scholarly journals Global Sensitivity Analysis of the SCOPE Model in Sentinel-3 Bands: Thermal Domain Focus

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (20) ◽  
pp. 2424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Egor Prikaziuk ◽  
Christiaan van der Tol
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Global Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Dry Matter Content ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Global Sensitivity ◽  
Scope Model

Sentinel-3 satellite has provided simultaneous observations in the optical (visible, near infrared (NIR), shortwave infrared (SWIR)) and thermal infrared (TIR) domains since 2016, with a revisit time of 1–2 days. The high temporal resolution and spectral coverage make the data of this mission attractive for vegetation monitoring. This study explores the possibilities of using the Soil Canopy Observation, Photochemistry and Energy fluxes (SCOPE) model together with Sentinel-3 to exploit the two sensors onboard of Sentinel-3 (the ocean and land color instrument (OLCI) and sea and land surface temperature radiometer (SLSTR)) in synergy. Sobol’ variance based global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of top of atmosphere (TOA) radiance produced with a coupled SCOPE-6S model was conducted for optical bands of OLCI and SLSTR, while another GSA of SCOPE was conducted for the land surface temperature (LST) product of SLSTR. The results show that in addition to ESA level-2 Sentinel-3 products, SCOPE is able to retrieve leaf area index (LAI), leaf chlorophyll content (Cab), leaf water content (Cw), leaf senescent material (Cs), leaf inclination distribution (LAD). Leaf dry matter content (Cdm) and soil brightness, despite being important, were not confidently retrieved in some cases. GSA of LST in TIR domain showed that plant biochemical parameters—maximum carboxylation rate (Vcmax) and stomata conductance-photosynthesis slope (Ball-Berry m)—can be constrained if prior information on near-surface weather conditions is available. We conclude that the combination of optical and thermal domains facilitates the constraint of the land surface energy balance using SCOPE.

scholarly journals Global sensitivity analysis of the Indian monsoon during the Pleistocene

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. A. Araya-Melo ◽  
M. Crucifix ◽  
N. Bounceur
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Global Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Indian Monsoon ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Layer Depth ◽  
Global Sensitivity

Abstract. The sensitivity of the Indian monsoon to the full spectrum of climatic conditions experienced during the Pleistocene is estimated using the climate model HadCM3. The methodology follows a global sensitivity analysis based on the emulator approach of Oakley and O'Hagan (2004) implemented following a three-step strategy: (1) development of an experiment plan, designed to efficiently sample a five-dimensional input space spanning Pleistocene astronomical configurations (three parameters), CO2 concentration and a Northern Hemisphere glaciation index; (2) development, calibration and validation of an emulator of HadCM3 in order to estimate the response of the Indian monsoon over the full input space spanned by the experiment design; and (3) estimation and interpreting of sensitivity diagnostics, including sensitivity measures, in order to synthesise the relative importance of input factors on monsoon dynamics, estimate the phase of the monsoon intensity response with respect to that of insolation, and detect potential non-linear phenomena. By focusing on surface temperature, precipitation, mixed-layer depth and sea-surface temperature over the monsoon region during the summer season (June-July-August-September), we show that precession controls the response of four variables: continental temperature in phase with June to July insolation, high glaciation favouring a late-phase response, sea-surface temperature in phase with May insolation, continental precipitation in phase with July insolation, and mixed-layer depth in antiphase with the latter. CO2 variations control temperature variance with an amplitude similar to that of precession. The effect of glaciation is dominated by the albedo forcing, and its effect on precipitation competes with that of precession. Obliquity is a secondary effect, negligible on most variables except sea-surface temperature. It is also shown that orography forcing reduces the glacial cooling, and even has a positive effect on precipitation. As regards the general methodology, it is shown that the emulator provides a powerful approach, not only to express model sensitivity but also to estimate internal variability and detect anomalous simulations.

scholarly journals Near–surface air temperature and snow skin temperature comparison from CREST-SAFE station data with MODIS land surface temperature data

