scholarly journals Assessment of Water Needs of Grapevines in Western Poland from the Perspective of Climate Change

Agriculture ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 477 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Jagosz ◽  
Stanisław Rolbiecki ◽  
Piotr Stachowski ◽  
Wiesław Ptach ◽  
Ariel Łangowski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Changes ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Crop Productivity ◽  
Time Variability ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Efficient Planning ◽  
Provinces Of Poland ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
Rainfall Deficits

Climate changes lead to a rise in air temperature, which significantly increases the water needs of plants. Maintaining crop productivity will increasingly require the use of plant irrigation. The aim of this study was to assess the water needs of grapevines cultivated in the western provinces of Poland. The calculations were made on the basis of temperature and precipitation measurements collected at three meteorological stations in the period 1981–2010. Water needs were calculated as crop evapotranspiration, which was estimated by crop coefficients and reference evapotranspiration, determined using the Blaney–Criddle formula. The rainfall deficit was assessed by Ostromęcki’s method. The tendency to increase the water needs was observed in each subsequent decade of the thirty-year period, both in the whole growing season (May–October), as well as in June–August and July. The highest values of the linear correlation coefficient for the trend of time variability in water needs occurred from June to August. An analysis of water needs and rainfall deficits indicates the need for the additional irrigation of vineyards in western Poland, especially in very dry years and in June–August. Current research results are helpful in designing vineyard irrigation systems and allow an economical and efficient planning of grapevine irrigation.

scholarly journals Performance of methods for estimation of table beet water requirement in Alagoas

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 189-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniella P. dos Santos ◽  
Célia S. dos Santos ◽  
Leiliane M. da Silva ◽  
Márcio A. L. dos Santos ◽  
Cícero G. dos Santos
Keyword(s):  
Water Use ◽  
Standard Method ◽  
Water Scarcity ◽  
Performance Index ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Irrigation Management ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Abstract Optimization ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
Drainage Lysimeter

ABSTRACT Optimization of water use in agriculture is fundamental, particularly in regions where water scarcity is intense, requiring the adoption of technologies that promote increased irrigation efficiency. The objective of this study was to evaluate evapotranspiration models and to estimate the crop coefficients of beet grown in a drainage lysimeter in the Agreste region of Alagoas. The experiment was conducted at the Campus of the Federal University of Alagoas - UFAL, in the municipality of Arapiraca, AL, between March and April 2014. Crop evapotranspiration (ETc) was estimated in drainage lysimeters and reference evapotranspiration (ETo) by Penman-Monteith-FAO 56 and Hargreaves-Samani methods. The Hargreaves-Samani method presented a good performance index for ETo estimation compared with the Penman-Monteith-FAO method, indicating that it is adequate for the study area. Beet ETc showed a cumulative demand of 202.11 mm for a cumulative reference evapotranspiration of 152.00 mm. Kc values determined using the Penman-Monteith-FAO 56 and Hargreaves-Samani methods were overestimated, in comparison to the Kc values of the FAO-56 standard method. With the obtained results, it is possible to correct the equations of the methods for the region, allowing for adequate irrigation management.

scholarly journals Evapotranspiration and crop coefficients of Moringa oleifera under semi-arid conditions in Pernambuco

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 840-845 ◽  
Author(s):  
Célia S. dos Santos ◽  
Abelardo A. de A. Montenegro ◽  
Márcio A. L. dos Santos ◽  
Elvira M. R. Pedrosa
Keyword(s):  
Moringa Oleifera ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Experimental Unit ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Water Restriction ◽  
Phenological Stages ◽  
Indirect Methods ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
Semi Arid

ABSTRACT Efficient water use in agriculture is fundamental, especially in semi-arid regions where water scarcity is intense. The aim of this study was to estimate water requirements and crop coefficients in the different phenological stages of Moringa oleifera. The experiment was carried out from February to April 2015 at the Experimental Unit for Reuse and Hydrological Management, located in Mutuca, PE (7º 15’ 18’’ S, 35º 52’’ 40’’ W, 550 m). A lysimeter was used to estimate crop evapotranspiration. Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) was estimated by indirect methods. In the lysimeter, soil salinity and leaf water potential of the crop were monitored. The direct and indirect methods presented an excellent performance compared with the standard grass-lysimeter, especially Hargreaves-Samani, which presented a remarkable result for the study area. Crop coefficients (Kc) ranged from 0.73 to 1.73 in the different phenological stages. Moringa crop evapotranspiration (ETc) exhibited temporal variations, with a cumulative rate of 139.8 mm, for a cumulative reference evapotranspiration of 130.97 mm. Moringa plants showed slight water restriction, at the times of lower solar radiation.

