scholarly journals Impact of Atmospheric Circulation on the Occurrence of Hot Nights in Central Europe

Atmosphere ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arkadiusz Tomczyk
Keyword(s):  
Water Management ◽  
High Pressure ◽  
Central Europe ◽  
National Research Institute ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Atmospheric Research ◽  
Pressure Area ◽  
Environmental Prediction ◽  
The Waves ◽  
Minimum Air Temperature

The main goal of the study is to determine the pressure conditions that cause waves of hot nights in Central Europe. The goal was implemented on the basis of data from 1966 to 2015, made available by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management—National Research Institute, Deutscher Wetterdienst and the National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR). A hot night was defined as a day with the minimum air temperature above 18 °C. In the analysed years, an increase in the number of hot nights was found, which was predominantly statistically significant within the studied area. The study shows that the occurrence of waves of hot nights in Central Europe was associated on average with the ridge of high pressure, within which a local high-pressure area developed. During the waves of hot nights, there were positive anomalies of heights of isobaric surfaces over the study area with a maximum in the upper troposphere.

scholarly journals NOCE MROŹNE W POZNANIU I ICH CYRKULACYJNE UWARUNKOWANIA

2018 ◽  
pp. 225-238
Author(s):  
ARKADIUSZ M. TOMCZYK
Keyword(s):  
Water Management ◽  
High Pressure ◽  
Central Europe ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
National Research Institute ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Air Masses ◽  
Circulation Types ◽  
Pressure Ridge ◽  
Minimum Air Temperature

The main purpose of this article was to determine the pressure situations and circulation types causing the occurrence of frosty nights in Poznań in the years 1966/67–2015/16. A night was assumed to be a frosty night with a minimum temperature below –10°C. The article uses the daily values of the minimum air temperature for the period of 1966–2016 for the station in Poznań. The data was provided by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute. In the analyzed years, 10 frosty nights were recorded on average every season. Conducted studies showed a decrease in their number, although these changes were not statistically significant. The average occurrence of frosty nights was associated with the presence of a high-pressure system over Central Europe, which developed within a high-pressure ridge extending over the majority of the continent. Such a pressure situation led to the advection of continental air masses from the eastern sector.

scholarly journals Occurrence and synoptic background of strong and very strong frost in spring and autumn in Central Europe

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arkadiusz M. Tomczyk ◽  
Katarzyna Szyga-Pluta ◽  
Ewa Bednorz
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Central Europe ◽  
Minimum Temperature ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
National Research Institute ◽  
Atlantic Sector ◽  
Air Masses ◽  
Environmental Prediction ◽  
Northern Sector

Abstract The objective of the paper was the determination of the circulation conditions of occurrence of strong and very strong frost in Central Europe. A frost day was defined as a day with the minimum temperature lower than 0 °C and maximum temperature higher than 0 °C. Moreover, a division of frost was performed in terms of value of minimum temperature, resulting in the designation of mild frost (up to − 2.0 °C), moderate frost (from − 2.1 to − 4 °C), strong frost (from − 4.1 to − 6 °C) and very strong frost (< − 6 °C). The study was based on data from the years 1966–2015 from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management—National Research Institute, Deutscher Wetterdienst and National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR). The analysis of baric conditions employed values of pressure at sea level, height of isobaric surface of 500 hPa and air temperature at a level of 850 hPa, as well as their anomalies. The spatial analysis showed that the number of frost days in spring and autumn increased from the west to the east of Central Europe. A decrease in the number of frost days, however, is observed over the prevailing area. Average conditions favouring the occurrence of strong and very strong frost both in spring and autumn were related to higher than average pressure at sea level over the prevailing area of the Euro-Atlantic sector. Such baric conditions caused advections of cool air masses from the northern sector.

scholarly journals Effect of an Improved Yasutomi Pressure-Viscosity Relationship on the Elastohydrodynamic Line Contact Problem

