scholarly journals Nowcasting of Economic Development Indicators Using the NBU’s Business Survey Results

2016 ◽  
pp. 43-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roman Lysenko ◽  
Nataliia Kolesnichenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Econometric Models ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Survey Results ◽  
Business Survey ◽  
Short Term Forecasting

The article was devoted to the research of possibilities to use Business Outlook Survey results, which are carried out by National Bank of Ukraine, for the short-term forecasting of economic development, in particular, the Gross Domestic Product of Ukraine. The different methods of building of the leading index of economic development, their advantages, and their restrictions are examined. The choice of the best index, which provides for the higher accuracy of forecasting the GDP, is carried out with the use of econometric models.

scholarly journals Economic aspects of indexing democracy

2021 ◽  
pp. 7-32
Author(s):  
Marharyta Chabanna ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Market Economy ◽  
The Other ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Political Regime ◽  
Economic Aspects ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Democratic Development ◽  
The Relationship

Indices of democratic development are the important issue of contemporary political studies. Their calculation allows to rank countries by a set of parameters and, accordingly, to assess trends in political changes. In this context, some authors pay attention to the indicators of development of national economies. In general, when it comes to determining the type of political regime, it is necessary to consider the various dimensions (e. g. institutional, socio-cultural). To avoid conclusions based on incomplete information and focus on separate – institutional, cultural, or economic – aspects, it is necessary to use an interdisciplinary approach, which, in addition, allows to consider the maximum number of factors of sustainability of democratic trends. Considering the scholarly debate over the interdependence of political and economic development, the paper compares the indices of democracy with economic development estimates, as well as the Gross domestic product of the countries selected for consideration. Quantitative data were analyzed with the calculation of the corresponding correlation coefficients. Initially, the author identified the relationship between indicators of democratic development to obtain confirmation of the feasibility of further comparison. As the obtained coefficients for the selected group of countries are reliable, the methodology applied to the considered countries is valid for application for other regions for which the listed research institutions carry out evaluations. This allowed the use of democratic development indicators to compare them with assessments of market economy development. Accordingly, there is a correlation between democratic and economic development – indicators of democracy status, democracy index and ranking of countries on the democracy scale on the one hand, and the index of economic freedom, market economy status, indicators of institutional ranking of economic freedoms – one the other. Moreover, it is emphasized that theoretical generalizations about the relationship between democracy / democratization and the level of economic development should take into account not only the correlation between expert assessments, but also the relationship between democratization and GDP. On the other hand – such a relationship is nonlinear, and the conditions of democracy, external and internal factors, as well as the national context are significant. Key words: democracy, political regime, economic development, modernization theory, Gross domestic product.

scholarly journals ECONOMETRICS OF NATIONAL SECURITY AND DEFENSE OF UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
pp. 44-52
Author(s):  
Y. Marko ◽  
V. Kuzmenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
National Security ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
The United States ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Weak Efficiency ◽  
State Budget ◽  
External Threats ◽  
Gas Market

The article provides the importance of Ukraine's economic development to ensure national security, highlights the main internal and external threats to Ukraine's national security, such as: hybrid economic war, the "needle" of loans from the International Monetary Fund, communal tariffs, opening the gas market in Ukraine, inefficient introduction of the circulation of domestic agricultural lands and insufficient use of the capabilities of the country's economy. The cyclical nature of economic development is practically proved by distinguishing four phases of economic development of the studied countries for the last ten years, weak efficiency of economic policy of Ukraine and possible applied mechanisms of economic growth. An econometric analysis of GDP of Ukraine and countries that occupy the largest share in Ukrainian imports of goods, the budget of Ukraine and the budget of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine using the method of least squares and even linear regressions, calculated the intensity of changes in Ukraine's economic processes. The model of gross domestic product of Ukraine depending on the gross domestic product of China, Poland, Russia, Turkey, Germany, Italy, Belarus, the United States and France (nine-factor model), as well as the model of Ukraine's defense budget depending on the domestic gross domestic product product, budget expenditures, taxes, minimum and average wages and inflation (seven-factor model). On the example of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine as a public sector institution, the registration algorithm for economic (additional) activities by military units and the distribution of revenues to increase the special fund of the state budget of Ukraine and create recovery of the country economy in general.

