scholarly journals Prediction of Intensive Care Cases for COVID-19 Pandemic in Malaysia: An Artificial Neural Networks Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Ahmad Afif Ahmarofi ◽  
Norhaslinda Zainal Abidin ◽  
Nerda Zura Zabidi

Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Malaysia is a part of the ongoing worldwide pandemic. The emergence of COVID-19 has led to high demand for intensive care services worldwide. However, the severity of COVID-19 patients that need intensive care unit (ICU) treatments requires details investigation. This study aims to predict the number of ICU cases due to COVID-19 disease in Malaysia. The prediction was done based on the data related to new, recovered, and treated cases which were collected from the website of the Ministry of Health Malaysia started from April until August 2020. Artificial Neural Networks Multilayers Perceptron Backpropagation (ANN-MLP-BPP) model was developed for predicting ICU cases based on the usage of the real set of data. The ANN-MLP-BPP model was validated by splitting the data into 80% for training and 20% for testing. The results show that with the increase in the number of undertreated cases, the number of predicted ICU will also be increased. The predicted ICU admission is almost equivalent to a 1 percent increment of the number of cases undertreated. These findings may help the frontline physicians in planning and handling the facilities management during the COVID-19 pandemic situation in the future.

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1923
Author(s):  
Eduardo G. Pardo ◽  
Jaime Blanco-Linares ◽  
David Velázquez ◽  
Francisco Serradilla

The objective of this research is to improve the hydrogen production and total profit of a real Steam Reforming plant. Given the impossibility of tuning the real factory to optimize its operation, we propose modelling the plant using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Particularly, we combine a set of independent ANNs into a single model. Each ANN uses different sets of inputs depending on the physical processes simulated. The model is then optimized as a black-box system using metaheuristics (Genetic and Memetic Algorithms). We demonstrate that the proposed ANN model presents a high correlation between the real output and the predicted one. Additionally, the performance of the proposed optimization techniques has been validated by the engineers of the plant, who reported a significant increase in the benefit that was obtained after optimization. Furthermore, this approach has been favorably compared with the results that were provided by a general black-box solver. All methods were tested over real data that were provided by the factory.


2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 223-234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Álvaro Silva ◽  
Paulo Cortez ◽  
Manuel Filipe Santos ◽  
Lopes Gomes ◽  
José Neves

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivaldo Tavares Júnior ◽  
Jonas Rocha ◽  
Ângelo Ebling ◽  
Antônio Chaves ◽  
José Zanuncio ◽  
...  

Equations to predict Eucalyptus timber volume are continuously updated, but most of them cannot be used for certain locations. Thus, equations of similar strata are applied to clonal plantations where trees cannot be felled to fit volumetric models. The objective of this study was to use linear regression and artificial neural networks (ANN) to reduce the number of trees sampled while maintaining the accuracy of commercial volume predictions with bark up to 4 cm in diameter at the top (v) of Eucalyptus clones. Two methods were evaluated in two scenarios: (a) regression model fit and ANN training with 80% of the data (533 trees) and per clone group with 80% of the trees in each group; and (b) model fit and ANN training with trees of only one clone group at ages two and three, with sample intensities of six, five, four, three, two, and one tree per diameter class. The real and predicted v averages did not differ in sample intensities from six to two trees per diameter class with different methods. The frequency distribution of individuals by volume class by the two methods (regression and ANN) compared to the real values were similar in scenarios (a) and (b) by the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test (p-value > 0.01). The application of ANN was more effective for total data analysis with non-linear behavior, without sampled environment stratification. The Prodan model also generates estimates with accuracy, and, among the regression models, is the best fit to the data. The volume with bark up to 4 cm in diameter at the top of Eucalyptus clones can be predicted with at least three trees per diameter class with regression (root mean square error in percentage, RMSE = 12.32%), and at least four trees per class with ANN (RMSE = 11.73%).


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