scholarly journals EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO E COEFICIENTES DA CULTURA DO REPOLHO EM SISTEMA ORGÂNICO

Irriga ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 98-108
Author(s):  
Mário Sérgio Paiva de Araújo ◽  
Elias Fernandes de Sousa ◽  
Daniel Fonseca de Carvalho ◽  
Vinicius Rocha Pereira
Keyword(s):  
Brassica Oleracea ◽  
Water Use ◽  
Rio De Janeiro ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Organic System ◽  
Use Efficiency ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
E Mail ◽  
Weighing Lysimeter

EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO E COEFICIENTES DA CULTURA DO REPOLHO EM SISTEMA ORGÂNICO*     MÁRIO SERGIO PAIVA DE ARAUJO1; ELIAS FERNANDES DE SOUSA2; DANIEL FONSECA DE CARVALHO3 E VINICIUS ROCHA PEREIRA4   1Centro de Ciências e Tecnologias Agropecuárias, Laboratório de Engenharia Agrícola, Universidade Estadual do Norte Fluminense Darcy Ribeiro, Av. Alberto Lamego, 2000, Parque Califórnia, CEP: 28013-602 - Campos dos Goytacazes, RJ – Brasil. E-mail: [email protected] 2Centro de Ciências e Tecnologias Agropecuárias, Laboratório de Engenharia Agrícola, Universidade Estadual do Norte Fluminense Darcy Ribeiro, Av. Alberto Lamego, 2000, Parque Califórnia, CEP: 28013-602 - Campos dos Goytacazes, RJ – Brasil. E-mail [email protected] 3 Instituto de Tecnologia, Departamento de Engenharia, Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro, Rodovia BR-465, km 7, CEP: 23897000 - Seropédica, RJ – Brasil. E-mail: [email protected] 4Graduando em Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental, Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro, Rodovia BR-465, km 7, CEP: 23897000 - Seropédica, RJ – Brasil. E-mail: [email protected] *Extraído da dissertação de Mestrado do primeiro autor, defendida pelo Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental da Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro     1        Resumo    Objetivou-se estimar a evapotranspiração da cultura (ETc) e os coeficientes de cultivo (Kc) para as fases de desenvolvimento do repolho Fuyutoyo, utilizando lisímetro de pesagem. O experimento foi realizado de 17/07 a 26/10/2015, em área cultivada com repolho Fuyutoyo sobre a palhada de milho, no município de Seropédica-RJ. Utilizou o método Penman-Monteith FAO-56 para estimar a evapotranspiração de referência (ETo), e os valores de Kc foram determinados pela razão entre ETc, determinada por lisimetria de pesagem, e ETo. A ETc total do ciclo do repolho foi 411,55 mm e os valores de Kc para o repolho foram: 1,02 (I); 1,03 (II);1,05 (III) e 1,01 (IV), e se diferenciaram dos valores apresentados pela FAO, para cultivo convencional. A produtividade do repolho cultivado em sistema orgânico foi de 34,76 Mg ha-1, com uma eficiência do uso da água de 8,45 kg m-3.   Palavras-chave: brassica oleracea, lisímetro de pesagem, cultivo sobre palhada de milho     ARAÚJO, M. S. P; SOUSA, E. F.; CARVALHO, D. F; PEREIRA, V. R. EVAPOTRANSPIRATION AND CROP COEFFICIENTS OF CABBAGE IN AN ORGANIC SYSTEM     2        AbstraCt   The study was carried out in order to estimate crop evapotranspiration (ETc) and crop coefficients (Kc) for the stages of “Fuyutoyo” cabbage, using weighing lysimeter. The field trial occurred in 2015, from July 17 to October 26, in areas cultivated with “Fuyutoyo” cabbage planted on a straw of corn, in the municipality of Seropédica, RJ, Brazil. The FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method was used to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and Kc values ​​were determined by the ratio of ETc, determined by weighing lysimetry, and ETo. The total ETc of the cabbage cycle was 411.55 mm and Kc values obtained were: 1.02 (I); 1.03 (II); 1.05 (III) e 1.01 (IV), which were different from the values presented by FAO. The productivity of cabbage was 34.76 Mg ha-1, with water use efficiency of 8.45 kg m-3.   Keywords: brassica oleracea, weighing lysimeter, cultivation on straw of corn

scholarly journals SESAME CROP COEFFICIENTS USING CROP EVAPOTRANSPIRATION BY WATER BALANCE AND, REFERENCE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION BY PENMAN-MONTEITH1

