scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON IRAQI STOCK MARKET: AN EVENT TO STUDY METHODOLOGY

Author(s):  
Azzam Khalid Chyad ◽  
Dr. Ayad Taher Aljubori

The research aims to study the impact of the economic crisis caused by the Corona pandemic on the Iraqi stock market by studying the event, specifically the impact of two pandemic events on the returns and volume of shares circulation, for companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange across sectors (banks - communications - insurance - services - Industry - Hotels and Tourism - Agriculture), and the Iraqi market for financial stocks represents the place of application, while the market sectors, which number (7), represent the research community, and the sample of the study of the impact of the pandemic on the market index, companies included in the Iraq Stock Exchange Index (SIX60) which Its number reached (60) companies from all market sectors, while the sample for studying the impact of the pandemic on the sector’s returns and trading volume in them was (102) companies representing all companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. Data and information were obtained from reports (daily, weekly and monthly) issued. From the Iraq Stock Exchange and the Securities Commission for the time period (2019-2020), and the financial methods represented by stock returns, trading volume and market momentum index were relied upon, and some statistical methods were adopted. For my description of (arithmetic mean, standard deviation, and percentages), as well as inferential statistics methods (autocorrelation coefficient - simple regression - T-test - histogram - scatter plot - QQ chart) across applications (SPSS V25-Excle 2020- Py Charme2020) to compare Results and testing of research hypotheses. This is to determine the impact of the Corona pandemic (the first and second event) on the returns and trading of ordinary shares on the Iraq Stock Exchange.

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-54
Author(s):  
Tihana Škrinjarić

AbstractThis paper observes the short-run effects of stock market index composition changes on stock returns on the Zagreb Stock Exchange (ZSE). In that way, event study methodology is employed in order to estimate abnormal returns and compare them amongst three subsets of stocks: those leaving the market index, those entering it, and constantly included stocks. The research included 14 regular and extraordinary revisions of the market index in the period from January 2nd, 2015 until March 21st, 2018. The results have confirmed two research hypotheses: stock exclusions from the market index have a negative effect on stock returns on the ZSE, which is consistent with the price pressure hypothesis; and there exist asymmetric effects of index composition changes on stock returns. This is the first study of this kind on the Croatian stock market, thus more questions need to be answered in future research.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-172
Author(s):  
Prem Lal Adhikari

 In finance, the relationship between stock returns and trading volume has been the subject of extensive research over the past years. The main motivation for these studies is the central role that trading volume plays in the pricing of financial assets when new information comes in. As being interrelated and interdependent subjects, a study regarding the trading volume and stock returns seem to be vital. It is a well-researched area in developed markets. However, very few pieces of literature are available regarding the Nepalese stock market that explores the association between trading volume and stock return. Realizing this fact, this paper aims to examine the empirical relationship between trading volume and stock returns in the Nepalese stock market using time series data. The study sample is comprised of 49 stocks traded on the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) from mid-July 2011 to mid-July 2018. This study examines the Granger Causality relationship between stock returns and trading volume using the bivariate VAR model used by de Medeiros and Van Doornik (2008). The study found that the overall Nepalese stock market does not have a causal relationship between trading volume and return on the stock. In the case of sector-wise study, there is a unidirectional causality running from trading volume to stock returns in commercial banks and stock returns to trading volume in finance companies, hydropower companies, and insurance companies. There is no indication of any causal effect in the development bank, hotel, and other sectors. This study also finds that there is no evidence of bidirectional causality relationships in any sector of the Nepalese stock market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-67
Author(s):  
Wing Him Yeung ◽  
Yilisha Pang ◽  
Asad Aman

South–South cooperation has been on the rise in recent years. One of the latest examples is the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) proposed by the Chinese and Pakistani governments in 2013. Using event study methodology, this article examines the impact of events and announcements associated with CPEC on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Pakistan and the Shanghai Stock Exchange in China. The first key finding of this article is that the initial announcement associated with CPEC had stronger and positive short-term impact on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in comparison with the impact of subsequent CPEC events on the stock market. The second key finding is that the short-term impact of the CPEC initial announcement was stronger on the Pakistan Stock Exchange than on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, possibly due to the substantial difference in the size of the two economies. The empirical results of this article have important implications for investors, corporations and regulators to the Global South.


