scholarly journals Inferring Long-Term Demand of Newly Established Stations for Expansion Areas in Bike Sharing System

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6748
Author(s):  
Hsun-Ping Hsieh ◽  
Fandel Lin ◽  
Jiawei Jiang ◽  
Tzu-Ying Kuo ◽  
Yu-En Chang

Research on flourishing public bike-sharing systems has been widely discussed in recent years. In these studies, many existing works focus on accurately predicting individual stations in a short time. This work, therefore, aims to predict long-term bike rental/drop-off demands at given bike station locations in the expansion areas. The real-world bike stations are mainly built-in batches for expansion areas. To address the problem, we propose LDA (Long-Term Demand Advisor), a framework to estimate the long-term characteristics of newly established stations. In LDA, several engineering strategies are proposed to extract discriminative and representative features for long-term demands. Moreover, for original and newly established stations, we propose several feature extraction methods and an algorithm to model the correlations between urban dynamics and long-term demands. Our work is the first to address the long-term demand of new stations, providing the government with a tool to pre-evaluate the bike flow of new stations before deployment; this can avoid wasting resources such as personnel expense or budget. We evaluate real-world data from New York City’s bike-sharing system, and show that our LDA framework outperforms baseline approaches.

Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 878-P
Author(s):  
KATHERINE TWEDEN ◽  
SAMANWOY GHOSH-DASTIDAR ◽  
ANDREW D. DEHENNIS ◽  
FRANCINE KAUFMAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 175628642092268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Patti ◽  
Andrea Visconti ◽  
Antonio Capacchione ◽  
Sanjeev Roy ◽  
Maria Trojano ◽  
...  

Background: The CLARINET-MS study assessed the long-term effectiveness of cladribine tablets by following patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) in Italy, using data from the Italian MS Registry. Methods: Real-world data (RWD) from Italian MS patients who participated in cladribine tablets randomised clinical trials (RCTs; CLARITY, CLARITY Extension, ONWARD or ORACLE-MS) across 17 MS centres were obtained from the Italian MS Registry. RWD were collected during a set observation period, spanning from the last dose of cladribine tablets during the RCT (defined as baseline) to the last visit date in the registry, treatment switch to other disease-modifying drugs, date of last Expanded Disability Status Scale recording or date of the last relapse (whichever occurred last). Time-to-event analysis was completed using the Kaplan–Meier (KM) method. Median duration and associated 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated from the model. Results: Time span under observation in the Italian MS Registry was 1–137 (median 80.3) months. In the total Italian patient population ( n = 80), the KM estimates for the probability of being relapse-free at 12, 36 and 60 months after the last dose of cladribine tablets were 84.8%, 66.2% and 57.2%, respectively. The corresponding probability of being progression-free at 60 months after the last dose was 63.7%. The KM estimate for the probability of not initiating another disease-modifying treatment at 60 months after the last dose of cladribine tablets was 28.1%, and the median time-to-treatment change was 32.1 (95% CI 15.5–39.5) months. Conclusion: CLARINET-MS provides an indirect measure of the long-term effectiveness of cladribine tablets. Over half of MS patients analysed did not relapse or experience disability progression during 60 months of follow-up from the last dose, suggesting that cladribine tablets remain effective in years 3 and 4 after short courses at the beginning of years 1 and 2.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Albano ◽  
S Nagumo ◽  
M Vanderheyden ◽  
J Bartunek ◽  
C Collet ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Hypothetical concept of disproportionate secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR) has been recently introduced to facilitate patient's selection for mitral valve intervention. However, real world data validating this concept are unavailable. Purpose To investigate long-term effects of minimally invasive mitral valve annuloplasty (MVA) in patients with disproportionate (dSMR) versus proportionate SMR. Methods The study population consisted of 44 consecutive patients (age 67±9,5 years; 64% males) on guidelines-directed therapy with advanced heart failure (HF), reduced LV ejection fraction (EF) (32±9,7%) and SMR undergoing isolated mini-invasive MVA. Patients with organic mitral regurgitation or concomitant myocardial revascularization were excluded. To assess SMR disproportionality, the PISA-derived effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA) and regurgitant volume (RV) were compared to the estimated EROA and RV by using Gorlin formula and pooled real world data. Results According to EROA, a total of 20 (46%) and 24 (54%) patients, respectively, had dSMR and proportionate SMR (pSMR). According to RV, a total of 17 (39%) had dSMR and 27 (61%) had pSMR. Patients with dSMR showed significantly lower prevalence of male gender and higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus than patients with pSMR (p<0,001). Moreover, we observed smaller LV end-diastolic volume, larger EROA and RV (both p<0,01) and higher LV EF (p=0,02) in the dSMR versus the pSMR group. Other baseline characteristics were similar. During median follow up of 4.39 y (IQR 2,2–9,96y), a total of 25 (56%) patients died from any cause while 21 (47%) individuals were readmitted for worsening HF. Patients with dSMR versus pSMR according to both EROA and RV showed significantly lower rate of HF readmissions (both p<0.05) (Figure 1, 2). In Cox regression analysis combining clinical and imaging parameters, dSMR was the only independent predictor of HF readmissions (HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.07–0.60, p=0.004). In contrast, mortality was similar between dSMR and pSMR (NS) with age as the only independent predictor (HR 1,10; 95% CI 1,03–1,18, p=0,003). Conclusions Minimally invasive MVA is associated with significant reduction of HF readmissions in patients with dSMR versus pSMR while the mortality is similar. This suggests the importance of other parameters, i.e. age and degree of LV remodeling, to guide clinical management in SMR. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 160 (6) ◽  
pp. S-342-S-343
Author(s):  
Nathaniel A. Cohen ◽  
Joshua M. Steinberg ◽  
Alexa Silfen ◽  
Cindy Traboulsi ◽  
Jorie Singer ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 2260-2269
Author(s):  
Daniel Tong ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Jeewaka Mendis ◽  
Sharadah Essapen

