scholarly journals Estimation of Oil Recovery Factor for Water Drive Sandy Reservoirs through Applications of Artificial Intelligence

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (19) ◽  
pp. 3671 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Weiqing Chen ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem

Hydrocarbon reserve evaluation is the major concern for all oil and gas operating companies. Nowadays, the estimation of oil recovery factor (RF) could be achieved through several techniques. The accuracy of these techniques depends on data availability, which is strongly dependent on the reservoir age. In this study, 10 parameters accessible in the early reservoir life are considered for RF estimation using four artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. These parameters are the net pay (effective reservoir thickness), stock-tank oil initially in place, original reservoir pressure, asset area (reservoir area), porosity, Lorenz coefficient, effective permeability, API gravity, oil viscosity, and initial water saturation. The AI techniques used are the artificial neural networks (ANNs), radial basis neuron networks, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system with subtractive clustering, and support vector machines. AI models were trained using data collected from 130 water drive sandstone reservoirs; then, an empirical correlation for RF estimation was developed based on the trained ANN model’s weights and biases. Data collected from another 38 reservoirs were used to test the predictability of the suggested AI models and the ANNs-based correlation; then, performance of the ANNs-based correlation was compared with three of the currently available empirical equations for RF estimation. The developed ANNs-based equation outperformed the available equations in terms of all the measures of error evaluation considered in this study, and also has the highest coefficient of determination of 0.94 compared to only 0.55 obtained from Gulstad correlation, which is one of the most accurate correlations currently available.

2018 ◽  
Vol 140 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Salaheldin Elkatatny

Static Poisson's ratio (νstatic) is a key factor in determine the in-situ stresses in the reservoir section. νstatic is used to calculate the minimum horizontal stress which will affect the design of the optimum mud widow and the density of cement slurry while drilling. In addition, it also affects the design of the casing setting depth. νstatic is very important for field development and the incorrect estimation of it may lead to heavy investment decisions. νstatic can be measured in the lab using a real reservoir cores. The laboratory measurements of νstatic will take long time and also will increase the overall cost. The goal of this study is to develop accurate models for predicting νstatic for carbonate reservoirs based on wireline log data using artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. More than 610 core and log data points from carbonate reservoirs were used to train and validate the AI models. The more accurate AI model will be used to generate a new correlation for calculating the νstatic. The developed artificial neural network (ANN) model yielded more accurate results for estimating νstatic based on log data; sonic travel times and bulk density compared to adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and support vector machine (SVM) methods. The developed empirical equation for νstatic gave a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.97 and an average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 1.13%. The developed technique will help geomechanical engineers to estimate a complete trend of νstatic without the need for coring and laboratory work and hence will reduce the overall cost of the well.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 372-384
Author(s):  
Maryam Sadi ◽  
Hajar Fakharian ◽  
Hamid Ganji ◽  
Majid Kakavand

Abstract In this study, two artificial intelligence models based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and a support vector machine (SVM) technique have been successfully developed to predict the desalination efficiency of produced water through a hydrate-based desalination treatment process. A genetic algorithm as an evolutionary optimization method has been used to determine the optimal values of SVM model coefficients. To this end, compressed natural gas and CO2 hydrate formation experiments were carried out, and the desalination efficiency of produced water was measured and utilized for model training and validation. After model development, graphical and statistical analysis approaches have been applied to evaluate the performance of suggested models by a comparison of model predictions with measured experimental data. For the ANFIS model, the coefficient of determination (R2) and average absolute relative error (AARE) are 0.9927 and 0.58%, respectively. The values of AARE and R2 for the SVM model are obtained 0.35% and 0.9985, respectively. These statistical criteria confirm excellent accuracy and robustness of intelligent models in predicting the desalination efficiency of produced water through the hydrate-based desalination treatment process. Furthermore, the Leverage statistical technique has been carried out to define the outliers. The obtained results demonstrate that all experimental data are reliable and both ANFIS and SVM models are statistically valid.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
Eric Sonny Mathew ◽  
Moussa Tembely ◽  
Waleed AlAmeri ◽  
Emad W. Al-Shalabi ◽  
Abdul Ravoof Shaik

