scholarly journals PROPAGATOR: An Operational Cellular-Automata Based Wildfire Simulator

Fire ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Andrea Trucchia ◽  
Mirko D’Andrea ◽  
Francesco Baghino ◽  
Paolo Fiorucci ◽  
Luca Ferraris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fire Fighting ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Ignition Point ◽  
The Real ◽  
Fire Propagation ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

PROPAGATOR is a stochastic cellular automaton model for forest fire spread simulation, conceived as a rapid method for fire risk assessment. The model uses high-resolution information such as topography and vegetation cover considering different types of vegetation. Input parameters are wind speed and direction and the ignition point. Dead fine fuel moisture content and firebreaks—fire fighting strategies can also be considered. The fire spread probability depends on vegetation type, slope, wind direction and speed, and fuel moisture content. The fire-propagation speed is determined through the adoption of a Rate of Spread model. PROPAGATOR simulates independent realizations of one stochastic fire propagation process, and at each time-step gives as output a map representing the probability of each cell of the domain to be affected by the fire. These probabilities are obtained computing the relative frequency of ignition of each cell. The model capabilities are assessed by reproducing a set of past Mediterranean fires occurred in different countries (Italy and Spain), using when available the real fire fighting patterns. PROPAGATOR simulated such scenarios with affordable computational resources and with short CPU-times. The outputs show a good agreement with the real burned areas, demonstrating that the PROPAGATOR can be useful for supporting decisions in Civil Protection and fire management activities.

scholarly journals A generic fuel moisture content attenuation factor for fire spread rate empirical models

2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. e009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos G. Rossa
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Attenuation Factor ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Ignition Energy ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Fire Propagation ◽  
Damping Effect ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

Aim of study: To develop a fuel moisture content (FMC) attenuation factor for empirical forest fire spread rate (ROS) models in general fire propagation conditions.Methods: The development builds on the assumption that the main FMC-damping effect is a function of fuel ignition energy needs.Main results: The generic FMC attenuation factor was successfully used to derive ROS models from laboratory tests (n = 282) of fire spread in no-wind and no-slope, slope-, and wind-aided conditions. The ability to incorporate the FMC attenuation factor in existing field-based ROS models for shrubland fires and grassland wildfires (n = 123) was also positively assessed.Research highlights: Establishing a priori the FMC-effect in field fires benefits the proper assessment of the remaining variables influence, which is normally eluded by heterogeneity in fuel bed properties and correlated fuel descriptors.

Effects of distribution of bulk density and moisture content on shrub fires

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 625 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ambarish Dahale ◽  
Selina Ferguson ◽  
Babak Shotorban ◽  
Shankar Mahalingam
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Spatial Variation ◽  
Bulk Density ◽  
Solid Fuel ◽  
Numerical Solutions ◽  
Propagation Speed ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Combustion Heat ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

Formulation of a physics-based model, capable of predicting fire spread through a single elevated crown-like shrub, is described in detail. Predictions from the model, obtained by numerical solutions to governing equations of fluid dynamics, combustion, heat transfer and thermal degradation of solid fuel, are found to be in fairly good agreement with experimental results. In this study we utilise the physics-based model to explore the importance of two parameters – the spatial variation of solid fuel bulk density and the solid fuel moisture content – on the burning of an isolated shrub in quiescent atmosphere. The results suggest that vertical fire spread rate within an isolated shrub and the time to initiate ignition within the crown are two global parameters significantly affected when the spatial variation of the bulk density or the variation of fuel moisture content is taken into account. The amount of fuel burnt is another parameter affected by varying fuel moisture content, especially in the cases of fire propagating through solid fuel with moisture content exceeding 40%. The specific mechanisms responsible for the reduction in propagation speed in the presence of higher bulk densities and moisture content are identified.

Modelling fine fuel moisture content and the likelihood of fire spread in blue gum (Eucalyptus globulus) litter

2014 ◽  
pp. 353-359
Author(s):  
Anita Pinto ◽  
Juncal Espinosa-Prieto ◽  
Carlos Rossa ◽  
Stuart Matthews ◽  
Carlos Loureiro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Eucalyptus Globulus ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
Blue Gum

Combustion and Nutrient Losses During Laboratory Burns

1995 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
D Gillon ◽  
V Gomendy ◽  
C Houssard ◽  
J Marechal ◽  
JC Valette
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Load ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Nutrient Losses ◽  
Constant Moisture Content ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
Experimental Burns

