Analysis of approaches to assessing changes in welfare and real GDP growth during digitalization of the economy

2022 ◽  
pp. 126-146
Author(s):  
S. G. Marichev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Effect ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Digital Goods ◽  
Relative Ease ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Digital Services ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Republic

The paper attempts to estimate, in monetary terms, the volume of free digital services in GDP while assessing the contribution of digitalization to changes in welfare and economic growth. Approaches to such an estimation are analyzed and criticized. In particular, the calculation of the added value created in the digital sector does not properly reflect the economic effect of digitalization. Alternative auxiliary methods for estimating the contribution of digitalization to GDP growth are considered: the creation of satellite accounts of the digital economy within the SNA; the categorization and calculation of “purely” digital goods. The paper analyzes the methodology of calculating GDP which takes into account consumer surpluses from the use of free digital goods. The advantages of this methodology are outlined, including the consideration of a significant part of the digital sector of the economy in the calculation of GDP, as well as the relative ease of its use. This methodology was tested by drawing on the example of the Republic of Bashkortostan.

scholarly journals DOES ECONOMIC INEQUALITY BOOSTS ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM THE REPUBLIC OF SRPSKA

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (8) ◽  
pp. 17
Author(s):  
Zoran Borović
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Economic Inequality ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Unequal Distribution ◽  
The Real ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Republic

In this paper we will present the results of our survey on economic inequality, and its impact on economic growth in the Republic of Srpska. Here, we will express inequality as unequal distribution of the results and conditions of economic activity. To measure economic inequality we will use Theil's T index. Our basic assumption is  that unequal distribution of the results and conditions of economic activity, all in favor of the real sector of the economy, will lead to the real GDP growth. We find that unequal distribution of the results of the economic activity have positive impact on GDP growth, and that unequal distribution of the conditions of economic activity has negative impact on GDP growth. Our results shows that the economy of the Republic of Srpska is full of anomalies.

scholarly journals PRODUCT DIVERSIFICATION AS A FACTOR IN THE IMPLEMENTATION OF AN INNOVATION STRATEGY

2022 ◽  
pp. 53-58
Author(s):  
M. Dudan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Effect ◽  
Quality Characteristics ◽  
Product Diversification ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Technical Process ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Given

The theoretical part considers the essence of product diversification and defines its role in the theory of economic growth. The classification of types of diversification is given, the main advantages and disadvantages of its application are revealed.In the practical part, an analysis of the development of the economy of the Republic of Belarus was carried out, as a result of which its high dependence on the results of the work of a narrow group of industries was revealed. As a factor in increasing the sustainability of economic growth, a policy of product diversification is proposed, considered on the example of the activities of a particular enterprise. In particular, measures are recommended to modify the technical process, which will increase the output of products with improved quality characteristics and higher added value for the needs of a related industry (in the given example, the use of food products in pharmaceuticals). The economic effect of implementation is presented.

scholarly journals FOREIGN INVESTMENTS AS DEVELOPMENT FACTOR FOR OVERCOMING ECONOMIC STAGNATION IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nada Petrusheva ◽  
Aleksandar Nikolovski
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Living Standard ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Western Balkans ◽  
Republic Of Macedonia ◽  
Economic Stagnation ◽  
The Republic

Amongst economists there is a broad consensus that in order to overcome economic stagnation the economic growth model should be more directed towards increasing investments and export and less reliant on consumption. The stable commitment towards improving the business ambient, the implementation of structural reforms in the field of competitiveness, the export sector as well as investments in infrastructure and education are the fundamental prerequisites to be realized for the opening of perspectives in the overall social development of the countries in the Western Balkans, including the Republic of Macedonia. The dominant driving force of economic growth – investments (foreign and domestic) have not been sufficiently implemented so that structural economic problems such as the low GDP growth rate, unsatisfactory export, unfavourable industrial structure have been present during the entire periodsince the independence of the Republic of Macedonia. Unlike other countries in Middle and Eastern Europe such as Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia in which foreign capital was steered towards manufacturing higher added value products, in the Republic of Macedonia investment entered mainly the trade and the banking industry, and quite less in manufacturing.Lacking own significant capacities for considerable increase of the gross-investment rate, assets sources for investments must be found in foreign accumulation, particularly via foreign direct investments so as not to increase the degree indebting the country. The global economic and financial crisis which spread over Europe in the last years has motivated the countries in the Western Balkans, including the Republic of Macedonia, to engage into a more active and more aggressive attraction of foreign capital. Foreign direct investments are considered the highest economic priority for long-term development, whereas the benefits to the national economy are multiple and influence the reduction of unemployment, increase of export, inflow of new technology, knowledge and skills, as well as improvement of the population’s living standard. However, despite the commitment, reforms and activities undertaken to attract FDI, the countries of the Western Balkans are facing remarks from investors for having an insufficiently reformed judicial system, bureaucratic issues, inefficient public administration and corruption. Therefore, it is essential to work continually on improving the macroeconomic environment and implement a long-term strategy to attract FDI through active policies.

