scholarly journals Aggregate-area radiative flux biases

2002 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. 101-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuanji Wang ◽  
Jeffrey R. Key
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Radiative Flux ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Radiative Fluxes ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Model Cell ◽  
The Difference

AbstractMost climate models treat surface and atmospheric properties as being horizontally homogeneous and compute surface radiative fluxes with average gridcell properties. In this study it is found that large biases can occur if sub-gridcell variability is ignored, where bias is defined as the difference between the average of fluxes computed at high resolution within a model cell and the flux computed with the average surface and cloud properties within the cell. Data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer for the year-long Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) experiment are used to determine biases in aggregate-area fluxes. A simple regression approach to correct for biases that result from horizontal variability was found to reduce the average radiative flux bias to near zero. The correction can be easily implemented in numerical models.

scholarly journals A New Double-Moment Microphysics Parameterization for Application in Cloud and Climate Models. Part II: Single-Column Modeling of Arctic Clouds

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (6) ◽  
pp. 1678-1693 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Morrison ◽  
J. A. Curry ◽  
M. D. Shupe ◽  
P. Zuidema
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Number Concentration ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Radiative Fluxes ◽  
Arctic Clouds ◽  
Single Column ◽  
Double Moment

Abstract The new double-moment microphysics scheme described in Part I of this paper is implemented into a single-column model to simulate clouds and radiation observed during the period 1 April–15 May 1998 of the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic (SHEBA) and First International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) Regional Experiment–Arctic Clouds Experiment (FIRE–ACE) field projects. Mean predicted cloud boundaries and total cloud fraction compare reasonably well with observations. Cloud phase partitioning, which is crucial in determining the surface radiative fluxes, is fairly similar to ground-based retrievals. However, the fraction of time that liquid is present in the column is somewhat underpredicted, leading to small biases in the downwelling shortwave and longwave radiative fluxes at the surface. Results using the new scheme are compared to parallel simulations using other microphysics parameterizations of varying complexity. The predicted liquid water path and cloud phase is significantly improved using the new scheme relative to a single-moment parameterization predicting only the mixing ratio of the water species. Results indicate that a realistic treatment of cloud ice number concentration (prognosing rather than diagnosing) is needed to simulate arctic clouds. Sensitivity tests are also performed by varying the aerosol size, solubility, and number concentration to explore potential cloud–aerosol–radiation interactions in arctic stratus.

scholarly journals Clouds damp the radiative impacts of polar sea ice loss

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2673-2686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramdane Alkama ◽  
Patrick C. Taylor ◽  
Lorea Garcia-San Martin ◽  
Herve Douville ◽  
Gregory Duveiller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Surface Radiation ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Surface Radiation Budget ◽  
Cloud Radiative Effect ◽  
Radiative Impact ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Clouds play an important role in the climate system: (1) cooling Earth by reflecting incoming sunlight to space and (2) warming Earth by reducing thermal energy loss to space. Cloud radiative effects are especially important in polar regions and have the potential to significantly alter the impact of sea ice decline on the surface radiation budget. Using CERES (Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System) data and 32 CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) climate models, we quantify the influence of polar clouds on the radiative impact of polar sea ice variability. Our results show that the cloud short-wave cooling effect strongly influences the impact of sea ice variability on the surface radiation budget and does so in a counter-intuitive manner over the polar seas: years with less sea ice and a larger net surface radiative flux show a more negative cloud radiative effect. Our results indicate that 66±2% of this change in the net cloud radiative effect is due to the reduction in surface albedo and that the remaining 34±1 % is due to an increase in cloud cover and optical thickness. The overall cloud radiative damping effect is 56±2 % over the Antarctic and 47±3 % over the Arctic. Thus, present-day cloud properties significantly reduce the net radiative impact of sea ice loss on the Arctic and Antarctic surface radiation budgets. As a result, climate models must accurately represent present-day polar cloud properties in order to capture the surface radiation budget impact of polar sea ice loss and thus the surface albedo feedback.

scholarly journals High resolution snow distribution data from complex Arctic terrain: a tool for model validation

2002 ◽  
Vol 2 (3/4) ◽  
pp. 147-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ch. Jaedicke ◽  
A. D. Sandvik
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Snow Cover ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Distribution Data ◽  
Blowing Snow ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Meteorological Model ◽  
Drift Model ◽  
Snow Distribution

