Intersectoral Terms of Trade for Pakistan's Economy: 1970-71 - 1981-82

1987 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-105
Author(s):  
Shahnaz Kazi

The paper estimates intersectoral terms of trade for the period from 1970-71 to 1981-82. On the basis of these results the study further analyses the relationship between terms of trade and aggregate farm output over the period. The findings indicate some improvement in agriculture's terms of trade over the Seventies. However, no conclusive support is provided to the hypothesis of high supply responsiveness of aggregate farm output to shifts in the relative price ratio of sectoral output.

Author(s):  
Valery G. Grebennikov ◽  

The article aims to examine one of the most interesting, in the authors’ opinion, applications of the two-sector model of social technology to identify the relationship between the trajectories of the relative price and the relative share of the product in the total output based on the concept of Pareto optimal, or “efficient”, trajectories of economic growth (i.e. trajectories, each point of which belongs to the surface of production opportunities). Within the framework of this concept, the ratio of prices of individual products corresponds to the marginal rates of these products’ substitution. The rates depend on the product (sectoral) structure of GDP, on the one hand, and on the available labor resources and production assets, on the other. The relationship between the investment component of the output and the growth of funds gives rise to a family of efficient trajectories, in the sense indicated above. Each of the trajectories is characterized by the joint dynamics of industry and price proportions; therefore, the main problem of the study is to examine the general properties of such trajectories. The main feature of the model under consideration is the nonlinear production functions of industries. Even the simplest Cobb–Douglas specification generates the dynamics of the main variables of the model described by a nonlinear differential equation of the second order, which cannot be integrated in general form. Therefore, the analysis of the properties of effective trajectories (at least when specific parameters of trajectories are of interest, and not just general criteria for existence and stability) required the development of a program of numerical experiments on a computer, designed for a fairly extensive test of hypotheses and the convenience of presenting and analyzing the results. To begin with, a variant of the twosector model was chosen, in the future it is planned to expand it to a significantly larger number of sectors. The properties of effective trajectories with constant parameters were analyzed: the marginal rate of product substitution (constant price ratio), constant marginal rate of resource substitution (constant ratio of factor payment rates), constant ratio of net output of industries, constant share of investments in GDP, etc. General conclusions are obtained about the conditions for the convergence of such “iso-trajectories” to trajectories with a constant GDP growth rate and about the characteristics of stationary trajectories. Of greatest interest, in the author’s opinion, is the conclusion that the existence and stability of stationary trajectories is determined by the intersectoral ratio of the elasticities of the output with respect to the funds of the sectors under consideration: for an industry producing investment products, this parameter should be of lesser importance. The derived equation, which can be interpreted as an expression of a trend that determines the form of the relationship between the proportions of industry outputs and prices in the economy, opens the way to a meaningful macroeconomic analysis of the relationships between these proportions, depending on the configuration of the parameters of social technology Ai, αi, aij, B and scenarios of their changes over time.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (18) ◽  
pp. 4845
Author(s):  
Zhengyi Dong

The relationship between oil prices and food prices is complex, and maize is the most prominent example. Whether the development of bioenergy will exacerbate the price increase of maize caused by the increasing price of oil is a topic that is attracting great attention. This paper studies the relationship between oil prices and maize prices. First, the effects of the development of biomass energy on maize price in theory is analyzed by constructing a theoretical model that includes the effects of the cost channel and the demand channel, while setting the maize–oil price ratio as a trigger for the demand channel. Then, this paper empirically analyzes the price data. Both theoretical and empirical analyses show the effects of the demand channel in the long term; that is, the effect of the development of bioenergy on maize prices is weak, and maize prices did not increase sharply. The effect of the cost channel is the main cause of the increases in the price of maize and other foods.


2009 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 376-383
Author(s):  
F. R. Casas

In the framework of a two-good, two-factor model it is evident that the pattern of trade can be inferred from the change in commodity prices resulting from the opening of trade. Thus, if trade increases the relative price of a commodity, we expect that commodity to be exported, while the good whose relative price decreases will be imported. Under certain circumstances however, it may be possible to observe a country importing a commodity even though its free trade relative price is higher than under autarky. The purpose of this paper is to point out that a similar paradox can be established even if we rule out distributional effects of changes in commodity prices on the demand for goods attributable to different tastes. In particular, we focus our attention on a simple three-good, two-factor model with fixed production coefficients. It is well known that when the number of goods exceeds the numbers of factors, a basic indeterminacy exists in the relationship between output levels and relative commodity prices. Our interest lies in establishing that one application of this indeterminacy is that technological characteristics—in particular, the factor intensity ranking of commodities and a country's factor endowment—may result in the reversal of the expected pattern of trade.


