Artificial Intelligence Coreflooding Simulator for Special Core Data Analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
Eric Sonny Mathew ◽  
Moussa Tembely ◽  
Waleed AlAmeri ◽  
Emad W. Al-Shalabi ◽  
Abdul Ravoof Shaik

Two of the most critical properties for multiphase flow in a reservoir are relative permeability (Kr) and capillary pressure (Pc). To determine these parameters, careful interpretation of coreflooding and centrifuge experiments is necessary. In this work, a machine learning (ML) technique was incorporated to assist in the determination of these parameters quickly and synchronously for steady-state drainage coreflooding experiments. A state-of-the-art framework was developed in which a large database of Kr and Pc curves was generated based on existing mathematical models. This database was used to perform thousands of coreflood simulation runs representing oil-water drainage steady-state experiments. The results obtained from the corefloods including pressure drop and water saturation profile, along with other conventional core analysis data, were fed as features into the ML model. The entire data set was split into 70% for training, 15% for validation, and the remaining 15% for the blind testing of the model. The 70% of the data set for training teaches the model to capture fluid flow behavior inside the core, and then 15% of the data set was used to validate the trained model and to optimize the hyperparameters of the ML algorithm. The remaining 15% of the data set was used for testing the model and assessing the model performance scores. In addition, K-fold split technique was used to split the 15% testing data set to provide an unbiased estimate of the final model performance. The trained/tested model was thereby used to estimate Kr and Pc curves based on available experimental results. The values of the coefficient of determination (R2) were used to assess the accuracy and efficiency of the developed model. The respective crossplots indicate that the model is capable of making accurate predictions with an error percentage of less than 2% on history matching experimental data. This implies that the artificial-intelligence- (AI-) based model is capable of determining Kr and Pc curves. The present work could be an alternative approach to existing methods for interpreting Kr and Pc curves. In addition, the ML model can be adapted to produce results that include multiple options for Kr and Pc curves from which the best solution can be determined using engineering judgment. This is unlike solutions from some of the existing commercial codes, which usually provide only a single solution. The model currently focuses on the prediction of Kr and Pc curves for drainage steady-state experiments; however, the work can be extended to capture the imbibition cycle as well.

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 2477-2484 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. C. Kathilankal ◽  
T. L. O'Halloran ◽  
A. Schmidt ◽  
C. V. Hanson ◽  
B. E. Law

Abstract. A semi-parametric PAR diffuse radiation model was developed using commonly measured climatic variables from 108 site-years of data from 17 AmeriFlux sites. The model has a logistic form and improves upon previous efforts using a larger data set and physically viable climate variables as predictors, including relative humidity, clearness index, surface albedo and solar elevation angle. Model performance was evaluated by comparison with a simple cubic polynomial model developed for the PAR spectral range. The logistic model outperformed the polynomial model with an improved coefficient of determination and slope relative to measured data (logistic: R2 = 0.76; slope = 0.76; cubic: R2 = 0.73; slope = 0.72), making this the most robust PAR-partitioning model for the United States currently available.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. e037161
Author(s):  
Hyunmin Ahn

ObjectivesWe investigated the usefulness of machine learning artificial intelligence (AI) in classifying the severity of ophthalmic emergency for timely hospital visits.Study designThis retrospective study analysed the patients who first visited the Armed Forces Daegu Hospital between May and December 2019. General patient information, events and symptoms were input variables. Events, symptoms, diagnoses and treatments were output variables. The output variables were classified into four classes (red, orange, yellow and green, indicating immediate to no emergency cases). About 200 cases of the class-balanced validation data set were randomly selected before all training procedures. An ensemble AI model using combinations of fully connected neural networks with the synthetic minority oversampling technique algorithm was adopted.ParticipantsA total of 1681 patients were included.Major outcomesModel performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall and F1 scores.ResultsThe accuracy of the model was 99.05%. The precision of each class (red, orange, yellow and green) was 100%, 98.10%, 92.73% and 100%. The recalls of each class were 100%, 100%, 98.08% and 95.33%. The F1 scores of each class were 100%, 99.04%, 95.33% and 96.00%.ConclusionsWe provided support for an AI method to classify ophthalmic emergency severity based on symptoms.


