scholarly journals Stochastic Planning and Operational Constraint Assessment of System-Customer Power Supply Risks in Electricity Distribution Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 9579
Author(s):  
Mikka Kisuule ◽  
Ignacio Hernando-Gil ◽  
Jonathan Serugunda ◽  
Jane Namaganda-Kiyimba ◽  
Mike Brian Ndawula

Electricity-distribution network operators face several operational constraints in the provision of safe and reliable power given that investments for network area reinforcement must be commensurate with improvements in network reliability. This paper provides an integrated approach for assessing the impact of different operational constraints on distribution-network reliability by incorporating component lifetime models, time-varying component failure rates, as well as the monetary cost of customer interruptions in an all-inclusive probabilistic methodology that applies a time-sequential Monte Carlo simulation. A test distribution network based on the Roy Billinton test system was modelled to investigate the system performance when overloading limits are exceeded as well as when preventive maintenance is performed. Standard reliability indices measuring the frequency and duration of interruptions and the energy not supplied were complemented with a novel monetary reliability index. The comprehensive assessment includes not only average indices but also their probability distributions to adequately describe the risk of customer interruptions. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of this holistic approach, as the impacts of operational decisions are assessed from both reliability and monetary perspectives. This informs network planning decisions through optimum investments and consideration of customer outage costs.

Author(s):  
Mikka Kisuule ◽  
Ignacio Hernando-Gil ◽  
Jonathan Serugunda ◽  
Jane Namaganda-Kiyimba ◽  
Mike Brian Ndawula

Electricity distribution network operators face several operational constraints in the provision of safe and reliable power given that investments for network area reinforcement must be commensurate with improvements in network reliability. This paper provides an integrated approach for assessing the impact of different operational constraints on distribution network reliability by incorporating component lifetime models, time-varying component failure rates as well as the monetary cost of customer interruptions in an all-inclusive probabilistic methodology that applies a time-sequential Monte Carlo simulation. A test distribution network based on the Roy Billinton test system is modelled to investigate the system performance when overloading limits are exceeded as well as when preventive maintenance is performed. Standard reliability indices measuring the frequency and duration of interruptions, and the energy not supplied are complemented with a novel monetary reliability index. The comprehensive assessment includes not only average indices but also their probability distributions to adequately describe the risk of customer interruptions. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of this holistic approach as the impacts of operational decisions are assessed from both reliability and monetary perspectives. This informs network planning decisions through optimum investments and consideration of customer outage costs.


2014 ◽  
Vol 536-537 ◽  
pp. 1570-1577
Author(s):  
Jiang Ping Zou ◽  
Bi De Zhang ◽  
Xiao Zhou Ling ◽  
Jun Deng ◽  
Di He ◽  
...  

To analyze the impact of components operating environment and micro-grid on the distribution network reliability evaluation, the characteristics of components failure rate changes with operation condition are researched, and the full life cycle of the time-varying failure rate model of non-power components is built; reliability model for co-generation of hybrid, photovoltaic and energy storage system is introduced, as the power output of photovoltaic and hybrid generation is stochastic; the reliability of modified IEEE RBTS is evaluated by the built model and sequential Monte Carlo simulation method after load failure effect table is established by the reachability analysis method, the application of the proposed method to calculation example verifies its effectiveness by comparing and analyzing the reliability indices in different situations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuran Liu ◽  
Meng Cheng ◽  
Qinhao Xing ◽  
Yizhe Jiang ◽  
Qianliang Xiang ◽  
...  

One of the key challenges facing distribution network operators today is the expected increase in electric vehicles. The increased load from EV charging will result in distribution assets becoming “thermally overloaded” due to higher operating temperatures. In addition to the issue of increased load, we have a limited understanding of the behavior and performance of the distribution assets and their potential to accept the increased load. It has been well acknowledged that EVs increase the network loading level, leading to a reduced system reliability performance. These results have not been quantified in a realistic case study, including actual cable rating and design properties. To address this gap, this paper proposes a novel methodology in the existing power network reliability evaluation framework, which quantifies the impact of different EV penetration levels on distribution network reliability, and the thermal performance of distribution cables. Novel approaches using smart switching technology and emergency uprating are proposed to reduce the peak power demand caused by EVs, in order to reinforce the reliability of the grid and to boost the maximum allowable EV penetration in the distribution networks. The methodology was applied using a case study on the modified EV-integrated RBTS (Roy Billinton Test System) bus four distribution network. The results showed that the negative impact of EVs on network performance can be mitigated by the implementation of smart switching technology. The peak demand under contingencies can also be accepted by the cables though emergency uprating. The frequency and duration of EV demand interruption was also significantly reduced. Thus, a higher EV penetration can be accommodated.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 3202
Author(s):  
Alberto Escalera ◽  
Edgardo D. Castronuovo ◽  
Milan Prodanović ◽  
Javier Roldán-Pérez

