scholarly journals Life expectancy, adult mortality and completeness of death counts in Brazil and regions: comparative analysis of IHME, IBGE and other researchers estimates of levels and trends

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardo L Queiroz ◽  
Marcos Roberto Gonzaga ◽  
Ana Maria Nogales ◽  
Bruno Torrente ◽  
Daisy Maria Xavier de Abreu

Estimates of completeness of death registration are crucial to produce estimates of life tables, population projections and to the global burden of diseases study. They are an imperative step in quality of data analysis. In the case of state level data in Brazil, it is important to consider spatial and temporal variation in the quality of mortality data. In this paper, we compare and discuss alternative estimates of completeness of death registration, adult mortality (45q15) and life expectancy estimates produced by the National Statistics Office (IBGE), Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and estimates presented in Queiroz, et.al (2017) and Schmertmann and Gonzaga (2018), for 1980 and 2010. We find significant differences in estimates that affect both levels and trends of completeness of adult mortality in Brazil and states. IHME and Queiroz, et.al (2017) estimates converge in 2010, but there are large differences when compared to estimates from the National Statistics Office (IBGE). Larger differences are observed for less developed states.

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (S1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardo L Queiroz ◽  
Marcos R. Gonzaga ◽  
Ana M. N. Vasconcelos ◽  
Bruno T. Lopes ◽  
Daisy M. X. Abreu

Abstract Background Estimates of completeness of death registration are crucial to produce estimates of life tables and population projections and to estimate the burden of disease. They are an important step in assessing the quality of data. In the case of subnational data analysis in Brazil, it is important to consider spatial and temporal variation in the quality of mortality data. There are two main sources of data quality evaluation in Brazil, but there are few comparative studies and how they evolve over time. The aim of the paper is to compare and discuss alternative estimates of completeness of death registration, adult mortality (45q15) and life expectancy estimates produced by the National Statistics Office (IBGE), Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), and estimates presented in Queiroz et al. (2017) and Schmertmann and Gonzaga (2018), for 1980 and 2010. Methods We provide a descriptive and comparative analysis of aforementioned estimates from four (4) sources of estimates at subnational level (26 states and one Federal District) in Brazil from two different points in time. Results We found significant differences in estimates that affect both levels and trends of completeness of adult mortality in Brazil and states. IHME and Queiroz et al. (2017) estimates converge by 2010, but there are large differences when compared to estimates from the National Statistics Office (IBGE). Larger differences are observed for less developed states. We have showed that the quality of mortality data in Brazil has improved steadily overtime, but with large regional variations. However, we have observed that IBGE estimates show the lowest levels of completeness for the Northern of the country compared to other estimates. Choice of methods and approaches might lead to very unexpected results. Conclusion We produced a detailed comparative analysis of estimates of completeness of death registration from different sources and discuss the main results and possible explanations for these differences. We have also showed that new improved methods are still needed to study adult mortality in less developed countries and at a subnational level. More comparative studies are important in order to improve quality of estimates in Brazil.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. e006660
Author(s):  
Tim Adair ◽  
U S H Gamage ◽  
Lene Mikkelsen ◽  
Rohina Joshi

IntroductionRecent studies suggest that more male than female deaths are registered and a higher proportion of female deaths are certified as ‘garbage’ causes (ie, vague or ill-defined causes of limited policy value). This can reduce the utility of sex-specific mortality statistics for governments to address health problems. To assess whether there are sex differences in completeness and quality of data from civil registration and vital statistics systems, we analysed available global death registration and cause of death data.MethodsCompleteness of death registration for females and males was compared in 112 countries, and in subsets of countries with incomplete death registration. For 64 countries with medical certificate of cause of death data, the level, severity and type of garbage causes was compared between females and males, standardised for the older age distribution and different cause composition of female compared with male deaths.ResultsFor 42 countries with completeness of less than 95% (both sexes), average female completeness was 1.2 percentage points (p.p.) lower (95% uncertainty interval (UI) −2.5 to –0.2 p.p.) than for males. Aggregate female completeness for these countries was 7.1 p.p. lower (95% UI −12.2 to −2.0 p.p.; female 72.9%, male 80.1%), due to much higher male completeness in nine countries including India. Garbage causes were higher for females than males in 58 of 64 countries (statistically significant in 48 countries), but only by an average 1.4 p.p. (1.3–1.6 p.p.); results were consistent by severity and type of garbage.ConclusionAlthough in most countries analysed there was no clear bias against females in death registration, there was clear evidence in a few countries of systematic undercounting of female deaths which substantially reduces the utility of mortality data. In countries with cause of death data, it was only of marginally poorer quality for females than males.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 933-941
Author(s):  
Sofoora Kawsar Usman ◽  
Sheena Moosa