scholarly journals INNOVATION EFFECT THROUGH RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN 35 OECD COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 159-166
Author(s):  
Maman Ali M. Moustapha ◽  
Qian Yu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Research And Development ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Development Expenditure

This paper analyzes the effect of research and development (R&D) expenditures on economic growth in the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 2000-2016. This study conducts an empirical analysis using a multiple regression model. The main findings confirm that an increase in research and development expenditure by 1% would generate an increase of real GDP growth rate to 2.83 %. The implication emerging from this study is that government and institutions need to increase investment in R&D expenditures to fulfill inclusive economic growth perspective.

Development Growth Models for Singapore and Malaysia: A Geweke Causality Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tan Khee Giap ◽  
Nguyen Le Phuong Anh ◽  
Ye Ye Denise
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Linear Dependence ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Growth Dynamics ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Multiple Time ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run

Purpose Nearly five decades after undergoing a structural transformation and navigating several external shocks, both Singapore and Malaysia are now grappling with some crucial policy challenges that necessitate a course-correction in order to sustain their growth momentum, going forward. In light of the renewed interest in understanding the growth constraints faced by the two countries, this paper aims to empirically explore the drivers of economic growth in both Singapore and Malaysia, using data from 1975 to 2012. Design/methodology/approach The paper employs a novel empirical approach-the Geweke causality analysis-to investigate the causal drivers of economic growth in Singapore and Malaysia. Intuitively, the Geweke causality analysis helps us understand and measure the linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series variables. To that effect, we perform both a bi-variate as well as a multi-variate causality analysis. Findings The empirical results established using Geweke causality analysis suggest that Malaysia's new development trajectory should lie in rebalancing the economy toward greater domestic demand and building a robust services sector. The results also suggest that Singapore, on the other hand, should embrace a growth model that goes beyond relying heavily on foreign direct investment (FDI) as a source of economic growth as the linear dependence between FDI and real GDP growth appears to be weaker compared to the linear dependence between the remaining variables and the real GDP growth. Originality/value While the traditional growth accounting framework provides useful insights at the aggregate level, there is a growing literature that discusses the importance of sectoral analysis to understand structural transformations in the economies which become important to sustain productivity growth in the long-run. This is immensely relevant in the case of Malaysia and Singapore, as well, especially with the changing policy focus in these countries to overcome structural growth issues. In light of this growing discussion on the importance of understanding the growth dynamics at the sectoral level, this paper presents new empirical evidence on the growth drivers in Singapore and Malaysia with a sectoral focus.

scholarly journals Taxation, government spending and economic growth: The case of Bulgaria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-266
Author(s):  
G. Ganchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this article is to estimate the impact of three fiscal instruments (direct taxes, indirect taxes, and government expenditure) on Bulgaria’s economic growth. The study employs an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and Eurostat quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period 1999–2020. Four control variables (the shares of gross capital formation, household consumption, and exports in GDP as well as the economic growth in the euro area) are included in the model to account for the influence of non-fiscal factors on Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate. The empirical results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship between Bulgaria’s economic growth and the independent variables in the ARDL. In the short term, Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate is affected by its own past values and the previous values of the shares of direct tax revenue, exports, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue in GDP. In the long term, Bulgaria’s economic growth is influenced by its own previous values and the past values of the share of household consumption in GDP and the euro area’s real GDP growth rate. Fiscal instruments can be used to stabilize Bulgaria’s growth in the short run but they are neutral in the long run. The direct tax revenue, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue are highly effective and can be used as tools for invigorating and stabilizing Bulgaria’s economic growth in the short run. However, in the long term, the real GDP growth rate can be hastened only by encouraging domestic demand (final consumption expenditure of households) and promoting exports. This research cannot answer the question of whether flat income taxation stabilizes the economy or not, since it does not separate the impact of tax rate changes from the influence of tax base modifications.

scholarly journals INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE EXAMPLE OF BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

2021 ◽  
pp. 21-41
Author(s):  
Jelena Bjelić
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Total Investment ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