Modern power distribution networks assume the connection of Distributed Generators (DGs) and energy storage systems as well as the application of advanced demand management techniques. After a network fault these technologies and techniques can contribute individually to the supply restoration of the interrupted areas and help improve the network reliability. However, the optimal coordination of control actions between these resources will lead to their most efficient use, maximizing the network reliability improvement. Until now, the effect of such networks with optimal coordination has not been considered in reliability studies. In this paper, DGs, energy storage and demand management techniques are jointly modelled and evaluated for reliability assessment. A novel methodology is proposed for the calculation of the reliability indices. It evaluates the optimal coordination of energy storage and demand management in order to reduce the energy-not-supplied during outages. The formulation proposed for the calculation of the reliability indices (including the modelling of optimal coordination) is described in detail. The methodology is applied to two distribution systems combining DGs, energy storage and demand management. Results demonstrate the capability of the proposed method to assess the reliability of such type of networks and emphasise the impact of the optimal coordination on reliability.


2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 1802-1810 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Guan ◽  
Hao Hao Wang ◽  
Sheng Min Qiu

A new algorithm as well as the software design for large-scale distribution network reliability assessment is proposed in this paper. The algorithm, based on fault traversal algorithm, obtains network information from the GIS. The structure of distribution network data storage formats is described, facilitating automatic output of the feeders’ topological and corresponding information from the GIS. Also the judgment of load transfer is discussed and the method for reliability assessment introduced in this paper. Moreover, The impact of the scheduled outage is taken into account in the assessment model, making the results more in accordance with the actual situation. Test Cases show that the proposed method features good accuracy and effectiveness when applied to the reliability assessment of large-scale distribution networks.


Processes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 399 ◽  
Author(s):  
Athraa Ali Kadhem ◽  
Noor Izzri Abdul Wahab ◽  
Ahmed N. Abdalla

This paper presents a statistical analysis of wind speed data that can be extremely useful for installing a wind generation as a stand-alone system. The main objective is to define the wind power capacity’s contribution to the adequacy of generation systems for the purpose of selecting wind farm locations at specific sites in Malaysia. The combined Sequential Monte Carlo simulation (SMCS) technique and the Weibull distribution models are employed to demonstrate the impact of wind power in power system reliability. To study this, the Roy Billinton Test System (RBTS) is considered and tested using wind data from two sites in Peninsular Malaysia, Mersing and Kuala Terengganu, and one site, Kudat, in Sabah. The results showed that Mersing and Kudat were best suitable for wind sites. In addition, the reliability indices are compared prior to the addition of the two wind farms to the considered RBTS system. The results reveal that the reliability indices are slightly improved for the RBTS system with wind power generation from both the potential sites.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (22) ◽  
pp. 8023
Author(s):  
Bo Zeng ◽  
Yangfan Luo ◽  
Changhao Zhang ◽  
Yixian Liu