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Vincenzo Petrone ◽  
Adolfo Senatore ◽  
Vincenzo D'Agostino
Keyword(s):  
High Pressure ◽  
Film Thickness ◽  
Free Volume ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Line Contact ◽  
Volume Model ◽  
Free Volume Model ◽  
Pressure Area ◽  
New Formulation ◽  
Lubricant Viscosity

This paper presents the application of an improved Yasutomi correlation for lubricant viscosity at high pressure in a Newtonian elastohydrodynamic line contact simulation. According to recent experimental studies using high pressure viscometers, the Yasutomi pressure-viscosity relationship derived from the free-volume model closely represents the real lubricant piezoviscous behavior for the high pressure typically encountered in elastohydrodynamic applications. However, the original Yasutomi correlation suffers from the appearance of a zero in the function describing the pressure dependence of the relative free volume thermal expansivity. In order to overcome this drawback, a new formulation of the Yasutomi relation was recently developed by Bair et al. This new function removes these concerns and provides improved precision without the need for an equation of state. Numerical simulations have been performed using the improved Yasutomi model to predict the lubricant pressure-viscosity, the pressure distribution, and the film thickness behavior in a Newtonian EHL simulation of a squalane-lubricated line contact. This work also shows that this model yields a higher viscosity at the low-pressure area, which results in a larger central film thickness compared with the previous piezoviscous relations.

scholarly journals Método objetivo de identificação dos vórtices ciclônicos de altos níveis na região Tropical Sul: validação

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 311-323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelyne Duarte Leal Coutinho ◽  
Manoel Alonso Gan ◽  
Vadlamudi Brahmananda Rao
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Research ◽  
Environmental Prediction

Neste estudo foi desenvolvido um Método Objetivo (MO) para identificar Vórtices Ciclônicos de Altos Níveis (VCANs) na região Tropical Sul, baseado na vorticidade relativa e no escoamento horizontal do vento ao redor do centro dos sistemas. O MO foi elaborado usando dados de reanálises do National Centers for Environmental Prediction - National Centers for Atmospheric Research (NCEP-NCAR) e validado, para o período de cinco anos (2002 a 2006), através da comparação entre os resultados obtidos pelo MO e os obtidos pela Análise dos Campos (AC) de vento e vorticidade relativa. Por outro lado, uma avaliação da AC em identificar os VCANs foi feita, para o mesmo período, através da comparação entre os resultados desta e os obtidos usando Imagem de Satélite (IS) no canal espectral do vapor d'água. As AC apresentaram resultados satisfatórios e, portanto, o conjunto dos dados de reanálises do NCEP-NCAR foi aplicado ao MO. Foi observado um bom desempenho do MO em identificar os sistemas, bem como algumas características associadas, tais como: número de ocorrência, número de dias com atuação, posicionamento, direção de deslocamento e região de formação.

scholarly journals Modelagem da maré meteorológica utilizando redes neurais artificiais: uma aplicação para a Baía de Paranaguá-PR, parte 2: dados meteorológicos de reanálise do NCEP/NCAR

2007 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marilia Mitidieri F. de Oliveira ◽  
Nelson Francisco F. Ebecken ◽  
Isimar de A. Santos ◽  
Claudio F. Neves ◽  
Luiz P. Caloba ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Research ◽  
Environmental Prediction