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 7665-7687 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Pérez Díaz ◽  
T. Lakhankar ◽  
P. Romanov ◽  
J. Muñoz ◽  
R. Khanbilvardi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Skin Temperature ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Near Surface

Abstract. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable (commonly studied to understand the hydrological cycle) that helps drive the energy balance and water exchange between the Earth's surface and its atmosphere. One observable constituent of much importance in the land surface water balance model is snow. Snow cover plays a critical role in the regional to global scale hydrological cycle because rain-on-snow with warm air temperatures accelerates rapid snow-melt, which is responsible for the majority of the spring floods. Accurate information on near-surface air temperature (T-air) and snow skin temperature (T-skin) helps us comprehend the energy and water balances in the Earth's hydrological cycle. T-skin is critical in estimating latent and sensible heat fluxes over snow covered areas because incoming and outgoing radiation fluxes from the snow mass and the air temperature above make it different from the average snowpack temperature. This study investigates the correlation between MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST data and observed T-air and T-skin data from NOAA-CREST-Snow Analysis and Field Experiment (CREST-SAFE) for the winters of 2013 and 2014. LST satellite validation is imperative because high-latitude regions are significantly affected by climate warming and there is a need to aid existing meteorological station networks with the spatially continuous measurements provided by satellites. Results indicate that near-surface air temperature correlates better than snow skin temperature with MODIS LST data. Additional findings show that there is a negative trend demonstrating that the air minus snow skin temperature difference is inversely proportional to cloud cover. To a lesser extent, it will be examined whether the surface properties at the site are representative for the LST properties within the instrument field of view.

scholarly journals Correction of systematic model forcing bias of CLM using assimilation of cosmic-ray Neutrons and land surface temperature: a study in the Heihe Catchment, China

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 615-629 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. Han ◽  
H.-J. H. Franssen ◽  
R. Rosolem ◽  
R. Jin ◽  
X. Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Cosmic Ray ◽  
Systematic Bias ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Independent Field

Abstract. The recent development of the non-invasive cosmic-ray soil moisture sensing technique fills the gap between point-scale soil moisture measurements and regional-scale soil moisture measurements by remote sensing. A cosmic-ray probe measures soil moisture for a footprint with a diameter of ~ 600 m (at sea level) and with an effective measurement depth between 12 and 76 cm, depending on the soil humidity. In this study, it was tested whether neutron counts also allow correcting for a systematic error in the model forcings. A lack of water management data often causes systematic input errors to land surface models. Here, the assimilation procedure was tested for an irrigated corn field (Heihe Watershed Allied Telemetry Experimental Research – HiWATER, 2012) where no irrigation data were available as model input although for the area a significant amount of water was irrigated. In the study, the measured cosmic-ray neutron counts and Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) products were jointly assimilated into the Community Land Model (CLM) with the local ensemble transform Kalman filter. Different data assimilation scenarios were evaluated, with assimilation of LST and/or cosmic-ray neutron counts, and possibly parameter estimation of leaf area index (LAI). The results show that the direct assimilation of cosmic-ray neutron counts can improve the soil moisture and evapotranspiration (ET) estimation significantly, correcting for lack of information on irrigation amounts. The joint assimilation of neutron counts and LST could improve further the ET estimation, but the information content of neutron counts exceeded the one of LST. Additional improvement was achieved by calibrating LAI, which after calibration was also closer to independent field measurements. It was concluded that assimilation of neutron counts was useful for ET and soil moisture estimation even if the model has a systematic bias like neglecting irrigation. However, also the assimilation of LST helped to correct the systematic model bias introduced by neglecting irrigation and LST could be used to update soil moisture with state augmentation.