An investment is a factor of the economic growth and a mandatory constituent in the majority of development models. This study analyzes the impact of the gross investment on the economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) for the period 2005-2017, and provides the assessment of the interdependence of investment and a newly added value in industry. The relationship between the foreign investment and the economic growth is also included. The dependent variables are the GDP growth rate and the added value in industry (as % of GDP). The independent variables are the total investment rate (as % of GDP) and the foreign investment rate (as % of GDP). The hypothesis is that the gross investment and the foreign investment are positively correlated with the GDP growth rate. The investments contribute to a higher newly added value in industry. The results show that the gross investment is a significant factor of the economic growth because there is a high significance and positive correlation between the observed variables (the total investment and the GDP growth). This shows that the investment growth stimulates the economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina. But the dynamic analysis as an investment-GDP ratio shows oscillations. The impact of investments on the share of the newly added value in industry is insignificant and negative. The results of the dynamic analysis are similar. The relationship between the variables of the foreign investment rates and the GDP growth is significant and positive. Although the foreign investments are not sufficient, they still contribute, to a certain extent, to the economic growth of BiH.

scholarly journals Cointegration and causality analysis between foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth in the republic of Croatia

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-158
Author(s):  
Martina Sopta ◽  
Vlatka Bilas ◽  
Sanja Franc
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Corporate Management ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
The Republic

The main objective of this paper is to analyze the causal relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), exports, and economic growth in the Republic of Croatia for the period 2000-2020 and determine the implications of research results on corporate management. The management of the investment enterprise is usually interested in high returns, whereas the management of the recipient enterprise is interested in higher productivity, spillovers, and larger market share on domestic and international markets. Several methodological approaches, including unit root tests, cointegration tests, and Granger causality test, were used to assess the relationship between gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate, on the one side, and the share of FDI and total exports of goods and services in real GDP, on the other side. The results of cointegration tests indicated there is no long-term relationship between the real GDP growth rate, the share of FDI, and the share of exports of goods and services in real GDP. Based on the Granger causality test, it cannot be concluded that there is no causal relationship between the analysed variables. Finally, the paper discusses the implications of the conducted research for corporate management. The results indicate that managers are not discouraged by the fact that FDI is not correlated to economic growth, as investment decisions are determined by numerous factors and not primarily by the growth rate of a recipient country.

scholarly journals Fiscal policy and economic development

2020 ◽  
pp. 153-164
Author(s):  
Mykola Pasichnyi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Weight Ratio ◽  
Policy Formation ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Impact

The research subject includes the theoretical basis and mechanisms of fiscal policy formation and realization as an instrument of economic development regulation. The aim of the study is to improve the theoretical and methodological basis of fiscal policy formation and determine the peculiarities of its impact on economic development. Methods. In order to achieve the appropriate tasks, we used a set of methods and approaches, that helped to ensure the conceptual unity of our investigation. The dialectical, systemic and structural approaches, methods of analysis and synthesis, comparison, generalization,economic and mathematical modeling, scientific abstraction are applied. Results. In this paper, we explored the main instruments of fiscal policy, which affect economic development. The experience of advanced counties in fiscal consolidation and stimulus measures during the Great Recession was systemized. Also, the author investigated the budget deficit impact on real GDP growth in OECD countries over the 1981-2017 period. Practical implications. Fiscal policy and instruments of its implementation. Conclusions. The regulation of the tax burden on labor and capital influences the conjuncture of these factors in the market. Fiscal regulation is one of the determining reasons for the migration of labor and financial capital between different regions and countries. Given the multiplicity of combinations of tax bases and rates, the government has significant potential to impact on investment and consumer demand, and real GDP growth. The impact of budget expenditures on aggregate demand should be examined considering the level (ratio to GDP) and different composition structures. It is vital to raise the weight ratio of productive expenditures in the overall structure, which leads to foster economic growth. Particularly important are the special productive expenditures that are directed towards the development of human capital; which include expenditures on education, health care, physical development, R&D. It is crucial to establish a consistent relationship between public spending and the obtained results to form an effective fiscal policy. The budget should be balanced, which requires the implementation of systematic fiscal consolidation measures, and it has been found that the growth of the budget deficit slows down economic growth. The priority of fiscal policy is to reduce the debt burden.

scholarly journals Role of Exports in Economic Growth: Evidence from India

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamma Koti Reddy
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
International Markets ◽  
Export Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
New Strategy ◽  
Auto Regressive

The study attempts to examine the causal relation among export growth, inflation, foreign direct investment and real GDP growth rate for the period 1990-91 to 2018-19 using Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) model and Granger Causality test. Both the statistical techniques employed show similar results pertaining to the causal relationship among the variables selected for the study. The results show that FDI & Real GDP growth have positive effect on export growth and there is no evidence of inflation alone causing export growth, but inflation along with FDI and Real GDP cause the Export growth. There is also evidence that export growth, inflation, real GDP growth together cause FDI. The results also indicate that none of the aforementioned economic variables either individually or jointly cause real GDP growth. The authors opine that slow growth in exports had been compensated by domestic demand and services-led growth in the process of economic growth during the period of study. The study stressed the need for introducing structural reforms to enhance the competitiveness of Indian products in the international markets. The focus should be on designing a new strategy for technology-driven export-oriented sectors as the export stability is positively associated with economic growth.

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