Author(s):  
Arvind Keprate ◽  
R. M. Chandima Ratnayake

Abstract Accurate prediction of the fatigue strength of steels is vital, due to the extremely high cost (and time) of fatigue testing and the often fatal consequences of fatigue failures. The work presented in this paper is an extension of the previous paper submitted to OMAE 2019. The main objective of this manuscript is to utilize Artificial Intelligence (AI) to predict fatigue strength, based on composition and process parameters, using the fatigue dataset for carbon and low alloy steel available from the National Institute of Material Science (NIMS) database, MatNavi. A deep learning framework Keras is used to build a Neural Network (NN), which is trained and tested on the data set obtained from MatNavi. The fatigue strength values estimated using NN are compared to the values predicted by the gradient boosting algorithm, which was the most accurate model in the OMAE 2019 paper. The comparison is done using metrics such as root mean square error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Coefficient of Determination (R2) and Explained Variance Score (EVS). Thereafter, the trained NN model is used to make predictions of fatigue strength for the simulated data (1 million samples) of input parameters, which is then used to generate conditional probability tables for the Bayesian Network (BN). The main advantage of using BN over previously used machine learning algorithms is that BN can be used to make both forward and backward propagation during the Bayesian inference. A case study illustrating the applicability of the proposed approach is also presented. Furthermore, a dashboard is developed using PowerBI, which can be used by practicing engineers to estimate fatigue strength based on composition and process parameters.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (19) ◽  
pp. 3671 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Weiqing Chen ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem

Hydrocarbon reserve evaluation is the major concern for all oil and gas operating companies. Nowadays, the estimation of oil recovery factor (RF) could be achieved through several techniques. The accuracy of these techniques depends on data availability, which is strongly dependent on the reservoir age. In this study, 10 parameters accessible in the early reservoir life are considered for RF estimation using four artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. These parameters are the net pay (effective reservoir thickness), stock-tank oil initially in place, original reservoir pressure, asset area (reservoir area), porosity, Lorenz coefficient, effective permeability, API gravity, oil viscosity, and initial water saturation. The AI techniques used are the artificial neural networks (ANNs), radial basis neuron networks, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system with subtractive clustering, and support vector machines. AI models were trained using data collected from 130 water drive sandstone reservoirs; then, an empirical correlation for RF estimation was developed based on the trained ANN model’s weights and biases. Data collected from another 38 reservoirs were used to test the predictability of the suggested AI models and the ANNs-based correlation; then, performance of the ANNs-based correlation was compared with three of the currently available empirical equations for RF estimation. The developed ANNs-based equation outperformed the available equations in terms of all the measures of error evaluation considered in this study, and also has the highest coefficient of determination of 0.94 compared to only 0.55 obtained from Gulstad correlation, which is one of the most accurate correlations currently available.


1974 ◽  
Vol 14 (06) ◽  
pp. 556-562 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.A. Reznik ◽  
M.K. Dabbous ◽  
P.F. Fulton ◽  
J.J. Taber

Abstract Air and water relative permeabilities have been measured for numerous samplesof Pittsburgh and Pocahontas coals. Tests were performed under steady<stateconditions for both drainage and imbibition cycles. Results indicate that theflow of gas is greatly reduced during the latter process, whereas duringdrainage it is largely undiminished over a wide water-saturation range. It isalso shown that imbibition saturation distributions obtained from liquid-waterimbibition as opposed to water-vapor adsorption produce gas permeability curvesof radically different character. The effective permeabilities to both gas andwater were significantly reduced with the application of overburden pressuresin the range of 0 to 1,000 psig, but the general shapes of the relativepermeability curves remained the same. Introduction Past studies of the spatial and dynamic properties of coal have been limited tosingle-phase flow. The present energy shortage has created renewed interest inthe in-situ combustion of coal to low-Btu gas. The infusion of water into coalseams appears to be effective in abating methane emissions from coal mines.Both these processes require a detailed understanding of two-phase (liquid andgas) flow behavior in coal beds. The purpose of this paper is to extend the work of Dabbous et al. to includethe two-phase flow data on Pittsburgh and Pocahontas coals for air-watersystems. The present data consist of air and water permeabilities measured asfunctions of saturation, saturation history, and overburden pressure. The experimental apparatus and cutting and mounting techniques employed in thisstudy are identical with those described in the first paper. We note, however, that the structural integrity of the samples was maintained during tests thatin some cases extended intermittently over a 6-month period. Measurement of Relative Permeabilities Almost all the effective and relative permeabilities to air and water weremeasured under approximately steady-state conditions by the stationary-phasemethod in which one of the fluids is immobilized within the sample by capillaryforces. However, in a series of runs conducted on a sample of Pittsburgh coal, gas and water relative permeabilities were determined by the Penn State method- that is, the fluids were flowed simultaneously until steady-state equilibriumwas established.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linh Tran ◽  
Lianhua Chi ◽  
Alessio Bonti ◽  
Mohamed Abdelrazek ◽  
Yi-Ping Phoebe Chen