A new approach for modeling near surface temperature lapse rate based on normalized land surface temperature data

2020 ◽  
Vol 242 ◽  
pp. 111746 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Karimi Firozjaei ◽  
Solmaz Fathololoumi ◽  
Seyed Kazem Alavipanah ◽  
Majid Kiavarz ◽  
Ali Reza Vaezi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Temperature Data ◽  
Lapse Rate ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Temperature Lapse Rate ◽  
Surface Temperature Data

scholarly journals Estimating malaria burden in Nigeria: a geostatistical modelling approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nnadozie Onyiri
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Spatial Model ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Malaria Prevalence ◽  
Malaria Risk ◽  
Water Bodies ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Environmental Covariates

This study has produced a map of malaria prevalence in Nigeria based on available data from the Mapping Malaria Risk in Africa (MARA) database, including all malaria prevalence surveys in Nigeria that could be geolocated, as well as data collected during fieldwork in Nigeria between March and June 2007. Logistic regression was fitted to malaria prevalence to identify significant demographic (age) and environmental covariates in STATA. The following environmental covariates were included in the spatial model: the normalized difference vegetation index, the enhanced vegetation index, the leaf area index, the land surface temperature for day and night, land use/landcover (LULC), distance to water bodies, and rainfall. The spatial model created suggests that the two main environmental covariates correlating with malaria presence were land surface temperature for day and rainfall. It was also found that malaria prevalence increased with distance to water bodies up to 4 km. The malaria risk map estimated from the spatial model shows that malaria prevalence in Nigeria varies from 20% in certain areas to 70% in others. The highest prevalence rates were found in the Niger Delta states of Rivers and Bayelsa, the areas surrounding the confluence of the rivers Niger and Benue, and also isolated parts of the north-eastern and north-western parts of the country. Isolated patches of low malaria prevalence were found to be scattered around the country with northern Nigeria having more such areas than the rest of the country. Nigeria’s belt of middle regions generally has malaria prevalence of 40% and above.

scholarly journals Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 205-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Bounceur ◽  
M. Crucifix ◽  
R. D. Wilkinson
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Global Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Arctic Region ◽  
Global Sensitivity ◽  
Oscillatory Pattern ◽  
Astronomical Forcing

Abstract. A global sensitivity analysis is performed to describe the effects of astronomical forcing on the climate–vegetation system simulated by the model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM in interglacial conditions. The methodology relies on the estimation of sensitivity measures, using a Gaussian process emulator as a fast surrogate of the climate model, calibrated on a set of well-chosen experiments. The outputs considered are the annual mean temperature and precipitation and the growing degree days (GDD). The experiments were run on two distinct land surface schemes to estimate the importance of vegetation feedbacks on climate variance. This analysis provides a spatial description of the variance due to the factors and their combinations, in the form of "fingerprints" obtained from the covariance indices. The results are broadly consistent with the current under-standing of Earth's climate response to the astronomical forcing. In particular, precession and obliquity are found to contribute in LOVECLIM equally to GDD in the Northern Hemisphere, and the effect of obliquity on the response of Southern Hemisphere temperature dominates precession effects. Precession dominates precipitation changes in subtropical areas. Compared to standard approaches based on a small number of simulations, the methodology presented here allows us to identify more systematically regions susceptible to experiencing rapid climate change in response to the smooth astronomical forcing change. In particular, we find that using interactive vegetation significantly enhances the expected rates of climate change, specifically in the Sahel (up to 50% precipitation change in 1000 years) and in the Canadian Arctic region (up to 3° in 1000 years). None of the tested astronomical configurations were found to induce multiple steady states, but, at low obliquity, we observed the development of an oscillatory pattern that has already been reported in LOVECLIM. Although the mathematics of the analysis are fairly straightforward, the emulation approach still requires considerable care in its implementation. We discuss the effect of the choice of length scales and the type of emulator, and estimate uncertainties associated with specific computational aspects, to conclude that the principal component emulator is a good option for this kind of application.