The aim of this study was to assess the effects on combustion characteristics, and their consequences on nutrient losses, of (1) the change in load and packing ratio of the fuel bed, and (2) the change in fuel moisture content. Eighty-one experimental burns were carried out, on a test bench in the laboratory; the fuel was composed of needles and twigs of Pinus pinaster. Two levels of fuel load an dpacking ratio (8t ha-1 needles, packing ratio of 0.040; and 16t ha-1 twigs and needles, packing ratio of 0.066) were compared at constant moisture content (6%); and four levels of moisture content(6%, 12%, 24% and 30% dry weight) were compared at constant fuel load (8t ha-1 needles). At constant moisture content, an increase in the load and packing ratio of the fuel bed led to an increase in the height of flames and in the maximum temperature 25 cm above the fuel bed, in the duration of the rise in temperatures within the fuel, and in the fireline intensity. Conversely, the rate of fire spread decreased. At constant fuel load, an increase in the moisture content of the fuel led to a decrease in the rate of fire spread, in the flame height and the maximum temperature 25 cm above the fuel bed, and in the fireline intensity. In contrast, the maximum temperatures reached within the fuel, when the flaming front was continuous, did not significantly change with varying fuel loads or fuel moisture contents. The percentage fuel consumption was always high, more than 80%, but it significantly decreased with increasing fuel load and packing ratio and with increasing moisture content. Total losses of N, S, and K significantly decreased with increasing fuel load and packing ratio, with increasing moisture content and with decreasing percentage fuel consumption. Losses in P only significantly decreased with increasing fuel load and packing ratio. Losses in Mg and Ca were not significantly affected by fuel load, moisture content. or percentage consumption. An attempt was made to separate volatile from particulate losses, based on the assumption that all the losses of Ca were in particulate form. Whereas losses in particulate form remained relatively constant, losses of nutrients in volatile form seem to have been related to the percentage fuel consumption. Even if these experimental burns were of low intensity (40 to 56 kW m-1), their impact, in terms of lethal temperatures and nutrient losses, was not negligible, particularly for N and P. The increasing fireline intensity with increasing fuel load was not accompanied by an enhancement in the proportion of nutrient losses. In the same way, the strong decrease in fireline intensity with increasing fuel moisture content led only to a slight decrease in some nutrient losses. It was through their effect on the percentage fuel consumption that fuel load or moisture content modified the nutrient losses, particularly volatile losses.

Using fuel and weather variables to predict the sustainability of surface fire spread in maritime pine stands

2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 190-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo M. Fernandes ◽  
Hermínio Botelho ◽  
Francisco Rego ◽  
Carlos Loureiro
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Maritime Pine ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Type ◽  
Weather Variables ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Pinus Pinaster Ait ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

Thresholds for surface fire spread were examined in maritime pine ( Pinus pinaster Ait.) stands in northern Portugal. Fire sustainability was assessed after ignition of 2 m fire lines or in larger burns conducted in 10–15 m wide plots. The experiments were carried out from November to June in three fuel types: litter, litter plus shrubs, and litter with a nonwoody understorey. Moisture content of fine dead fuels, on-site weather variables, and descriptors of the fuel complex all had a highly significant influence on the probability of self-sustaining fire spread. A logistic model based solely on fuel moisture content correctly classified the fire sustainability status of 88% of the observations. Nonetheless, the subjectivity of the moisture of extinction concept was apparent, and further accuracy was achieved by the consecutive addition of fire spread direction (forward or backward), fuel type, and ambient temperature. Fully sustained fire spread, in opposition to marginal burns with broken fire fronts, was similarly dependent on fuel moisture but was affected also by fire spread direction and time since rain. The models can benefit fire research and fire management operations but can be made more practical if integrated in a fire danger rating system.

Conversion of fuel moisture content values to ignition potential for integrated fire danger assessment

2004 ◽  
Vol 34 (11) ◽  
pp. 2284-2293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emilio Chuvieco ◽  
Inmaculada Aguado ◽  
Alexandros P Dimitrakopoulos
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Danger ◽  
Assessment System ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fire Propagation ◽  
Web Mapping ◽  
Danger Assessment ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
In Fire ◽  
Fire Ignition

Fuel moisture content (FMC) estimation is a critical part of any fire danger rating system, since fuel water status is determinant in fire ignition and fire propagation. However, FMC alone does not provide a comprehensive assessment of fire danger, since other factors related to fire ignition (lightning, human factors) or propagation (wind, slope) also need to be taken into account. The problem in integrating all these factors is finding a common scale of danger rating that will make it possible to derive synthetic indices. This paper reviews the importance of FMC in fire ignition and fire propagation, as well as the most common methods of estimating FMC values. A simple method to convert FMC values to danger ratings is proposed, based on computing ignition potential from thresholds of moisture of extinction adapted to each fuel. The method has been tested for the Madrid region (central Spain), where a fire danger assessment system has been built. All the variables related to fire danger were integrated into a dedicated geographic information system and information provided to fire managers through a web mapping server.

