scholarly journals A Data-Driven Approach to Characterize the Impact of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles on Traffic Flow

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amir Bahador Parsa ◽  
Ramin Shabanpour ◽  
Abolfazl Mohammadian ◽  
Joshua Auld ◽  
Thomas Stephens
Keyword(s):  
Autonomous Vehicles ◽  
Autonomous Vehicle ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Urban Structure ◽  
K Nearest Neighbors ◽  
Network Characteristics ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Data Driven Approach ◽  
The Impact

The current study aims to present a model to characterize changes in network traffic flows as a result of implementing connected and autonomous vehicle (CAV) technology based on traffic network and built-environment characteristics. To develop such a model, first, POLARIS agent-based modeling platform is used to predict changes in average daily traffic (ADT) under CAVs scenario in the road network of Chicago metropolitan area as the dependent variable of the model. Second, a comprehensive set of variables and indicators representing network characteristics and urban structure patterns are generated. Three machine learning models namely K-Nearest neighbors, Random Forest, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting are developed and validated to establish the relationship between network characteristics and changes in ADT under CAVs scenario. The estimated models are found to yield acceptable performance. In addition, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis tool is employed to investigate the impact of important features on changes in ADT, which discloses the most important link properties, network features, and demographic information in predicting change in ADT under the analyzed CAVs scenario.

scholarly journals Exploring the Mechanism of Crashes with Autonomous Vehicles Using Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Hengrui Chen ◽  
Hong Chen ◽  
Ruiyu Zhou ◽  
Zhizhen Liu ◽  
Xiaoke Sun
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Autonomous Vehicles ◽  
Classification And Regression Tree ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Crash Severity ◽  
Apriori Algorithm ◽  
Driving Mode ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
The Impact

The safety issue has become a critical obstacle that cannot be ignored in the marketization of autonomous vehicles (AVs). The objective of this study is to explore the mechanism of AV-involved crashes and analyze the impact of each feature on crash severity. We use the Apriori algorithm to explore the causal relationship between multiple factors to explore the mechanism of crashes. We use various machine learning models, including support vector machine (SVM), classification and regression tree (CART), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), to analyze the crash severity. Besides, we apply the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to interpret the importance of each factor. The results indicate that XGBoost obtains the best result (recall = 75%; G-mean = 67.82%). Both XGBoost and Apriori algorithm effectively provided meaningful insights about AV-involved crash characteristics and their relationship. Among all these features, vehicle damage, weather conditions, accident location, and driving mode are the most critical features. We found that most rear-end crashes are conventional vehicles bumping into the rear of AVs. Drivers should be extremely cautious when driving in fog, snow, and insufficient light. Besides, drivers should be careful when driving near intersections, especially in the autonomous driving mode.

scholarly journals An Efficiency Enhancing Methodology for Multiple Autonomous Vehicles in an Urban Network Adopting Deep Reinforcement Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quang-Duy Tran ◽  
Sang-Hoon Bae
Keyword(s):  
Reinforcement Learning ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Autonomous Vehicles ◽  
Penetration Rate ◽  
Autonomous Vehicle ◽  
Effective Means ◽  
Urban Network ◽  
Learning Agents ◽  
Policy Optimization ◽  
The Impact

To reduce the impact of congestion, it is necessary to improve our overall understanding of the influence of the autonomous vehicle. Recently, deep reinforcement learning has become an effective means of solving complex control tasks. Accordingly, we show an advanced deep reinforcement learning that investigates how the leading autonomous vehicles affect the urban network under a mixed-traffic environment. We also suggest a set of hyperparameters for achieving better performance. Firstly, we feed a set of hyperparameters into our deep reinforcement learning agents. Secondly, we investigate the leading autonomous vehicle experiment in the urban network with different autonomous vehicle penetration rates. Thirdly, the advantage of leading autonomous vehicles is evaluated using entire manual vehicle and leading manual vehicle experiments. Finally, the proximal policy optimization with a clipped objective is compared to the proximal policy optimization with an adaptive Kullback–Leibler penalty to verify the superiority of the proposed hyperparameter. We demonstrate that full automation traffic increased the average speed 1.27 times greater compared with the entire manual vehicle experiment. Our proposed method becomes significantly more effective at a higher autonomous vehicle penetration rate. Furthermore, the leading autonomous vehicles could help to mitigate traffic congestion.