BACKGROUND As stated by WHO, Cardiovascular disease (CVDs) are the number 1 cause of death globally, which means more people die annually from CVDs than from any other cause. An estimated 17.9 million people died from CVDs in 2016, representing 31% of all global deaths. Of these deaths, 85% are due to heart attack and stroke. In this study, we present a benchmark comparison of various Artificial Intelligence (AI) architectures on predicting mortality of CVD patients using the structured medical claims data. OBJECTIVE This study mainly aims to support health clinicians to accurately predict mortality among patients with CVD using only claims data before a clinic visit. METHODS The used dataset was joined from Medical Benefits Scheme (MBS) and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) service information in the period between 2004 and 2014, released by the Department of Health Australia in 2016. It includes 346,201 records corresponding to 346,201 patients. A total of five AI algorithms including four classical Machine Learning (ML) algorithms (Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Extra Trees (ET) and Gradient Boosting Trees (GBT)) and a deep learning algorithm which is a densely connected neural network (DNN) were developed and compared in the study. In addition, due to the minority of ‘deceased’ patients in the data set, a separate experiment using Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) was conducted to enrich the data. RESULTS Regarding model performance, in terms of discrimination, GBT and RF are the models with highest AUROC (97.8% and 97.7% respectively), followed by ET (96.8%) and LG (96.4%) while DNN is the least discriminative (95.3%). In terms of reliability, LG predictions are the least calibrated compared to those of four algorithms. In this study, despite increasing training time, SMOTE is proved to further improve model performance of LG while other algorithms, especially GBT and DNN, work well with class imbalanced data. CONCLUSIONS Compared to other research in the clinical literature involving AI models using claims data to predict patient health outcomes, our models are more efficient since we only utilize a smaller number of features but still achieve high performance. And this study could support health professionals to accurately choose AI models to predict mortality among patients with CVD using only claims data before a clinic visit.


2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 1649-1669
Author(s):  
J. C. Kathilankal ◽  
T. L. O'Halloran ◽  
A. Schmidt ◽  
C. V. Hanson ◽  
B. E. Law

Abstract. A semi-parametric PAR diffuse radiation model was developed using commonly measured climatic variables from 44 site-years of data from 9 AmeriFlux sites. The model has a logistic form and improves upon previous efforts, using a larger data set and physically viable climate variables as predictors, including relative humidity, clearness index, surface albedo, and solar elevation angle. Model performance was evaluated by comparison with a simple cubic polynomial model developed for the PAR spectral range. The logistic model outperformed the polynomial model with an improved coefficient of determination and slope relative to measured data (logistic: R2 = 0.85; slope = 0.86; cubic: R2 = 0.82; slope = 0.83), making this the most robust PAR-partitioning model for the US subcontinent currently available.


1982 ◽  
Vol 22 (01) ◽  
pp. 79-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
F.N. Schneider ◽  
W.W. Owens

Abstract Means for increasing tertiary oil recoveries from previously waterflooded viscous oil reservoirs are receiving added attention today as a result of industry-wide efforts to improve U.S. oil producing rates and reserves. Injection of a bank of polymer solution that precedes injection of a miscible slug (e.g., a micellar fluid) can reduce reservoir permeability contrasts and result in improvement of the sweep efficiency of the process. To evaluate the potential magnitude of improved recovery and economics of prior polymer slug injection, there is a need for basic polymer/oil relative permeability data for use in performance evaluation calculations. Such relative permeability data were measured by steady-state procedures on a suite of 18 out-crop and formation core samples ranging, in permeability from about 50 to 1,200 md. Six different polyacrylamide polymers were tested, and resistance and residual resistance data were obtained on each. Data were obtained in both oil-wet and water-wet systems. The observation in these studies was that the presence of polymers in the water phase had a significant and consistent effect, lowering water relative permeability over the entire water saturation range. In many of the tests, the presence of flowing polymer or its residual effect during subsequent brine flow had no effect on oil relative permeability. In several tests, polymer contact actually improved oil mobility through increases in oil relative permeability at all levels of oil saturation. Permeability level and polymer type produced no clear-cut differences in flow behavior. The obvious differences in core wettability resulted in widely varying relative permeability characteristics, but again the effect of polymer contact was about the same, qualitatively, as obtained on the water-wet cores. Introduction The steady decline of U.S. oil reserves and rapidly, increasing, prices obtained for each barrel of crude produced are strong incentives to maximize recoveries for all reservoirs. Various enhanced oil recovery techniques are being tested and used for recovering some of the oil left behind after conventional waterflooding. The added recovery achievable with such processes, however, is influenced to a large degree by one of the same factors leading to inefficient waterflooding - i.e., reservoir heterogeneity. Numerous laboratory studies using, both physical and mathematical models, plus numerous field projects, have shown that when contrasts in reservoir permeability increase, recovered by any external injection recovery process decreases as a result of reduced sweep efficiency. Thus, if recoveries from the more heterogeneous reservoirs are to be maximized, procedures must be developed for reducing the permeability contrasts before application of an EOR process or by mobility adjustment within the process itself. Preinjection of polymers in advance of a micellar flood has been proposed as a means for improving reservoir sweep efficiency by reducing permeability contrasts. Laboratory tests of this process demonstrated that, in both linear and five-spot stratified systems, the residual resistance effect achieved by preinjection of poly-acrylamide polymers resulted in improved sweep and additional recovery by subsequent micellar flooding. In the one reported field test of this process, tertiary oil was mobilized and recovered, but insufficient data are available to indicate whether the preinjected polymer resulted in improved sweep efficiency. Mathematical model studies provide a reliable means for evaluating potential benefits of polymer preinjection. However, such studies require input data that permit the model to simulate the physical processes that may occur in the reservoir. This laboratory study was conducted to provide such data. SPEJ P. 79^