Recent Trends in Land Surface Temperature on the Tibetan Plateau

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 2995-3003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuichiro Oku ◽  
Hirohiko Ishikawa ◽  
Shigenori Haginoya ◽  
Yaoming Ma
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Precipitation Amount ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Diurnal Range

Abstract The diurnal, seasonal, and interannual variations in land surface temperature (LST) on the Tibetan Plateau from 1996 to 2002 are analyzed using the hourly LST dataset obtained by Japanese Geostationary Meteorological Satellite 5 (GMS-5) observations. Comparing LST retrieved from GMS-5 with independent precipitation amount data demonstrates the consistent and complementary relationship between them. The results indicate an increase in the LST over this period. The daily minimum has risen faster than the daily maximum, resulting in a narrowing of the diurnal range of LST. This is in agreement with the observed trends in both global and plateau near-surface air temperature. Since the near-surface air temperature is mainly controlled by LST, this result ensures a warming trend in near-surface air temperature.

Study on Urban Thermal Environment based on Diurnal Temperature Range

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zheng Guo ◽  
Miaomiao Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Land Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Thermal Environment ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Heat Island ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Diurnal Range ◽  
Urban Thermal Environment

<p>Diurnal temperature range (includes land surface temperature diurnal range and near surface air temperature diurnal range) is an important meteorological parameter, which is a very important factor in the field of the urban thermal environmental. Nowadays, the research of urban thermal environment mainly focused on surface heat island and canopy heat island.</p><p>Based on analysis of the current status of city thermal environment. Firstly, a method was proposed to obtain near surface air temperature diurnal range in this study, difference of land surface temperature between day and night were introduced into the improved temperature vegetation index feature space based on remote sensing data. Secondly, compared with the district administrative division, we analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the diurnal range of land surface temperature and near surface air temperature.</p><p>The conclusions of this study are as follows:</p><p>1 During 2003-2012s, the land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range of Beijing were fluctuating upward. The rising trend of the near surface air temperature diurnal range was more significant than land surface temperature diurnal range. In addition, the rise and decline of land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in different districts were different. In the six city districts, the land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in the six areas of the city were mainly downward. The decline trend of near surface air temperature diurnal range was more significant than land surface temperature diurnal range.</p><p>2 During 2003-2012s, the land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range of Beijing with similar characteristics in spatial distribution, with higher distribution land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in urban area and with lower distribution of land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in the Northwest Mountainous area and the area of Miyun reservoir.</p>

scholarly journals Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 901-943 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Bounceur ◽  
M. Crucifix ◽  
R. D. Wilkinson
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Global Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Growing Degree Days ◽  
Degree Days ◽  
Global Sensitivity ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Astronomical Forcing

Abstract. A global sensitivity analysis is used to describe the response of the Earth Climate Model of Intermediate Complexity LOVECLIM to components of the astronomical forcing (longitude of perihelion, obliquity, and eccentricity) assuming interglacial boundary conditions. Compared to previous studies, the sensitivity is global in the sense that it considers the full range of astronomical forcing that occurred during the Quaternary. We provide a geographical description of the variance due to the different components and their combinations and identify non-linear responses. The methodology relies on the estimation of sensitivity measures, which due to the computational cost of LOVECLIM cannot be obtained directly. Instead, we use a fast surrogate of the climate model, called an emulator, in place of the simulator. A space filling design (a maximin Latin hypercube constrained to span the range of astronomical forcings characterising the Pleistocene) is used to determine a set of experiments to run, which are then used to train a reduced-rank Gaussian process emulator. The simulator outputs considered are the principal modes of the annual mean temperature, precipitation, and the growing degree days, extracted using a principal component analysis. The experiments are run on two distinct land surface schemes to address the effect of vegetation response on climate. Sensitivity to initial conditions is also explicitly assessed. Precession and obliquity are found to contribute equally to growing degree days (GDD) in the Northern Hemisphere, and the effects of obliquity on the response of Southern Hemisphere temperature dominate precession effects. Further, compared to the original land-surface scheme with fixed vegetation, the LOVECLIM interactive vegetation induces non-linear responses in the Sahel-Sahara and Arctic sea-ice area. Finally, we find that there is no synergy between obliquity and precession.

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