scholarly journals KAUSALITAS EKONOMI MAKRO DAN GLOBAL TERHADAP PASAR MODAL INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
R Adisetiawan
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Test Statistics ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Partial Rate ◽  
Close Relationship ◽  
Relationship Of

This study aims to determine causality macroeconomic variables and the influence of the Indonesian capital market during the period 2001-2017 by means of Granger causality test statistics and test of Multiple Linear Regression. The results of this study revealed that during the period 2001-2017 there is a relationship of causality between the money supply (M2) with the Indonesia Stock Exchange composite index, but there is no causal relationship between the BI rate, inflation, the price of crude oil, gold, exchange rate IDR/USD, Dow Jones and Nikkei 225 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange composite index over the same period. The results of model testing research at 99% confidence level, obtained adjusted R-square values simultaneously at 98.4%, meaning that changes in the macro economy is able to provide a very significant variation in movement patterns of stock price index in Indonesia's capital market. This is also evidenced by the magnitude of the correlation values obtained in the model by 99.3%, meaning that there is a very close relationship between macroeconomic variables of the Indonesian capital market. However, the partial rate of inflation that occurred in Indonesia in the period 2001-2017 did not have a significant influence on the movement of stock market indices of Indonesia. Keywords: JCI, macroeconomic, globalization

scholarly journals KAUSALITAS BI RATE, INFLASI DAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Adisetiawan .
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Close Relationship ◽  
Causality Tests

This study aims to analyze the causal relationships between variables of inflation, BI rate, and stock index and the effects of inflation and BI rate on the Indonesia Stock Exchange composite index. Samples taken are data from January 1995 to March 2012. The research data used are secondary data published by Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Capital Market Supervisory Agency and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-lk) in the form of capital market statistics are then analyzed using Granger causality tests and Multiple Regression. The results of this study revealed that the 99% confidence level (a = 0.01); during the period 1995.1-2012.3 causal relationship exists between inflation, BI rate, and the Indonesia Stock Exchange composite index. The test results obtained by regression adjusted R-square value of 52.3%, this suggests that the movement patterns of stock price index in capital markets-related changes in various macroeconomic variables, one of which is a negative coefficient BI rate to Indonesia's capital market indices. The results also revealed that there was a very close relationship between the variables of inflation and BI rate to the CSPI, as evidenced by the magnitude of the correlation (R) of 72.6%.

scholarly journals Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Underpricing: Case of Indonesia Stock Exchange

InFestasi ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. Inpres
Author(s):  
Aulia Amin Nasution ◽  
Ali Mutasowifin
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Public Offering

The stock market is one of the alternatives chosen by companies to meet their funding needs. The first offering of a company's shares through the stock market to investors is called an Initial Public Offering. At the time of initial public offering, underpricing often occurs when the initial stock price on the primary market is lower than the stock price on the secondary market which will disadvantage the company because the collected funds are not maximum. This research aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic factors on underpricing in companies conducting IPOs listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2020. Using Regression Linear Analyze we found that macroeconomic variables as Inflation, IDX Composite Index, and GDP significantly affect underpricing on IPO in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2010 to 2020

scholarly journals Finding Size Factor and Value Factor in Indonesia Stock Exchange

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 63
Author(s):  
Yudhistirangga Yudhistirangga ◽  
Hermanto Siregar ◽  
Trias Andati
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Size Factor ◽  
Market Pricing ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Small Market ◽  
Gathering Data

This study conducted by gathering data from Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) with 2 specifics model, Capital Market Pricing Model (CAPM) and Fama French 3 Factors Model (FF3FM). These model was estimated by classify 557 stocks in Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) to 6 classes: S/L class is class with small size and low Book to Equity (BE) to Market Equity (ME), S/M class is class with small size and medium in BE/ME, S/H class is class with small size and high in BE/ME, otherwise B/L class is class with big size and low in BE/ME, B/M class is class with big size and medium in BE/ME, B/H class is class with big size and high in BE/ME. With F test, t test and classic assumption test, best class and best model were B/L class and FF3FM. The result was confirmed size factor and value factor in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Size factor are confirmed in 3 classes (S/M, S/H and B/L), and value factor are confirmed in 4 classes (S/M, S/H, B/L and B/H). Therefore, classes with size and value factor are S/M, S/H and B/L. With BE/ME is 1/PBV and PBV indicating the stock price relative to its book value, so in Indonesia Stock Exchange the size factor and value factor confirmed in market with small market capitalization with low to medium in stock price relative to its book value and market with big market capitalization with high stock price relative to its book value.