Abstract. Blowing snow and snow drifts are common features in the Arctic. Due to sparse vegetation, low temperatures and high wind speeds, the snow is constantly moving. This causes severe problems for transportation and infrastructure in the affected areas. To minimise the effect of drifting snow already in the designing phase of new structures, adequate models have to be developed and tested. In this study, snow distribution in Arctic topography is surveyed in two study areas during the spring of 1999 and 2000. Snow depth is measured by ground penetrating radar and manual methods. The study areas encompass four by four kilometres and are partly glaciated. The results of the surveys show a clear pattern of erosion, accumulation areas and the evolution of the snow cover over time. This high resolution data set is valuable for the validation of numerical models. A simple numerical snow drift model was used to simulate the measured snow distribution in one of the areas for the winter of 1998/1999. The model is a two-level drift model coupled to the wind field, generated by a mesoscale meteorological model. The simulations are based on five wind fields from the dominating wind directions. The model produces a satisfying snow distribution but fails to reproduce the details of the observed snow cover. The results clearly demonstrate the importance of quality field data to detect and analyse errors in numerical simulations.

scholarly journals A Theory of the Wind-Driven Beaufort Gyre Variability

2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (11) ◽  
pp. 3263-3278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgy E. Manucharyan ◽  
Michael A. Spall ◽  
Andrew F. Thompson
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Mesoscale Eddy ◽  
Eddy Diffusivity ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Equilibration Time ◽  
Ekman Pumping ◽  
Beaufort Gyre

AbstractThe halocline of the Beaufort Gyre varies significantly on interannual to decadal time scales, affecting the freshwater content (FWC) of the Arctic Ocean. This study explores the role of eddies in the Ekman-driven gyre variability. Following the transformed Eulerian-mean paradigm, the authors develop a theory that links the FWC variability to the stability of the large-scale gyre, defined as the inverse of its equilibration time. The theory, verified with eddy-resolving numerical simulations, demonstrates that the gyre stability is explicitly controlled by the mesoscale eddy diffusivity. An accurate representation of the halocline dynamics requires the eddy diffusivity of 300 ± 200 m2 s−1, which is lower than what is used in most low-resolution climate models. In particular, on interannual and longer time scales the eddy fluxes and the Ekman pumping provide equally important contributions to the FWC variability. However, only large-scale Ekman pumping patterns can significantly alter the FWC, with spatially localized perturbations being an order of magnitude less efficient. Lastly, the authors introduce a novel FWC tendency diagnostic—the Gyre Index—that can be conveniently calculated using observations located only along the gyre boundaries. Its strong predictive capabilities, assessed in the eddy-resolving model forced by stochastic winds, suggest that the Gyre Index would be of use in interpreting FWC evolution in observations as well as in numerical models.

PATMOS-x v6.0: Improvements to AVHRR Cloud Climate Record and Analysis of the Updated Data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Coda Phillips ◽  
Michael Foster ◽  
Andrew Heidinger
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Detection Accuracy ◽  
Cloud Detection ◽  
Edge Preserving ◽  
Brightness Temperatures ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Satellite Sensors ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Climate Analysis ◽  
Spectral Channels

<p>Since 1978, an Advanced Very-High-Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) has flown onboard 17 polar-orbiting satellites. Together, they are the longest global record from a homogeneous set of satellite sensors. The Pathfinder Atmosphere’s Extended (PATMOS-x) dataset is a long-term cloud record derived from the AVHRR radiances, and suitable for climate analysis. It has demonstrated intersensor stability and has been rigorously compared with other cloud datasets.</p><p>However, the AVHRR alone has only limited spectral information, so cloud detection during nighttime or over ice is challenging. Therefore, performance degrades over regions with extreme diurnal patterns or low temperatures such as the poles, despite our interest.</p><p>The next production version of PATMOS-x will include numerous algorithmic changes as well as the use of High-resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder (HIRS) spectral channels to improve detection accuracy in previously difficult conditions. The low-resolution HIRS soundings are upsampled to match the AVHRR pixels through an edge-preserving process called “fusion”. The higher-resolution AVHRR imagery guides the upsampling and the resulting combination is spectrally consistent with the AVHRR and has a high spatial resolution.</p><p>For cloud detection, the difference between the AVHRR and HIRS 11μm and HIRS 6.7μm brightness temperatures has been added as a feature in the naive Bayesian cloud detector. The effect on cloud precision is seen especially in the Antarctic where false-positive cloud detections have decreased dramatically.</p><p>Other cloud properties can be improved with the new spectral channels. For example, the new cloud phase algorithm uses the HIRS 6.7μm to determine cloud phase and the AVHRR and HIRS 11μm-13.3μm beta ratio identifies overlapping clouds. Also, the 11μm, 12μm, and HIRS 13.3μm are used in the new cloud height algorithm.</p><p>We report on the development of this new version of the PATMOS-x cloud climate dataset, and the methods used to calibrate and homogenize the participating sensors. Finally, observed trends in the improved dataset will be examined and related to the old dataset. In particular, attention will be given to whether high-latitude analysis of climatic trends is finally possible on the new dataset.</p>

scholarly journals A Decade of Spaceborne Observations of the Arctic Atmosphere: Novel Insights from NASA’s AIRS Instrument