2019 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
HATICE KARAHAN ◽  
M. EGE YAZGAN

This paper explores the relationship between inflation and relative price variability (RPV) in Turkey for the period 2004–2017 to shed further light on the issue with relatively recent data. For this purpose, we use monthly price data for 12 main item groups and 414 specific items thereof. Analyses show that RPV for the period of interest exhibits large fluctuations, being particularly salient in the categories of communications and food. Regarding the underlying functional form, semi-parametric estimation results indicate a U-shaped relationship between inflation and RPV, where the latter reaches its minimum at an inflation level close to 8%.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 228-236
Author(s):  
Heni Sulistyawati Purwaning Rahayu ◽  
Herawati

Friendly environment lowland rice management is an alternative way which can be implemented by farmers for getting a balance and sustainability of environment. However, challenges often faced by environmentally friendly agriculture such as the sustainability of its application after the technological innovation was disseminated. Some factors are thought to influence the sustainability of friendly environment rice management namely capacity of farmers and the nature of technology innovation. This study aims to determine the relationship between farmer capacity and the nature of innovation on the sustainability of the application of environmentally friendly rice technology in Central Sulawesi. Data collection was carried out through a survey using a questionnaire to 174 respondents. Data were analyzed descriptively and statistically quantitatively using multinomial logit regression. The results of the analysis show that the capacity of farmers and the nature of innovation that significantly affects the sustainability of the application of environmentally friendly lowland rice technology in Central Sulawesi is the relative cost advantage, relative price advantage, complexity in application, evaluation of farming, and knowledge of environmentally friendly lowland rice management. Therefore, there is a need to increase all significant variabels and to expand the dissemination of innovations in environmentally friendly lowland rice technology.  


2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 699 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Gordon

<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span><p style="margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; text-align: justify; mso-pagination: none;" class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">Recent changes in federal credit card laws will lead to higher prices for consumers and heftier profits for retailers especially in monopolistic markets. This is due to the way that the surcharges are usually levied which is as a percentage of the base price of the good or service. This paper explains how prices are formed by a profit maximizing firm under the assumption of a production function that is homogeneous of degree one. This paper also demonstrates the relationship between markups and the price elasticity of demand. An analysis of how the new credit card rules would impact relative prices in markets of varying levels of competition is then performed.</span></span></p><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span>


1969 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 212-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph J. Stern

Developing countries generally are not only concerned with the level of their export earnings but also with the commodity and geographic composition of exports, and, to a lesser extent, of imports. Concern over a high degree of commo¬dity structure in exports is usually based on its presumed association with adverse price movements. A more diversified export commodity structure will reduce the impact on the overall level of foreign-exchange earnings from price fluctuations in any particular commodity. While concentration on a few commodities need not be identified with being a primary commodity exporter, for many developing countries a high degree of commodity concentration is often correlated with the exports of primary commodities [6 ; 9]. The familiar terms-of-trade argument, the belief that the relative price of primary commodity exports will fall, over the long run, as compared to the price of industrial goods imports, provides a second rationale for seeking a diversification in the composition of exports. Even in the short run the prices of most primary products in interna¬tional trade vary more sharply from year to year than those of most industrial products thus providing an additional incentive for decreasing commodity con¬centration [5].


Author(s):  
Chukwuma Agu ◽  
Anthony Orji

This chapter investigates the relationship between stock pricing and behaviour of the stock market on one hand and micro and macroeconomic fundamentals in the Nigerian economy on the other from 1980-2009 using both primary and secondary data. Results from the primary survey indicate that the key drivers of share prices were neither broad macroeconomic indicators nor key indicators of the health of the firm. Prices were clearly shown to be much above levels that could have been determined by such indicators as posted profits of firms, amounts paid out as dividend and its regularity. Secondary data analysis equally show that the relationship between actual levels of the all share price index for the period of our analysis and during the financial crisis were not driven by “expected” variables. While its fundamental values are driven by monetary and relative price variables, actual values are driven by external sector variables and prices.


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