scholarly journals PREDICTION OF HOTEL BOOKING CANCELLATION USING DEEP NEURAL NETWORK AND LOGISTIC REGRESSION ALGORITHM

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Nugroho Adi Putro ◽  
Rendi Septian ◽  
Widiastuti Widiastuti ◽  
Mawadatul Maulidah ◽  
Hilman Ferdinandus Pardede
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
The State ◽  
Learning Rate ◽  
Optimal Value ◽  
Reservation System ◽  
Logistic Regression Algorithm ◽  
Hotel Booking

Booking cancellation is a key aspect of hotel revenue management as it affects the room reservation system. Booking cancellation has a significant effect on revenue which has a significant impact on demand management decisions in the hotel industry. In order to reduce the cancellation effect, the hotel applies the cancellation model as the key to addressing this problem with the machine learning-based system developed. In this study, using a data collection from the Kaggle website with the name hotel-booking-demand dataset. The research objective was to see the performance of the deep neural network method which has two classification classes, namely cancel and not. Then optimized with optimizers and learning rate. And to see which attribute has the most role in determining the level of accuracy using the Logistic Regression algorithm. The results obtained are the Encoder-Decoder Layer by adamax optimizer which is higher than that of the Decoder-Encoder by adadelta optimizer. After adding the learning rate, the adamax accuracy for the encoders and encoders decreased for a learning rate of 0.001. The results of the top three ranks of each neural network after adding the learning rate show that the smaller the learning rate, the higher the accuracy, but we don't know what the optimal value for the learning rate is. By using the Logistic Regression algorithm by eliminating several attributes, the most influential level of accuracy is the state attribute and total_of_special_requests, where accuracy increases when the state attribute is removed because there are 177 variations in these attributes

scholarly journals Prediction of incident myocardial infarction using machine learning applied to harmonized electronic health record data

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Divneet Mandair ◽  
Premanand Tiwari ◽  
Steven Simon ◽  
Kathryn L. Colborn ◽  
Michael A. Rosenberg
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Common Data Model ◽  
Electronic Health Record Data

Abstract Background With cardiovascular disease increasing, substantial research has focused on the development of prediction tools. We compare deep learning and machine learning models to a baseline logistic regression using only ‘known’ risk factors in predicting incident myocardial infarction (MI) from harmonized EHR data. Methods Large-scale case-control study with outcome of 6-month incident MI, conducted using the top 800, from an initial 52 k procedures, diagnoses, and medications within the UCHealth system, harmonized to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership common data model, performed on 2.27 million patients. We compared several over- and under- sampling techniques to address the imbalance in the dataset. We compared regularized logistics regression, random forest, boosted gradient machines, and shallow and deep neural networks. A baseline model for comparison was a logistic regression using a limited set of ‘known’ risk factors for MI. Hyper-parameters were identified using 10-fold cross-validation. Results Twenty thousand Five hundred and ninety-one patients were diagnosed with MI compared with 2.25 million who did not. A deep neural network with random undersampling provided superior classification compared with other methods. However, the benefit of the deep neural network was only moderate, showing an F1 Score of 0.092 and AUC of 0.835, compared to a logistic regression model using only ‘known’ risk factors. Calibration for all models was poor despite adequate discrimination, due to overfitting from low frequency of the event of interest. Conclusions Our study suggests that DNN may not offer substantial benefit when trained on harmonized data, compared to traditional methods using established risk factors for MI.

scholarly journals Heart Rate Variability-Derived Features Based on Deep Neural Network for Distinguishing Different Anaesthesia States

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Zhan ◽  
Zuo-xi Wu ◽  
Zhen-xin Duan ◽  
Gui-ying Yang ◽  
Zhi-yong Du ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Heart Rate ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Low Frequency Power ◽  
Frequency Power

