Forecasting and management of economic security of the organization carrying out foreign trade activity on the basis of probabilistic modeling

10.31483/a-91 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ol'ga Vladislavovna Mart'ianova
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Probabilistic Modeling ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Foreign Trade Activity

scholarly journals Optimization of customs and tariff policy instruments in the system of import substitution in the agricultural sector

2020 ◽  
Vol 164 ◽  
pp. 11040
Author(s):  
Alexander Kotenev ◽  
Larisa Ustinova ◽  
Galina Zakharova ◽  
Alim Otarov ◽  
Natalya Kryzhevskaya
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Import Substitution ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Food Component ◽  
Applied Model ◽  
Foreign Trade Activity ◽  
Algorithmic Approaches

In this research authors carried out economic and mathematical modeling of foreign trade activity in order to analyze an impact of applied tariff regulation measures on a level of state economic security taking into account its food component. By formalizing the Grossman-Helpman model, the specifics of interaction between consumers, producers and a state (as participants in the import substitution process) were assessed. The structural components of the model are implemented. A decentralized analysis of the regions was carried out. Algorithmic approaches to the development of regions are formulated. Thus, on the basis of the applied model, differentiation of the regions of the Southern Federal District and North Caucasian Federal District according to the level of import substitution potential, as well as fragmentation of the foreign trade policy applied by the state has been established.

Future Russia’s WTO Accession and Potential Economic Risks

2005 ◽  
pp. 132-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Chirkin
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
National Interests ◽  
Wto Accession ◽  
Economic Risks

WTO plays the key role in regulating international foreign trade. The article considers basic problems, which Russia will face after joining this organization. Advantages as well as risks connected with membership in WTO are noted. The necessity of safeguarding national interests and fulfilling the requirements of the country's economic security is stressed.

RISK FACTORS OF ECONOMIC SECURITY IN THE FOREIGN TRADE SPHERE OF SAMARA REGION IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE PANDEMIC

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Галина Анатольевна Хмелева
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Structural Parameters ◽  
Economic Security

В статье проведен анализ объемно-структурных параметров экспортно-импортных товаропотоков Самарской области, определены риск внешнеэкономической безопасности в условиях пандемии. The article analyzes the volumetric-structural parameters of the export-import flows of the Samara region, identifies the risk of external economic security in a pandemic.

scholarly journals UKRAINEON THE WORLD MARKET OF LEATHER MATERIALS

2021 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 16-32
Author(s):  
BONDARIEVA Anna ◽  
ZHALDAK Maryna ◽  
MOKROUSOVA Olena
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
World Market ◽  
The State ◽  
Leather Industry ◽  
Light Industry ◽  
Foreign Markets ◽  
International Environment ◽  
The World ◽  
Foreign Trade Activity ◽  
Grain Surface

Background. The problem of stable activity of domestic producers, in particular in the production of leather and footwear, is exacerbated by increasing global competition along with the loss of significant share of domestic and foreign markets. The regulating of the development of industrial production, domestic and foreign markets for light industry products is one of the most important tasks of the state today. Therefore, the assessment of the state of Ukraine’s foreign trade in the leather and leathermaterials market is important component for forecasting andshaping the development of domestic leather manufacturing. The aim of the work is to analyze the dynamics of Ukraine’s foreign trade on the leather materials market and to establish key directions for thedevelopment of Ukraine’s leather industry to increase the competitiveness of domestic products in an international environment. Materials and methods. Methods of analysis and synthesis, comparison and gene­ra­lization are used for work. Statistical data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, customs statistics of the State Fiscal Service of Ukraine, as well as data from the Inter­national Trade Center are used to study the leather market of various finishing methods in the world. Results. The analysis of foreign trade activities of the leather materials market showed that leather, additionally processed after tanning, significantly exceeds exports in imports, while tanned leather without processing in exports is ten times higher than im­ports. The analysis of world trade indicators determined that leather with a natural full grain surface is characterized by the greatest competitiveness against polished leather withan artificial grain surface. According to the indicators of foreign trade activity, Ukraine ranks third among the countries – leaders in world imports of leather with a natural full grain surface configuration in the form of halves. According to this commodity position, Ukraine ranks 13th in world exports. Conclusion. The analysis of Ukraine’s foreign trade on the leather materials mar­ket revealed the need of forming commodity and technological specializations of the domestic leather industry in accordance with the production of leather with a natural full grain surface from cowhides as the most competitive product in the international environment.

scholarly journals Foreign trade security and its support system as a special element of economic security of the state