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen Danylchuk ◽  
Jelmer Stegink ◽  
Katie Lebel

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of doping scandals (n=25) in professional cycling Grand Tour events on the primary team sponsor’s daily stock return. Design/methodology/approach – Event study methodology. Findings – Overall it was found that during the time period and events under examination in this study doping scandals had no significant impact on the primary team sponsor’s stock returns. Originality/value – There is limited research to explain the economic impact of widespread doping in cycling and its commercial shareholders. This study addresses this gap by examining the relationship between doping scandals in professional cycling and the daily stock return of the involved team’s primary sponsor.


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (50) ◽  
pp. 279-294
Author(s):  
Aiza Shabbir ◽  
Shazia Kousar ◽  
Syeda Azra Batool

Purpose The purpose of the study is to find out the impact of gold and oil prices on the stock market. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the data on gold prices, stock exchange and oil prices for the period 1991–2016. This study applied descriptive statistics, augmented Dickey–Fuller test, correlation and autoregressive distributed lag test. Findings The data analysis results showed that gold and oil prices have a significant impact on the stock market. Research limitations/implications Following empirical evidence of this study, the authors recommend that investors should invest in gold because the main reason is that hike in inflation reduces the real value of money, and people seek to invest in alternative investment avenues like gold to preserve the value of their assets and earn additional returns. This suggests that investment in gold can be used as a tool to decline inflation pressure to a sustainable level. This study was restricted to use small sample data owing to the availability of data from 1991 to 2017 and could not use structural break unit root tests with two structural break and structural break cointegration approach, as these tests require high-frequency data set. Originality/value This study provides information to the investors who want to get the benefit of diversification by investing in gold, oil and stock market. In the current era, gold prices and oil prices are fluctuating day by day, and investors think that stock returns may or may not be affected by these fluctuations. This study is unique because it focusses on current issues and takes the current data in this research to help investment institutions or portfolio managers.


2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vikash Ramiah

How are the risks and returns of industrial and market portfolios altered as a result of terrorist events? This paper investigates the effects of five international terrorist attacks on equities listed on the Malaysian Stock Exchange. It uses an event study methodology to explore the relationship between equity stock returns, terrorist attacks and asset pricing models to assess whether systematic risks change after these events. The evidence demonstrates that strategies such as closing down an exchange during a crisis are ineffective. Furthermore, after the September 11, 2001 attacks, Malaysian equity markets were insensitive to subsequent terrorist attacks in other countries.


2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidika Gulfem Bayram

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between rational and irrational consumer-business sentiments and stock returns in an emerging stock market, Turkey. Consumer and business sentiments are divided into two components: rational and irrational sentiments. Then, the dynamic interactions and the impact of the sentiments on stock returns are examined. The fundamental economic variables used in the study consist of business conditions, economic risk premium, country risk, exchange rate risk, country growth rate, inflation rate, and terms of trade. The results show that Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)-100 index returns are positively and significantly affected by the rational sentiments of both consumers and businesses. JEL Classification: G02, G12, G150


2015 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 08-18
Author(s):  
Zaheer Khan ◽  
◽  
Sahar Zeast ◽  

This study was an attempt to analyze the impact of general and presidential elections on stock market returns of Karachi Stock Exchange. The event study methodology was employed and the data from 1997 to 2013 was used to identify the impact. This study investigated the impact of general and presidential elections held in Pakistan individually and collectively. The results established that there was a significant impact of elections on stock market returns of Karachi Stock Exchange.


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