2016 ◽  
Vol 97 (11) ◽  
pp. 2163-2176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abhay Devasthale ◽  
Joseph Sedlar ◽  
Brian H. Kahn ◽  
Michael Tjernström ◽  
Eric J. Fetzer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Arctic Atmosphere ◽  
Warming World

Abstract Arctic sea ice is declining rapidly and its annual ice extent minima reached record lows twice during the last decade. Large environmental and socioeconomic implications related to sea ice reduction in a warming world necessitate realistic simulations of the Arctic climate system, not least to formulate relevant environmental policies on an international scale. However, despite considerable progress in the last few decades, future climate projections from numerical models still exhibit the largest uncertainties over the polar regions. The lack of sufficient observations of essential climate variables is partly to blame for the poor representation of key atmospheric processes, and their coupling to the surface, in climate models. Observations from the hyperspectral Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument on board the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)’s Aqua satellite are contributing toward improved understanding of the vertical structure of the atmosphere over the poles since 2002, including the lower troposphere. This part of the atmosphere is especially important in the Arctic, as it directly impacts sea ice and its short-term variability. Although in situ measurements provide invaluable ground truth, they are spatially and temporally inhomogeneous and sporadic over the Arctic. A growing number of studies are exploiting AIRS data to investigate the thermodynamic structure of the Arctic atmosphere, with applications ranging from understanding processes to deriving climatologies—all of which are also useful to test and improve parameterizations in climate models. As the AIRS data record now extends more than a decade, a select few of many such noteworthy applications of AIRS data over this challenging and rapidly changing landscape are highlighted here.

scholarly journals The importance of model resolution on simulated precipitation in Europe – from global to regional model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gustav Strandberg ◽  
Petter Lind
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Model Resolution ◽  
Simulated Precipitation ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Model Ensembles ◽  
High Resolution Models

Abstract. Precipitation, and especially extreme precipitation, is a key climate variable as it effects large parts of society. It is difficult to simulate in a climate model because of its large variability in time and space. This study investigates the importance of model resolution on the simulated precipitation in Europe for a wide range of climate model ensembles: from global climate models (GCM) at horizontal resolution of around 300 km to regional climate models (RCM) at horizontal resolution of 12.5 km. The aim is to investigate the differences between models and model ensembles, but also to evaluate their performance compared to gridded observations from E-OBS. Model resolution has a clear effect on precipitation. Generally, extreme precipitation is more intense and more frequent in high-resolution models compared to low-resolution models. Models of low resolution tend to underestimate intense precipitation. This is improved in high-resolution simulations, but there is a risk that high resolution models overestimate precipitation. This effect is seen in all ensembles, and GCMs and RCMs of similar resolution give similar results. The number of precipitation days, which is more governed by large-scale atmospheric flow, is not dependent on model resolution, while the number of days with heavy precipitation is. The difference between different models is often larger than between the low- and high-resolution versions of the same model, which makes it difficult to quantify the improvement. In this sense the quality of an ensemble is depending more on the models it consists of rather than the average resolution of the ensemble. Furthermore, the difference in simulated precipitation between an RCM and the driving GCM depend more on the choice of RCM and less on the down-scaling itself; as different RCMs driven by the same GCM may give different results. The results presented here are in line with previous similar studies but this is the first time an analysis like this is done across such relatively large model ensembles of different resolutions, and with a method studying all parts of the precipitation distribution.

scholarly journals Glider Sampling Simulations in High-Resolution Ocean Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 975-992
Author(s):  
Jacob M. Steinberg ◽  
Charles C. Eriksen
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Velocity Profile ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Mesoscale Eddy ◽  
Normal Modes ◽  
Vertical Displacement ◽  
Geostrophic Velocity ◽  
Velocity Amplitude ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Autonomous Underwater Glider