Two of the most critical properties for multiphase flow in a reservoir are relative permeability (Kr) and capillary pressure (Pc). To determine these parameters, careful interpretation of coreflooding and centrifuge experiments is necessary. In this work, a machine learning (ML) technique was incorporated to assist in the determination of these parameters quickly and synchronously for steady-state drainage coreflooding experiments. A state-of-the-art framework was developed in which a large database of Kr and Pc curves was generated based on existing mathematical models. This database was used to perform thousands of coreflood simulation runs representing oil-water drainage steady-state experiments. The results obtained from the corefloods including pressure drop and water saturation profile, along with other conventional core analysis data, were fed as features into the ML model. The entire data set was split into 70% for training, 15% for validation, and the remaining 15% for the blind testing of the model. The 70% of the data set for training teaches the model to capture fluid flow behavior inside the core, and then 15% of the data set was used to validate the trained model and to optimize the hyperparameters of the ML algorithm. The remaining 15% of the data set was used for testing the model and assessing the model performance scores. In addition, K-fold split technique was used to split the 15% testing data set to provide an unbiased estimate of the final model performance. The trained/tested model was thereby used to estimate Kr and Pc curves based on available experimental results. The values of the coefficient of determination (R2) were used to assess the accuracy and efficiency of the developed model. The respective crossplots indicate that the model is capable of making accurate predictions with an error percentage of less than 2% on history matching experimental data. This implies that the artificial-intelligence- (AI-) based model is capable of determining Kr and Pc curves. The present work could be an alternative approach to existing methods for interpreting Kr and Pc curves. In addition, the ML model can be adapted to produce results that include multiple options for Kr and Pc curves from which the best solution can be determined using engineering judgment. This is unlike solutions from some of the existing commercial codes, which usually provide only a single solution. The model currently focuses on the prediction of Kr and Pc curves for drainage steady-state experiments; however, the work can be extended to capture the imbibition cycle as well.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (20) ◽  
pp. 5763 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahab S. Band ◽  
Saeid Janizadeh ◽  
Subodh Chandra Pal ◽  
Indrajit Chowdhuri ◽  
Zhaleh Siabi ◽  
...  

Prediction of the groundwater nitrate concentration is of utmost importance for pollution control and water resource management. This research aims to model the spatial groundwater nitrate concentration in the Marvdasht watershed, Iran, based on several artificial intelligence methods of support vector machine (SVM), Cubist, random forest (RF), and Bayesian artificial neural network (Baysia-ANN) machine learning models. For this purpose, 11 independent variables affecting groundwater nitrate changes include elevation, slope, plan curvature, profile curvature, rainfall, piezometric depth, distance from the river, distance from residential, Sodium (Na), Potassium (K), and topographic wetness index (TWI) in the study area were prepared. Nitrate levels were also measured in 67 wells and used as a dependent variable for modeling. Data were divided into two categories of training (70%) and testing (30%) for modeling. The evaluation criteria coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) were used to evaluate the performance of the models used. The results of modeling the susceptibility of groundwater nitrate concentration showed that the RF (R2 = 0.89, RMSE = 4.24, NSE = 0.87) model is better than the other Cubist (R2 = 0.87, RMSE = 5.18, NSE = 0.81), SVM (R2 = 0.74, RMSE = 6.07, NSE = 0.74), Bayesian-ANN (R2 = 0.79, RMSE = 5.91, NSE = 0.75) models. The results of groundwater nitrate concentration zoning in the study area showed that the northern parts of the case study have the highest amount of nitrate, which is higher in these agricultural areas than in other areas. The most important cause of nitrate pollution in these areas is agriculture activities and the use of groundwater to irrigate these crops and the wells close to agricultural areas, which has led to the indiscriminate use of chemical fertilizers by irrigation or rainwater of these fertilizers is washed and penetrates groundwater and pollutes the aquifer.


Materials ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 1670 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Minh Le ◽  
Hai-Bang Ly ◽  
Binh Thai Pham ◽  
Vuong Minh Le ◽  
Tuan Anh Pham ◽  
...  