Empirical modelling of surface fire behaviour in maritime pine stands

2009 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 698 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo M. Fernandes ◽  
Hermínio S. Botelho ◽  
Francisco C. Rego ◽  
Carlos Loureiro
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fire Intensity ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Surface Fire ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

An experimental burning program took place in maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) stands in Portugal to increase the understanding of surface fire behaviour under mild weather. The spread rate and flame geometry of the forward and backward sections of a line-ignited fire front were measured in 94 plots 10–15 m wide. Measured head fire rate of spread, flame length and Byram’s fire intensity varied respectively in the intervals of 0.3–13.9 m min–1, 0.1–4.2 m and 30–3527 kW m–1. Fire behaviour was modelled through an empirical approach. Rate of forward fire spread was described as a function of surface wind speed, terrain slope, moisture content of fine dead surface fuel, and fuel height, while back fire spread rate was correlated with fuel moisture content and cover of understorey vegetation. Flame dimensions were related to Byram’s fire intensity but relationships with rate of spread and fine dead surface fuel load and moisture are preferred, particularly for the head fire. The equations are expected to be more reliable when wind speed and slope are less than 8 km h–1 and 15°, and when fuel moisture content is higher than 12%. The results offer a quantitative basis for prescribed fire management.

scholarly journals Recent advances and applications of WRF–SFIRE

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 2829-2845 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Mandel ◽  
S. Amram ◽  
J. D. Beezley ◽  
G. Kelman ◽  
A. K. Kochanski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Management Tools ◽  
Ignition Point ◽  
Recent Advances ◽  
Operational Testing ◽  
Spread Model

Abstract. Coupled atmosphere–fire models can now generate forecasts in real time, owing to recent advances in computational capabilities. WRF–SFIRE consists of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled with the fire-spread model SFIRE. This paper presents new developments, which were introduced as a response to the needs of the community interested in operational testing of WRF–SFIRE. These developments include a fuel-moisture model and a fuel-moisture-data-assimilation system based on the Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS) observations, allowing for fire simulations across landscapes and time scales of varying fuel-moisture conditions. The paper also describes the implementation of a coupling with the atmospheric chemistry and aerosol schemes in WRF–Chem, which allows for a simulation of smoke dispersion and effects of fires on air quality. There is also a data-assimilation method, which provides the capability of starting the fire simulations from an observed fire perimeter, instead of an ignition point. Finally, an example of operational deployment in Israel, utilizing some of the new visualization and data-management tools, is presented.

Soil Moisture and Live Fuel Moisture Content as key remote sensing variables to unlock improved wildfire predictions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Briquemont ◽  
Akli Benali
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Risk ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Risk Maps ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
The Impact

<p>Large wildfires are amongst the most destructive natural disasters in southern Europe, posing a serious threat to both human lives and the environment.</p><p>Although wildfire simulations and fire risk maps are already very a useful tool to assist fire managers in their decisions, the complexity of fire spread and ignition mechanisms can greatly hinder their accuracy. An important step in improving the reliability of wildfire prediction systems is to implement additional drivers of fire spread and fire risk in simulation models.</p><p>Despite their recognized importance as factors influencing fuel flammability and fire spread, soil moisture and live fuel moisture content are rarely implemented in the simulation of large wildfires due to the lack of sufficient and accurate data. Fortunately, new satellite products are giving the opportunity to assess these parameters on large areas with high temporal and spatial resolution.</p><p>The purpose of this study is twofold. First, we aimed to evaluate the capabilities of satellite data to estimate soil moisture and live fuel moisture content in different landcovers.  Secondly, we focused on the potential of these estimates for assessing fire risk and fire spread patterns of large wildfires in Portugal. Ultimately, the goal of this study is to implement these estimated variables in fire spread simulations and fire risk maps.<br><br>We compared datasets retrieved from Sentinel 1, SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive radiometer) and MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) missions. Several estimators of LFMC based on spectral indices were tested and their patterns were compared with field data. Based on these estimators, we assessed the impact of LFMC and soil moisture on the extent and occurrence of large wildfires. Finally, we built a database of detailed historical wildfire progressions, which we used to evaluate the influence of soil moisture and LFMC on the velocity and direction of the fire spread.</p>

Fuel-related fire-behaviour relationships for mixed live and dead fuels burned in the laboratory

2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (7) ◽  
pp. 883-889 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos G. Rossa ◽  
Paulo M. Fernandes
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Load ◽  
Experimental Program ◽  
Structural Parameter ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Type ◽  
Fire Behaviour ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

A laboratory experimental program addressing fire spread in fuel beds composed of dead foliage litter and vertically placed quasi-live branches, representative of many natural fuel complexes, was carried out for either still-air or wind conditions. Fuel-bed characteristics, fire spread rate, flame geometry, and fuel consumption were assessed and empirical models for estimating several parameters were developed. Weighted fuel moisture content (18%–163%) provided good estimates of fire-behaviour characteristics and accounted for most of the variation in still-air and wind-driven spread rate (0.1–1.3 m·min−1). When predicting still-air fire spread rate, fuel height was the most relevant fuel-bed structural parameter and fuel type had significant influence, whereas for wind-driven spread, the effect of foliar fuel-bed density was dominant and fuel type became irrelevant. Flame length (0.4–2.2 m) increased from still-air to wind-assisted (8 km·h−1) fire spread, but its height remained constant. The fraction of total fuel load and mean woody fuel diameter consumed by fire were reasonably predicted from weighted fuel moisture content alone, but predictions for the latter variable improved substantially by adding foliar fuel load.

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