Irriga ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
José Rodrigues Pereira ◽  
Whéllyson Pereira Araújo ◽  
Érica Samara Araújo Barbosa De Almeida ◽  
José Renato Cortez Bezerra ◽  
Hugo Orlando Carvallo Guerra ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Balance ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Crop Coefficients

scholarly journals EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO, COEFICIENTE DE CULTURA E CRESCIMENTO DE CANA-DE-AÇÚCAR PLANTADA POR MUDAS PRÉ-BROTADAS E POR TOLETES

Irriga ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 517-529
Author(s):  
MARIA EDUARDA NAJM SANDRINI ◽  
ALEXANDRE BARCELLOS DALRI ◽  
ANDERSON PRATES COELHO ◽  
ROGÉRIO TEIXEIRA DE FARIA ◽  
LUIZ FABIANO PALARETTI
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Water Consumption ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Crop Coefficient ◽  
Bare Soil ◽  
Initial Growth ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Agronomic Practices ◽  
Crop Coefficients

EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO, COEFICIENTE DE CULTURA E CRESCIMENTO DE CANA-DE-AÇÚCAR PLANTADA POR MUDAS PRÉ-BROTADAS E POR TOLETES   MARIA EDUARDA NAJM SANDRINI1, ALEXANDRE BARCELLOS DALRI1, ANDERSON PRATES COELHO1, ROGÉRIO TEIXEIRA DE FARIA1, LUIZ FABIANO PALARETTI1   1Departamento de Engenharia e Ciências Exatas, Faculdade de Ciências Agrárias e Veterinárias, Jaboticabal, SP, Brasil. [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]   1 RESUMO   Atualmente, a cana-de-açúcar apresenta diversos modos de plantio, destacando-se o plantio por mudas pré-brotadas. Esse sistema necessita de novos estudos para a recomendação adequada das práticas agronômicas, como a irrigação. Objetivou-se nesse trabalho avaliar e comparar o consumo hídrico, o coeficiente de cultura e o crescimento inicial da cana-de-açúcar plantada por mudas pré-brotadas (MPB) e por toletes. Foram definidos quatro tratamentos: cana-de-açúcar plantada por MPB e por toletes, plantio de grama batatais e solo nu, todos mantidos em lisímetros de pesagem. A evapotranspiração de referência (ETo) foi medida em lisímetros com a cultura de referência (grama). A evapotranspiração da cultura (ETc) da cana-de-açúcar plantada por MPB e toletes foi estimada por meio do balanço hídrico do solo. A estimativa dos coeficientes de cultura (Kc) foi obtida pela razão entre a ETc dos lisímetros com cana e a ETo. A comparação das variáveis entre a cana-de-açúcar plantada por MPB e por toletes foi realizada por análise de regressão. O Kc da cana-de-açúcar plantada por toletes variou de 0,86 a 2,88 e do plantio por MPB de 1,12 a 3,10. A cana-de-açúcar plantada por MPB apresenta maior consumo hídrico, coeficiente de cultura e crescimento inicial do que quando plantada por toletes.   Palavras-chave: arduino, consumo hídrico, irrigação, Kc, lisímetro de pesagem.     SANDRINI, M.E.N; DALRI, A.B.; COELHO, A.P.; FARIA, R.T. de, PALARETTI, L.F. EVAPOTRANSPIRATION, CROP COEFFICIENT AND SUGARCANE GROWTH PLANTED BY PRE-SPROUTED SEEDLINGS AND STALKS     2 ABSTRACT   Currently, the sugarcane presents several types of planting, especially the planting by pre-sprouted seedlings. This system needs new studies for the adequate recommendation of agronomic practices, such as irrigation. We aimed in this work to evaluate and compare the water consumption, crop coefficient and initial growth of sugarcane planted by pre-sprouted seedlings (PSS) and stalks. Four treatments were defined, being sugarcane planted by PSS and by stalks, bahiagrass grass and bare soil, all kept in weighing lysimeters. The reference evapotranspiration (ETo) was measured in the grass lysimeters. The crop evapotranspiration (ETc) of sugarcane planted by PSS and stalks was estimated by the water balance in the soil. The estimation of the crop coefficients (Kc) was obtained from the ratio between ETc of lysimeters with sugarcane and ETo. Comparison of the variables between planted sugarcane by PSS and by stalks was performed by regression analysis. The Kc of the sugarcane planted by stalks ranged between 0.86 to 2.88 and planting by PSS from 1.12 to 3.10. The sugarcane planted by PSS presents higher water consumption, crop coefficient and initial growth than when planted by stalks.   Keywords: arduino, water consumption, irrigation, Kc, weighing lysimeter.

