The Role of Length of Residence and Selective Residential Mobility in Social Contact Formation in Ethnically Diverse Neighborhoods
The association between local ethnic composition and social cohesion has received widespread scholarly attention. Studies consistently find negative associations between neighborhood-level ethnic diversity and neighborhood cohesion indicators. However, hypotheses are formulated statically, empirical analyses rely mostly on cross-sectional data, and scholars worry about potential selection effects into and out of neighborhoods. This study presents a way to overcome these issues. The article derives hypotheses about how individuals' contact with their neighbors develops over time. Then, it examines trajectories of contact experiences by asking a clearly defined causal question: How would contact develop due to ethnic composition if households did not leave their neighborhood? The findings show a substantial increase in perceived contact quality and the probability to visit neighbors after staying in a neighborhood for five years, particularly in neighborhoods with high shares of ethnic minorities. These findings are at odds with theoretical accounts that suggest “hunkering down” in diverse contexts. However, findings also suggest that perceptions of a cohesive community do not increase in diverse neighborhoods. Taken together, the findings indicate that basic social interaction guided by reciprocity and close individual contacts are possible in ethnically diverse contexts.