PENGARUH VOLATILITAS NILAI TUKAR, IDR-USD TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA: PENERAPAN MODEL GARCH

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 95
Author(s):  
Rahmadiva Dianitha Danial ◽  
Brady Rikumahu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Returns

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh  volatilitas return nilai Kurs IDR-USD terhadap volatilitas return pasar saham di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Dari pengambilan data sekunder dari 3 Januari 2012 hingga 29 September 2017 diperoleh data time series sebanyak 1404 hari. Data  dianalisis dengan model  GARCH dan Uji Granger Causality. Berdasarkan hasil permodelan GARCH(1,1), volatilitas kurs mempengaruhi volatilitas IHSG. Uji Granger Causality menunjukkan bahwa volatilitas kurs  dan IHSG memiliki hubungan yang kausal dua arah. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa informasi kurs dapat memprediksikan kondisi harga indeks saham di pasar modal di periode hari berikutnya, begitupun sebaliknya. Prediksi tepat yang dilakukan oleh investor akan mengurangi risiko dan meningkatkan imbal hasil dalam berinvestasi jika pasar uang maupun pasar modal yang sedang bergejolak.  Kata Kunci: GARCH, Volatilitas, IHSG, Nilai Tukar ABSTRACT This study aims to examine the effect of the volatility of the return on the IDR-USD exchange rate toward  the volatility of stock market returns in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. From the data collection from 3 January 2012 until 29 September 2017 we obtained 1404 time series. Analyzing data, this study used  GARCH modeling and Granger Causality Test. The selected GARCH (1,1) modeling result shows that the volatility of exchange rate influences the volatility of Indonesian Composite Index.  Granger Causality test shows that the volatility of exchange rate and volatility of Indonesian Composite Index have two-way granger cause. This study indicates that exchange rate information can predict the condition of stock price index in capital market and movement of Indonesian Composite Index (ICI) can predict exchange rate movement in foreign exchange market. Appropriate predictions by investors will reduce the risk and increase the yield in investing if the money market and capital markets are fluctuating high. Keywords: GARCH, Volatility, ICI, Exchange Rate

scholarly journals Analisa Korelasi Return Indeks – Indeks Saham terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan pada Bursa Efek Indonesia

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mulyono Mulyono
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Close Relationship ◽  
Coefficient Corrélation ◽  
Stock Price Index

Stock market generally has the stock price index that measures the performance of stock trading, the Indonesia Stock Exchange has a stock price index that is widely known as Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG). During its development, the Indonesia Stock Exchange has many alternative indexes that measure the performance of stock trading. Research that is to be conducted on the correlation between return of the stock index listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange and return of Jakarta Composite Index. Return stock index listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, namely, LQ45 Index, Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), KOMPAS100 Index, BISNIS-27 Index, PEFINDO25 Index and SRI-KEHATI Index, has a close relationship with the return Jakarta Composite,Index which is a reflection of the movement of all existing stock in the market. Return of stocks index that have the highest coefficient correlation is KOMPAS100 In dex, which have return index coefficient correlation is 0.949, thus KOMPAS100 Index that consisting of 100 stocks, based on the results of the study can be used as an alternative investment to get a return that is at least equal or close to the yield given by Jakarta Composite Index(IHSG) that consists of 445 stocks

scholarly journals EFFECT OF INFLATION, INTEREST RATE / BI RATE, AND RUPIAH EXCHANGE RATE ON INDONESIAN COMPOSITE INDEX (IDX) AT INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGE (ISE)

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (01) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Resista Vikaliana
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Structural Equation ◽  
Model Equation ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Economic Resilience ◽  
Strategic Role

Capital market has a strategic role for strengthening the economic resilience of the country and as an alternative for profitable investment. Capital market has an important role in economics of the country due to the dual functions, economics function and finance. Capital market is a national driving force through its role as a source of financing for the company and alternative for investor to invest. In capital market, Indonesia important role as this index can be used as barometer on the economic health of the country. Macroeconomics factor is high inflation, interest rate, and depreciation of rupiah to dollar, could lower the stock price. The aim of this research is to study the effect of macro economy e.g. inflation, rupiah exchange rate, and interest rate on Indonesian Composite Index (IDX) at Indonesian Stock Exchange (ISE).Method of analysis is carried out using linear regression model equation. Data used in this study is secondary monthly data during the period of 2013-2016. Total number of 36 samples is used. The effect of inflation, interest rate / BI Rate and exchange rate to ISE on model equation is 41.61%. Correlation between variable inflation and interest rate / BI rate is 0.490 quite strong at the same direction. Correlation between inflation and exchange rate is -0,349 which is quite strong but not at the same direction. Correlation between interest rate and exchange rate is 1 which is very strong and at the same direction. From the calculation, calculated F < F table (1.825 < 8,92), which can be concluded that there is no linear correlation between inflation, interest rate / BI Rate and exchange rate to ISE. Structural equation is Y= -0.088 X1 -0.300 X2 + 0,165 X3 + Ɛ.