scholarly journals EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO E COEFICIENTE DE CULTURA DA ALSTROEMERIA (Alstroemeria x hybrida) CULTIVADA EM ESTUFA

Irriga ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 817-829 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonita Beatriz Girardi ◽  
Marcia Xavier Peiter ◽  
Rogério Antonio Bellé ◽  
Adroaldo Dias Robaina ◽  
Rogério Ricalde Torres ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Consumption ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Irrigation Management ◽  
Crop Coefficient ◽  
Growth Stages ◽  
Crop Evapotranspiration ◽  
Retention Capacity ◽  
Full Flowering ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
Santa Maria

EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO E COEFICIENTE DE CULTURA DA ALSTROEMERIA (Alstroemeria x hybrida) CULTIVADA EM ESTUFA  LEONITA BEATRIZ GIRARDI1; MARCIA XAVIER PEITER²; ROGERIO ANTONIO BELLɳ; ADROALDO DIAS ROBAINA4; ROGÉRIO RICALDE TORRES5; JARDEL HENRIQUE KIRCHNER5 E LUIS HUMBERTO BAHÚ BEN5 1 Eng. Agrônoma, Mestra, Doutoranda no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria/UFSM, Santa Maria-RS, 97195-000, [email protected] Eng. Agrônoma, Doutora, Professora Associada do Departamento de Engenharia Rural, UFSM, Santa Maria-RS, 97195-000, [email protected] Eng. Agrônomo, Doutor, Professor Associado do Departamento de Fitotecnia, UFSM, Santa Maria-RS, 97195-000, [email protected] Eng. Agrônomo, Doutor, Professor Titular do Departamento de Engenharia Rural, UFSM, Santa Maria-RS, 97195-000, [email protected] Eng. Agrônomo, Mestre, Doutorando no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola, UFSM, Santa Maria-RS, 97195-000, [email protected], [email protected], [email protected].  1 RESUMO A determinação da necessidade hídrica de uma cultura específica ao longo do seu ciclo é essencial para o correto manejo da irrigação. O objetivo da presente pesquisa foi determinar a evapotranspiração e o coeficiente de cultivo (Kc) da Alstroemeria x hybrida cultivada em ambiente protegido. A determinação da evapotranspiração da cultura (ETc) foi por lisimetria de pesagem, já a evapotranspiração de referência (ETo) foi determinada pelo método de Penman-Monteith. O experimento foi conduzido em estufa climatizada no Colégio Politécnico da UFSM, Santa Maria-RS, tendo como tratamento cinco lâminas de irrigação/reposição de água em relação à capacidade de retenção de vaso (CRV) (30, 45, 60, 75 E 90 % da CRV).  O delineamento experimental adotado foi um DIC, delineamento inteiramente casualizado, com um total de dez repetições, sendo uma planta por vaso. Para a avaliação do Kc, foi usado o limite de 90% da capacidade de recipiente. O coeficiente cultural foi obtido pela relação entre a ETc e a ETo. O consumo de água para a cultura da Alstroemeria x hybrida nos tratamentos com limite de disponibilidade hídrica variou de 47,6 mm a 207,8 mm. A média do coeficiente de cultura da Alstroemeria x hybrida cultivada em ambiente protegido foi de 0,39 para o período vegetativo, 0,41 no inicio do florescimento, 0,95 para florescimento, 1,50 para pleno florescimento e 0,75 para a queda no florescimento. Palavras-chave: necessidade hídrica, flor de corte, manejo de irrigação, coeficiente cultural.  GIRARDI, L. B.; PEITER, M. X.; BELLÉ, R. A.; ROBAINA, A. D.; TORRES, R. R.; KIRCHNER, J. H.; BEN, L. H. B.EVAPOTRANSPIRATION AND CROP COEFFICIENTS OF POTTED Alstroemeria x hybrida GROWN IN GREENHOUSE   2 ABSTRACT The determination of water requirements of a crop throughout its cycle is critical for a proper irrigation management. The objective of this study was to determine the evapotranspiration and crop coefficient (Kc) of Alstroemeria x hybrida grown under greenhouse conditions. The crop evapotranspiration (ETc) was determined by weighing lysimeters, and the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) was estimated by the Penman-Monteith method. The Experiment was conducted under controlled conditions at the Polytechnic College of UFSM, Santa Maria, RS, and the treatment comprised five depths for water replacement associated to the pot retention capacity (WHC) (30, 45, 60, 75 and 90% of WHC). The experimental design adopted was completely randomized, with ten repetitions, one plant per pot.   For the evaluation of Kc, 90% of the container capacity was consideredas limit. The crop coefficient was obtained by the relationship between the crop evapotranspiration and reference evapotranspiration. Our results demonstrated that water consumption for Alstroemeria x hybrida in the treatments with a limit of water availability varied from 47.6 mm to 207.8 mm. The average crop coefficient of Alstroemeria x hybrida grown under greenhouse conditions was 0.39 for the growth stages, 0.41 for the beginning of flowering, 0.95 for flowering, and1.50 and 0.75 for full flowering and for the end of the flowering, respectively. Keywords: water consumption, cut flower, irrigation management, crop coefficient.

