study is to analyze the financial performance and potential bankruptcy of shipping transportation companies listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013-2017. the method to estimate financial performance and bankruptcy prediction is by using  financial ratio & Altman Z-Score method. The results show that the majority of companies indicating there is a signs of improving financial performance when commodity prices begin to recover. In addition to the analysis of the Altman Z-score bankruptcy Based on the Z-score value of the 14 sample companies, in 2013 there were 5 companies in the healthy category (z-score> 2.60), however in 2016 this number decreased to 3 companies . Whereas for companies that are in the grey area category (z-score 1.1-2.60) in 2013 there were 4 companies and then declined to the remaining 3 companies in 2016. Whereas in 2013 company is in the category of financial distress (z-score <1 , 1) there are 5 companies and increased to 8 companies in 2016. In 2017 there was an increase in the companies in the healthy category & grey area each into 4 companies. While companies in the financial distress category are reduced to 6 companies. This means there are improvements in 2017.

scholarly journals Analisis Finansial Distress Untuk Memprediksi Risiko Kebangkrutan Perusahaan Sub Sektor Energi

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 764-770
Author(s):  
Pauline Cielo ◽  
Gusganda Suria Manda
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Publicly Traded Companies ◽  
Safe Area ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Quantitative Descriptive ◽  
Research Period

This study aims to determine and analyze the financial performance of the energy sub-sector using the Almant Z-Score method. This research is a quantitative descriptive study. The population in this study are energy sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2015-2019. The sample in this study amounted to 4 energy sub-sector companies, namely PT. Perusahaan Gas Negara, PT. Leyand International, PT. Rukun Raharja, and PT. Mitra Energi Persada. The sampling technique in this study was using purposive sampling technique. The results of the financial distress predictions for the energy sub-sector companies, amounting to 4 publicly traded companies during the 2015 to 2019 research period using the Altman Z-Score method. This results in three companies in financial distress and one company in a safe area. Keywords: Finansial Distress, Bankrupty, Energy Sub-sector

scholarly journals MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS : STUDI EMPIRIS PADA INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

JURNAL PUNDI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lidya Martha ◽  
Sri Mardhatillah ◽  
Zusmawati Zus
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Financial Difficulties ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Score Model ◽  
A Company

Financial distress is the financial difficulties experience by a company before the company become bankruptcy (Mafiroh, 2016). The purpose of this study was to determine which firms would be predicted financial distress. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015. In this study, the population is used 365 companies. The process of collecting samples are using purposive sampling method. The model used to analyze the rate of financial distress is Altman Z-Score Model. The results showed that of the 15 companies that were sampled 5 (five) of them were healthy (>2,99), 2 (two) of them were financial distress (<1,81) and 8 (eight) indicated in grey area (1,81 – 2,99).  

scholarly journals ANALISIS FINANCIAL DISTRESS DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION MODELS PADA EMITEN ROKOK PERIODE 2014-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-27
Author(s):  
Ani Wahyuningsih ◽  
Hartono Hartono ◽  
Rini Armin
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Correct Prediction ◽  
Financial Health ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Difficulties

ABSTRACT Financial Distress is a condition of financial difficulties where if this happens to the company foa along period of time, the company is in the initial stages before bankruptcy. Bankruptcy is a state of being or a situation in which company failed to or not able to meet obligations because firm experienced lack of. If the company goes bankrupt there will be many parties who are harmed. Therefore it is necessary to conduct financial distress analysis for early warning. The research aims to determine the financial health of the cigarette sub-sector companies by analyzing financial distress using three bankruptcy prediction models with Altman Z-Score, Springate, Grover and to determine which of these three models has the highest level of accuracy. The data used in this research is the company’s financial statements published on the Indonesia Stock Exchange website. The population in this research is the cigarette sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2014-2018 period. Based on the result of research shows that in the calculation Altman and Springate models, PT. Bentoel International Investama in the category of the company experiencing symptoms of bankruptcy. While in the Grover model calculation, all companies fall into category healthy companies. Of the three models that have the highest level of accuracy are Altman and Springate models by one hundred percent. This shows that Altman and Springate models have the correct prediction of the company correctly.

scholarly journals Validity of Altman Z-Score Model to Predict Financial Failure: Evidence From Jordan

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sufian Al-Manaseer ◽  
Suleiman Al-Oshaibat
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statement ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Financial Failure ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Score Model

This paper aims to investigate the Validity of Altman z-score model to predict financial failure in insurance companies listed on Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) over the period 2011-2016. To achieve the goal of the study, the study depended on the different statistics analytical method and Multiple Linear Regression through doing the statistical analysis of the independent variables on the dependent variable related to the subject of the study through the (E-views) program in order to cover the analytical part of the study, in addition to the descriptive method through relying on books, periodicals, previous studies and financial reports of the insurance companies of the study’ sample, whether the direct or the indirect ones, to cover the theoretical part. The result of the study finds a high predictive power for Z-score model. Moreover, the findings reveal that Z-Score model could be valuable instrumental indicators for many users of financial statement such as financial managers, auditors, lenders, investors, to make right decisions in the face of financial failure.

scholarly journals Analysis of bankruptcy issues at manufacturing companies, sub-sectors of cosmetics and houseappliances registered in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) year 2015-2017 using Altman Z-score

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Indar Khaerunnisa ◽  
Nur Anisa Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Marketing Performance ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Manufacturing Company ◽  
Score Model

This research aims to figure out the level of companies bankruptcy by applying Altman Z-Score at the manufacturing companies registered in the Indonesia Stocks Exchange. The result of the research has indicated that ZScore model is applicable to detect the company’s potential bankruptcy issues, especially manufacturing company subsectors of cosmetics and houseappliances. Altman Z-Score model has classified the companies into three categories; safe, grey area and distress. Based on the result of the research, for the companies which are in the grey area category are suggested to improve their financial performance and to use the benefit of all the assets properly to get the revenue as much as possible. However, for the companies which are in the safe category are suggested to increase their performance, especially marketing performance so that they will receive bigger amount of the revenue, nevertheless, the potential of financial distress can be minimized accordingly. Keywords: manufacturing company, financial distress, Altman Z-Score.

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