Abstract Background: Estimating the depth of anaesthesia (DoA) is critical in modern anaesthetic practice. Multiple DoA monitors based on electroencephalograms (EEGs) have been widely used for DoA monitoring; however, these monitors may be inaccurate under certain conditions. In this work, the hypothesis that heart rate variability (HRV)-derived features based on a deep neural network can distinguish different anaesthesia states was investigated.Methods: A novel method of distinguishing different anaesthesia states was developed based on four HRV-derived time and frequency domain features combined with a deep neural network. Four features were extracted from an electrocardiogram, including the HRV high-frequency power, low-frequency power, high-to-low-frequency power ratio, and sample entropy. Next, these features were used as inputs for the deep neural network, which used the expert assessment of consciousness level as the reference output. Finally, the deep neural network was compared with the logistic regression, support vector machine, and decision tree models. The datasets of 23 anaesthesia patients were used to assess the proposed method.Results: The accuracies of the four models, in distinguishing the anaesthesia states, were 86.2% (logistic regression), 87.5% (support vector machine), 87.2% (decision tree), and 90.1% (deep neural network). The accuracy of deep neural network was higher than those of the logistic regression (p < 0.05), support vector machine (p < 0.05), and decision tree (p < 0.05) approaches. Our method outperformed the logistic regression, support vector machine, and decision tree methods.Conclusions: The incorporation of four HRV-derived time and frequency domain features and a deep neural network could accurately distinguish between different anaesthesia states; however, this study is a pilot of a feasibility study, providing a method to supplement DoA monitoring based on EEG features to improve the accuracy of DoA estimation.

scholarly journals Analisis Sentimen Twitter untuk Menilai Opini Terhadap Perusahaan Publik Menggunakan Algoritma Deep Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 108-118
Author(s):  
Erwin Yudi Hidayat ◽  
Raindy Wicaksana Hardiansyah ◽  
Affandy Affandy
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Application Programming Interface ◽  
Learning Rate ◽  
Application Programming ◽  
Hidden Layer ◽  
Programming Interface

Dalam menaikkan kinerja serta mengevaluasi kualitas, perusahaan publik membutuhkan feedback dari masyarakat / konsumen yang bisa didapat melalui media sosial. Sebagai pengguna media sosial Twitter terbesar ketiga di dunia, tweet yang beredar di Indonesia memiliki potensi meningkatkan reputasi dan citra perusahaan. Dengan memanfaatkan algoritma Deep Neural Network (DNN), neural network yang tersusun dari layer yang jumlahnya lebih dari satu, didapati hasil analisa sentimen pada Twitter berbahasa Indonesia menjadi lebih baik dibanding dengan metode lainnya. Penelitian ini menganalisa sentimen melalui tweet dari masyarakat Indonesia terhadap sejumlah perusahaan publik dengan menggunakan DNN. Data Tweet sebanyak 5504 record didapat dengan melakukan crawling melalui Application Programming Interface (API) Twitter yang selanjutnya dilakukan preprocessing (cleansing, case folding, formalisasi, stemming, dan tokenisasi). Proses labeling dilakukan untuk 3902 record dengan memanfaatkan aplikasi Sentiment Strength Detection. Tahap pelatihan model dilakukan menggunakan algoritma DNN dengan variasi jumlah hidden layer, susunan node, dan nilai learning rate. Eksperimen dengan proporsi data training dan testing sebesar 90:10 memberikan hasil performa terbaik. Model tersusun dengan 3 hidden layer dengan susunan node tiap layer pada model tersebut yaitu 128, 256, 128 node dan menggunakan learning rate sebesar 0.005, model mampu menghasilkan nilai akurasi mencapai 88.72%. 

scholarly journals Machine Learning Can Predict Deaths in Patients with Diverticulitis During their Hospital Stay

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fahad Shabbir Ahmed ◽  
Raza-Ul-Mustafa ◽  
Liaqat Ali ◽  
Imad-ud-Deen ◽  
Tahir Hameed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
At Risk ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Premature Death ◽  
Second Phase

ABSTRACTIntroductionDiverticulitis is the inflammation and/or infection of small pouches known as diverticula that develop along the walls of the intestines. Patients with diverticulitis are at risk of mortality as high as 17% with abscess formation and 45% with secondary perforation, especially patients that get admitted to the inpatient services are at risk of complications including mortality. We developed a deep neural networks (DNN) based machine learning framework that could predict premature death in patients that are admitted with diverticulitis using electronic health records (EHR) to calculate the statistically significant risk factors first and then to apply deep neural network.MethodsOur proposed framework (Deep FLAIM) is a two-phase hybrid works framework. In the first phase, we used National In-patient Sample 2014 dataset to extract patients with diverticulitis patients with and without hemorrhage with the ICD-9 codes 562.11 and 562.13 respectively and analyzed these patients for different risk factors for statistical significance with univariate and multivariate analyses to generate hazard ratios, to rank the diverticulitis associated risk factors. In the second phase, we applied deep neural network model to predict death. Additionally, we have compared the performance of our proposed system by using the popular machine learning models such as DNN and Logistic Regression (LR).ResultsA total of 128,258 patients were used, we tested 64 different variables for using univariate and multivariate (age, gender and ethnicity) cox-regression for significance only 16 factors were statistically significant for both univariate and multivariate analysis. The mortality prediction for our DNN out-performed the conventional machine learning (logistic regression) in terms of AUC (0.977 vs 0.904), training accuracy (0.931 vs 0.900), testing accuracy (0.930 vs 0.910), sensitivity (90% vs 88%) and specificity (95% vs 93%).ConclusionOur Deep FLAIM Framework can predict mortality in patients admitted to the hospital with diverticulitis with high accuracy. The proposed framework can be expanded to predict premature death for other disease.

