scholarly journals An Adaptive Prediction Model for the Remaining Life of an Li-Ion Battery Based on the Fusion of the Two-Phase Wiener Process and an Extreme Learning Machine

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 540
Author(s):  
Xiaowu Chen ◽  
Zhen Liu ◽  
Jingyuan Wang ◽  
Chenglin Yang ◽  
Bing Long ◽  
...  

Lithium-ion batteries (LiBs) are the most important part of electric vehicle (EV) systems. Because there are two different degradation rates during LiB degradation, there are many two-phase models for LiBs. However, most of these methods do not consider the randomness of the changing point in the two-phase model and cannot update the change time in real time. Therefore, this paper proposes a method based on the combination of the two-phase Wiener model and an extreme learning machine (ELM). The two-phase Wiener model is used to derive the mathematical expression of the remaining useful life (RUL), and the ELM is implemented to adaptively detect the changing point. Based on the Poisson distribution, the distribution of the changing time is derived as a gamma distribution. To evaluate the theoretical results and practicality of the proposed method, we perform both numerical and practical simulations. The results of the simulations show that due to the precise and adaptive detection of changing points, the proposed method produces a more accurate RUL prediction than existing methods. The error of our method for detecting the changing point is about 4% and the mean prediction error of RUL in the second phase is improved from 4.39 cycles to 1.61 cycles.

Author(s):  
Renxiong Liu

Objective: Lithium-ion batteries are important components used in electric automobiles (EVs), fuel cell EVs and other hybrid EVs. Therefore, it is greatly important to discover its remaining useful life (RUL). Methods: In this paper, a battery RUL prediction approach using multiple kernel extreme learning machine (MKELM) is presented. The MKELM’s kernel keeps diversified by consisting multiple kernel functions including Gaussian kernel function, Polynomial kernel function and Sigmoid kernel function, and every kernel function’s weight and parameter are optimized through differential evolution (DE) algorithm. Results : Battery capacity data measured from NASA Ames Prognostics Center are used to demonstrate the prediction procedure of the proposed approach, and the MKELM is compared with other commonly used prediction methods in terms of absolute error, relative accuracy and mean square error. Conclusion: The prediction results prove that the MKELM approach can accurately predict the battery RUL. Furthermore, a compare experiment is executed to validate that the MKELM method is better than other prediction methods in terms of prediction accuracy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 49-56
Author(s):  
Md. Nahian Al Subri Ivan ◽  
Sujit Devnath ◽  
Rethwan Faiz ◽  
Kazi Firoz Ahmed

To infer and predict the reliability of the remaining useful life of a lithium-ion (Li-ion) battery is very significant in the sectors associated with power source proficiency. As an energy source of electric vehicles (EV), Li-ion battery is getting attention due to its lighter weight and capability of storing higher energy. Problems with the reliability arises while li-ion batteries of higher voltages are required. As in this case several li-ion cells areconnected in series and failure of one cell may cause the failure of the whole battery pack. In this paper, Firstly, the capacity degradation of li-ion cells after each cycle is observed and secondly with the help of MATLAB 2016 a mathematical model is developed using Weibull Probability Distribution and Exponential Distribution to find the reliability of different types of cell configurations of a non-redundant li-ion battery pack. The mathematical model shows that the parallel-series configuration of cells is more reliable than the series configuration of cells. The mathematical model also shows that if the discharge rate (C-rate) remains constant; there could be an optimum number for increasing the cells in the parallel module of a parallel-series onfiguration of cells of a non-redundant li-ion battery pack; after which only increasing the number of cells in parallel module doesn’t increase the reliability of the whole battery pack significantly. 


Author(s):  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wanwan Zeng ◽  
Chun Chang ◽  
Qiyue Wang ◽  
Si Xu

Abstract Accurate estimation of the state of health (SOH) is an important guarantee for safe and reliable battery operation. In this paper, an online method based on indirect health features (IHF) and sparrow search algorithm fused with deep extreme learning machine (SSA-DELM) of lithium-ion batteries is proposed to estimate SOH. Firstly, the temperature and voltage curves in the battery discharge data are acquired, and the optimal intervals are obtained by ergodic method. Discharge temperature difference at equal time intervals (DTD-ETI) and discharge time interval with equal voltage difference (DTI-EVD) are extracted as IHF. Then, the input weights and hidden layer thresholds of the DELM algorithm are optimized using SSA, and the SSA-DELM model is applied to the estimation of battery's SOH. Finally, the established model is experimentally validated using the battery data, and the results show that the method has high prediction accuracy, strong algorithmic stability and good adaptability.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1062 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarek Berghout ◽  
Leïla-Hayet Mouss ◽  
Ouahab Kadri ◽  
Lotfi Saïdi ◽  
Mohamed Benbouzid

The efficient data investigation for fast and accurate remaining useful life prediction of aircraft engines can be considered as a very important task for maintenance operations. In this context, the key issue is how an appropriate investigation can be conducted for the extraction of important information from data-driven sequences in high dimensional space in order to guarantee a reliable conclusion. In this paper, a new data-driven learning scheme based on an online sequential extreme learning machine algorithm is proposed for remaining useful life prediction. Firstly, a new feature mapping technique based on stacked autoencoders is proposed to enhance features representations through an accurate reconstruction. In addition, to attempt into addressing dynamic programming based on environmental feedback, a new dynamic forgetting function based on the temporal difference of recursive learning is introduced to enhance dynamic tracking ability of newly coming data. Moreover, a new updated selection strategy was developed in order to discard the unwanted data sequences and to ensure the convergence of the training model parameters to their appropriate values. The proposed approach is validated on the C-MAPSS dataset where experimental results confirm that it yields satisfactory accuracy and efficiency of the prediction model compared to other existing methods.


Author(s):  
Zhimin Xi ◽  
Rong Jing ◽  
Cheol Lee

This paper investigates recent research on battery diagnostics and prognostics especially for Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries. Battery diagnostics focuses on battery models and diagnosis algorithms for battery state of charge (SOC) and state of health (SOH) estimation. Battery prognostics elaborates data-driven prognosis algorithms for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of battery SOC and SOH. Readers will learn not only basics but also very recent research developments on battery diagnostics and prognostics.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongbin Liu ◽  
Bing He ◽  
Fang Liu ◽  
Siliang Lu ◽  
Yilei Zhao ◽  
...  

Rolling bearings play a pivotal role in rotating machinery. The degradation assessment and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of bearings are critical to condition-based maintenance. However, sensitive feature extraction still remains a formidable challenge. In this paper, a novel feature extraction method is introduced to obtain the sensitive features through phase space reconstitution (PSR) and joint with approximate diagonalization of Eigen-matrices (JADE). Firstly, the original features are extracted from bearing vibration signals in time and frequency domain. Secondly, the PSR is applied to embed the original features into high dimensional phase space. The between-class and within-class scatter (SS) are calculated to evaluate the feature sensitivity through the phase point distribution of different degradation stages and then different weights are assigned to the corresponding features based on the calculatedSS. Thirdly, the JADE is employed to fuse the weighted features to obtain the advanced features which can better reflect the bearing degradation process. Finally, the advanced features are input into the extreme learning machine (ELM) to train the RUL prediction model. A set of experimental case studies are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that the extracted advanced features can better reflect the degradation process compared to traditional features and could effectively predict the RUL of bearing.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document