scholarly journals The Market’s Maturity for Public Procurement of Circular Furniture: A Study from Latvia

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (15) ◽  
pp. 242-250
Author(s):  
Jana Simanovska ◽  
Inese Pelsa
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Circular Economy ◽  
Public Procurement ◽  
Important Task ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Material Efficiency ◽  
Survey Results

Public procurement plays an important role in the market by making up 14% of the Gross Domestic Product in the European Union, therefore it is seen as an important instrument to promote such products and services that better meet society’s demands, for example, sustainability. Starting from 2015, circularity is an important aspect of sustainability. Furniture is among the product groups with a significant impact on the material footprint, therefore approaches to increase material efficiency and circularity are of high value. With this research, the authors investigate the market’s maturity, i.e. the readiness of suppliers to offer circular furniture and services, as well as the readiness of municipalities to uptake it. 20 companies and 27 municipalities took part in the survey. Results show that the surveyed companies currently are more ready to offer more circular products and services than municipalities require in the procurement tenders. Most surveyed municipalities are maintaining and repairing the furniture by themselves that is a circular approach but without outsourcing. The market consultation before the tendering could help to understand the market abilities better and lead to more circular purchasing contracts. This is an important task considering the importance of public procurement in promoting a circular economy.

scholarly journals DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND EMPLOYABILITY OF HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS GRADUATES

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 211-220
Author(s):  
Emília Krajňáková ◽  
Vaida Pilinkienė ◽  
Patrik Bulko
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Slovak Republic ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Experimental Development ◽  
Correlation Relationship ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
The Impact

The scope of the data presented in this study offers a comprehensive view of the issue of the HEI graduates employability in the Czech Republic and also in the Slovak Republic – related to determinants of economic development and their impact on them. This paper examines the impact of gross domestic product, gross domestic expenditure on research and experimental development by only higher education sector and foreign direct investment on HEI graduates employability. The results indicate that correlation between unemployment of tertiary educated Slovaks and GDP, GERD and FDI values was very big. Correlation relationship of similar determinants, except determinant GERD in conditions of the Czech Republic was characterized as weak. On the other hand, significantly stronger (very big to perfect) correlation affecting employment of tertiary educated Czechs regarding to indicators of gross domestic product, gross domestic expenditure on research and experimental development by sector of higher education and foreign direct investments as well. In conditions of the Slovak Republic, correlation relationship between employment of tertiary educated Slovaks and GDP was almost perfect.

scholarly journals Dampak Pembiayaan BUS dan UUS Terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Berdasarkan Lapangan Usaha

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 555-571
Author(s):  
Aida Azmi Nabila ◽  
Endang Hatma Juniwati ◽  
Fifi Afiyanti Tripuspitorini
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Model Test ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Economic Sectors

Islamic banking has a role to encourage economic development and enhance economic growth. One way to do this is by allocating Islamic banking financing funds to all economic sectors or industrials in Indonesia. There is a mismatch between the growth statistics of financing distribution to Gross Domestic Product based on industrials consisting of seven industrial. This istudy iaims ito idetermine iwhether ior inot ithere iis ia  relationship, iconstribution, and the effect iof ifinancing ichanneled on Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product. The isample iin ithis istudy was determined using ipurposive isampling. iThis iresearch imethod iis ia idescriptive imethod iwith ia iquantitative iapproach. iThe iresults iof  the model test of the effect of BUS and UUS financing on Indonesia’s Gross Dometic Product based on the industrial in 2012-2019 show that not all financing has a relationship, constribution, and the effect to Indonesia’s Gross Domestic Product based on the industrial.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Kecerdasan Intelektual, Kecerdasan Emosional, dan Kecerdasan Spiritual Pemilik Pada Kinerja Usaha Mikro Kecil Menengah