An efficient Civil Registration and Vital Statistics (CRVS) system is a development imperative. Data on death registration and causes of death are important for measuring health outcomes. This paper evaluates the completeness and quality of data on death registration and causes of death (CoD) based on analysis of the registration records on death and causes of death for the period 2009–2018. Using established methods and approaches, we observed that CRVS system performed well on death registration completeness, quality of age and sex reporting. However, the quality of cause of death data was poor with 50% of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes classified as “major garbage codes” and significant time lag was observed in the transmission and production of vital statistics. The CRVS system in Maldives is complete with all deaths occurring within its territory registered and causes of death recorded. The two areas that require attention are the time taken for publication of vital statistics and quality of cause of death reporting. Appropriate re-engineering of the existing business process can build real-time mortality data, and regular quality assessment of death certificates with feedback to health facilities can bring sustained improvements in quality of vital statistics.


2021 ◽  
Vol 128 ◽  
pp. 01004
Author(s):  
E.G. Efimova ◽  
N.A. Levochkina ◽  
B.E. Khabibullina

Preserving the health of the population occupies a special place at the legislative level, in the socio-economic strategies for the development of regions and the country as a whole. The preservation of human health depends not only on one’s own desire to preserve it, including the current state of the state and the development of the country’s tourism industry. Recreation and recreation for modern people, who mainly live in cities and megacities characterized by a high level of pollution due to the intensity of economic activity, are of particular importance for maintaining health and life expectancy. An increase in people’s life expectancy is considered at the state level as an important indicator of people’s well-being, improving the level and quality of life. Russia has created unique conditions and opportunities for the development of domestic tourism, which, with reasonable organization, investments, including the creation of public-private partnerships, and improving the efficiency of services provided, allow us to carry out our activities in the field of preserving and maintaining public health, increasing the duration and quality of life. Domestic Russian tourism can be considered as the basis for the socio-economic development of territories at any level, as well as as an industry whose contribution to the country’s GDP can be significant.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardo L Queiroz ◽  
Everton Lima ◽  
Flávio Freire ◽  
Marcos Roberto Gonzaga

BACKGROUNDThe study of mortality level and trends in developing countries is limited by the quality of vital registration system and population data, especially for small areas. However, understanding regional differences in data quality and mortality is crucial for public health planning. OBJECTIVEThe paper aims to estimate adult mortality levels for small-areas in Brazil and to examine variations and spatial patterns of adult mortality across regions, overtime and by sex in the countryMETHODSWe combine a three-method strategy. We apply a standardization technique to smooth rates in small areas. We then obtained measures of completeness of death counts coverage using Death Distribution Methods. And spatial analysis to investigate variations and patterns of adult mortality in small areas of the country.RESULTSWe find that completeness of death counts coverage improved overtime across the country. We observed that regions in the south and southeast have complete death registration systems and areas in the less developed regions are improving. We observe a large and constant differential in adult mortality by sex and regions.CONCLUSIONSWe find that the quality of mortality data in Brazil and regions is improving over time. The improvement is mostly explain by public investments in collection health data. Gender differences remained high over the period of analysis due to the increase in external causes of deaths for males. This increase also explains the concentration of high mortality levels for males in some areas of the country. CONTRIBUTIONA new methodological procedure on estimating and analyzing the evolutions on adult mortality pattern over time and across smaller areas on the presence of defective data, on both vital statistics and population data.


2019 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Andrea Fernand Jubithana ◽  
Bernardo Lanza Queiroz

Suriname statistical office assumes that mortality data in the country is of good quality and does not perform any test before producing life table estimates. However, lack of data quality is a concern in the less developed areas of the world. The primary objective of this article is to evaluate the quality of death counts registration in the country and its main regions from 2004 to 2012 and to produce estimates of adult mortality by sex. We use data from population, by age and sex, from the last censuses and death counts from the Statistical office. We use traditional demographic methods to perform the analysis. We find that the quality of the death countregistration in Suriname and its central regions is reasonably good. We also find that population data can be considered good. The results reveal a small difference in the completeness for males and females and that for the sub-national population the choice of method has implication on the results. To sum up, data quality in Suriname is better than in most countries in the region, but there are considerable regional differences as observed in other locations.


2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (05) ◽  
pp. 432-440 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Peek ◽  
E. de Jonge ◽  
D. Dongelmans ◽  
G. van Berkel ◽  
N. de Keizer ◽  
...  