This study aims to investigate the prediction of critical buckling load of steel columns using two hybrid Artificial Intelligence (AI) models such as Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System optimized by Genetic Algorithm (ANFIS-GA) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (ANFIS-PSO). For this purpose, a total number of 57 experimental buckling tests of novel high strength steel Y-section columns were collected from the available literature to generate the dataset for training and validating the two proposed AI models. Quality assessment criteria such as coefficient of determination (R2), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) were used to validate and evaluate the performance of the prediction models. Results showed that both ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-PSO had a strong ability in predicting the buckling load of steel columns, but ANFIS-PSO (R2 = 0.929, RMSE = 60.522 and MAE = 44.044) was slightly better than ANFIS-GA (R2 = 0.916, RMSE = 65.371 and MAE = 48.588). The two models were also robust even with the presence of input variability, as investigated via Monte Carlo simulations. This study showed that the hybrid AI techniques could help constructing an efficient numerical tool for buckling analysis.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-30
Author(s):  
Yu Shi ◽  
Yanan Ding ◽  
Qianghan Feng ◽  
Daoyong Yang

Abstract In this study, a systematical technique has been developed to experimentally and numerically evaluate the displacement efficiency in heavy oil reservoirs with enzyme under different conditions. Firstly, dynamic interfacial tensions (IFTs) between enzyme solution and heavy oil are measured with a pendant-drop tensiometer, while effects of pressure, temperature, enzyme concentration, and contact time of enzyme and heavy oil on equilibrium IFT were systematically examined and analyzed. After waterflooding, enzyme flooding was carried out in sandpacks to evaluate its potential to enhance heavy oil recovery at high water-cut stage. Numerical simulation was then performed to identify the underlying mechanisms accounting for the enzyme flooding performance. Subsequently, a total of 18 scenarios were designed to simulate and examine effects of the injection modes and temperature on oil recovery. Except for pressure, temperature, enzyme concentration, and contact time are found to impose a great impact on the equilibrium IFTs, i.e., a high temperature, a high enzyme concentration, and a long contact time reduce the equilibrium IFTs. All three enzyme flooding tests with different enzyme concentrations show the superior recovery performance in comparison to that of pure waterflooding. In addition to the IFT reduction, modification of relative permeability curves is found to be the main reason responsible for further mobilizing the residual heavy oil. A large slug size of enzyme solution usually leads to a high recovery factor, although its incremental oil production is gradually decreased. Plus, temperature is found to have a great effect on the recovery factor of enzyme flooding likely owing to reduction of both oil viscosity and IFT.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saud K. Aldajani ◽  
Saud F. Alotaibi ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem

Abstract The discrimination of shale vs. non-shale layers significantly influences the quality of reservoir geological model. In this study, a novel approach was implemented to enhance the model by creating Pseudo Corrected Gamma Ray (CGR) logs using Artificial Intelligence methods to identify the thin shale beds within the reservoir. The lithology of the carbonate reservoir understudy is mostly composed of dolomite and limestone rock with minor amounts of anhydrite and thin shale layers. The identification of shale layers is challenging because of the nature of such reservoirs. The high organic content of the shales and the presence of dolomites, particularly the floatstones and rudstones, can adversely affect the log quality and interpretation and may result in inaccurate log correlations, overestimating/ underestimating Original Oil In Place (OOIP) and reservoir net pays. In such cases, Corrected Gamma Ray (CGR) curves are typically used to identify shale layers. The CGR curve response is due to the combination of thorium and potassium that is associated with the clay content. The difference between the total GR and the CGR is essentially the amount of uranium-associated organic matter. Because of the very limited number of CGR logs in this reservoir, Artificial Intelligence (AI) approach was used to identify shale volume across the entire reservoir. Synthetic CGR curves were generated for the wells lacking CGR logs using AI methods. Resistivity, Density, Neutron and total GR logs were used as inputs while CGR was set as the target. Five wells that have CGR logs were used to train the model. The created pseudo logs were then used to identify shale layers and could also be used to correct effective porosity logs. After statistical analysis of the data, two different Artificial Intelligence Techniques were tested to predict CGR logs; Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). A Sugeno-type FIS structure using subtractive clustering demonstrated the best prediction with correlation coefficient of 0.96 and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 20%. The resulting synthetic CGR curves helped identify shale layers that do not extend over the entire reservoir area and ultimately correct the effective porosity logs in the reservoir model. Porosity was primarily obtained from the neutron-density logs which results in very high porosity measurements across the shale layers. This study shows a new workflow to predict shale layers in Carbonate reservoirs. The created pseudo CGR logs would help predict shale and is an added-value data that could be incorporated into the Earth model.


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