scholarly journals Explainable machine learning can outperform Cox regression predictions and provide insights in breast cancer survival

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arturo Moncada-Torres ◽  
Marissa C. van Maaren ◽  
Mathijs P. Hendriks ◽  
Sabine Siesling ◽  
Gijs Geleijnse
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Explicit Knowledge ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Metastatic Breast ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Netherlands Cancer Registry ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
The Impact

AbstractCox Proportional Hazards (CPH) analysis is the standard for survival analysis in oncology. Recently, several machine learning (ML) techniques have been adapted for this task. Although they have shown to yield results at least as good as classical methods, they are often disregarded because of their lack of transparency and little to no explainability, which are key for their adoption in clinical settings. In this paper, we used data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry of 36,658 non-metastatic breast cancer patients to compare the performance of CPH with ML techniques (Random Survival Forests, Survival Support Vector Machines, and Extreme Gradient Boosting [XGB]) in predicting survival using the $$c$$ c -index. We demonstrated that in our dataset, ML-based models can perform at least as good as the classical CPH regression ($$c$$ c -index $$\sim \,0.63$$ ∼ 0.63 ), and in the case of XGB even better ($$c$$ c -index $$\sim 0.73$$ ∼ 0.73 ). Furthermore, we used Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values to explain the models’ predictions. We concluded that the difference in performance can be attributed to XGB’s ability to model nonlinearities and complex interactions. We also investigated the impact of specific features on the models’ predictions as well as their corresponding insights. Lastly, we showed that explainable ML can generate explicit knowledge of how models make their predictions, which is crucial in increasing the trust and adoption of innovative ML techniques in oncology and healthcare overall.

scholarly journals Assessment of Social Acceptance for Autonomous Vehicles in Southeastern Poland

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (18) ◽  
pp. 5778
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Dudziak ◽  
Monika Stoma ◽  
Andrzej Kuranc ◽  
Jacek Caban
Keyword(s):  
Autonomous Vehicles ◽  
Social Acceptance ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Consumer Preferences ◽  
Autonomous Vehicle ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Automotive Market ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Autonomous Cars ◽  
The Impact

New technologies reaching out for meeting the needs of an aging population in developed countries have given rise to the development and gradual implementation of the concept of an autonomous vehicle (AV) and have even made it a necessity and an important business paradigm. However, in parallel, there is a discussion about consumer preferences and the willingness to pay for new car technologies and intelligent vehicle options. The main aim of the study was to analyze the impact of selected factors on the perception of the future of autonomous cars by respondents from the area of Southeastern Poland in terms of a comparison with traditional cars, with particular emphasis on the advantages and disadvantages of this concept. The research presented in this study was conducted in 2019 among a group of 579 respondents. Data analysis made it possible to identify potential advantages and disadvantages of the concept of introducing autonomous cars. A positive result of the survey is that 68% of respondents stated that AV will be gradually introduced to our market, which confirms the high acceptance of this technology by Poles. The obtained research results may be valuable information for governmental and local authorities, but also for car manufacturers and their future users. It is an important issue in the area of shaping the strategy of actions concerning further directions of development on the automotive market.

scholarly journals The Impact of Social Influence, Technophobia, and Perceived Safety on Autonomous Vehicle Technology Adoption