SummaryObjectives: Errors in the registration or extraction of patient outcome data, such as in-hospital mortality, may lower the reliability of the quality indicator that uses this (partly) incorrect data. Our aim was to measure the reliability of in-hospital mortality registration in the Dutch National Intensive Care Evaluation (NICE) registry.Methods: We linked data of the NICE registry with an insurance claims database, resulting in a list of discrepancies in in-hospital mortality. Eleven Intensive Care Units (ICUs) were visited where local data sources were investigated to find the true in-hospital mortality status of the discrepancies and to identify the causes of the data errors in the NICE registry. Original and corrected Stand -ardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs) were calculated to determine if conclusions about quality of care changed compared to the national benchmark.Results: In eleven ICUs, 23,855 records with 460 discrepancies were identified of which 255 discrepancies (1.1% of all linked records) were due to incorrect in-hospital mortality registration in the NICE registry. Two programming errors in computer software of six ICUs caused 78% of errors, the remainder was caused by manual transcription errors and failure to record patient outcomes. For one ICU the performance became concordant with the national benchmark after correction, instead of being better.Conclusions: The reliability of in-hospital mortality registration in the NICE registry was good. This was reflected by the low number of data errors and by the fact that conclusions about the quality of care were only affected for one ICU due to systematic data errors. We recommend that registries frequently verify the software used in the registration process, and compare mortality data with an external source to assure consistent quality of data.


PLoS Medicine ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. e1001652 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stéphane Helleringer ◽  
Gilles Pison ◽  
Bruno Masquelier ◽  
Almamy Malick Kanté ◽  
Laetitia Douillot ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carah Figueroa ◽  
Christine Linhart ◽  
Latu Fusimalohi ◽  
Sioape Kupu ◽  
Gloria Mathenge ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Tonga is a South Pacific Island country with a population of 100,651 (2016 Census). This study examines Tongan infant mortality rates (IMR), under-five mortality rates (U5MR), adult mortality and life expectancy (LE) at birth from 2010 to 2018 using a recent collation of empirical mortality data over the past decade for comparison with other previously published mortality estimates. Methods Routinely collected mortality data for 2010–2018 from the Ministry of Health, national (Vaiola) hospital, community nursing reports, and the Civil Registry, were consolidated by deterministic and probabilistic linkage of individual death records. Completeness of empirical mortality reporting was assessed by capture-recapture analysis. The reconciled data were aggregated into triennia to reduce stochastic variation, and used to estimate IMR and U5MR (per 1000 live births), adult mortality (15–59, 15–34, 35–59, and 15–64 years), and LE at birth, employing the hypothetical cohort method (with statistical testing). Mortality trends and differences were assessed by Poisson regression. Mortality findings were compared with published national and international agency estimates. Results Over the three triennia in 2010–2018, levels varied minimally for IMR (12–14) and U5MR (15–19) per 1000 births (both ns, p > 0.05), and also for male LE at birth of 64–65 years, and female LE at birth 69–70 years. Cumulated risks of adult mortality were significantly higher in men than women; period mortality increases in 15–59-year women from 18 to 21% were significant (p < 0.05). Estimated completeness of the reconciled data was > 95%. International agencies reported generally comparable estimates of IMR and U5MR, with varying uncertainty intervals; but they reported significantly lower adult mortality and higher LE than the empirical estimates from this study. Conclusions Life expectancy in Tonga over 2010–2018 has remained relatively low and static, with low IMR and U5MR, indicating the substantial impact from premature adult mortality. This analysis of empirical data (> 95% complete) indicates lower LE and higher premature adult mortality than previously reported by international agencies using indirect and modelled methods. Continued integration of mortality recording and data systems in Tonga is important for improving the completeness and accuracy of mortality estimation for local health monitoring and planning.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anuj Kumar Pandey ◽  
Diksha Gautam ◽  
Benson Thomas M ◽  
Yogita Kharakwal

AbstractBackgroundThe medical certification of cause of death (MCCD) under Civil Registration System (CRS) has been implemented in the States/UTs in a phased manner to provide data on cause of death but due to incomplete coverage and inadequate quality of civil registration data and medically certified data system, use of this data has been compromised. The completeness of registration of death (CoRD) and completeness of medically certified deaths were assessed from 2010 to 2019 at state level to understand their current status and trend over time and also to identify gaps in data to improve data quality.MethodsCoRD and CoMeRD for each year for each state was calculated from the CRS reports and MCCD reports respectively for the period 2010-2019. Data were analyzed nationally as per geographical region and individual state. Union Territories excluding Delhi and Telangana have not been considered in this analysis.ResultsThe CoRD in India have increased in the CRS from 66.9% in 2010 to 92 percent in 2019, a significant increase of 37.7% over 9 years (P<0.001) whereas India has not witnessed a substantial increase in the CoMeRD in MCCD which has increased from 17.1% in 2010 to only 20.6% in 2019. Among the 29 States, 18 (62%) had CoRD >95 percent in 2019, with 15 states recording 100 percent of CoRD however just 3 states (10.3%) have CoMeRD more than 50% namely Goa (100%), Manipur (67.3%) and Delhi (61.7%).Interpretation & conclusionsDespite the significant progress made in CoRD in India, importance of medical certification cannot be undermined; critical differences between the States within the CRS and MCCD remain a cause of concern. Concentrated efforts to assess the strengths and weaknesses at the State level of the MCCD and CRS processes, quality of data and plausibility of information generated are needed in India.


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