Annual Evapotranspiration and Crop Coefficients of Ligustrum japonica Growing in Three Container Sizes

HortScience ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 512c-512
Author(s):  
R.C. Beeson
Keyword(s):  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Actual Evapotranspiration ◽  
Rooted Cuttings ◽  
Supplemental Irrigation ◽  
Mean Size ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
Marketable Size

The objective of this study was to determine crop coefficients (KC) for Ligustrum japonica growing in three container sizes using the Penman equation to calculate reference evapotranspiration (ETR). Rooted cuttings were transplanted into 3-liter containers and upcanned as needed into 10- and 23-L containers. Production was scheduled such that a series of plants in each container size were about 2 months from commercial marketable size every 4 months. Beginning 1 Jan. 1995 until 31 Dec. 1996, three uniform plants of each size were suspended in weighing lysimeters and surrounded by similar size plants filling an area 3.7 by 4.9 m. Plants within each area were overhead irrigated at 2000 h as needed, based on a 30% moisture allowed deficit. Plants were exchanged every 4 months such that the annual mean size was that of a marketable plant. Actual evapotranspiration (ETA) was calculated from half-hour measurements of each plant's weight and adjusted for rainfall. From these and daily calculated ETR, KC were determined for each size of container. KCs ranged from 1.06 to 1.50 when ETA was converted to mm/day based on allocated bed space. Comparisons of volumes of supplemental irrigation to ETA and effects of assumptions required in converting ETA to mm/day will be discussed.

scholarly journals The Water Needs of Grapevines in Central Poland

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Barbara Jagosz ◽  
Stanisław Rolbiecki ◽  
Roman Rolbiecki ◽  
Ariel Łangowski ◽  
Hicran A. Sadan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Temporal Variability ◽  
Time Trend ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Water Requirements ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Central Poland ◽  
Crop Coefficients ◽  
Near Future

Climate warming increases the water needs of plants. The aim of this study was to estimate the water needs of grapevines in central Poland. Water needs were calculated using the crop coefficients method. Reference evapotranspiration was assessed by the Blaney–Criddle’s equation, modified for climate conditions in Poland. Crop coefficients were assumed according to the Doorenbos and Pruitt method. Water needs were calculated using the data from four meteorological stations. Rainfall deficit with the probability occurrence of normal years, medium dry years, and very dry years was determined by the Ostromęcki’s method. Water needs of grapevines during the average growing season were estimated at 438 mm. Upward time trend in the water needs both in the period of May–October and June–August was estimated. Temporal variability in the water needs was significant for all of the provinces. These changes were mainly impacted by a significant increasing tendency in mean air temperature and less by precipitation totals that did not show a clear changing tendency. Due to climate change, vineyards will require irrigation in the near future. The use of resource-efficient irrigation requires a precise estimate of the grapevines’ water needs. The study identified the water requirements for grapevines in central Poland.

Future Extreme Climates Projection over Huang-Huai-Hai Region of China

2014 ◽  
Vol 955-959 ◽  
pp. 3887-3892 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huang He Gu ◽  
Zhong Bo Yu ◽  
Ji Gan Wang
Keyword(s):  
Climate Changes ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Heavy Rain ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Huai River ◽  
The Future

This study projects the future extreme climate changes over Huang-Huai-Hai (3H) region in China using a regional climate model (RegCM4). The RegCM4 performs well in “current” climate (1970-1999) simulations by compared with the available surface station data, focusing on near-surface air temperature and precipitation. Future climate changes are evaluated based on experiments driven by European-Hamburg general climate model (ECHAM5) in A1B future scenario (2070-2099). The results show that the annual temperature increase about 3.4 °C-4.2 °C and the annual precipitation increase about 5-15% in most of 3H region at the end of 21st century. The model predicts a generally less frost days, longer growing season, more hot days, no obvious change in heat wave duration index, larger maximum five-day rainfall, more heavy rain days, and larger daily rainfall intensity. The results indicate a higher risk of floods in the future warmer climate. In addition, the consecutive dry days in Huai River Basin will increase, indicating more serve drought and floods conditions in this region.

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