scholarly journals Dress like an Internet Celebrity: Fashion Retrieval in Videos

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongrui Zhao ◽  
Jin Yu ◽  
Yanan Li ◽  
Donghui Wang ◽  
Jie Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Online Shopping ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
The State ◽  
Video Sharing ◽  
Fashion Products ◽  
Cross Domain ◽  
Object Proposals

Nowadays, both online shopping and video sharing have grown exponentially. Although internet celebrities in videos are ideal exhibition for fashion corporations to sell their products, audiences do not always know where to buy fashion products in videos, which is a cross-domain problem called video-to-shop. In this paper, we propose a novel deep neural network, called Detect, Pick, and Retrieval Network (DPRNet), to break the gap between fashion products from videos and audiences. For the video side, we have modified the traditional object detector, which automatically picks out the best object proposals for every commodity in videos without duplication, to promote the performance of the video-to-shop task. For the fashion retrieval side, a simple but effective multi-task loss network obtains new state-of-the-art results on DeepFashion. Extensive experiments conducted on a new large-scale cross-domain video-to-shop dataset shows that DPRNet is efficient and outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on video-to-shop task.

scholarly journals PATCHCOMM: Using Commonsense Knowledge to Guide Syntactic Parsers

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yida Xin ◽  
Henry Lieberman ◽  
Peter Chin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Knowledge Bases ◽  
General Purpose ◽  
The State ◽  
Prepositional Phrase ◽  
Syntactic Parsing ◽  
Commonsense Knowledge ◽  
Syntactic Ambiguities

Syntactic parsing technologies have become significantly more robust thanks to advancements in their underlying statistical and Deep Neural Network (DNN) techniques: most modern syntactic parsers can produce a syntactic parse tree for almost any sentence, including ones that may not be strictly grammatical. Despite improved robustness, such parsers still do not reflect the alternatives in parsing that are intrinsic in syntactic ambiguities. Two most notable such ambiguities are prepositional phrase (PP) attachment ambiguities and pronoun coreference ambiguities. In this paper, we discuss PatchComm, which uses commonsense knowledge to help resolve both kinds of ambiguities. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to propose the general-purpose approach of using external commonsense knowledge bases to guide syntactic parsers. We evaluated PatchComm against the state-of-the-art (SOTA) spaCy parser on a PP attachment task and against the SOTA NeuralCoref module on a coreference task. Results show that PatchComm is successful at detecting syntactic ambiguities and using commonsense knowledge to help resolve them.

scholarly journals Can we imitate stock price behavior to reinforcement learn option price?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Jin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
State Transition ◽  
Option Price ◽  
The State ◽  
Spot Price ◽  
Price Behavior ◽  
State Action

This paper presents a framework of imitating the price behavior of the underlying stock for reinforcement learning option price. We use accessible features of the equities pricing data to construct a non-deterministic Markov decision process for modeling stock price behavior driven by principal investor's decision making. However, low signal-to-noise ratio and instability that appear immanent in equity markets pose challenges to determine the state transition (price change) after executing an action (principal investor's decision) as well as decide an action based on current state (spot price). In order to conquer these challenges, we resort to a Bayesian deep neural network for computing the predictive distribution of the state transition led by an action. Additionally, instead of exploring a state-action relationship to formulate a policy, we seek for an episode based visible-hidden state-action relationship to probabilistically imitate principal investor's successive decision making. Our algorithm then maps imitative principal investor's decisions to simulated stock price paths by a Bayesian deep neural network. Eventually the optimal option price is reinforcement learned through maximizing the cumulative risk-adjusted return of a dynamically hedged portfolio over simulated price paths of the underlying.

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