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 96-110
Author(s):  
Dian Candra Fatihah ◽  
Dewi Rani Desmawati

This research is aimed to determine The Influence of Direct Marketing to Business Consumer Behavior Using Meeting Package at Grand Tjokro Hotel Bandung. Respondents from this research are 44 consumers selected by simple random sampling. This research used quantitative methods with approach descriptive analysis. Data was collected through survey, questionnaires and interviews. The test results validity and reliability variables X and Y are valid and reliable. The data analysis used statistical test of correlation pearson product moment and the coefficient of determination. Calculated used SPSS version 21. The data of this research is obtained from consumer data Grand Tjokro Hotel Bandung. From the result obtained correlation coefficient of 0,633. This tells that there is strong relation between Direct Marketing of Business Consumer Behavior. The influence of Direct Marketing to Business Consumer Behavior to 40,0% and remaining 60,0% is influenced by other factors not examined. The problems are competition between hotels is very tight, lack of coordination between sales. The suggestions given to fix the problem are 1) Do a better promotion to attract the attention of consumers; 2) Evaluation between Manager and Sales especially in Sales and Marketing Division.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chin Lin ◽  
Yu-Sheng Lou ◽  
Chia-Cheng Lee ◽  
Chia-Jung Hsu ◽  
Ding-Chung Wu ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND An artificial intelligence-based algorithm has shown a powerful ability for coding the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) in discharge notes. However, its performance still requires improvement compared with human experts. The major disadvantage of the previous algorithm is its lack of understanding medical terminologies. OBJECTIVE We propose some methods based on human-learning process and conduct a series of experiments to validate their improvements. METHODS We compared two data sources for training the word-embedding model: English Wikipedia and PubMed journal abstracts. Moreover, the fixed, changeable, and double-channel embedding tables were used to test their performance. Some additional tricks were also applied to improve accuracy. We used these methods to identify the three-chapter-level ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes in a set of discharge notes. Subsequently, 94,483-labeled discharge notes from June 1, 2015 to June 30, 2017 were used from the Tri-Service General Hospital in Taipei, Taiwan. To evaluate performance, 24,762 discharge notes from July 1, 2017 to December 31, 2017, from the same hospital were used. Moreover, 74,324 additional discharge notes collected from other seven hospitals were also tested. The F-measure is the major global measure of effectiveness. RESULTS In understanding medical terminologies, the PubMed-embedding model (Pearson correlation = 0.60/0.57) shows a better performance compared with the Wikipedia-embedding model (Pearson correlation = 0.35/0.31). In the accuracy of ICD-10-CM coding, the changeable model both used the PubMed- and Wikipedia-embedding model has the highest testing mean F-measure (0.7311 and 0.6639 in Tri-Service General Hospital and other seven hospitals, respectively). Moreover, a proposed method called a hybrid sampling method, an augmentation trick to avoid algorithms identifying negative terms, was found to additionally improve the model performance. CONCLUSIONS The proposed model architecture and training method is named as ICD10Net, which is the first expert level model practically applied to daily work. This model can also be applied in unstructured information extraction from free-text medical writing. We have developed a web app to demonstrate our work (https://linchin.ndmctsgh.edu.tw/app/ICD10/).


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