scholarly journals COVID-19 Deaths Cases Impact on Oil Prices: Probable Scenarios on Saudi Arabia Economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdelmageed Algamdi ◽  
Said Khalfa Mokhtar Brika ◽  
Adam Musa ◽  
Khalil Chergui
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Sharp Drop ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Usa

The purpose of this paper is to discuss death cases on the World, exacerbated investor fears, uncertainties, and increased volatility of crude oil prices in financial markets. The reaction absorbed the epidemic gradually until January 22. Still, the market situation changed soon with a sharp drop in prices, and prices slowly recovered after that until June 14. The data of this research using an econometric model, the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag), according to the Gets methodology, using daily data, January 22 –June 14, 2020. Our ARDL shows, the death ratio has a significant negative effect on oil price dynamics. However, the death ratio has an indirect impact on volatility in Crude Oil prices. The findings show that the death toll of COVID-19 has a significant impact on oil prices in Saudi Arabia (KSA). However, the preliminary results mainly influence by the situation reported in the USA. When we assess the case outside the USA, and we see the positive effect of the COVID-19 death figures on oil prices, therefore, stress the amplification of death-related risks to the financial market and the real economy, caused by increased, policy-induced economic uncertainty in the United States.

scholarly journals Do COVID-19 and crude oil prices drive the US economic policy uncertainty?

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 107-107
Author(s):  
Claudiu Tiberiu ALBULESCU
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Economic Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
The Us

This paper investigates the effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on the United States (US) economic policy uncertainty (EPU), with a focus on the pre-pandemic phase of the sanitary crisis. Using daily data for the period January 21 – March 13, 2020, our Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model shows that the new infection cases reported at global level, and the fatality ratio, have no significant effect on the US EPU during the first phase of the crisis, whereas the oil price negative dynamics leads to increased uncertainty. However, analysing the situation outside China, we discover that both new case announcements and the COVID-19 associated death ratio have a positive influence on the US EPU. Keywords: coronavirus; economic policy uncertainty; COVID-19; EPU; oil prices

Factors Determining Gold Prices in Malaysia

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 75-82
Author(s):  
Anis Mat Dalam ◽  
Noorhaslinda Kulub Abd Rashid ◽  
Jaharudin Padli
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Gold Reserve

Gold is a valuable asset to a country because of its liquidity. Gold reserve can stabilize the currency in a country. The objective of this paper is to identify the factors contributing to the volatility of gold prices, such as Real Malaysia GDP, inflation rates, crude oil prices and exchange rates. The data was analysed using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach with time series data, with 30-year coverage from 1987 to 2016. Findings showed that only Real Malaysia GDP and crude oil prices were significantly related to gold prices. As a conclusion, this study can be used as reference by other investors. The author suggests to other researchers to further improve upon this study by adding more variables or diversifying the variables that relate to volatility of gold prices.

ANALYZING THE ASYMMETRIC EFFECTS OF CRUDE OIL PRICE CHANGES ON CHINA’S PETROLEUM PRODUCT PRICES

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
XIANCHUN LIAO ◽  
JUNGHO BAEK
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Price Transmission ◽  
Gasoline Prices ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Asymmetric Cointegration

As the world’s second-largest crude oil consumer, China depends on imports for approximately 60% and domestic production for approximately 40%, of its oil demand. Therefore, it is very interesting to assess the pass-through effects of both domestic and international crude oil prices to gasoline and diesel prices. After the short- and long-run investigations using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) methodology of Shin et al. [Shin, Y, BC Yu and M Greenwood-Nimmo (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework” Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications, R Sickels and W Horrace (eds.), pp. 281–314. Springer.], we find overwhelming evidence supporting the asymmetric price transmission mechanism between crude oil prices and gasoline prices in both the short- and long-run. In the case of diesel prices, on the other hand, the asymmetry effects seem likely to be a long-run phenomenon.

Connectedness among crude oil prices, stock index and metal prices: An application of network approach in the USA

2019 ◽  
Vol 62 ◽  
pp. 57-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaiara Husain ◽  
Aviral Kumar Tiwari ◽  
Kazi Sohag ◽  
Muhammad Shahbaz
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Network Approach ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
The Usa

scholarly journals Measuring the impact of COVID-19 surveillance variables over the international oil market

2022 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-33
Author(s):  
Alshdadi et al. ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Reserves ◽  
Oil Market ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Markets ◽  
Long Term Impact ◽  
The Impact

Coronavirus (COVID-19) has turned to be an alarm for the whole world both in terms of health and economics. It is striking the global economy and increasing the unpredictability of the financial market in several ways. Significantly, the pandemic spread stimulated the social distancing which led to the lockdown of the countries’ businesses, financial markets, and daily life events. International oil markets have accommodated the crude oil prices during the early COVID-19 period. However, after the first 50 days, Saudi Arabia has surged the market with oil, which caused a certain decrease in crude oil prices, internationally. Saudi Arabia is one of the biggest oil reserves in the world. International trade is based on oil reservoirs which in turn, have been significantly dislodged by the pandemic. Therefore, it is crucial to study the impact of COVID-19 on the international oil market. The purpose of this study is to investigate the short-term and long-term impact of COVID-19 on the international oil market. The daily crude oil price data is used to analyze the impact of daily price fluctuation over COVID-19 surveillance variables. The correlation between surveillance variables and international crude oil prices is calculated and analyzed. Consequently, the project will help in stabilizing the expected world economic crises and particularly will provide the implications for the policymakers in the oil market.

The Political Economy of Crude Oil Cartelization in the United States, 1933–1972

1989 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 833-855 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary D. Libecap
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Political Economy ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Production Costs ◽  
The Political ◽  
Political Factors ◽  
Political Costs ◽  
Crude Oil Prices

This article examines a government-sponsored cartel that fixed domestic crude oil prices in interstate markets from 1933 through 1972. Although the cartel raised and stabilized nominal oil prices beyond earlier private efforts, it also resulted in politically driven constraints on price, output levels, and cartel rent distribution. Political factors molded quota assignments, diverted production from low- to high-cost producers, and raised production costs. Political pressures prevented Texas from acting as a residual or swing producer. Instead, the interstate oil cartel members maintained nominal prices and spread the political costs of output adjustments.

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