2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-142
Author(s):  
Sahil Koul ◽  
Ali Eydgahi
Keyword(s):  
Technology Adoption ◽  
Social Influence ◽  
Autonomous Vehicles ◽  
Autonomous Vehicle ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Intention To Use ◽  
Perceived Safety ◽  
Vehicle Technology ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this study was to determine whether there was a relationship between social influence, technophobia, perceived safety of autonomous vehicle technology, number of automobile-related accidents and the intention to use autonomous vehicles. The methodology was a descriptive, cross-sectional, correlational study. Theory of Planned Behavior provided the underlying theoretical framework. An online survey was the primary method of data collection. Pearson’s correlation and multiple linear regression were used for data analysis. This study found that both social influence and perceived safety of autonomous vehicle technology had significant, positive relationships with the intention to use autonomous vehicles. Additionally, a significant negative relationship was found among technophobia and intention to use autonomous vehicles. However, no relationship was found between the number of automobile-related accidents and intention to use autonomous vehicles. This study presents several original and significant findings as a contribution to the literature on autonomous vehicle technology adoption and proposes new dimensions of future research within this emerging field.

scholarly journals Efficiency of Extreme Gradient Boosting for Imbalanced Land Cover Classification Using an Extended Margin and Disagreement Performance

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Sun ◽  
Run Wang ◽  
Bo Wan ◽  
Yanjun Su ◽  
Qinghua Guo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Error Component ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Correct Classification ◽  
Imbalanced Learning ◽  
Minority Class ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Spectral Separability ◽  
The Impact

Imbalanced learning is a methodological challenge in remote sensing communities, especially in complex areas where the spectral similarity exists between land covers. Obtaining high-confidence classification results for imbalanced class issues is highly important in practice. In this paper, extreme gradient boosting (XGB), a novel tree-based ensemble system, is employed to classify the land cover types in Very-high resolution (VHR) images with imbalanced training data. We introduce an extended margin criterion and disagreement performance to evaluate the efficiency of XGB in imbalanced learning situations and examine the effect of minority class spectral separability on model performance. The results suggest that the uncertainty of XGB associated with correct classification is stable. The average probability-based margin of correct classification provided by XGB is 0.82, which is about 46.30% higher than that by random forest (RF) method (0.56). Moreover, the performance uncertainty of XGB is insensitive to spectral separability after the sample imbalance reached a certain level (minority:majority > 10:100). The impact of sample imbalance on the minority class is also related to its spectral separability, and XGB performs better than RF in terms of user accuracy for the minority class with imperfect separability. The disagreement components of XGB are better and more stable than RF with imbalanced samples, especially for complex areas with more types. In addition, appropriate sample imbalance helps to improve the trade-off between the recognition accuracy of XGB and the sample cost. According to our analysis, this margin-based uncertainty assessment and disagreement performance can help users identify the confidence level and error component in similar classification performance (overall, producer, and user accuracies).

scholarly journals XGBoost-Based Day-Ahead Load Forecasting Algorithm Considering Behind-the-Meter Solar PV Generation

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 128
Author(s):  
Dong-Jin Bae ◽  
Bo-Sung Kwon ◽  
Kyung-Bin Song
Keyword(s):  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Rapid Expansion ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Base Temperature ◽  
Electric Load ◽  
Solar Pv ◽  
Model Case ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Pv Generation ◽  
The Impact

With the rapid expansion of renewable energy, the penetration rate of behind-the-meter (BTM) solar photovoltaic (PV) generators is increasing in South Korea. The BTM solar PV generation is not metered in real-time, distorts the electric load and increases the errors of load forecasting. In order to overcome the problems caused by the impact of BTM solar PV generation, an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) load forecasting algorithm is proposed. The capacity of the BTM solar PV generators is estimated based on an investigation of the deviation of load using a grid search. The influence of external factors was considered by using the fluctuation of the load used by lighting appliances and data filtering based on base temperature, as a result, the capacity of the BTM solar PV generators is accurately estimated. The distortion of electric load is eliminated by the reconstituted load method that adds the estimated BTM solar PV generation to the electric load, and the load forecasting is conducted using the XGBoost model. Case studies are performed to demonstrate the accuracy of prediction for the proposed method. The accuracy of the proposed algorithm was improved by 21% and 29% in 2019 and 2020, respectively, compared with the MAPE of the LSTM model that does not reflect the impact of BTM solar PV.

scholarly journals User Classification on Online Social Networks by Post Frequency