scholarly journals REAKSI HARGA SAHAM DI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA TERHADAP PERISTIWA TEROR BOM PERIODE 2002-2017

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Carissa Cindy Febiana ◽  
Noorlailie Soewarno
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Stock Price Reaction ◽  
Bomb Explosion

This research aims to determine the reaction of stock prices in Indonesia stock ecxchange when event of terror bombs. This research use event study where observation to window period of abnormal return during 5 days before, event date, and 5 days after the event. The data was collected from the Indonesia stock exchange by using daily closing price of stock price and JCI (Jakarta Composite Index). The population are event of terror boms period 2002-2017. The sampling technique in this research used purposive sampling with the criterias are the largest number of victims and the availability of data.The statistic instrument test has been done by using paired sample t-test and SPSS 24rd program. The results show that there is the effect of bomb terrorism on stock price reaction in Indonesia stock exchange indicated by the differences of abnormal return. The influential incident that occurred during the bombing of Indonesia's history in Bomb Bali I at 2002, with the passage of time and the number of bombing events, investors have been sensitive to the occurrence of bomb explosion events against stock prices in the Indonesian capital market.

scholarly journals FAKTOR MAKRO EKONOMI DAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Rohmad Fuad Armansyah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Stock Price Index ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Capital Market

ABSTRACTrequired in the economic development of a country. Indonesia’s capital markets that began operating government took steps to make the capital market as a distributor of funds and investments equivalentto bank and non-bank institutions. Stock price of the capital market are closely related to several factors, which may consist of a factor derived from the company’s internal and external. This study tried to examine the factors that affect stock price index focuses on macro economic factors. In this study the authors wanted to determine the effect of the money supply, interest rates on deposits, and dollar exchange rates simultaneously and partially on the Composite Index in Indonesian capital market. Besides that, the authors also wanted to know that among the factors mentioned above, there are some factors dominantly affecting the Composite Stock Price Index. The approach used in this study is quantitative approach, because the existing data in the form of numbers are arranged in a list. The analysis method used in this study is the method of statistical analysis by multiple linear regression using SPSS version 16. Population and sample used in this study are all companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange by looking at the composite stock price index. The results of this study indicate that the interest rate of deposits, money supply, and the dollar exchange rate which  change and development of the Composite Stock Price Index and the money supply, are dominant Composite Stock Price Index.

scholarly journals PENGARUH BURSA SAHAM ASIA TERHADAP BURSA SAHAM INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Ardi Kurnia Cahyadi ◽  
Harti Budi Yanti
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Contagion Effect ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Relationship Of

<p class="Style2">This study examined the effect of the movement of Asian stock markets of Indonesia stock exchange. The data used is the composite stock price index data from the Japanese stock market, Hong Kong, Singapore and Indonesia. The data used are monthly data covering the period July 1997 to June 2008. To find out if there is a relationship of each stock on the stock exchange Indonesia Pearson correlation coefficient is used. Furthermore, to know the influence of other movements ofthestock exchanges Indonesia Granger Causality test is used. This research provides empirical evidence on the theory of contagion effect, by showing the influence of Asian stock markets of Indonesia stock market and vice versa. Testing the Granger test succeeded in proving the existence of a causal relationship between stock market Indonesia with Singapore stock exchange.</p>

scholarly journals PENGARUH EARNING PER SHARE (EPS) DAN PERTUMBUHAN PENJUALAN TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN FARMASI YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA (BEI)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Desi Nurul Hikmati Ilahiyah
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Sales Growth ◽  
Earnings Per Share

On investing in the capital market one thing that must be considered is the stock price. The price of shares offered on a stock exchange is related to the achievements of the company. The share price can be purchased by earnings per share (EPS) and sales growth. The purpose of this study was to study the effect of earnings per share (EPS) and sales growth on the stock prices of pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange (IDX). The population in this study were 11 pharmaceutical companies that were accepted on the Stock Exchange and sampled through purposive sampling techniques as many as 9 companies in the 2015-2019 period. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis. EPS partial research results positive and significant EPS on EPS stock prices EPS has tcount (54,435)> ttable (2,02439), on the other hand, partial sales growth, positive and significant effect on stock prices, economic growth, thitung sales value ( -3,525) table (-2.02439). Simultaneous EPS and positive and significant growth in stock prices due to the results obtained Fcount (1560,773)> Ftable (3.25).

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document