2018 ◽  
pp. 1369
Author(s):  
Rio Surya Wijaya ◽  
I Made Sukartha
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Emotional Intelligence ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Small And Medium Enterprises ◽  
National Development ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Spiritual Intelligence ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Research Subjects ◽  
Medium Enterprises

National development of a nation includes economic development and Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). MSME performance needs to be examined because the contribution of the MSME sector to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has increased from 57.84% to 60.34% in the last 5 years. This study aims to determine the effect of intellectual intelligence, emotional intelligence, and spiritual intelligence of the owner on the performance of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises. Research subjects are the performance of UMKM in Denpasar City. The sample determination technique used in this study is Probably sampling used using a simple random technique. There are 100 MSMEs as samples with a questionnaire statement totaling 71 statements. Based on the results of the analysis of research obtained intellectual intelligence has a positive influence on the performance of MSMEs, Emotional Intelligence has a positive influence on the performance of SMEs, and Spiritual Intelligence has a positive influence on the performance of SMEs. Keywords: Intellectual Intelligence, Emotional Intelligence, and Spiritual Intelligence.

scholarly journals The Asymmetrical Effects of Economic Development on Consumption-based and Production-based Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990 to 2014

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 237802311877362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaorui Huang ◽  
Andrew K. Jorgenson
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Anthropogenic Emissions ◽  
National Data ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Cross National

The authors examine the potentially asymmetrical relationship between economic development and consumption-based and production-based CO2 emissions. They decompose economic development into economic expansions and contractions, measured separately as increases and decreases in gross domestic product per capita, and examine their unique effects on emissions. Analyzing cross-national data from 1990 to 2014, the authors find no statistical evidence of asymmetry for the overall sample. However, for a sample restricted to nations with populations larger than 10 million, the authors observe a contraction-leaning asymmetry whereby the effects of economic contraction on both emissions outcomes are larger in magnitude than the effects of economic expansion. This difference in magnitude is more pronounced for consumption-based emissions than for production-based emissions. The authors provide tentative explanations for the variations in results across the different samples and emissions measures and underscore the need for more nuanced research and deeper theorization on potential asymmetry in the relationship between economic development and anthropogenic emissions.

scholarly journals Perspectives Measuring more than just economic growth to improve well-being

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaun Danielli ◽  
Patrice Donnelly ◽  
Tom Coffey ◽  
Schellion Horn ◽  
Hutan Ashrafian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Good Health ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Economic Prosperity ◽  
Sustainable Economic Development ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Health And Well Being

Abstract It’s official: The UK is in a recession. The economy has suffered its biggest slump on record with a drop in gross domestic product (GDP) of 20.4%. 1 This is going to have a significant impact on our health and well-being. It risks creating a spiralling decay as we know good health is not only a consequence, but also a condition for sustained and sustainable economic development. 2 In this way, the health of a nation creates a virtuous circle of improved health and improved economic prosperity. How we measure prosperity is therefore important and needs to be considered.

scholarly journals ENERGY SAVING AND INTENSIFICATION OF PRODUCTION

2018 ◽  
pp. 184-187
Author(s):  
DEMUR CHOMAKHIDZE
Keyword(s):  
Energy Efficiency ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Energy Conservation ◽  
Energy Saving ◽  
Energy Savings ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Concrete Materials ◽  
Set Up

The report analyzes the role and importance of energy conservation for Georgia. Based on concrete materials, the effectiveness of social labor and energy savings on gross domestic product (GDP) is comparable to each other. It is said that the reduction of GDP energy efficiency by 1% is almost the same, and in more than a few years, the result of GDP increase is more than the same as the productivity of public labor. In this regard, the report describes the level and dynamics of major macroeconomic indicators of the economic development of Georgia for 2013-2016. Set up events to improve the situation.

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