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 597-607
Author(s):  
Anna Yu. Pak
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
External Influence ◽  
Main Constituent ◽  
Economic Relations ◽  
International Economic Relations ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Constituent Elements

The article offers a classification of types of economic security and separately identifies foreign trade security as the most important element of the states economic security in the context of global escalation of trade contradictions in international trade. The essential characteristics of foreign trade security, characterized by permanent external influence, are revealed. Based on the identified features and characteristics, the definition of foreign trade security is given as a state of protection of exports and(or) imports from threats caused only by external influence, but not internal, in contrast to other types of economic security. It is shown that it is impossible to achieve the state of full provision of foreign trade security of the state in the conditions of participation in international economic relations. To resolve the contradiction between the goal of maximizing the effect of foreign trade activities and the simultaneous need to ensure security, we propose the formation of a scientifically-based system for ensuring foreign trade security and identify its main constituent elements.

scholarly journals FOREIGN TRADE ACTIVITY OF UKRAINE WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF SIGNING OF «FTA+» WITH THE EU AND FTA WITH THE CIS

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (127) ◽  
pp. 116-127
Author(s):  
O. Lytvyn
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Agreement ◽  
Internal Market ◽  
Economic Collaboration ◽  
Foreign Trade Activity ◽  
The Eu

This article deals with the prospects, possible risks and threats of deep and comprehensive free trade area («FTA+») between Ukraine and the EU. Features of foreign economic activity of Ukraine within the framework of FTA with the CIS are also considered in the article. A detailed analysis of the foreign trade statement and regional pattern of exports and imports of Ukraine is presented for the last few years. The key difference between «FTA+» with the EU and classic free trade areas is determined. Risks of the external economic collaboration of Ukraine with the European countries are described after intensifying of the conflict between Ukraine and Russian Federation. Reasons of suspension of the Free trade agreement between Russia and Ukraine are marked. It operated within the framework of FTA with the CIS, trade and economic collaboration between the countries until the abolition of a free trade with Ukraine by Russian Federation. The consequences of the European technical and phytosanitary standards, substantial diminishing of export and import duties and measures related to the preparation of internal market to «FTA+» are analysed for Ukraine. The form of «FTA+» is found out, which foresees the reduction and liquidation of trade barriers within the framework of a free trade regime. It doesn’t deal only with liberalization of bilateral commodity trade but such spheres, as: trade in services, regime of foreign direct investment, public purchasing and labour force movement. The form of «FTA+» also foresees a wide adaptation program of economic and sectoral legislation of Ukraine to the norms and standards of the EU that will allow removing of nontariff barriers for domestic exports to internal market of the EU.

scholarly journals Content and Functional Purpose of the Duty in Modern Conditions

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 123-133
Author(s):  
Halyna B. Pohrishchuk ◽  
Ruslan Ye. Voloshchuk
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
World Trade Organisation ◽  
Regulatory Function ◽  
National Interests ◽  
The World ◽  
Foreign Trade Activity ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Functional Purpose

The duty as a source of budget formation and a regulator of foreign trade activity contributes to improving the macroeconomic situation and the state's entry into the international trade community. Therefore, the study of the essence and functional purpose of the duty becomes particularly relevant since it makes it possible to increase the efficiency of its functioning in modern conditions. The purpose of the study is to consider the tax and foreign trade nature of the duty, establish its essence and specific characteristics, identify the main functions and substantiate changes in the roles of duty functions in modern conditions. The specifics of the scientific tasks that make up the subject of research required the use of a set of special methods (general scientific and private scientific, theoretical and empirical), the use of which helped identifying the content of the duty, consider its functional purpose and establish the reasons for the weakening of the role of duty functions in different countries of the world. In the course of the study, two approaches to the interpretation of the essence of duty were established: as a tax and as a specific foreign trade payment. The author's definition of the duty was proposed and its main essential characteristics were clarified. It has been established that there are no unified approaches to the definition of duty functions in the scientific literature, and only two main ones (fiscal and regulatory) are substantiated. It was also covered that due to the entry of most countries into the World Trade Organisation and the establishment of restrictions on the growth of customs rates, the regulatory function of the duty is weakening. It was established that in developed countries, due to international restrictions on the application of custom rates, the role of the fiscal function of duty has decreased. It was determined that in less developed countries, in conditions of limited budget revenue sources, the fiscal function of duty continues to be the main one. The practical value of the study lies in the fact that clarifying the content and functions of duty in modern conditions makes it possible to increase the effectiveness of customs tariff regulation to protect national interests during the intensification of international integration processes

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