In the UK, Trifluridine-tipiracil (Lonsurf) is used to treat metastatic colorectal cancer in the third-line setting, after prior exposure to fluoropyrimidine-based regimes. Current data on the real-world use of Lonsurf lack long-term follow-up data. A retrospective evaluation of patients receiving Lonsurf at our Cancer Centre in 2016–2017 was performed, all with a minimum of two-year follow-up. Fifty-six patients were included in the review. The median number of cycles of Lonsurf administered was 3. Median follow-up was 6.0 months, with all patients deceased at the time of analysis. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3.2 months, and overall survival (OS) was 5.8 months. The median interval from Lonsurf discontinuation to death was two months, but seven patients received further systemic treatment and median OS gained was 12 months. Lonsurf offered a slightly better PFS but inferior OS to that of the RECOURSE trial, with PFS similar to real-world data previously presented. Interestingly, 12.5% had a PFS > 9 months, and this cohort had primarily left-sided and RAS wild-type disease. A subset received further systemic treatment on Lonsurf discontinuation with good additional OS benefit. Lonsurf may alter the course of disease for a subset of patients, and further treatment on progression can be considered in carefully selected patients.


2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (S1) ◽  
pp. 149-150
Author(s):  
Amr Makady ◽  
Ard van Veelen ◽  
Anthonius de Boer ◽  
Hans Hillege ◽  
Olaf Klunger ◽  
...  

INTRODUCTION:Reimbursement decisions are usually based on evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCT) with high internal validity but lower external validity. Real-World Data (RWD) may provide complimentary evidence for relative effectiveness assessments (REA's) and cost-effectiveness assessments (CEA's) of treatments. This study explores to which extent RWD is incorporated in REA's and CEA's of drugs used to treat metastatic melanoma (MM) by five Health Technology Assessment (HTA) agencies.METHODS:Dossiers for MM drugs published between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2016 were retrieved for HTA agencies in five countries: the United Kingdom (NICE), Scotland (SMC), France (HAS), Germany (IQWiG) and the Netherlands (ZIN). A standardized data-extraction form was used to extract data on RWD mentioned in the assessment and its impact on appraisal (for example, positive, negative, neutral or unknown) for both REA and CEA.RESULTS:In total, fourty-nine dossiers were retrieved: NICE = 10, SMC = 13, IQWiG = 16, HAS = 8 and ZIN = 2. Nine dossiers (18.4 percent) included RWD in REA's for several parameters: to describe effectiveness (n = 5) and/or the safety (n = 2) of the drug, and/or the prevalence of MM (n = 4). CEA's were included in 25/49 dossiers (IQWiG and HAS did not perform CEA's). Of the twenty-five CEA's, twenty (80 percent) included RWD to extrapolate long-term effectiveness (n = 19), and/or identify costs associated with treatments (n = 7). When RWD was included in REA's (n = 9), its impact on the appraisal was negative (n = 4), neutral (n = 2), unknown (n = 1) or was not discussed in the appraisal (n = 2). When RWD was included in CEA's (n = 11), its impact on the appraisal varied between positive (n = 2), negative (n = 5) and unknown (n = 4).CONCLUSIONS:Generally, RWD is more often included in CEA's than REA's (80 percent versus 18.4 percent, respectively). When included, RWD was mostly used to describe the effectiveness of the drug (REA) or to predict long-term effectiveness (CEA). The impact of RWD on the appraisal varied greatly within both REA's and CEA's.


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