This paper proposes a comprehensive methodological framework to investigate the potential role of the grid-connected battery swapping station (BSS) with vehicle-to-grid (V2G) capability in improving the reliability of supply in future distribution networks. For this aim, we first develop an empirical model for describing the energy demand of electric vehicles (EVs) and their resultant available generation capacity (AGC) that can be utilized for BSS operation. Then, on this basis, a quantitative method to quantify the effect of grid-connected BSS on distribution system reliability is proposed. In order to capture the uncertainties associated with EV users’ behaviors, Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) methods were utilized to obtain the time series of the BSS traffic flow and initial State of Charge (SOC) of each EV battery, according to the probability distribution of corresponding uncertain factors whose statistics are obtained from real-world historical data. Compared with existing works in this research field, the main contributions of this paper are threefold. (i) A comprehensive and efficient method to assess the reliability benefits of BSS with an explicit consideration of BSS characteristics (including physical structure, charging strategy, and swapping model) is proposed, which is in contrast to most of the extant studies that only focus on the EV fast-charging paradigm and thus provide a practical tool to analyze the potential value of BSS resources in future distribution systems. (ii) The randomness of EV user behaviors in BSS operation is explicitly modeled and considered. (iii) The LHS-based sequential simulation is used to improve the accuracy and convergence performance of the evaluation, as compared to the traditional Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS) method. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach, numerical studies are conducted based on a modified IEEE 33-bus distribution network. The simulation results show that with V2G capabilities, BSS can improve reliability to a certain extent and reduce the adverse impact on the reliability of the distribution network. In addition, EV resources should be orderly managed and exploited; otherwise, uncoordinated charging activities could impose a negative impact on the reliability performance of distribution networks. Finally, it is also shown that under the same sampling time, LHS-based sequential simulation could be better than SMCS in the accuracy and convergence speed of the procedure.


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 80
Author(s):  
Predrag Mršić ◽  
Đorđe Lekić ◽  
Bojan Erceg ◽  
Čedomir Zeljković ◽  
Petar Matić ◽  
...  

Fault passage indicators (FPIs) and fault locators (FLs) are employed in modern distribution networks in order to enhance the process of fault localization, thus resulting in reduction of interruption time and improving the reliability of power supply. In this paper, a novel probabilistic techno-economic optimization method is proposed for determining the number and positions of FPIs that lead to maximum reduction of interruptiontime and investment costs in medium voltage (MV) distribution networks with and without FLs. The proposed method is basedon a probabilistic non-sequential Monte Carlo simulation model of the real network, which is a proper compromise between complicated sequential simulation models and too simplified analytical models. The main goal of the method is to obtain maximum improvement of the network reliability indices while using the minimum number of FPIs. The method is tested on a combinedurban/rural MV distribution network in Bosnia and Herzegovina and results are thoroughly discussed.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3242
Author(s):  
Hamid Mirshekali ◽  
Rahman Dashti ◽  
Karsten Handrup ◽  
Hamid Reza Shaker

Distribution networks transmit electrical energy from an upstream network to customers. Undesirable circumstances such as faults in the distribution networks can cause hazardous conditions, equipment failure, and power outages. Therefore, to avoid financial loss, to maintain customer satisfaction, and network reliability, it is vital to restore the network as fast as possible. In this paper, a new fault location (FL) algorithm that uses the recorded data of smart meters (SMs) and smart feeder meters (SFMs) to locate the actual point of fault, is introduced. The method does not require high-resolution measurements, which is among the main advantages of the method. An impedance-based technique is utilized to detect all possible FL candidates in the distribution network. After the fault occurrence, the protection relay sends a signal to all SFMs, to collect the recorded active power of all connected lines after the fault. The higher value of active power represents the real faulty section due to the high-fault current. The effectiveness of the proposed method was investigated on an IEEE 11-node test feeder in MATLAB SIMULINK 2020b, under several situations, such as different fault resistances, distances, inception angles, and types. In some cases, the algorithm found two or three candidates for FL. In these cases, the section estimation helped to identify the real fault among all candidates. Section estimation method performs well for all simulated cases. The results showed that the proposed method was accurate and was able to precisely detect the real faulty section. To experimentally evaluate the proposed method’s powerfulness, a laboratory test and its simulation were carried out. The algorithm was precisely able to distinguish the real faulty section among all candidates in the experiment. The results revealed the robustness and effectiveness of the proposed method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (27) ◽  
pp. 101-115
Author(s):  
Massoud Danishmal ◽  

The design of power distribution systems should be such that it can technically respond to the increase in electricity demand properly and economically, optimally designed and high network reliability. In order to respond to the increase in electricity demand, load forecasting must be done so that in addition to providing the electricity needed by customers, expansion of power generation centers, expansion of substations, expansion of transformer stations and selection of their appropriate location can be done optimally. In this article, we first examine the definitions and factors that are technically and economically effective in the economic design of energy distribution systems. And in the next stage, we will see whether these above-mentioned effective factors are considered in the 0.4 kV distribution network of Ghazni city or not.


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