A variabilidade do nível do mar observado e a maré meteorológica na Baía de Paranaguá-PR foram analisadas, neste trabalho, com os dados maregráficos utilizados na Parte 1 e os dados meteorológicos de reanálise do "National Centers for Environmental Prediction" (NCEP) e do "National Center Atmospheric Research" (NCAR) pontos de grade no oceano, próximos ao local de estudo, referentes ao mesmo período. As componentes de alta freqüência contidas nos dados de reanálise foram retiradas com o filtro passa-baixa de Thompson, descrito na Parte 1, adaptado para intervalos de 6 horas. Analisou-se as influências das variáveis meteorológicas mais remotas, nas sobre-elevações e abaixamentos do nível do mar observado, utilizando dados de reanálise de pressão e vento. Conforme descrito na Parte 1, as séries foram analisadas, estatisticamente, no domínio do tempo e da freqüência. A série maregráfica filtrada de Cananéia (SP), utilizada para verificar a existência de correlação com a série de Paranaguá, confirmou os estudos de Mesquita (1997) para o litoral Sudeste. Essa correlação foi verificada devido à proximidade da estação de Cananéia ao ponto de grade relativo à pressão. A Rede Neural Artificial (RNA) desenvolvida na Parte 1 foi, então, utilizada com os dados de reanálise, mantendo-se a mesma arquitetura de rede com as máximas correlações entre as variáveis de entrada e saída, ajustando-se os parâmetros de taxa de aprendizado e momento para alcançar o melhor desempenho. Os resultados obtidos com ambas as fontes de dados foram comparados e a eficiência da rede foi semelhante à Parte 1 para as simulações de 6h e 12 h. Para as simulações de 18h e 24h, os resultados foram inferiores como os encontrados para a estação de superfície, sugerindo também, o desenvolvimento de outras arquiteturas de rede, visando melhorar as previsões para períodos maiores. Os resultados obtidos com os dados de reanálise sugerem a sua utilização na falta de estações meteorológicas convencionais próximas a estações maregráficas.

scholarly journals Validation of the Aura High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder geopotential heights

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 1001-1025
Author(s):  
L. L. Smith ◽  
J. C. Gille
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
System Model ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Atmospheric Research ◽  
Earth Observing System ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
High Bias ◽  
Environmental Prediction ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Data Screening

Abstract. Global satellite observations from the EOS Aura spacecraft's High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder (HIRDLS) of temperature and geopotential height (GPH) are discussed. The accuracy, resolution and precision of the HIRDLS version 7 algorithms are assessed and data screening recommendations are made. Comparisons with GPH from observations, reanalyses and models including European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Interim Reanalysis (ERA-Interim), National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis, Goddard Earth Observing System Model (GEOS) version 5, and EOS Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) illustrate the HIRDLS GPH have a precision ranging from 2 m to 30 m and an accuracy of ±100 m. Comparisons indicate HIRDLS GPH may have a slight low bias in the tropics and a slight high bias at high latitudes. Geostrophic winds computed with HIRDLS GPH qualitatively agree with winds from other data sources including ERA-Interim, NCEP and GEOS-5.

scholarly journals Stratospheric semi-decadal oscillations in NCEP data

2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (8) ◽  
pp. 2143-2157 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. G. Mayr ◽  
J. G. Mengel ◽  
F. T. Huang ◽  
E. R. Talaat ◽  
E. R. Nash ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Temperature Data ◽  
Spectral Features ◽  
Altitude Range ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Atmospheric Research ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Environmental Prediction ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract. An analysis of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) data is presented to provide a more complete description of the stratospheric 5-year semi-decadal (SD) oscillation (Mayr et al., 2007). The zonal-mean temperature and zonal wind data from the Atmospheric Research R-1 analysis are employed, covering the years from 1962 to 2002 in the altitude range from 10 to 30 km. For diagnostic purposes, the data are separated into the hemispherically symmetric and anti-symmetric components, and spectral analysis is applied to identify the signatures of the SD oscillations. Through the synthesis or filtering of spectral features, the SD modulations of the annual oscillation (AO) and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) are delineated. In agreement with the earlier findings, the magnitude of the SD oscillation is more pronounced when the 30-month QBO dominates during the years from 1975 to 1995. This is consistent with results from a numerical model, which shows that such a QBO generates the SD oscillation through interaction with the 12-month AO. In the zonal winds, the SD oscillation in the NCEP data is confined to equatorial latitudes, where it modulates the symmetric AO and QBO by about 5 m/s below 30 km. In the temperature data, the effect is also seen around the equator, but it is much larger at polar latitudes where the SD oscillation produces variations as large as 2 K. Our data analysis indicates that the SD oscillation is mainly hemispherically symmetric, and it appears to originate at equatorial latitudes where most of the energy resides.

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