scholarly journals Data-Driven Real-Time Online Taxi-Hailing Demand Forecasting Based on Machine Learning Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (19) ◽  
pp. 6681 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhizhen Liu ◽  
Hong Chen ◽  
Xiaoke Sun ◽  
Hengrui Chen

The development of the intelligent transport system has created conditions for solving the supply–demand imbalance of public transportation services. For example, forecasting the demand for online taxi-hailing could help to rebalance the resource of taxis. In this research, we introduced a method to forecast real-time online taxi-hailing demand. First, we analyze the relation between taxi demand and online taxi-hailing demand. Next, we propose six models containing different information based on backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) to forecast online taxi-hailing demand. Finally, we present a real-time online taxi-hailing demand forecasting model considering the projected taxi demand (“PTX”). The results indicate that including more information leads to better prediction performance, and the results show that including the information of projected taxi demand leads to a reduction of MAPE from 0.190 to 0.183 and an RMSE reduction from 23.921 to 21.050, and it increases R2 from 0.845 to 0.853. The analysis indicates the demand regularity of online taxi-hailing and taxi, and the experiment realizes real-time prediction of online taxi-hailing by considering the projected taxi demand. The proposed method can help to schedule online taxi-hailing resources in advance.

Author(s):  
Chuyuan Wang ◽  
Linxuan Zhang ◽  
Chongdang Liu

In order to deal with the dynamic production environment with frequent fluctuation of processing time, robotic cell needs an efficient scheduling strategy which meets the real-time requirements. This paper proposes an adaptive scheduling method based on pattern classification algorithm to guide the online scheduling process. The method obtains the scheduling knowledge of manufacturing system from the production data and establishes an adaptive scheduler, which can adjust the scheduling rules according to the current production status. In the process of establishing scheduler, how to choose essential attributes is the main difficulty. In order to solve the low performance and low efficiency problem of embedded feature selection method, based on the application of Extreme Gradient Boosting model (XGBoost) to obtain the adaptive scheduler, an improved hybrid optimization algorithm which integrates Gini impurity of XGBoost model into Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is employed to acquire the optimal subset of features. The results based on simulated robotic cell system show that the proposed PSO-XGBoost algorithm outperforms existing pattern classification algorithms and the newly learned adaptive model can improve the basic dispatching rules. At the same time, it can meet the demand of real-time scheduling.


Author(s):  
Eun Hak Lee ◽  
Kyoungtae Kim ◽  
Seung-Young Kho ◽  
Dong-Kyu Kim ◽  
Shin-Hyung Cho

As the share of public transport increases, the express strategy of the urban railway is regarded as one of the solutions that allow the public transportation system to operate efficiently. It is crucial to express the urban railway’s express strategy to balance a passenger load between the two types of trains, that is, local and express trains. This research aims to estimate passengers’ preference between local and express trains based on a machine learning technique. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is trained to model express train preference using smart card and train log data. The passengers are categorized into four types according to their preference for the local and express trains. The smart card data and train log data of Metro Line 9 in Seoul are combined to generate the individual trip chain alternatives for each passenger. With the dataset, the train preference is estimated by XGBoost, and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) is used to interpret and analyze the importance of individual features. The overall F1 score of the model is estimated to be 0.982. The results of feature analysis show that the total travel time of the local train feature is found to substantially affect the probability of express train preference with a 1.871 SHAP value. As a result, the probability of the express train preference increases with longer total travel time, shorter in-vehicle time, shorter waiting time, and few transfers on the passenger’s route. The model shows notable performance in accuracy and provided an understanding of the estimation results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 70-88
Author(s):  
Muhammad Waseem ◽  
Khawaja Arslan Ahmed ◽  
Muhammad Talha Azeem

Blockchain technology is widely studied in these days and has vital role in the ITS and Vehicular network. Intelligent Transport System (ITS) have resolved several issues of transportation like congestion, electronic toll collection, traffic light cameras, traffic updates, and environment forecasting. The vehicular network is the ever-increasing network it is not only facilitates us but also brings new challenges with it. The mobile nature of vehicular networks it is very important to collect and broadcast information of traffic events in real-time. A little delay to broadcast important information or deciding on this information can cause a serious situation in the mobile vehicular network. Moreover, malicious vehicles in the network broadcasting false information about these traffic events cause a disturbance in the network. In large-scale scenarios, the transmission of malicious messages offers a lot of danger to the system. They can wrongly claim the roads and provide false information about the incident. These traffic events can be life-threatening and cause unwanted situations like accidents, wastage of time and other resources. Therefore, it is very much important to provide real-time information on recent traffic events and real-time authentication of vehicles that broadcast information in the network. Traditional studies are unable to solve these security issues and contain a single point of failure issue. These studies are centralized and dependent on a single higher authority. Moreover, they have serious security concerns that are harmful for vehicular network. Moreover, any vehicles are unwilling to share their private information while broadcasting information about traffic events because they are strangers to each other. And if a vehicle does not want to share its private information like name, id, etc. It is not possible to authenticate this vehicle and manage trust in the network. It means that it is very crucial to prevent vehicles to broadcast wrong information in the network while preserving their privacy at the same time. Therefore, there is a need to authenticate vehicles and manage trust in the network while preserving their privacy simultaneously. Blockchain can offer better solution to solve these issues due to its secure distributed environment and features that ensure immutability about actions. The purpose of this report is to provide real-time security and privacy in the network. It is also ensured that vehicles get real-time authenticated information about traffic incidents from legitimate vehicles while simultaneously preserving their privacy. It means that only authenticated and legitimate entities (vehicles) can participate in vehicular network and privacy of both sender and receiver is secured in the network. Details of conducted experiments are given, and shreds of evidence are provided to evaluate the performance of architectures for authentication and trust management. The shreds of evidence show that these blockchain-based systems can solve security and trust issues more effectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Apeksha Shah ◽  
Swati Ahirrao ◽  
Sharnil Pandya ◽  
Ketan Kotecha ◽  
Suresh Rathod