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel Tavares ◽  
Saulo Mastelini ◽  
Sylvio Jr.
Keyword(s):  
Social Networks ◽  
Language Processing ◽  
Online Social Networks ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
K Nearest Neighbors ◽  
User Classification ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

This paper proposes a technique for classifying user accounts on social networks to detect fraud in Online Social Networks (OSN). The main purpose of our classification is to recognize the patterns of users from Human, Bots or Cyborgs. Classic and consolidated approaches of Text Mining employ textual features from Natural Language Processing (NLP) for classification, but some drawbacks as computational cost, the huge amount of data could rise in real-life scenarios. This work uses an approach based on statistical frequency parameters of the user posting to distinguish the types of users without textual content. We perform the experiment over a Twitter dataset and as learn-based algorithms in classification task we compared Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), k-nearest Neighbors (k-NN), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Using the standard parameters of each algorithm, we achieved accuracy results of 88% and 84% by RF and XGBoost, respectively

scholarly journals Towards Optimization of Malware Detection using Chi-square Feature Selection on Ensemble Classifiers

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 254-262
Author(s):  
*Fadare Oluwaseun Gbenga ◽  
Adetunmbi Adebayo Olusola ◽  
(Mrs) Oyinloye Oghenerukevwe Eloho ◽  
Mogaji Stephen Alaba
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Malware Detection ◽  
Feature Selection Method ◽  
Ensemble Methods ◽  
Nearest Neighbors ◽  
Selection Method ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
K Nearest Neighbors ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

The multiplication of malware variations is probably the greatest problem in PC security and the protection of information in form of source code against unauthorized access is a central issue in computer security. In recent times, machine learning has been extensively researched for malware detection and ensemble technique has been established to be highly effective in terms of detection accuracy. This paper proposes a framework that combines combining the exploit of both Chi-square as the feature selection method and eight ensemble learning classifiers on five base learners- K-Nearest Neighbors, Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machine, Decision Trees, and Logistic Regression. K-Nearest Neighbors returns the highest accuracy of 95.37%, 87.89% on chi-square, and without feature selection respectively. Extreme Gradient Boosting Classifier ensemble accuracy is the highest with 97.407%, 91.72% with Chi-square as feature selection, and ensemble methods without feature selection respectively. Extreme Gradient Boosting Classifier and Random Forest are leading in the seven evaluative measures of chi-square as a feature selection method and ensemble methods without feature selection respectively. The study results show that the tree-based ensemble model is compelling for malware classification.

scholarly journals Remote Diagnosis and Triaging Model for Skin Cancer Using EfficientNet and Extreme Gradient Boosting

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Irfan Ullah Khan ◽  
Nida Aslam ◽  
Talha Anwar ◽  
Sumayh S. Aljameel ◽  
Mohib Ullah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Skin Cancer ◽  
Skin Lesion ◽  
Clinical Data ◽  
Cancer Diagnosis ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Automated Diagnosis ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Diagnosis System ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
The Impact

Due to the successful application of machine learning techniques in several fields, automated diagnosis system in healthcare has been increasing at a high rate. The aim of the study is to propose an automated skin cancer diagnosis and triaging model and to explore the impact of integrating the clinical features in the diagnosis and enhance the outcomes achieved by the literature study. We used an ensemble-learning framework, consisting of the EfficientNetB3 deep learning model for skin lesion analysis and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) for clinical data. The study used PAD-UFES-20 data set consisting of six unbalanced categories of skin cancer. To overcome the data imbalance, we used data augmentation. Experiments were conducted using skin lesion merely and the combination of skin lesion and clinical data. We found that integration of clinical data with skin lesions enhances automated diagnosis accuracy. Moreover, the proposed model outperformed the results achieved by the previous study for the PAD-UFES-20 data set with an accuracy of 0.78, precision of 0.89, recall of 0.86, and F1 of 0.88. In conclusion, the study provides an improved automated diagnosis system to aid the healthcare professional and patients for skin cancer diagnosis and remote triaging.

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