AbstractIdealized simulations of autonomous underwater glider sampling along sawtooth vertical–horizontal paths are carried out in two high-resolution ocean numerical models to explore the accuracy of isopycnal vertical displacement and geostrophic velocity profile estimates. The effects of glider flight speed, sampling pattern geometry, and measurement noise on velocity profile accuracy are explored to interpret recent full-ocean-depth Deepglider observations and provide sampling recommendations for glider missions. The average magnitude of velocity error profiles, defined as the difference between simulated glider-sampled geostrophic velocity profile estimates and model velocity profiles averaged over the spatial and temporal extent of corresponding simulated glider paths, is less than 0.02 m s−1 over most of the water column. This accuracy and the accuracy of glider geostrophic shear profile estimates are dependent on the ratio of mesoscale eddy to internal wave velocity amplitude. Projection of normal modes onto full-depth vertical profiles of model and simulated glider isopycnal vertical displacement and geostrophic velocity demonstrates that gliders are capable of resolving barotropic and baroclinic structure through at least the eighth baroclinic mode.

scholarly journals Antarctic sea ice decline delayed well into the 21st century in a high-resolution climate projection

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Rackow ◽  
Sergey Danilov ◽  
Helge F. Goessling ◽  
Hartmut H. Hellmer ◽  
Dmitry V. Sein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Alternative Mechanism ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Ice Decline

<p>Despite ongoing global warming and strong sea ice decline in the Arctic, the sea ice extent around the Antarctic continent has not declined during the satellite era since 1979. This is in stark contrast to existing climate models that tend to show a strong negative sea ice trend for the same period; hence the confidence in projected Antarctic sea-ice changes is considered to be low. In the years since 2016, there has been significantly lower Antarctic sea ice extent, which some consider a sign of imminent change; however, others have argued that sea ice extent is expected to regress to the weak decadal trend in the near future.</p><p>In this presentation, we show results from climate change projections with a new climate model that allows the simulation of mesoscale eddies in dynamically active ocean regions in a computationally efficient way. We find that the high-resolution configuration (HR) favours periods of stable Antarctic sea ice extent in September as observed over the satellite era. Sea ice is not projected to decline well into the 21<sup>st</sup> century in the HR simulations, which is similar to the delaying effect of, e.g., added glacial melt water in recent studies. The HR ocean configurations simulate an ocean heat transport that responds differently to global warming and is more efficient at moderating the anthropogenic warming of the Southern Ocean. As a consequence, decrease of Antarctic sea ice extent is significantly delayed, in contrast to what existing coarser-resolution climate models predict.</p><p>Other explanations why current models simulate a non-observed decline of Antarctic sea-ice have been put forward, including the choice of included sea ice physics and underestimated simulated trends in westerly winds. Our results provide an alternative mechanism that might be strong enough to explain the gap between modeled and observed trends alone.</p>

scholarly journals Decomposing Shortwave Top-of-Atmosphere and Surface Radiative Flux Variations in Terms of Surface and Atmospheric Contributions

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (16) ◽  
pp. 5003-5019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norman G. Loeb ◽  
Hailan Wang ◽  
Fred G. Rose ◽  
Seiji Kato ◽  
William L. Smith ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regional Distribution ◽  
Radiant Energy ◽  
Surface Flux ◽  
Energy System ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Radiative Fluxes ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Atmospheric Variations ◽  
Modern Era ◽  
Global Mean

AbstractA diagnostic tool for determining surface and atmospheric contributions to interannual variations in top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflected shortwave (SW) and net downward SW surface radiative fluxes is introduced. The method requires only upward and downward radiative fluxes at the TOA and surface as input and therefore can readily be applied to both satellite-derived and model-generated radiative fluxes. Observations from the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) Energy Balanced and Filled (EBAF) Edition 4.0 product show that 81% of the monthly variability in global mean reflected SW TOA flux anomalies is associated with atmospheric variations (mainly clouds), 6% is from surface variations, and 13% is from atmosphere–surface covariability. Over the Arctic Ocean, most of the variability in both reflected SW TOA flux and net downward SW surface flux anomalies is explained by variations in sea ice and cloud fraction alone (r2 = 0.94). Compared to CERES, variability in two reanalyses—the ECMWF interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) and NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2)—show large differences in the regional distribution of variance for both the atmospheric and surface contributions to anomalies in net downward SW surface flux. For MERRA-2 the atmospheric contribution is 17% too large compared to CERES while ERA-Interim underestimates the variance by 15%. The difference is mainly due to how cloud variations are represented in the reanalyses. The overall surface contribution in both ERA-Interim and MERRA-2 is smaller than CERES EBAF by 15% for ERA-Interim and 58% for MERRA-2, highlighting limitations of the reanalyses in representing surface albedo variations and their influence on SW radiative fluxes.

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