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is considered to be one of the most epidemic diseases in the world today. Predicting CVDs, such as cardiac arrest, is a difficult task in the area of healthcare. The healthcare industry has a vast collection of datasets for analysis and prediction purposes. Somehow, the predictions made on these publicly available datasets may be erroneous. To make the prediction accurate, real-time data need to be collected. This study collected real-time data using sensors and stored it on a cloud computing platform, such as Google Firebase. The acquired data is then classified using six machine-learning algorithms: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest Classifier (RFC), Gradient Boost Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) classifier, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), and Decision Tree (DT). Furthermore, we have presented two novel gender-based risk classification and age-wise risk classification approach in the undertaken study. The presented approaches have used Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression survival analysis methodologies for risk detection and classification. The presented approaches also assist health experts in identifying the risk probability risk and the 10-year risk score prediction. The proposed system is an economical alternative to the existing system due to its low cost. The outcome obtained shows an enhanced level of performance with an overall accuracy of 98% using DT on our collected dataset for cardiac risk prediction. We also introduced two risk classification models for gender- and age-wise people to detect their survival probability. The outcome of the proposed model shows accurate probability in both classes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chengqun Song ◽  
Jun Cheng ◽  
Wei Feng

Crowdsensing leverages human intelligence/experience from the general public and social interactions to create participatory sensor networks, where context-aware and semantically complex information is gathered, processed, and shared to collaboratively solve specific problems. This paper proposes a real-time projector-camera finger system based on the crowdsensing, in which user can interact with a computer by bare hand touching on arbitrary surfaces. The interaction process of the system can be completely carried out automatically, and it can be used as an intelligent device in intelligent transport system where the driver can watch and interact with the display information while driving, without causing visual distractions. A single camera is used in the system to recover 3D information of fingertip for hand touch detection. A linear-scanning method is used in the system to determine the touch for increasing the users’ collaboration and operationality. Experiments are performed to show the feasibility of the proposed system. The system is robust to different lighting conditions. The average percentage of correct hand touch detection of the system is 92.0% and the average time of processing one video frame is 30 milliseconds.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2650 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elyse O’C. Lewis ◽  
Don MacKenzie

UberHOP is a commute-focused interpretation of the Uber suite of transportation services, with the goal of reducing personal vehicle commute trips. The service first launched in Seattle, Washington, and Toronto, Ontario, Canada, in December 2015 and expanded to Manila, Philippines, in early 2016. UberHOP is similar to vanpooling with fixed pickup and drop-off locations in the primary commute direction during peak hours, but it leverages Uber’s ridesourcing platform to replace fixed departure schedules with riders matched in real time. This paper reports on an intercept survey (83% response rate) to understand who rode, how they traveled to the pickup location, why they rode, and what modes UberHOP was replacing for all 11 UberHOP routes in Seattle during the morning and evening commute periods. In addition, detailed trip and total rider count data were collected during the survey administration process. The results show that many UberHOP riders made UberHOP their primary form of commute mode. Unlike standard ridesourcing services, UberHOP riders predominantly replaced public transportation modes rather than personal vehicles. UberHOP services were canceled in Seattle in August 2016. However, with larger rider densities per trip, the UberHOP model can be profitable, and it is reasonable to expect that Uber or others will resurrect a similar service in the future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 7454
Author(s):  
Bo Qiu ◽  
Wei (David) Fan

Due to the increasing traffic volume in metropolitan areas, short-term travel time prediction (TTP) can be an important and useful tool for both travelers and traffic management. Accurate and reliable short-term travel time prediction can greatly help vehicle routing and congestion mitigation. One of the most challenging tasks in TTP is developing and selecting the most appropriate prediction algorithm using the available data. In this study, the travel time data was provided and collected from the Regional Integrated Transportation Information System (RITIS). Then, the travel times were predicted for short horizons (ranging from 15 to 60 min) on the selected freeway corridors by applying four different machine learning algorithms, which are Decision Trees (DT), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Long Short-Term Memory neural network (LSTM). Many spatial and temporal characteristics that may affect travel time were used when developing the models. The performance of prediction accuracy and reliability are compared. Numerical results suggest that RF can achieve a better prediction performance result than any of the other methods not only in accuracy but also with stability.


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